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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 326 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Nov 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1611 N11W95 244 0030 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1612 N06W85 230 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1613 S24W58 204 0050 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1616 N19W14 160 0010 Bxo 03 03 Beta
1618 N08E14 132 0270 Ekc 13 29 Beta-Gamma
1619 N09W25 172 0150 Dso 08 13 Beta
1620 S08E59 087 0040 Cso 06 01 Beta

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe another Earth-directed CME? STEREO A leaves us hanging with this teeny-weeny image:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I see a Type IV halo (>270 degrees) here but CACTus calls it a Type II:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

AR1618 M 1.6 Flare-
:1120Mflare:

A Recent Snapshot (HMI) of AR1618-
:1618-11/21:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I agree with the Type III or IV rather than II,I made that observation earlier also - It is we who have this one correct,it appears Cactus may have made Two CME's from what I see as One event,what say ye Bro' Hugh?
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Side issue but is'nt the Calender everyone thinks Mayan is actually the Aztec Calendar!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


What?
 Quoting: shadasonic


As I said [link to upload.wikimedia.org] [link to en.wikipedia.org] I thought you'd know this common mistake?

The Mayans based theirs off of other Meso-American calenders already in use,like the Aztec one above ^ ^ .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I see what you're saying, I didn't think about your implication as I took it for its literal voice,sorry SC its been a crazy day and had thought you were losing it like me,jeez I need to sleep good tonight.
 Quoting: shadasonic


I am losing it a bit too Shads : P

Over-tired Bro'!

I was going to bed earlier(see above)but,arrgghhh - thoughts keep me restlesshf
SCizSLeePy
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11/20/2012 08:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 326 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Nov 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Nov
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1611 N11W95 244 0030 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1612 N06W85 230 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1613 S24W58 204 0050 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1616 N19W14 160 0010 Bxo 03 03 Beta
1618 N08E14 132 0270 Ekc 13 29 Beta-Gamma
1619 N09W25 172 0150 Dso 08 13 Beta
1620 S08E59 087 0040 Cso 06 01 Beta

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe another Earth-directed CME? STEREO A leaves us hanging with this teeny-weeny image:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I see a Type IV halo (>270 degrees) here but CACTus calls it a Type II:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

AR1618 M 1.6 Flare-
:1120Mflare:

A Recent Snapshot (HMI) of AR1618-
:1618-11/21:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Your image of 1618 is morphing into the Batman logo,almost...or is that just me!?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14589973


nah its not you i see it too
 Quoting: optimum judgment


Good,phew!

I am seeing this Logos a little to often of late -


[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yes...'Too Often'.

SCizSlEeepY : )
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 08:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yes...'Too Often'.

SCizSlEeepY : )
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14589973


.9999 Silver

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11/20/2012 09:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Shada,come in Shada!

I'm tired - Is the Aztec Calendar the one you thought Mayan?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14589973


Olmec first,
Maya next,
Aztec last and most recent...

280 day lunar,(edit... should have been 260 days, mixed up my lunar count)
360 day and,
and a 365 day solar, that came later...
every day over some 24,000 years has a unique name... and then a new cycle starts...

Olmec invented Zero holder,

there is no end of the world, just the transition to a new calender cycle. A new age...

the names of the cycles I can't remember.... which is which.
Just forgot...

Silver

Last Edited by .9999 Silver on 11/21/2012 12:19 AM
capitalist,facist,nazi,communist,
socialist,militarist,religi​ous nutbars...family nuked,gassed,or robbed by all of them. history never lies but but men who write it do.
take the man away you have the truth...
...grandpa stole first MIG17 in 52..
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 09:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have multiple CME's of differing sizes,as I have said many time Today [link to sdodata.oma.be] [link to sdodata.oma.be] Like I said earlier,I count at least 4 - how about you?

Oh,check out the speed of the North-Eastern Filament either migrating or dispersing [link to halpha.nso.edu] .
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 09:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
SCizSLeePy
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11/20/2012 09:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Shada,come in Shada!

I'm tired - Is the Aztec Calendar the one you thought Mayan?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14589973


Olmec first,
Maya next,
Aztec last and most recent...

280 day lunar,
360 day and,
and a 365 day solar, that came later...
every day over some 24,000 years has a unique name... and then a new cycle starts...

Olmec invented Zero holder,

there is no end of the world, just the transition to a new calender cycle. A new age...

the names of the cycles I can't remember.... which is which.
Just forgot...

Silver
 Quoting: .9999 Silver


This really is'nt my specialty at all but is this correct -

'Some systems started the count with 1 Imix', followed by 2 Ik', 3 Ak'b'al, etc. up to 13 B'en. The trecena day numbers then start again at 1 while the named-day sequence continues onwards, so the next days in the sequence are 1 Ix, 2 Men, 3 K'ib', 4 Kab'an, 5 Etz'nab', 6 Kawak, and 7 Ajaw. With all twenty named days used, these now began to repeat the cycle while the number sequence continues, so the next day after 7 Ajaw is 8 Imix'. The repetition of these interlocking 13- and 20-day cycles therefore takes 260 days to complete (that is, for every possible combination of number/named day to occur once)' [link to en.wikipedia.org] !?
ThankfulSC
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11/20/2012 09:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you so,so much for that Gnewz Luvlysunhf

That really has taken some worry away from my mind - I really have been concerned esp. what with 'That' date arriving and still no NiNzy.

Thank you profusely TS66,Praise be!

Luv to you all,I mean that.
shenue

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11/20/2012 09:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you 66.

And Good night all.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
SC'sHearts
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11/20/2012 09:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I need to go and smooch with my Serial Luver -


[link to www.youtube.com]
Tiny Trink

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11/20/2012 09:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you TS!

