SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

It's not loke him to be away so long. Do you know his utube address?

Good idea Old Guard ... I'll look around for it.

[link to www.youtube.com]

Would that be his email address too ??

I'm not seeing any recent activity.

we got a climber

[link to www.solarham.net]

already at M class

M 3.5

Nice Catch AC!

Much Love,

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[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

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What was the source of the m3.5?

1618 is my suspect

climbing again or just chillin there?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

edit: nevermind, just curious obervations :)

Last Edited by Abitosz on 11/21/2012 11:59 AM

The C1.7 was 1614 and the M3.5 was 1618


Here's the updated SEEDs movie

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]


[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Here's the link if you want to check in the future (and they have updated it ! lol).

Let it load then scroll to the bottom. CMEs are in chronological order, most recent on the bottom

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Looks like some part of the curly Q filament might have also come off with that one.1618 fires any more like that and we may have one big chunk of plasma headed our way(filament and all)

We've got type II and IV radio emissions with the M 3.5, should have some ejecta coming our way!

Earlier that filament looked like a heart with 1618 beating inside .... at least on 304

Sending us some solar love

We really need to watch 1618 to see if it compiles anything larger coming in behind these two , three , or four CMEs we got coming our way. Hard to figure out exactly whats coming with the shitty data we've been given.

Personally, I think there's a potential of at least 11 CMEs coming in, regardless of CME size from 1618s flares for just the last two days.

Everyone of them contain some amount of energy just for the fact there were all originally an explosion. Collectively ????

Something to watch for sure.

You're exactly right, wasn't thinking of small filaments and Cs, hope old mags is feeling better, its going to get some exercise

.... and as Hugh said ... they are all (painfully) slow moving. lol

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Another Radio burst with that M flare

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 569
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 21 1722 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Nov 21 1521 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Nov 21 1523 UTC
End Time: 2012 Nov 21 1559 UTC
Duration: 38 minutes
Peak Flux: 200 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 141 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

And type 2 and 4 radio emissions reported.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soooo cool, thank you so much, I had to go to bed, sorry in the late getting back, thanks again!!!

No prob SC, and my jeeez was toward my own newbieness, bit didn't know about the click thing either, so thanks

Great point TS and then if a pretty good sixe X comes behind them we could have an unprecedented type event, all good, no fear, but soemthing unique.

No proton storm (yet), so I don't think we'll get too much to handle. Definitely a straight-on CME from that M3.5 flare. I could see it in the SDO movies and the GONG movies coming straight at us. Naturally, STEREO and SOHO go into hibernation mode. I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that this one's fast enough to catch the others. I believe we'll see another CME Cannibal event like the one which gave us the G2 storm a couple of weeks ago.

Solarsoft movie of M3.5 flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

ACE 3-Day EPAM plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

We may see even bigger flares from 1618 which is directly facing Earth for a few more days.

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 11/21/2012 03:42 PM

Possibly geoeffective CME showing on Stereo A [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Dr. Strong's gonna have to work harder to keep up, haha.



[link to www.youtube.com]

Your eyes aren't screwing with you, I see the same thing and have for a while now. It completely amazes me and I don't understand what it means... I am a rational, logical person and any effort I've made to counter-check myself to disprove it as psychological pattern adherence/psychosomatic have failed. Often the detail and movement is staggering.

Nice catch, I have no doubt it will be geoeffective.

AR1618 is one ugly sunspot!

:1618ugly:

Latest Magnetogram...wow-

:1618HMIBC:

Today's CME from M3.5 flare-

:11/21CME:

hey everyone
just got my net back
missed you all and now lots to catch up on

Hail to the Queen. Glad to see ya.

Hello my friend! We miss you so much!!!

Welcome back we have missed you! Just in time for some sun action and Happy Thanks giving.