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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28232082
United States
12/23/2012 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:122212:

What do you think ?
 Quoting: TS66


IDK, but you may be on to something there. I've been watching the leading edge mostly.

The C 1.5 flare just now appears to be from 1635 again...round and round we go.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

-------------------------------------------------------------​-
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2012 Dec 23 0030 UTC

# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels due C-class activity from Regions 1635
(N10E22) and 1633 (S05W27). At 22/0405 UTC, Region 1635 produced a
C1/Sf event while Region 1633 produced C1 events at 22/1732, 2047, and
2220 UTC. Several B-class events were also observed from
these two regions during the last 24 hours. Region 1634 (S12W25)
evolved from an H-type to a C-type group during the period.
No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to be low for the next three days (23 - 25
December).
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here's the SS Classification code for those of you scoring at home:

[link to sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Expect the geophysical conditions to be unsettled for today and tomorrow. we will see fluctuations in the solar winds, protons and the magnetic field.
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for days one and two (23 - 24 December) due to effects from a co-rotating interaction region and coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Quiet conditions are expected to return on day three (25 December) as CH HSS effects wane.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs) form as a consequence of the compression of the solar wind at the interface between fast speed streams and slow streams. Dynamic interaction of solar wind streams is a general feature of the heliospheric medium; when the sources of the solar wind streams are relatively stable, the interaction regions form a pattern which corotates with the Sun
[link to deepblue.lib.umich.edu]

Co-rotating Interaction Regions: interactions between fast and slow streams
[link to www.physics.usyd.edu.au]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Future Meteorologist"

User ID: 1497928
United States
12/23/2012 03:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This was posted in another thread...

Thread: Moon through my telescope..UPDATE...my first GLP thread from a year ago..the good old days! Thanks!

I'm not sure what this is, but it don't look natural to me. Could be trick of the shadows and light, but I see a giant antenna or something. Weird.



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That definitely does not look natural. Great footage.
Thanks for sharing! :)
 Quoting: Kael


I'm pretty sure it is just shadow art. I will get a better eyepiece for my telescope and check that area once our weather decides to clear up.
Luisport

User ID: 30722261
Portugal
12/23/2012 03:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
By the way:
Never seen this before... [link to www.haarpstatus.com] huge red area... from my experience it is almost always related to extreme weather
 Quoting: Veresanctus


M6 - M9 - Significant change is expected. Anything over M7 is rare and special attention must be directed when readings go seven and higher. Severe storms are associated with this reading, which if a short spike can be a nearby event and a long duration and slow build being a large scale change.
Geeezzzzzzzz this is very very bad!!!
 Quoting: Luisport


Also consider this, cold weather has been known to release tectonic/fault pressure and allow movement.
 Quoting: Veresanctus
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 24287942
United States
12/23/2012 03:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A chunk of filament just lifted off north of 1635.

H-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 24287942
United States
12/23/2012 04:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:122212:

What do you think ?
 Quoting: TS66


IDK, but you may be on to something there. I've been watching the leading edge mostly.

The C 1.5 flare just now appears to be from 1635 again...round and round we go.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

-------------------------------------------------------------​-
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2012 Dec 23 0030 UTC

# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels due C-class activity from Regions 1635
(N10E22) and 1633 (S05W27). At 22/0405 UTC, Region 1635 produced a
C1/Sf event while Region 1633 produced C1 events at 22/1732, 2047, and
2220 UTC. Several B-class events were also observed from
these two regions during the last 24 hours. Region 1634 (S12W25)
evolved from an H-type to a C-type group during the period.
No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to be low for the next three days (23 - 25
December).
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here's the SS Classification code for those of you scoring at home:

[link to sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Expect the geophysical conditions to be unsettled for today and tomorrow. we will see fluctuations in the solar winds, protons and the magnetic field.
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for days one and two (23 - 24 December) due to effects from a co-rotating interaction region and coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Quiet conditions are expected to return on day three (25 December) as CH HSS effects wane.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs) form as a consequence of the compression of the solar wind at the interface between fast speed streams and slow streams. Dynamic interaction of solar wind streams is a general feature of the heliospheric medium; when the sources of the solar wind streams are relatively stable, the interaction regions form a pattern which corotates with the Sun
[link to deepblue.lib.umich.edu]

Co-rotating Interaction Regions: interactions between fast and slow streams
[link to www.physics.usyd.edu.au]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28232082


A recent post on ACE News related to CIRs-

Corotating interaction regions (CIRs) form when a stream of fast solar wind overtakes a parcel of slow wind that was emitted from the Sun at an earlier time. This interaction creates a compression region that corotates with the Sun and can strengthen to form shocks that accelerate particles. CIRs are the primary producer of the tens of keV/n to several MeV/n particles measured at 1 AU during periods of low solar activity.

