SOLAR WATCH * 248 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

i have been cuising around here for a year or more and heard this sooooo many times....

but right now i am sitting here in the same place i do every afternoon in east texas watching the sun set outside of work here, and it is incredibly bright to me...

and i shit you not, i have NEVER said that before...

who knows, maybe my eyes are just sensitive right now

how long till this one is "in range" 52/41 %

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

Last Edited by Boceph on 12/18/2012 06:08 PM

Around this October Sun suddenly turns brighter.
It's just my observation.
But anyone else is claiming the same thing.

I guess that the Sun is now emitting more gamma rays which makes it look brighter and surrounding environment lit oddly.
This might be the effect of what is so called photon belt if not Nibiru.

Aaaaahhh, 'link is broken' .. they are all saying this, wth will I do without my glp links??

What is it? I can't see!

Link works for me.

possible, tho, i nuticed this effect a lil futher back this summer. its seems consistanly brighter tho...another reason to trail the fuck outa the sky i suppose. its almost like im mpermenatly under a sativas spell...

its the green lantern

Here you go

:121812:

I have no idea what that might be...
Thanks for posting :)

Solar cataclysm...

[link to www.theverge.com]

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

Interesting

Thread: ALERT! Real time solar forecasting system used by NASA had predicted 41% chance of an X-flare of 1635 that just became visible, just downgraded.

Space Weather Research already predicting 1635 @ 41% X and 52% M

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]



Last Edited by TS66 on 12/18/2012 07:38 PM

I guess you mixed them, its 52% M and 41% X.



Still...

Yeah did, just fixed it, sorry

Haven't seen that % chance of a X flare heading Earth in a while..

anyone know if this thing is going to be earth facing?

looks like it, and around the 21/22st Dec.

edit: to be in the center of the disk.. a flare now would already have the chance to affect us I believe..

Last Edited by 1908247 on 12/18/2012 07:44 PM

Ooops, maybe my bad. I just saw that the spot with higher chances of an X flare is actually the 01

Yes, 1635 (just numbered by NOAA), but still in range a week +

Why is it still light out in Cali at 5:30 p.m

SC also caught it on Halpha today,which is quite a catch.

Howdy, Boceph, nice to see you again. Although anecdotal claims abound, the Sun is not getting brighter (see contadictory addendum below). I think there's lots of reasons for this perception; not the least of which is the fact that we humans spend much less time outdoors and more time staring at computer screens these days. Also, during the Northern hemisphere winter months the sun is much lower in the sky, shining more at eye-level than directly overhead as in summertime. Today's UV Index was very low throughout most of the continental US (high UV in Miami, Puerto Rico and Hawaii)-

[link to www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov]

However Earth is getting closer to the sun now. Not to worry, it happens every year. Earth's perihelion is on January 2, 2013, but as Earth's orbit is very circular we're only a slight bit closer than aphelion in July.
[link to aa.usno.navy.mil]

2013 2013
Perihelion Jan 2 05 Equinoxes Mar 20 11 02 Sept 22 20 44
Aphelion July 5 15 Solstices June 21 05 04 Dec 21 17 11


TOTAL SOLAR IRRADIANCE-

Here's a plot from several satellites measuring Total Solar Irradiance (that includes visible and invisible wavelengths)-
[link to www.acrim.com]

For further study, here's NOAA's data access page on irradiance;

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]

This is a good time to get as much sunshine as you can! Vitamin D levels tend to drop in wintertime and weakens your immune system.


Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 12/18/2012 10:15 PM

Contradictory Addendum: Actually, the sun IS getting brighter, but only slightly so as a normal solar max increases the sun's energy output by around 0.1%. And as you can see by the ACRIM plot in the above post, the Total Solar Irradiance now is much less than in 2000-2002. There are also short-term oscillations in solar brilliance making TSI a study in the variations.

Strangely enough, sunspots measurably REDUCE the sun's luminosity. Here's some fascinating research I came across-

Variations in the solar irradiance are at a level that can be detected by ground-based astronomical measurements of light. Such variations have been found to be about 0.1% of the average solar irradiance. Variations in solar irradiance have been attributed to the following solar phenomena: oscillations, granulation, sunspots, faculae, and solar cycle.
Sunspots give rise to variations that may last for several days, and sometimes as long as 200 days. Solar irradiance measurements have also shown that the presence of large groups of sunspots on the Sun's surface produce dips ranging in amplitude from 0.1-0.25% of the solar constant. This reduction in the total solar irradiance has been attributed both to the presence of these sunspots and to the temporary storage of solar energy over times longer than the sunspot's lifetime. Another key observation has been that the largest decreases in total solar irradiance frequently coincide with the formation of newly formed active regions associated with large sunspots, or with rapidly evolving, complex sunspots. Solar luminosity has been found to achieve a maximum value at the very time that sunspot activity is highest during the 11-year sunspot cycle.

Read more: Total Solar Irradiance - Global warming, Measuring solar irradiance - Sun, Radiation, Variations, and Measurements - JRank Articles [link to science.jrank.org]

Sound contradictory? Sunspot formation decreases the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI), yet solar luminosity reaches peak levels when sunspot activity is highest. Wow, the Sun sure is a mysterious enigma to me still....

So, in conclusion, you are correct, Sir, the Sun IS getting brighter (slightly) as part of its natural cycle.


Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 12/18/2012 10:36 PM

Good night all.

That's some good shit right there. You're like a top NASA shill.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 12/18/2012 10:37 PM

Yes Nerd....missing all the pictures!! :)

He's the exact opposite,if you would know his insight you'd relize he often disagrees with them and points out info sometimes well ahead of 'those guys'. He believes what he states and most times is dead on.

most boring solar max EVER.