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SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) | |
imjustsayin User ID: 29378309  United States12/25/2012 09:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| TS66 User ID: 30537107 United States12/25/2012 09:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SDO close-up movie of C4.1 flare: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] Several more filaments in the southern hemisphere are loosening: [link to halpha.nso.edu] This guy's pretty active too ... Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it ~ Andre Gide |
| shenue User ID: 5263313 United States12/25/2012 09:47 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Merry Christmas!!!! :smilie santa a.m: :Hugs Holiday smi: Last Edited by shenue on 12/25/2012 10:03 AM Watch your thoughts, they become your words. Watch your words, they become your actions. Watch your actions, they become your habits. Watch your habits, they become your character. Watch your character, it becomes your destiny. |
| ChiaPet User ID: 29519100 United States12/25/2012 11:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wishing all the sun folk a very Merry Christmas. I plan to bundle up and stay warm. It is downright cold and windy here in the Arizona desert. ~ Matthew 7:16. Ye shall know them by their fruits. Do men gather grapes of thorns or figs of thistles? ~ Don't worry, be Hopi. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States12/25/2012 12:12 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Blast From Christmas Past- Last Christmas we had a giant filament eruption, an Earth-directed CME, and an M4 flare followed by an M2. What a difference a year makes. Dec. 25, 2011: [link to www.spaceweather.com] Dec. 26, 2011: [link to www.spaceweather.com]  "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| shadasonic slumbering no more User ID: 15732022 United States12/25/2012 12:30 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Please forgive me if this has been posted already; Quoting: Luisport Data delivered by ESA’s Cluster quartet of satellites shows that it is easier for the solar wind to penetrate Earth’s magnetic environment, the magnetosphere, than had previously been thought. Using Rumba, Salsa, Samba and Tango satellites as a space plasma microscope, scientists have zoomed in on the solar wind to reveal tiny turbulent swirls that could play a big role in heating it. Also scientists from NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. have, for the first time, directly observed the presence of certain waves in the solar wind—called Kelvin-Helmholtz waves that can help transfer energy into near-Earth space—under circumstances when previous theories predicted they were not expected. Turbulence is highly complex and all around us, evident in water flowing from a tap, around an aircraft wing, in experimental fusion reactors on Earth, and also in space. In the stream of charged particles emitted by the Sun – the solar wind – turbulence is thought to play a key part in maintaining its heat as it streams away and races across the Solar System. As the solar wind expands, it cools down, but to a much smaller extent than would be expected if the flow were smooth. Turbulence arises from irregularities in the flow of particles and magnetic field lines, but understanding how this energy is transferred from the large scales where it originates, to the small scales where it is dissipated, is like trying to trace energy as it is transferred from the smooth, laminar flow of a river down to the small turbulent eddies formed at the bottom of a waterfall. Two of the four Cluster satellites have also made extremely detailed observations of plasma turbulence in the solar wind. [link to www.messagetoeagle.com] Nice information Luis! We may see some activity today, huh. Nice to see you TS and Hugh, merry christmas! I'll be in and out, nice to finally be at home with nothing to do today but chill! It is sufficiently clear that all things change, yet nothing truly perishes! It riles THEM to believe that you perceive the web they weave- moody blues |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 28232082 United States12/25/2012 12:35 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | hope everyone is having a wonderful day!! it's a beautiful day here with the sun out and shining 1st time i have seen the sun in a few weeks what a nice gift :) now to go cook for all these hungry people haha Solar Alerts Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ*** How long will you simple ones love your simple ways? How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge? |
| shadasonic slumbering no more User ID: 15732022 United States12/25/2012 12:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | hope everyone is having a wonderful day!! Quoting: NiNzrez it's a beautiful day here with the sun out and shining 1st time i have seen the sun in a few weeks what a nice gift :) now to go cook for all these hungry people haha Have a great day , much Love to you Nin! This is pretty interesting [link to www.indianexpress.com] It is sufficiently clear that all things change, yet nothing truly perishes! It riles THEM to believe that you perceive the web they weave- moody blues |
| Cosmogenesis12 User ID: 30811175  Portugal12/25/2012 01:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nice catch Luis, very much enjoy your weather realated threads they bridge a unique gap between other earth and solar issues  well yes i agree, we still don'r understand properly how Sun activity influence weather and geological events and behaviour of the planetTime is Art WE ARE ONE [link to twitter.com (secure)] /cosmogenesis777 www.cosmogenesis21122012.blogspot.com ONENESS [link to profile.myspace.com] |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States12/25/2012 01:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AR1635 has produced a C3 flare. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to halpha.nso.edu] "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| shadasonic slumbering no more User ID: 15732022 United States12/25/2012 02:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 8063665  Canada12/25/2012 02:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic slumbering no more User ID: 15732022 United States12/25/2012 02:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 8063665 Canada12/25/2012 02:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 30830275  Germany12/25/2012 02:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | hope everyone is having a wonderful day!! Quoting: NiNzrez it's a beautiful day here with the sun out and shining 1st time i have seen the sun in a few weeks what a nice gift :) now to go cook for all these hungry people haha :merrychristmas: haha, nice timing im still hungry lol Busy times but till now christmas is rly a gift Much love to you and rest of the solar gang :) :christmasbeer: |
| Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States12/25/2012 02:42 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Cosmic ray density remains elevated. Seems to have begun its behavior on the 23rd no less. Things that make you go hmmmm. [link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu] |
| shenue User ID: 5263313 United States12/25/2012 02:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sorry if this has already been posted. Didn't see it though. If anyone is interested in the 2/3 min. vid by SO: Watch your thoughts, they become your words. Watch your words, they become your actions. Watch your actions, they become your habits. Watch your habits, they become your character. Watch your character, it becomes your destiny. |