[link to www.srl.caltech.edu]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 30537107
United States
12/23/2012 04:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Came home to some

spock
Luisport

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12/23/2012 04:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My friends the polar vortex collapse is predicted to the first 10 days of January.. anyone can tell what can happen with this big event? Thank you so much!
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Future Meteorologist"

User ID: 1426914
United States
12/23/2012 04:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My friends the polar vortex collapse is predicted to the first 10 days of January.. anyone can tell what can happen with this big event? Thank you so much!
 Quoting: Luisport


spock
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 30298283
Germany
12/23/2012 04:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to theweathercentre.blogspot.de]
Luisport

User ID: 30722261
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12/23/2012 04:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My friends the polar vortex collapse is predicted to the first 10 days of January.. anyone can tell what can happen with this big event? Thank you so much!
 Quoting: Luisport


spock
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


stormy
Cumulonimbus
Mensagens: 4,166 There for the first 8-10 days of January the models are in agreement with an episode of disintegration of the polar vortex, inducing an AO - it is possible that in January, especially after the first week, one month is very active and variable, with several episodes of various types of weather. [link to www.meteopt.com]
Luisport

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12/23/2012 04:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30298283


Thank you so so much!!!hf
Luisport

User ID: 30722261
Portugal
12/23/2012 04:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My friends the polar vortex collapse is predicted to the first 10 days of January.. anyone can tell what can happen with this big event? Thank you so much!
 Quoting: Luisport


spock
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


stormy
Cumulonimbus
Mensagens: 4,166 There for the first 8-10 days of January the models are in agreement with an episode of disintegration of the polar vortex, inducing an AO - it is possible that in January, especially after the first week, one month is very active and variable, with several episodes of various types of weather. [link to www.meteopt.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Thread: 2013 Polar Vortex Collapsing; Complete Disintegration Possible!!! US, North Europe, Midle East Hit!!!
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Future Meteorologist"

User ID: 30078013
United States
12/23/2012 04:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My friends the polar vortex collapse is predicted to the first 10 days of January.. anyone can tell what can happen with this big event? Thank you so much!
 Quoting: Luisport


spock
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


stormy
Cumulonimbus
Mensagens: 4,166 There for the first 8-10 days of January the models are in agreement with an episode of disintegration of the polar vortex, inducing an AO - it is possible that in January, especially after the first week, one month is very active and variable, with several episodes of various types of weather. [link to www.meteopt.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Thread: 2013 Polar Vortex Collapsing; Complete Disintegration Possible!!! US, North Europe, Midle East Hit!!!
 Quoting: Luisport


Holy Carpglp uncle
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Future Meteorologist"

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12/23/2012 04:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok. I just got 2 red karma points for saying my opinion about that moon video that was posted. Well then if that's the case. I have no reason to come to this thread anymore. It seems like everybody thinks I'm a shill. Well good luck everyone.
Anonymous Coward
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12/23/2012 05:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok. I just got 2 red karma points for saying my opinion about that moon video that was posted. Well then if that's the case. I have no reason to come to this thread anymore. It seems like everybody thinks I'm a shill. Well good luck everyone.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Honey there are some nasty lurkers here. It has nothing to do with the regulars.

It looks like divide and conquer is their plan, don't even acknowledge them hf

( I just got one from being negative, obviously I got hit by the other 2 last night wink it's all good)
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
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12/23/2012 05:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok. I just got 2 red karma points for saying my opinion about that moon video that was posted. Well then if that's the case. I have no reason to come to this thread anymore. It seems like everybody thinks I'm a shill. Well good luck everyone.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Honey there are some nasty lurkers here. It has nothing to do with the regulars.