That is good news that she is ok. hf

Much Love,
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 09:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you TS!

That is good news that she is ok. hf

Much Love,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


The best Gnewz on Glp for a while in my opinion!

Really been worried,really : )

Hello and soon to be Guten nacht our Tink Tinkhugs
Anonymous Coward
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11/20/2012 09:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you 66.

And Good night all.
 Quoting: shenue


Guten Nacht Shenusleeping

That' twice you've slept since I!?
Tiny Trink

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11/20/2012 09:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you TS!

That is good news that she is ok. hf

Much Love,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


The best Gnewz on Glp for a while in my opinion!

Really been worried,really : )

Hello and soon to be Guten nacht our Tink Tinkhugs
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14589973


SC ~

Please go get some sleep. sleeping

We will need you and you must be in tip top shape.

Sleep well my dear friend. Big hugs to you!!

hf hugs

Much Love to you SC,
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
SC
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11/20/2012 09:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Far side CME [link to halpha.nso.edu] North-East over the limb - also of note is the dispersing Filament,I'm waiting to see if the backside CME helped destabilize that Filament.
SCizSLeePy
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11/20/2012 09:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI. As of today Nin says she's and is having a problem with her internet and she will be back as soon as she can wink
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you TS!

That is good news that she is ok. hf

Much Love,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


The best Gnewz on Glp for a while in my opinion!

Really been worried,really : )

Hello and soon to be Guten nacht our Tink Tinkhugs
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14589973


SC ~

Please go get some sleep. sleeping

We will need you and you must be in tip top shape.

Sleep well my dear friend. Big hugs to you!!

hf hugs

Much Love to you SC,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Yes,sorry,I shall nowhf

Thank you for the urge Tinkus Mimius Maximus : )
Isis One

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11/20/2012 09:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It appears that Filament has set off a cascade within 1613,1614,1618 and 1619 [link to sdodata.oma.be] you can notice a drastic change in their relative Temps. - Also 1613 looks ready to expel pretty soon [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] as does the area and Filament around 1614.

A nice climb in X-Rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] something is gonna' have to give!
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Two M's!!! Good forecasting SC
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Hugh M Eye

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11/20/2012 10:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


[link to www.youtube.com]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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11/20/2012 10:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


pennywise
Hugh M Eye

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11/20/2012 10:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Unsettled conditions continue...

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2031
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 21 0228 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2030
Valid From: 2012 Nov 20 1953 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Nov 21 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistance

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
shadasonic

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11/20/2012 10:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

We've got a filament above 1618 that looks to have lifted.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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11/20/2012 10:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

We've got a filament above 1618 that looks to have lifted.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Filament go "Bye Bye"
Isis One

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11/20/2012 11:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I may be wrong about the CME, it's hard to say as SOHO stopped updating at just the wrong time (as usual). There was obviously a CME from the M-flare as noted by CACTus-

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

This info will be updated later when we're allowed to see all the pertinent data. Here's the Solarsoft video of the M-flare (now corrected after they embarrassingly posted a vid of 1618 doing nothing much):

Close-up M-flare w/ejecta movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

I still believe there was a CME associated with the large channel eruption. The jury is still out until SOHO updates and we see the size and shape of the halo.

A front-side CME appears to be visible from STEREO Behind:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That close up M flare vid.....looks bigger than a low M to me, shheeez
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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11/20/2012 11:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I count 4 definite CME's [link to sdodata.oma.be] .



Hello by the way allsunhf

Edit:**** it,doesn't matter.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Thanks for posting SC


Just for new people, if you scroll down under the static image of the sun you will see where you can click the green arrow, that will start the movie, seems simple, but I remmeber looking at this for weeks before I released the play button was underneath, jeeezzz, lol
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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11/20/2012 11:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A cacophony of CME's - One on the Top-Left that me and Isis were discussing earlier that had already been going for around 7 Hours without separating from the Corona fully is still slowly flying away and the 1/2 earlier CME's that look like Type III/IV Halos and will be Geo-effective [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Wowwwza, you know when you look at the cactus image's vid, you really get to see soooooo much more stuff flowing off the sun constantly.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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11/20/2012 11:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
sunspots at 60 degress west longitude is the place to watch, according to NASA

proton storm can arrive in 30 minutes if originating from 60deg west long


A New Kind of Solar Storm (well, 2005)

[link to science.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28094061


Excellent article AC, thanks very much, seems weird to call them explosions, to me should be a plasma discharge event, the whole "new kind of solar storm" ideas gives credence to the electric universe model. Also, field "lines" don't actually exist, as is there is no actual line, so to me its like a torus type wormhole exists like a subway tunnel and the plasma shoots through.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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11/20/2012 11:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A cacophony of CME's - One on the Top-Left that me and Isis were discussing earlier that had already been going for around 7 Hours without separating from the Corona fully is still slowly flying away and the 1/2 earlier CME's that look like Type III/IV Halos and will be Geo-effective [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The CME I mentioned that Isis and I were discussing that was/is super slow can be seen here [link to www.sidc.oma.be] at 11 on the Dial and beginning at 11:00(though it began even earlier and took forever to leave)here it is again,still not really moving [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and still [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and [link to www.sidc.oma.be] and slowly begins to 'let go' [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Basically,a very slow,long,strange event.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I'm telling you, thats how you get a new prototype planetary body, one's about to be birthed any day now
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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11/20/2012 11:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Trivia question: If the Mayans were so smart how come their civilization collapsed and they starved to death?



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


They ascended and left their physical body behind, this time we will keep our body with us.......well, you asked, lol
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested


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