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SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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11/23/2012 11:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 11/23/12 at 1556utc/1056est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

:EastofFrance:
Image courtesy of Travis Bicker
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Love the graphic El Q. I could never visualize what areas your were referring to before .

Very nice hf
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/23/2012 11:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
good morning everyone :)
good work on that southern filament
it ejected a bit south, but looks like at least some of it is headed our way

no signs of any CME arrival just yet
ACE solar conditions remain steady with solar wind speeds at 314.0 Km/sec and Density at 1.7
Anonymous Coward
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11/23/2012 11:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Great work catching this, TS. This could be the biggest CME coming our way in a few days....drip, drip, drip,....

Earth is to the left in this pic-
:11/23CME:

Two nice CMEs today. One Earth-directed and the other far-side. Here's the movies from STEREO-

Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

A giant filament in the south produced a long Hyder flare as it lifted off.

Not sure if this is the new cone model or an older one (it looks new to me):

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

explosionahhhabomb
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


All credit goes to Cesium ...
Anonymous Coward
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11/23/2012 11:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
hi Nin
shenue

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11/23/2012 11:31 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Just saw this video, and I have to be honest, it brought tears to my eyes.

Greed personified.



Supposed to be a glorious day today in the NE, I think I'll go get me some.

Have a wonderful day all hf
 Quoting: TS66


Shameful and a very sad commentary on human greed. What is wrong with people??
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Luisport

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11/23/2012 02:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
we have a c flare starting... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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11/23/2012 02:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
we have a c flare starting... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


just a c flare for now...
Luisport

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11/23/2012 02:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
we have a c flare starting... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


just a c flare for now...
 Quoting: Luisport


it seams it's comming to life again... banana2
Isis One

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11/23/2012 02:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Gamma Ray Burst today, wonder if it will 'boost' the CME storm...

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
finley

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11/23/2012 03:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Hi everyone, Nin, sc, Isis, Hugh, and shenu, and all the rest. Woke up with headache and thought we must be having some kinda cme. Maybe it was all the turkey.

I hope all had a good thanksgiving.

Love to all.hf
Spittin'Cesium

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11/23/2012 03:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Just saw this video, and I have to be honest, it brought tears to my eyes.

Greed personified.



Supposed to be a glorious day today in the NE, I think I'll go get me some.

Have a wonderful day all hf
 Quoting: TS66


Hoo.k.

So,I just got back in,I am about to go through the other comments but first just had to say something about that ^ ^ Ffs.

A disgusting display,really,really disgusting - Why does this happen in the US!?

Is it simply a rues that is encouraged by the Stock Market to make Americans and America appear to their debtor Nations(China)like willing lambs to the slaughter to the point that such Nations are pacified enough by the potential earnings that they continue for another Year to loan the US more Money to buy more of their products whilst such Nations simply sit and wait out for the point when all others have 'had enough' before pulling the plug/lifeline/umbilical noose they have allowed America to wrap around its' own neck whilst their downfall is plotted in backrooms and Chinese Democracy can be totally and completely implemented!?

Maybe.

But anyways' - Back to things at hand,I'll see what else I need to catch up on nowsunhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez
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11/23/2012 03:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
we have a c flare starting... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


just a c flare for now...
 Quoting: Luisport


it seams it's comming to life again... banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


it sure does
here is the latest image on SDO where we can see 1618 coming back to life
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
shadasonic

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11/23/2012 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

1618 sure looks energetic enough, maybe it is waiting for that 60 degree line. A big event on the coat tails of what we've got coming in and who knows.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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11/23/2012 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
we have a c flare starting... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


just a c flare for now...
 Quoting: Luisport


it seams it's comming to life again... banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


it sure does
here is the latest image on SDO where we can see 1618 coming back to life
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


Yes,indeedly that was 1618 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] though the beast in the North-East [link to sdodata.oma.be] also looks to be getting ripe and ready : )

Thank goodness you are OK NiNz,I was starting to think that something beyond simple connection problems may have occurred and had a little freak-out a few Days back(hence silly PMwinkLol)but 66 assured me that you had been heard from and all was good,so all is goodhf

Cool,cool.

