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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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11/12/2012 09:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M6!!! Gitterrrr done!!!!!!!
Gabriel

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11/12/2012 09:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


yup... right where the energy flow is...
 Quoting: Gabriel


Which energy do you mean?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


sorry sc thouht i was posting this on my thread.. oopps lol
 Quoting: Gabriel


I know what you mean Gabe, they seem intermingled past couple days, I have to keep checking the thread title, lol. Also, when you say 'the energy' do you mean magna flow?
 Quoting: Isis One


no... culmination of energy produced by earthquakes around the pacific rim... short answer
Isis One

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11/12/2012 09:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M 6.0
 Quoting: whiteangel


Interesting triangle of the three red dots (time sensitive post)
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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11/12/2012 09:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1618
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 13 0121 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2012 Nov 13 0103 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 184
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 13 0206 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2012 Nov 13 0204 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 827
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 13 0004 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2012 Nov 12 2328 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 645 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 09:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bloody Coronagraphsah
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 09:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello 66 and MTN by the wayhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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11/12/2012 09:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey guys and gals, I just posted this thread here:

Thread: What is this stuff flying by the Sun? Not planets, not meteors!

I was looking at Soho Lasco 2, and I don't remember EVER seeing a whole bunch of fairly slow moving "things" on it before. If you guys could just tell me that this is normal, I sure would appreciate it. You guys seem to have a pretty good handle on this kind of stuff.

Thanks!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22573986


Any help? Pretty please!
mtn_mang

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11/12/2012 09:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello 66 and MTN by the wayhf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


hey there, good chap cheers
Anonymous Coward
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11/12/2012 09:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello 66 and MTN by the wayhf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


hey there, good chap cheers
 Quoting: mtn_mang


wink
shadasonic

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11/12/2012 09:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

This needs to get above 50
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 09:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Region 1613 doesn't appear to like going below B5(ish)before firing back up again [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] be interesting to see if this repeats..watching.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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11/12/2012 09:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

This needs to get above 50
 Quoting: shadasonic


It's working those flabby arms .......
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 09:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

This needs to get above 50
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yes - The CCMC is'nt updating Sims.

This will Fraggle around for a little yet.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 09:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello 66 and MTN by the wayhf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


hey there, good chap cheers
 Quoting: mtn_mang


wink
 Quoting: TS66


Arrr.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
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11/12/2012 09:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey guys and gals, I just posted this thread here:

Thread: What is this stuff flying by the Sun? Not planets, not meteors!

I was looking at Soho Lasco 2, and I don't remember EVER seeing a whole bunch of fairly slow moving "things" on it before. If you guys could just tell me that this is normal, I sure would appreciate it. You guys seem to have a pretty good handle on this kind of stuff.

Thanks!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22573986


Any help? Pretty please!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22573986


One moment.

Edit:Detritus(dust orbiting the instrument),High Energy Particles(Protons etc.)and Aliens.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/12/2012 09:38 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Gabriel

User ID: 4384768
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11/12/2012 09:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Region 1613 doesn't appear to like going below B5(ish)before firing back up again [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] be interesting to see if this repeats..watching.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


and i thought 1610 was suppose to be the big boy on the block...1dunno1
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 09:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bloody Coronagraphsah
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


SOHO C2 show a slight whiff of a CME from the M2 flare. Considering the impulsive (short-duration) nature of these flares so far I don't expect any huge CMEs. That could change in the blink of an eye as we all know. ;)

SOHO c2 image:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Latest SOHO C2 images updated here:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

SOHO SW Data:
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

M2 Flare-
:M2flare:
Digital mix guy

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11/12/2012 09:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WHAT IS GOING ON??!!!

Significant Earthquakes Past 30 Days

M 6.4, 248km S of Cape Yakataga, Alaska Monday, November 12, 2012 20:42:15 UTC
M 6.5, 30km WSW of Champerico, Guatemala Sunday, November 11, 2012 22:15:00 UTC
M 6.8, 52km NNE of Shwebo, Myanmar Sunday, November 11, 2012 01:12:38 UTC
M 4.3, 13km W of Whitesburg, Kentucky Saturday, November 10, 2012 17:08:14 UTC
M 6.3, 186km SSW of Port Hardy, Canada Thursday, November 08, 2012 02:01:51 UTC
M 7.4, 35km S of Champerico, Guatemala Wednesday, November 07, 2012 16:35:47 UTC
M 3.9, 8km SW of Parkin, Arkansas Monday, October 29, 2012 12:39:24 UTC
M 3.9, 21km NNE of Soledad, California Monday, October 29, 2012 04:25:16 UTC

