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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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10/13/2012 04:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There is a very small area just to the North-East of 1589 that looks to me to be growing into a little Sunspot of its' own,I had noticed it on H alpha doing something special so thought I'd check out it's evolution(or creation if you live in Utah) [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] and indeed it does appear to be morphing.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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10/13/2012 04:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] should be an index of 5 at least.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
madajs

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10/13/2012 05:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
go CH go!

==============
Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 214
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 13 0831 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 13 0830 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 13 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
==============
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Spittin'Cesium

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10/13/2012 05:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
go CH go!

==============
Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 214
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 13 0831 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 13 0830 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 13 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
==============
 Quoting: madajs


They must be reading Glp : )

Perfect timing Madajs!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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10/13/2012 07:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New space weather warning

Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 214
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 13 0831 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2012 Oct 13 0830 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Oct 13 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Wing Kp

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
miabelieves

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10/13/2012 07:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]

love watching
Hold on to your undies, it's gonna be a hell of a ride
Tiny Trink

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10/13/2012 07:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello Everyone,

Excellent posts last night everyone.

News has a lot of info today. Enjoy!

[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
madajs

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10/13/2012 08:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp 6- with 11 of 13 observatories reported

[link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de]

And the period before that was also Kp 6-

This CH did some work

Last Edited by madajs on 10/13/2012 08:32 AM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
DoomneT

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10/13/2012 08:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
2012 Oct 13 0918 UTC CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Begin: Oct 09 1015 UTC Yesterday Max 2MeV Flux: 11400 pfu

spaceweather
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Powerfullinfo International News & Media Forums (join the community)
Anonymous Coward
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10/13/2012 08:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wing-Kp (NOAA) is showing a rise

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space weather is showing a decline ...

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 811
Valid From: 2012 Oct 13 0515 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Oct 13 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.


I'll side with the Wing data.


Good morning all hf
El Quisqueyano

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10/13/2012 09:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't know exactly what is going on but this the third possible 6+ signal seen today;

Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 10/13/12 at 1322utc/0922est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
Goofy for God
For by Him All Things Were Created

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10/13/2012 10:01 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like may be in for a week of something big
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

hiding
Luke 18:8I tell you that he will avenge them speedily. Nevertheless when the Son of man cometh, shall he find faith on the earth?
El Quisqueyano

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10/13/2012 10:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like may be in for a week of something big
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

hiding
 Quoting: Goofy for God


[link to www.lmsal.com]
shadasonic

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10/13/2012 10:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side note - I was watching a random BBC Wildlife Program earlier and during a piece about Homing Pigeons(of all things)they very quickly quipped 'The Homing Pigeons are having problems returning due to Navigational issues believed to be related to the Sun and it's behaviour - Its' currently doing something that has'nt been seen for over 1000 Years'

They left it at that leaving me mouth agape and scratching my noggin thinking 'Wtf,Ffs..eh!?'.

Just what action is this that they very quickly glossed over whilst discussing bloody Homing Pigeons that has'nt occurred in the last One Thousand Years!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Thats quite amazing and concerning. You find great related info my friend!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shenue

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10/13/2012 10:18 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning Everyone
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
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10/13/2012 10:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't know exactly what is going on but this the third possible 6+ signal seen today;

Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 10/13/12 at 1322utc/0922est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


We've been waiting for an uptick(meaning big), as 5+ to 7+ are way up over the last two years

Heres the 7+ chart
[link to research.dlindquist.com]

way up meaning 3 more a year on average.lol

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 10/13/2012 10:48 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
zacksavage

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10/13/2012 10:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We're viewing a new star thats giving us a new energy pattern. Just my two cents.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Do tell.

Hello there Sunfolk!! hi

Everybody's two cents really add up to quite a fortune in this thread.

woohoo


Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 10/13/2012 10:45 AM
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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10/13/2012 10:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
shadasonic

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10/13/2012 10:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We're viewing a new star thats giving us a new energy pattern. Just my two cents.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Do tell.

Hello there Sunfolk!! hi

Everybody's two cents really add up to quite a fortune in this thread.

woohoo


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


Hey Z,been missing you around here!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
zacksavage

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10/13/2012 10:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Z,been missing you around here!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hey shad,...thanks. I have been checking in from time to time but have had little time to really get into it all.

