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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 05:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I count 4 definite CME's [link to sdodata.oma.be] .



Hello by the way allsunhf

Edit:fuck it,doesn't matter.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 05:46 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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11/20/2012 05:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It will be interesting to see what 1620 does being in the southern hemisphere.
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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11/20/2012 05:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is Solarhams cme prediction model



[link to solarham.net]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#

Just noticed that too, was checking for that to update. Shall be an interesting day :)

Edit: I have to say, looking at the circular and wedge plots for geoeffective enlil above, this looks like one of the messier ejection events i've seen of late. I see about 4 different waves (two of which will hit us). Throw in a solar wind stream to boot. No wonder the velocity prediction is so bumpy.
 Quoting: madajs


What if instead of Black Friday we have BLACKOUT FRIDAY. Jes sayin', LOL.

:11/20CME-enhance:
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 05:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A cacophony of CME's - One on the Top-Left that me and Isis were discussing earlier that had already been going for around 7 Hours without separating from the Corona fully is still slowly flying away and the 1/2 earlier CME's that look like Type III/IV Halos and will be Geo-effective [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] .

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 05:53 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 05:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
sunspots at 60 degress west longitude is the place to watch, according to NASA

proton storm can arrive in 30 minutes if originating from 60deg west long


A New Kind of Solar Storm (well, 2005)

[link to science.nasa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 06:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It appears that Filament has set off a cascade within 1613,1614,1618 and 1619 [link to sdodata.oma.be] you can notice a drastic change in their relative Temps. - Also 1613 looks ready to expel pretty soon [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] as does the area and Filament around 1614.

A nice climb in X-Rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] something is gonna' have to give!
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


It certainly did!

Super Hot [link to sdodata.oma.be] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 06:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] 1611 even : )

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 06:19 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
11/20/2012 06:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A cacophony of CME's - One on the Top-Left that me and Isis were discussing earlier that had already been going for around 7 Hours without separating from the Corona fully is still slowly flying away and the 1/2 earlier CME's that look like Type III/IV Halos and will be Geo-effective [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The CME I mentioned that Isis and I were discussing that was/is super slow can be seen here [link to www.sidc.oma.be] at 11 on the Dial and beginning at 11:00(though it began even earlier and took forever to leave)here it is again,still not really moving [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and still [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and slowly begins to 'let go' [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Basically,a very slow,long,strange event.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 06:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1618 has been relegated back to Beta-Gamma from Beta-Gamma-Delta earlier,not sure if I agree but Solen are usually pretty spot on with their classifications [link to www.solen.info] though not always too up on spotting Earthbound Ejections.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 06:29 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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United Kingdom
11/20/2012 06:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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United Kingdom
11/20/2012 06:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Goodbye.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 06:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
One last Kiss [link to www.sidc.oma.be] [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Your CME.

Bye.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 07:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Finally! However, we need one to take off today too. This one must be bigger than the previous and faster to catch up to them. When I get home tonight and start drinking perhaps I will make another Solar Doom request, like last night, before sleep.
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 07:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nacht nachtsleeping


[link to www.youtube.com]

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

: P

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 11/20/2012 07:47 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
United States
11/20/2012 08:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


What?
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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11/20/2012 08:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Actually pre-dates both
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 08:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


What?
 Quoting: shadasonic


As I said [link to upload.wikimedia.org] [link to en.wikipedia.org] I thought you'd know this common mistake?

The Mayans based theirs off of other Meso-American calenders already in use,like the Aztec one above ^ ^ .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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11/20/2012 08:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


What?
 Quoting: shadasonic


As I said [link to upload.wikimedia.org] [link to en.wikipedia.org] I thought you'd know this common mistake?

The Mayans based theirs off of other Meso-American calenders already in use,like the Aztec one above ^ ^ .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Or have I made a boo boo?

: )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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11/20/2012 08:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Trivia question: If the Mayans were so smart how come their civilization collapsed and they starved to death?



[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That is a pretty shite question!