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

:gahh:
Isis One

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11/12/2012 09:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Which energy do you mean?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


sorry sc thouht i was posting this on my thread.. oopps lol
 Quoting: Gabriel


I know what you mean Gabe, they seem intermingled past couple days, I have to keep checking the thread title, lol. Also, when you say 'the energy' do you mean magna flow?
 Quoting: Isis One


no... culmination of energy produced by earthquakes around the pacific rim... short answer
 Quoting: Gabriel


Mucho thank you for the cliff notes, he he
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Spittin'Cesium

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United Kingdom
11/12/2012 09:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bloody Coronagraphsah
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


SOHO C2 show a slight whiff of a CME from the M2 flare. Considering the impulsive (short-duration) nature of these flares so far I don't expect any huge CMEs. That could change in the blink of an eye as we all know. ;)

SOHO c2 image:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Latest SOHO C2 images updated here:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

SOHO SW Data:
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

M2 Flare-
:M2flare:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thank you Hugh : )

'Whiff' of a CME is a perfect choice of Word,exactly what it is.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/12/2012 09:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WHAT IS GOING ON??!!!

Significant Earthquakes Past 30 Days

M 6.4, 248km S of Cape Yakataga, Alaska Monday, November 12, 2012 20:42:15 UTC
M 6.5, 30km WSW of Champerico, Guatemala Sunday, November 11, 2012 22:15:00 UTC
M 6.8, 52km NNE of Shwebo, Myanmar Sunday, November 11, 2012 01:12:38 UTC
M 4.3, 13km W of Whitesburg, Kentucky Saturday, November 10, 2012 17:08:14 UTC
M 6.3, 186km SSW of Port Hardy, Canada Thursday, November 08, 2012 02:01:51 UTC
M 7.4, 35km S of Champerico, Guatemala Wednesday, November 07, 2012 16:35:47 UTC
M 3.9, 8km SW of Parkin, Arkansas Monday, October 29, 2012 12:39:24 UTC
M 3.9, 21km NNE of Soledad, California Monday, October 29, 2012 04:25:16 UTC

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

:gahh:
 Quoting: Digital mix guy


That's not too bad really.

Well,apart from the location of some of them : )

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/12/2012 09:42 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
madajs

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11/12/2012 09:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well well, things are popping tonight. M6 flare and Bz activity.
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
whiteangel

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11/12/2012 09:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey guys and gals, I just posted this thread here:

Thread: What is this stuff flying by the Sun? Not planets, not meteors!

I was looking at Soho Lasco 2, and I don't remember EVER seeing a whole bunch of fairly slow moving "things" on it before. If you guys could just tell me that this is normal, I sure would appreciate it. You guys seem to have a pretty good handle on this kind of stuff.

Thanks!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22573986


Any help? Pretty please!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22573986


Looks like the Taurid Meteor Shower we are having right now.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain

Thread: Being Prepared
Spittin'Cesium

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11/12/2012 09:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Quite a awesome Surge with that M in H Alpha [link to halpha.nso.edu] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/12/2012 09:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Shes' updating again [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] after a Hour of missing data.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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11/12/2012 09:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

This needs to get above 50
 Quoting: shadasonic


It's working those flabby arms .......
 Quoting: TS66


Its outta shape! Hi TS!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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11/12/2012 09:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are going to get to the point, and may even be being conditioned to really accept all of the "down times" of data.

Thank goodness Hugh has a couple up his sleeve as back up, or we would really be flying blind.
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 09:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There was a nice ejection from the M6 flare as seen on the SDO AIA 304a images:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:M6ejecta:

M6 Flare (I tweaked the 335a image a bit)-
:M6flare:

AR1613 Recent HMI Portrait-
:1613-11/13:
Anonymous Coward
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11/12/2012 10:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space weather concurs

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 828
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 13 0231 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2012 Nov 13 0204 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1193 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
Hugh M Eye

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11/12/2012 10:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are going to get to the point, and may even be being conditioned to really accept all of the "down times" of data.

Thank goodness Hugh has a couple up his sleeve as back up, or we would really be flying blind.
 Quoting: TS66


Hello, TruthSeeker!hf
I WISH I had a coronagraph up my sleeve, hehe. I'm lucky my 'puter is still functioning, LOL.

I think you'll agree that this X-Ray flux graph looks a whole lot prettier when it's not a flat line. Whattya say?

x-ray11/98

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