I'm going to do some hunting,catch you in a bitpenguin
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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11/23/2012 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

1618 sure looks energetic enough, maybe it is waiting for that 60 degree line. A big event on the coat tails of what we've got coming in and who knows.
 Quoting: shadasonic


You beat me to it Nin. The flux has that look like its mustering up for a release.

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 11/23/2012 03:31 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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11/23/2012 03:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

1618 sure looks energetic enough, maybe it is waiting for that 60 degree line. A big event on the coat tails of what we've got coming in and who knows.
 Quoting: shadasonic


You beat me to it Nin. The flux has that look like its mustering up for a release.

Shields going up,something getting close


[link to www.n3kl.org]
 Quoting: shadasonic


I think the jagged pattern is due to the Arcing from the region cresting the North-East with a bit of 1618 thrown in for good measure - The Arcing [link to sdodata.oma.be] she's looking ready : )

.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
madajs

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11/23/2012 03:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
We've got a triple play currently exhibiting on the cygnet enlil model [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

One of the three CMEs is earth directed. I have completely lost count of how many CMEs have been flung at earth in the last 10 days!

Edit: And of course, we're all looking for the beginning of the weekend incoming tangled up mass of CMEs expected to begin any hour now.

Last Edited by madajs on 11/23/2012 03:49 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
shadasonic

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11/23/2012 03:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
[link to www.youtube.com]
can't embed today

The drama of Dr. Strong. I thought he was losing it until the end.lol

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 11/23/2012 03:52 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
sounds

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11/23/2012 04:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Hi everyone here is a clip of the northern lights; I thought you guys would like to see it.



peace
Political correctness without wisdom, is just Political nonsense.
sounds

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11/23/2012 04:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
[link to www.youtube.com]
can't embed today

The drama of Dr. Strong. I thought he was losing it until the end.lol
 Quoting: shadasonic




hf
Political correctness without wisdom, is just Political nonsense.
SCizE?
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11/23/2012 04:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
I still can't get over the crazy character of the CME that instead of *blasting* out like other CME's squirts out at a very rapid velocity(not measured in this diagnostic) [link to www.sidc.oma.be] <--- North-East,not that I need to tell you that as I described the squirting CME already.

Pretty incredible,to me at least...I wonder what caused it to eject in such a manner!?
SCizMe
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11/23/2012 04:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
[link to www.youtube.com]
can't embed today

The drama of Dr. Strong. I thought he was losing it until the end.lol
 Quoting: shadasonic




hf
 Quoting: sounds


I get very annoyed with Keith quite often,he is very,very boneheaded when it comes to any finding not found by him or his friends or discovered after 1986 - Such as the recent blow dealt by the 100 factor less in Solar Convection rates that leaves the older theoretical Solar Dynamics at a bit of a odd end,not that Dr.Keith agrees at all and has actually dismissed this finding out of hand because 'I know the folks who made the first measurements' as he told me : )

I do like the Dr. but when we talk it always feels like a pissing contest on his behalf rather than a forward moving discussion,but hey,nevermind.

Snipped from a Post Doctorate of the Max Planck Institute,Germany -

Snipped -

'These new findings based on SDO imagery, if verified, would upend our understanding of how heat is transported outwards by the Sun and challenges existing explanations of the formation of sunspots, the magnetic field generation of the sun, not to mention the concept of convective mixing of light and heavy elements in the solar atmosphere. 'However, our results (PDF) suggest that convective motions in the Sun are nearly 100 times smaller than these current theoretical expectations,' continued Hanasoge, also a postdoctoral fellow at the Max Plank Institute in Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany. 'These motions are indeed that slow in the Sun, then the most widely accepted theory concerning the generation of solar magnetic field is broken, leaving us with no compelling theory to explain its generation of magnetic fields and the need to overhaul our understanding of the physics of the Sun's interior' [link to science.slashdot.org] .