I have some time now.

Looks like good time. Appreciate greatly y'all keeping the homefire burning.


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
shadasonic

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10/13/2012 11:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25471139



This sums it up pretty good, would suggest all view this!!!!!!!!!!!
Nice find our German friend!

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 10/13/2012 11:14 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Tropicalgirl

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10/13/2012 11:29 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side note - I was watching a random BBC Wildlife Program earlier and during a piece about Homing Pigeons(of all things)they very quickly quipped 'The Homing Pigeons are having problems returning due to Navigational issues believed to be related to the Sun and it's behaviour - Its' currently doing something that has'nt been seen for over 1000 Years'

They left it at that leaving me mouth agape and scratching my noggin thinking 'Wtf,Ffs..eh!?'.

Just what action is this that they very quickly glossed over whilst discussing bloody Homing Pigeons that has'nt occurred in the last One Thousand Years!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


SC - great info today on the sun updates, thanks! Thought you might want to check this out - in regards to the pigeons losing their way....
[link to www.solarstorms.org]
SCizE?
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10/13/2012 11:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello Sol Family,popped out for a while with Major Thom etc.
Back in now..take a look at the ACE Data here [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] <--- The Bz/By - Completely messy and all over the shop.

I would have thought there will be some penetration due to all that toing and froing,the Magnetopause earlier had already been squished to within Geo-synchronous orbit from 02:00am UT until the Sim. ended at around 07:00am UT - I'm going to take a look now and check see that we are not Ionoplaining it(Ionoplaining = Riding bareback with little Magnetopause).

Be back now.
Anonymous Coward
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10/13/2012 12:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wing-Kp claims an index of 6 observed [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] , but the NOAA/SPW index only shows and index of 5 ???
SCizMe
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10/13/2012 12:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hoo.k. so [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Just created a Sim. for the last 200 Updates that ISWA will run and they only go up to 14:00(ish) but still give us a good look at what is happening up there.

I only Updated the Magnetopause Sim.(which is the one at the Bottom of the page for newbies)and you can see that the squishedness of the leading edge continued on for Hours,making it around 9(ish)Hours it was within Geo-synchronous orbit and really only stops to flail its' Arms and Shoulders for a little while toward the end of the Sim.

The ACE data here [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] is showing relatively fast Solar Wind Velocity and quite high Temperature readings along with the manic fluctuations of the Polarities.
Anonymous Coward
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10/13/2012 12:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hoo.k. so [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Just created a Sim. for the last 200 Updates that ISWA will run and they only go up to 14:00(ish) but still give us a good look at what is happening up there.

I only Updated the Magnetopause Sim.(which is the one at the Bottom of the page for newbies)and you can see that the squishedness of the leading edge continued on for Hours,making it around 9(ish)Hours it was within Geo-synchronous orbit and really only stops to flail its' Arms and Shoulders for a little while toward the end of the Sim.

The ACE data here [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] is showing relatively fast Solar Wind Velocity and quite high Temperature readings along with the manic fluctuations of the Polarities.
 Quoting: SCizMe 14589973


Sorry - The highlighted should read around 7(ish) Hours not 9.
Hugh M Eye

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10/13/2012 12:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GLP Servers went down last night....musta been the magnetic storm or the much-anticipated "cyber-9/11"...or something else entirely.
m-pause10/13
Anonymous Coward
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10/13/2012 12:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Today the Smithsonian Public Observatory Project has open

looking at sunspots and Venus (in gibbous phase)


Live view now of prominences on the Sun:
[link to www.ustream.tv]
Spittin'Cesium

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10/13/2012 12:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GLP Servers went down last night....musta been the magnetic storm or the much-anticipated "cyber-9/11"...or something else entirely.
m-pause10/13
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hello there Hugh - that's the one!

Stayed like that for Hours,I take it then that you have already watched the Sim.

For some reason my ISWA CygnetStreamer of the Magnetopause is down(the extra long Sim.)do you know if you have lost it also?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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10/13/2012 12:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Today the Smithsonian Public Observatory Project has open

looking at sunspots and Venus (in gibbous phase)


Live view now of prominences on the Sun:
[link to www.ustream.tv]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Thank you for that IWantaCucumberSammich : )

On their stream of visible Sunlight I can't make out any of the Sunspots?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1


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