It looks like divide and conquer is their plan, don't even acknowledge them hf

( I just got one from being negative, obviously I got hit by the other 2 last night wink it's all good)
 Quoting: TS66


exactly, dont let any red karam get to you like that please :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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12/23/2012 05:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm trying to figure out this polar vortex collapse without using Space Weather, could someone give me their best theory ???
Gabriel

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12/23/2012 05:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm trying to figure out this polar vortex collapse without using Space Weather, could someone give me their best theory ???
 Quoting: TS66


The very cold air kept in place gets squeezed out by high pressure... it evacuates in the direction of North America causing a short period of very cold weather... bad part is, it leaves the pole warmer at a time of year it needs to refreeze... expect high sea levels to continue and get worse at a fast pace.
NiNzrez (OP)

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12/23/2012 05:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm trying to figure out this polar vortex collapse without using Space Weather, could someone give me their best theory ???
 Quoting: TS66


Arctic Report Card
December 10th, 2012
[link to earthobservatory.nasa.gov]

is it possible there is now a larger ozone hole opening in the north as there is in the south?
[link to earthobservatory.nasa.gov]

Record Ozone Loss Over the North Pole
Apr. 8, 2011
[link to www.sciencedaily.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
12/23/2012 06:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 12/23/12 at 1445utc/0945est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity on this line of trajectory should be wary next 6 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area. Be wary.


RDF Trajectory;

EastofFrance


Hey Nin, I know I post these on here randomly. Do you mind?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


i dont mind :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Future Meteorologist"

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12/23/2012 07:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yeah ok. Thanks for caringhf
SCisKnAckERed
User ID: 14589973
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12/23/2012 07:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Running through with Luv to you allsunhf
Hugh M Eye

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12/23/2012 09:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Oops...

Thread: Patrick Geryl Deletes All His Videos on His Website

[link to www.howtosurvive2012.com]


cool2burnit
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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12/23/2012 09:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello Peeps,just a quick postsunhf

Remember the extreme Northern Active Region I pointed out not long back,it's still there on the Farside but appears to be even more extreme Latitude than before it rotated of the disc [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and the Rotated EUVI [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and the Heliographic [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

Awesome.

Catch you later Luvlies : )

.
 Quoting: SCjust quickly 14589973


Yes, I remember, as it was striking, so to know it is that far up and still active is way cool.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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12/23/2012 09:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning sun family
Kool Sun
 Quoting: shenue


Hi shenue, LOVE the new smillie!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
12/23/2012 09:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CIR's
does this happen often?

[link to www.physics.usyd.edu.au]

Co-rotating Interaction Regions: interactions between fast and slow streams

this is going to happen and effect earth 12/24

[link to spaceweather.com]

CHANCE OF STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 10% to 20% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Dec. 24th in response to a CIR or "corotating interaction region." A CIR is a boundary between fast- and slow-moving streams in the solar wind. Crossing a CIR, as Earth will do on Christmas Eve, can spark magnetic storms and auroras


they are also talking about the activity happening on the far side of late and how it just might stay active as it comes around to face us here on earth.

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

though i think it will fizzle like they have in the past.
 Quoting: psyoptics


Was going to post this spaceweather.com link as well....CIRs, very interesting, could explain other anomalous solar storms we've seen with no discernable solar flare or coronal hole
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
12/23/2012 09:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30298283


Very interesting explanation of Luis's concern, thanks Germany, GLP minds rock!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
12/23/2012 09:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok. I just got 2 red karma points for saying my opinion about that moon video that was posted. Well then if that's the case. I have no reason to come to this thread anymore. It seems like everybody thinks I'm a shill. Well good luck everyone.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Honey there are some nasty lurkers here. It has nothing to do with the regulars.

It looks like divide and conquer is their plan, don't even acknowledge them hf

( I just got one from being negative, obviously I got hit by the other 2 last night wink it's all good)
 Quoting: TS66


Did you notice your really really bad one is gone? A little xmas present for ya!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
12/23/2012 09:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm trying to figure out this polar vortex collapse without using Space Weather, could someone give me their best theory ???
 Quoting: TS66


The very cold air kept in place gets squeezed out by high pressure... it evacuates in the direction of North America causing a short period of very cold weather... bad part is, it leaves the pole warmer at a time of year it needs to refreeze... expect high sea levels to continue and get worse at a fast pace.
 Quoting: Gabriel


Thanks GAbe!!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
12/23/2012 09:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm trying to figure out this polar vortex collapse without using Space Weather, could someone give me their best theory ???
 Quoting: TS66


Arctic Report Card
December 10th, 2012
[link to earthobservatory.nasa.gov]

is it possible there is now a larger ozone hole opening in the north as there is in the south?
[link to earthobservatory.nasa.gov]

Record Ozone Loss Over the North Pole
Apr. 8, 2011
[link to www.sciencedaily.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Also, very good info, Nin, your thread is rocking magical today....I just got up an hour ago, slept 18 blissful hours.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

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