Here is the PDF if anyone else would like to take a read [link to arxiv.org] personally(obviously)this leaves a lot open for debate and allows for the many other Physicists Solar Dynamic Theories a space to be aired,should the peer reviewers allow such blasphemies the room that is.

Got to pop out quickly,X.
SCizMe
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11/23/2012 04:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Oh,One last thing first [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] we have arrival!

Solarbump
Luisport

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11/23/2012 04:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Oh,One last thing first [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] we have arrival!

Solarbump
 Quoting: SCizMe 14589973


Yes we have! [link to www.n3kl.org]
NiNzrez
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11/23/2012 05:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
...


just a c flare for now...
 Quoting: Luisport


it seams it's comming to life again... banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


it sure does
here is the latest image on SDO where we can see 1618 coming back to life
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


Yes,indeedly that was 1618 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] though the beast in the North-East [link to sdodata.oma.be] also looks to be getting ripe and ready : )

Thank goodness you are OK NiNz,I was starting to think that something beyond simple connection problems may have occurred and had a little freak-out a few Days back(hence silly PMwinkLol)but 66 assured me that you had been heard from and all was good,so all is goodhf

Cool,cool.

I'm going to do some hunting,catch you in a bitpenguin
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


all is well my friend :)
hf
madajs

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11/23/2012 05:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
===============
Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD
Serial Number: 164
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 23 2201 UTC

SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2012 Nov 23 2156 UTC
Deviation: 25 nT
Station: BOU

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales
===============

It begins.

popcorn


EDIT: Bt jumped up to nearly 20 nT, Bz nearly -10 nT [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by madajs on 11/23/2012 05:15 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/23/2012 05:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Ace Solar Conditions
at 20:59 Nov 23
Solar Wind Speed: 318.6
Density: 2.1
Bz (direction): -4.9

CME shows arrival @ ACE at 21:13 when solar conditions jumped to-

Ace Solar Conditions
at 21:13 Nov 23
Solar Wind Speed: 388.9
Density: 12.0
Bz (direction): -8.7

as of right now conditions are-

Ace Solar Conditions
at 22:04 Nov 23
Solar Wind Speed: 402.5
Density: 16.9
Bz (direction): -6.9

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


low energy protons:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

low energy electrons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

speed/temp/density
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES electrons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES magnetometer
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 11/23/2012 05:15 PM
Isis One

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11/23/2012 05:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
I still can't get over the crazy character of the CME that instead of *blasting* out like other CME's squirts out at a very rapid velocity(not measured in this diagnostic) [link to www.sidc.oma.be] <--- North-East,not that I need to tell you that as I described the squirting CME already.

Pretty incredible,to me at least...I wonder what caused it to eject in such a manner!?
 Quoting: SCizE? 14589973


SC, I don't claim to understand the mechanics of plasma discharge events but this looks like it could qualify, meaning I look to electric model vs. thermonuclear to understand something like this. (This is my amateur analysis).

PS, loved yours and TS's analysis from earlier today. Awesome work guys.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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11/23/2012 05:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Nice little graph shows the arrival too. Bz is south too so we should see penetration of the magnetopshere correct?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Anonymous Coward
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11/23/2012 05:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
I still can't get over the crazy character of the CME that instead of *blasting* out like other CME's squirts out at a very rapid velocity(not measured in this diagnostic) [link to www.sidc.oma.be] <--- North-East,not that I need to tell you that as I described the squirting CME already.

Pretty incredible,to me at least...I wonder what caused it to eject in such a manner!?
 Quoting: SCizE? 14589973


SC, I don't claim to understand the mechanics of plasma discharge events but this looks like it could qualify, meaning I look to electric model vs. thermonuclear to understand something like this. (This is my amateur analysis).

PS, loved yours and TS's analysis from earlier today. Awesome work guys.
 Quoting: Isis One


ooh, you heretic, you can't contradict the nuclear fusion theory!!!

it upsets some people

blinkin 'eck


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