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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 03:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
In case anyone here is still interested in solar observations, we have two southern hemisphere active regions which are increasing in size and actively flaring. 1610 and 1613 have accounted for 4 of the 5 C-flares today.
[link to www.lmsal.com]

AR 1610 produced the largest so far, a C2.9 and has grown from a tiny dot to this:
[link to www.lmsal.com]

AR1610-Bigger
:1610bigger:

AR1613 was classified by NOAA as an Alpha region....it's not...and it's also growing.
:AR1613:
madajs

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11/12/2012 05:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here we go, Bz just plummeted below -10!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

============

Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD
Serial Number: 121
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 12 2224 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2012 Nov 12 2315 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Nov 12 2345 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2012 Nov 12 2220 UTC

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales


============
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Isis One

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11/12/2012 05:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
On the 6 hour, looks like another flare possible.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
mtn_mang

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11/12/2012 05:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
On the 6 hour, looks like another flare possible.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


cool2
aaronnoraa711
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11/12/2012 06:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Plasma hit ~80/cm3 @~370km/s, that is seriously dense. Bz turned around and is back up, following the same curve as Bt.
aaronnoraa711
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11/12/2012 06:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Data source for figures given - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
aaronnoraa711
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11/12/2012 06:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The magnetosphere is getting beaten around a bit as well, pushing to near geosynchronous orbit with a good amount if material breaching through.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
aaronnoraa711
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11/12/2012 06:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...and the Bz is back south again w/density @ ~50cm3.
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 06:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M-flare from 1613!

Big Bear movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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11/12/2012 06:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to solarham.net]
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 06:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Rah! [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Tiss' on,tiss' on.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/12/2012 06:31 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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11/12/2012 06:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M2.0
miabelieves

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11/12/2012 06:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

absorption increase
Supporter of NIN's Solar Watch Thread
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 06:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Peaked at M 2...now we wait for images, CMEs, etc.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

5ahiding5ahiding5a
Tiny Trink

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11/12/2012 06:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



Hi SC ~

I was thinking "where is SC and Nerd" and wallah you post here and Nerd on Gabes thread. Love synchronicity!

Did you see the thread on the explosions in the English Channel?

Hope you are well my friend!

hugs

Much Love,
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 06:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M-flare from 1613!

Big Bear movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


All in all it's looking quite hectic!

Awesome updates Hugh - You get my appreciation for sure.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 06:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



Hi SC ~

I was thinking "where is SC and Nerd" and wallah you post here and Nerd on Gabes thread. Love synchronicity!

Did you see the thread on the explosions in the English Channel?

Hope you are well my friend!

hugs

Much Love,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Hello Tinkus : )

I had'nt seen that thread,is this a recent event!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Tiny Trink

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11/12/2012 06:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



Hi SC ~

I was thinking "where is SC and Nerd" and wallah you post here and Nerd on Gabes thread. Love synchronicity!

Did you see the thread on the explosions in the English Channel?

Hope you are well my friend!

hugs

Much Love,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Hello Tinkus : )

I had'nt seen that thread,is this a recent event!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



Sorry SC

Here you go I posted it on Gabes thread.

Did you see this thread?

Possible explosions in the English Channel.

[link to quakes.bgs.ac.uk]

2012/11/11 15:48:43.6 50.107 1.156 5 2.1 ENGLISH CHANNEL POSSIBLE EXPLOSION
2012/11/11 12:09:58.9 50.172 1.081 5 2.1 ENGLISH CHANNEL POSSIBLE EXPLOSION
2012/11/11 10:23:03.1 50.140 1.085 5 2.1 ENGLISH CHANNEL POSSIBLE EXPLOSION
2012/11/11 07:43:33.8 50.171 1.156 5 2.1 ENGLISH CHANNEL POSSIBLE EXPLOSION
2012/11/10 12:22:37.8 50.184 1.048 5 2.1 ENGLISH CHANNEL POSSIBLE EXPLOSION
2012/11/10 09:22:13.4 50.107 1.085 5 2.3 ENGLISH CHANNEL POSSIBLE EXPLOSION
2012/11/09 11:11:20.6 50.087 1.247 2 2.2 ENGLISH CHANNEL POSSIBLE EXPLOSION
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26860799


[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]

Much Love,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink

Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 06:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SDO images going funky again [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] too much light : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 06:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What the Fook?

Thank you for sharing that Tink - Were they WWII munitions or is there a cascading explosion along one of the Gas Pipes? ahhh
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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United Kingdom
11/12/2012 06:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Magnetosphere/pause Sims. [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Example of the Magnetopause via the CR [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Squished within Geo-sychronous orbit.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/12/2012 06:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have pretty Pictures [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Wow.

Oh my.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/12/2012 06:52 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
aaronnoraa711
User ID: 25765165
United States
11/12/2012 06:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here's another magnetopause position sim that I have not seen referenced on this thread, seems to stay very current and displays plasma density and Bz in each frame.

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 06:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE proton rise must be from the CME as they precede the M-flare-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Mag-field whiplash:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Density roller-coaster:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Should be an interesting evening, Solar-watchers!
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 07:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M 2 Flare from AR1613-

:11/12EVE:
:1613M2:
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
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11/12/2012 07:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE proton rise must be from the CME as they precede the M-flare-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Mag-field whiplash:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Density roller-coaster:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Should be an interesting evening, Solar-watchers!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was about to mention the humpty dumpty pulses of the By/Bz also - The next 2 Days should be active Imo.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/12/2012 07:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here's another magnetopause position sim that I have not seen referenced on this thread, seems to stay very current and displays plasma density and Bz in each frame.

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
 Quoting: aaronnoraa711 25765165


I do sometimes use that one also - but it lacks pretty colours ergo,not going to cream Glp : )

Ta' muchly.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/12/2012 07:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here she comes now - Speed increase and Temp. [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/12/2012 07:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Fragglations [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/12/2012 07:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The ACE data looks wild - Is this a pile-up of CME and CH or what!?

Look at it [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] - Pulse,pulse,pulse.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1

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