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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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11/09/2012 02:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
STEREO B Cor 2-

:CME-Behindc2B:

SOHO C2 looks like a full halo (Type IV)-

:11/09 halo cme:
Hugh M Eye

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11/09/2012 03:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA Cone model shows a direct hit.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Very interesting! This gets my mind wandering...with the Sun eclipse on the 13th, the moon will be in direct center between the Sun and Earth when this is expected to hit, and this is close to the perigee (closest orbit) of the Moon to the Earth. Would we be able to see the effects of the CME on our Moon? Could it "push" the Moon into a closer orbit? Just things that make my mind go hmmmmmm....
 Quoting: muse_1111


Don't worry, the moon won't be pushed closer to Earth (in fact it's slowly drifting farther away).

BUT, The Moon Could Be Sandblasted By Solar Storms-

Solar storms and associated Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) can significantly erode the lunar surface according to a new set of computer simulations by NASA scientists. In addition to removing a surprisingly large amount of material from the lunar surface, this could be a major method of atmospheric loss for planets like Mars that are unprotected by a global magnetic field.

more here:

[link to www.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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11/09/2012 03:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA Cone model shows a direct hit.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Very interesting! This gets my mind wandering...with the Sun eclipse on the 13th, the moon will be in direct center between the Sun and Earth when this is expected to hit, and this is close to the perigee (closest orbit) of the Moon to the Earth. Would we be able to see the effects of the CME on our Moon? Could it "push" the Moon into a closer orbit? Just things that make my mind go hmmmmmm....
 Quoting: muse_1111


Don't worry, the moon won't be pushed closer to Earth (in fact it's slowly drifting farther away).

BUT, The Moon Could Be Sandblasted By Solar Storms-

Solar storms and associated Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) can significantly erode the lunar surface according to a new set of computer simulations by NASA scientists. In addition to removing a surprisingly large amount of material from the lunar surface, this could be a major method of atmospheric loss for planets like Mars that are unprotected by a global magnetic field.

more here:

[link to www.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 03:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looks chunky. bring it on sol!
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 04:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA Cone model shows a direct hit.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hitting us on the 13th, just perfect.. thanks :D

Doesn't look too strong though
 Quoting: 1908247


That's what we need ..... and more of it. Nice moderate hits.
Hugh M Eye

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11/09/2012 04:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The double-ribbon Hyder flare from the CME eruption is clearly visible on the SDO images, however it wasn't recorded by Solarsoft.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:11/09hyderflare:
madajs

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11/09/2012 05:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just saw the earth-directed CME! popcorn
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
shadasonic

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11/09/2012 05:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

Protons still moving. Is this still streaming from that backside footprint or has something else occured. I can feel these guys coming in

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 11/09/2012 05:54 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 06:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 06:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
the above video talks about a cme from january 2005 that arrived in 30 minutes
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello all : )

Looks like we have been having some pretty good action the last couple of Days,I think I'm going to need to do some catching up for sure.

Hope you are all good and enjoying the Solar Troll Flux of late : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Something I have noticed since just coming back on-line,I am seeing straight lines on the SDO Images [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] - Can anybody else see these also or am I just ball trippin'?

And if they are visible to others and I am not trippin' balls - Wtf?

Has there been a problem with SDO since I've been gone or are these actually there!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Awesome looking CME on Stereo Ahead [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] !

Edit:Ok,I just noticed Stereo is'nt updating and this is Yesterday,nevermind.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/09/2012 07:18 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
madajs

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11/09/2012 07:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Geoffective Enlil has posted a model of this earth-directed CME

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

First model run is showing us getting a direct hit by the densest portion of the CME, predicting over 50/cm3 density and an impact on about Nov 12th 10:00 UTC (+/- of course)

We'll see if successive model runs change it up much. Right now looking like a pretty good event!

Last Edited by madajs on 11/09/2012 07:25 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME in the C2 images [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] is coming straight toward us,right?

From this image onward [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] the leading edge of the CME looks quite interesting in it's propagation.

I'm going to re-read through the previous posts again as I had noticed as I scanned over them a model of a CME aimed squarely toward us.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Geoffective Enlil has posted a model of this earth-directed CME

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

First model run is showing us getting a direct hit by the densest portion of the CME, predicting over 50/cm3 density and an impact on about Nov 12th 10:00 UTC (+/- of course)

We'll see if successive model runs change it up much. Right now looking like a pretty good event!

Edit: note this contrasts with the Cygnet Enlil model, which shows us getting hit by the less-dense fringe of the CME. we'll have to wait and see which is correct
 Quoting: madajs


No need,Madajs to the rescue!

Thank you Brother - I had noticed that the ISWA CME Prediction Calender had'nt been updated to include the arrival of this so thank you for posting the above : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 07:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
some music for you suntards

[link to www.youtube.com]
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow - That model does show Earth to be exactly in the center of this CME and the Density is quite high,Thank you again Madajs!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hmmm [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] ?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I gotz a feeling,an expecting type of feeling - Something is in the works perhaps?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
nerdrage88sasr

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11/09/2012 07:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
miabelieves

User ID: 1468143
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11/09/2012 07:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Power outages in north carolina after flash in SKY!! saw this and thought I would share here. Actually made me laugh because the dude said power out but cars still work. I think I lurk too much here...tickled me pink :)
Hold on to your undies, it's gonna be a hell of a ride
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 07:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
why is there no more data recorded? anyone knows? [link to www.n3kl.org]
shadasonic

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11/09/2012 07:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Did you see the two headed monster CME from yesterday, backside, very impressive! Hugh may have saved it?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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11/09/2012 07:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
why is there no more data recorded? anyone knows? [link to www.n3kl.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27396136


Good question?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Geoffective Enlil has posted a model of this earth-directed CME

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

First model run is showing us getting a direct hit by the densest portion of the CME, predicting over 50/cm3 density and an impact on about Nov 12th 10:00 UTC (+/- of course)

We'll see if successive model runs change it up much. Right now looking like a pretty good event!
 Quoting: madajs


I wonder what the High Speed Stream from CH545 will do to modify this CME(if at all)?
It is due to be Earth facing on the 10th meaning that the associated HSS will arrive around the same time as the CME or they may meet on the way [link to www.solen.info] .

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/09/2012 07:47 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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11/09/2012 07:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
why is there no more data recorded? anyone knows? [link to www.n3kl.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27396136


Good question?
 Quoting: shadasonic


there is no more new data since some hours... never seen that before. kinda strange to me. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
nerdrage88sasr

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11/09/2012 07:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:anomol88:

:anom882:

noticed this...intense 'spot'...interesting...
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Spittin'Cesium

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11/09/2012 07:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Did you see the two headed monster CME from yesterday, backside, very impressive! Hugh may have saved it?
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hello Shads : )

I did'nt - I have'nt been on-line for a couple Days.

I noticed a page or so back 66 had posted a Helio of this event(I think it's the same one)but I am yet to watch it - I need to do some catching up.

These Protons we are receiving...were they from the backside event or due to the incoming CME?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/09/2012 07:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:anomol88:

:anom882:

noticed this...intense 'spot'...interesting...
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


How very fucking bizarre?

Hmmm...hmmm!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1


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