The answer,if there is one would be - All Civilizations collapse as Nature is much,much larger than Man.

hf
Hugh M Eye

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11/20/2012 08:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 326 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Nov 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1611 N11W95 244 0030 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1612 N06W85 230 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1613 S24W58 204 0050 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1616 N19W14 160 0010 Bxo 03 03 Beta
1618 N08E14 132 0270 Ekc 13 29 Beta-Gamma
1619 N09W25 172 0150 Dso 08 13 Beta
1620 S08E59 087 0040 Cso 06 01 Beta

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe another Earth-directed CME? STEREO A leaves us hanging with this teeny-weeny image:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I see a Type IV halo (>270 degrees) here but CACTus calls it a Type II:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

AR1618 M 1.6 Flare-
:1120Mflare:

A Recent Snapshot (HMI) of AR1618-
:1618-11/21:
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


What?
 Quoting: shadasonic


As I said [link to upload.wikimedia.org] [link to en.wikipedia.org] I thought you'd know this common mistake?

The Mayans based theirs off of other Meso-American calenders already in use,like the Aztec one above ^ ^ .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Or have I made a boo boo?

: )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Little boo boo,but the Calendar is Aztec above : )

Mayans' predate the later Peoples,that was my boo boohf
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Trivia question: If the Mayans were so smart how come their civilization collapsed and they starved to death?


 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



they got pissed off with their leaders for lying to them over the years and trashed the shit out the place, including the micky d's?

the spanish came and ate everthing?

flood?

pestilence?

plague?

volcanic eruption should do the trick, quite an active area that patch

orrrrrrrrrr, an X FLARE!!!!!!!!!!!
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 326 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Nov 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1611 N11W95 244 0030 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1612 N06W85 230 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1613 S24W58 204 0050 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1616 N19W14 160 0010 Bxo 03 03 Beta
1618 N08E14 132 0270 Ekc 13 29 Beta-Gamma
1619 N09W25 172 0150 Dso 08 13 Beta
1620 S08E59 087 0040 Cso 06 01 Beta

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe another Earth-directed CME? STEREO A leaves us hanging with this teeny-weeny image:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I see a Type IV halo (>270 degrees) here but CACTus calls it a Type II:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

AR1618 M 1.6 Flare-
:1120Mflare:

A Recent Snapshot (HMI) of AR1618-
:1618-11/21:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Solen still have 1619 as Beat-Gamma?
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Obviously I meant 'Beta-Gamma' ^ ^ .
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Shada,come in Shada!

I'm tired - Is the Aztec Calendar the one you thought Mayan?
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 326 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Nov 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1611 N11W95 244 0030 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1612 N06W85 230 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1613 S24W58 204 0050 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1616 N19W14 160 0010 Bxo 03 03 Beta
1618 N08E14 132 0270 Ekc 13 29 Beta-Gamma
1619 N09W25 172 0150 Dso 08 13 Beta
1620 S08E59 087 0040 Cso 06 01 Beta

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe another Earth-directed CME? STEREO A leaves us hanging with this teeny-weeny image:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I see a Type IV halo (>270 degrees) here but CACTus calls it a Type II:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

AR1618 M 1.6 Flare-
:1120Mflare:

A Recent Snapshot (HMI) of AR1618-
:1618-11/21:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Your image of 1618 is morphing into the Batman logo,almost...or is that just me!?
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
mayans used 3 calendars

The Long Count
The Tzolkin
The Haab

have trouble remembering what day it is with one
shadasonic

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11/20/2012 08:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


What?
 Quoting: shadasonic


As I said [link to upload.wikimedia.org] [link to en.wikipedia.org] I thought you'd know this common mistake?

The Mayans based theirs off of other Meso-American calenders already in use,like the Aztec one above ^ ^ .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I see what you're saying, I didn't think about your implication as I took it for its literal voice,sorry SC its been a crazy day and had thought you were losing it like me,jeez I need to sleep good tonight.
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
optimum judgment

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11/20/2012 08:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 326 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Nov 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1611 N11W95 244 0030 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1612 N06W85 230 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1613 S24W58 204 0050 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1616 N19W14 160 0010 Bxo 03 03 Beta
1618 N08E14 132 0270 Ekc 13 29 Beta-Gamma
1619 N09W25 172 0150 Dso 08 13 Beta
1620 S08E59 087 0040 Cso 06 01 Beta

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe another Earth-directed CME? STEREO A leaves us hanging with this teeny-weeny image:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I see a Type IV halo (>270 degrees) here but CACTus calls it a Type II:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

AR1618 M 1.6 Flare-
:1120Mflare:

A Recent Snapshot (HMI) of AR1618-
:1618-11/21:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Your image of 1618 is morphing into the Batman logo,almost...or is that just me!?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14589973


nah its not you i see it too


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