| ChiaPet User ID: 29519100 United States12/25/2012 03:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States12/25/2012 03:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts. *The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“. One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others. This is from the Leaker's analysis: **Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added): Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties. The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57): There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2. The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance." This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing. The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts. The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work. Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis: [link to stopgreensuicide.com] This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL. "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| whiteangel User ID: 1775746 United States12/25/2012 03:47 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wanted to pop in and tell everyone: Merry CHRISTmas I may be paranoid but that doesn't mean I'm wrong. May the Angels clear the way for you. Psalm 91:11-12(NKJV) 11 For He shall give His angels charge over you,To keep you in all your ways. 12 In their hands they shall bear you up,Lest you dash your foot against a stone. |
| Da fuq User ID: 16258666 United States12/25/2012 04:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts. Quoting: Hugh M Eye *The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“. One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others. This is from the Leaker's analysis: **Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added): Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties. The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57): There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2. The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance." This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing. The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts. The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work. Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis: [link to stopgreensuicide.com] This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL. I think Hugh probably made a few peoples xmas with a post like that. Amazing find and work. Wow, don't want to gloat. I have been saying for awhile now the sun and other cosmic energies play a huge role in weather here. Now one begins to wonder why the sun acted the way it did in this last solar max. and how it continues to act strange till this very day. Our sun, surrounding planets and us may be being influenced by an energy outside our realm of comprehension. It's time to keep an open mind. Hope everyone has had a good day. Last Edited by Da fuq on 12/25/2012 04:23 PM |
| Vesper33 Silver Pools of Light User ID: 25919604 United States12/25/2012 04:18 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | hope everyone is having a wonderful day!! Quoting: NiNzrez it's a beautiful day here with the sun out and shining 1st time i have seen the sun in a few weeks what a nice gift :) now to go cook for all these hungry people haha I wish you a great day too!!! Merry Christmas to you and yours!! Mine has been wonderful; I feel so blessed!!! Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave) |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973  United Kingdom12/25/2012 04:20 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A massive Hello to all Friends and Lurkers! I hope you are all having/had a Luvly Crimbo!  (Smilie Fished ^ ^ ) I have much,much Luv for you guys,I consider you like my Family I'm very tied up with it all but just wanted to send you my thoughts this Day : ) Lets get down to Brass Tax here...How much for the Monkey? Now -  Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 12/25/2012 04:43 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Kael User ID: 1451069  Romania12/25/2012 04:38 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts. Quoting: Hugh M Eye *The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“. One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others. This is from the Leaker's analysis: **Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added): Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties. The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57): There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2. The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance." This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing. The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts. The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work. Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis: [link to stopgreensuicide.com] This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL. WoW! Great post Hugh! Thanks for sharing :) "Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are. One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield" |
| theWatcher20 User ID: 30683183 United States12/25/2012 04:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| zacksavage ~~Unbound~~ User ID: 1251196 United States12/25/2012 04:47 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Merry Christmas boys and girls!!! Ho ho ho,... Oh No   Z Last Edited by zacksavage on 12/25/2012 05:09 PM It is not power that corrupts but fear. Fear of losing power corrupts those who wield it and fear of the scourge of power corrupts those who are subject to it. --- AUNG SAN SUU KYI, Freedom from Fear |
| shenue User ID: 5263313 United States12/25/2012 07:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts. Quoting: Hugh M Eye *The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“. One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others. This is from the Leaker's analysis: **Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added): Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties. The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57): There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2. The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance." This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing. The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts. The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work. Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis: [link to stopgreensuicide.com] This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL. A big thank you, for this information Hugh! Watch your thoughts, they become your words. Watch your words, they become your actions. Watch your actions, they become your habits. Watch your habits, they become your character. Watch your character, it becomes your destiny. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 24287942 United States12/25/2012 08:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think this video is extremely well done (I wish I had that kind of budget,lol). A detailed piece of info-tainment as astronautess Sunny Williams you how shows you how the ISS toilets work and the secret of the mysterious Fluff. Enjoy it fullsceen. [link to www.youtube.com] "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| shadasonic slumbering no more User ID: 15732022 United States12/25/2012 09:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts. Quoting: Hugh M Eye *The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“. One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others. This is from the Leaker's analysis: **Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added): Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties. The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57): There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2. The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance." This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing. The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts. The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work. Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis: [link to stopgreensuicide.com] This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL. This is exactly what I've been looking for, great work on this Hugh,awesome! Wow, the implications are huge with this announcement. Bravo It is sufficiently clear that all things change, yet nothing truly perishes! It riles THEM to believe that you perceive the web they weave- moody blues |
| shenue User ID: 5263313 United States12/25/2012 10:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good night all. Peace. I hope you all had a wonderful Christmas!! :smilie santa win: Watch your thoughts, they become your words. Watch your words, they become your actions. Watch your actions, they become your habits. Watch your habits, they become your character. Watch your character, it becomes your destiny. |
