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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Tropicalgirl

User ID: 28564588
United States
12/26/2012 01:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Great info tonight everyone, thanks Hugh, Shad, Isis, Nin and all!

It was a lovely Christmas Day and the bonus is to check in with the Solar family and get these 'gifts' of knowledge and shared info makes it even better!

Good night everyone, you're a special crew!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28353201
United States
12/26/2012 07:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts.

*The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“.
One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others.


This is from the Leaker's analysis:

**Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC

Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added):

Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties.

The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57):

There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2.

The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance."

This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing.

The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts.

The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work.

Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis:

[link to stopgreensuicide.com]

This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I wonder, has anyone posed the correlation between GCR flux, and cloud condensation nuclei seeding / chem trail dispersal?
SnowboardingAlien

User ID: 2230505
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12/26/2012 08:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
science weeee
I look up at the sky, and wonder where I am on earth. Then I wonder where I am in the solar system. Then I wonder where I am in the galaxy. Then I wonder where I am in the universe.
Kael

User ID: 1451069
Romania
12/26/2012 08:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
science weeee
 Quoting: SnowboardingAlien


lmao
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
shenue

User ID: 5263313
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12/26/2012 08:47 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning. I hope everyone is doing really well today.

Group Hug
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28353201
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12/26/2012 08:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts.

*The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“.
One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others.


This is from the Leaker's analysis:

**Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC

Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added):

Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties.

The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57):

There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2.

The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance."

This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing.

The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts.

The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work.

Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis:

[link to stopgreensuicide.com]

This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I wonder, has anyone posed the correlation between GCR flux, and cloud condensation nuclei seeding / chem trail dispersal?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28353201


Some interesting research I scrounged up.

"GALACTIC COSMIC RAYS – CLOUDS EFFECT AND BIFURCATION MODEL OF THE EARTH GLOBAL CLIMATE. PART 1. THEORY

In aerosol physics of cloud formation there are now profound and insuperable, at the first sight contradictions caused by the anomalous low efficiency of “ion-aerosol clear-air mechanism” for nucleation of the sufficient number of condensation nuclei in an atmosphere. In spite
of this, many researchers have serious reasons to consider that galactic cosmic rays play one of key roles in the mechanisms of the weather and climate formation at our planet/"

[link to arxiv.org]
shenue

User ID: 5263313
United States
12/26/2012 08:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Again, don't want to step on any toes. Just posting this...helping out...until our regular 2/3 min news posters are back.


I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
United States
12/26/2012 10:29 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Again, don't want to step on any toes. Just posting this...helping out...until our regular 2/3 min news posters are back.


 Quoting: shenue


You have been around for quite awhile. I believe you've earned the ability to post whatever your heart desireshf
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
joinca

User ID: 23928361
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12/26/2012 10:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here are the great links for the SO video:
12-26-2012
REPEAT LINKS:
WORLD WEATHER:
NDBC Buoys: [link to www.ndbc.noaa.gov]
Tropical Storms: [link to www.wunderground.com]
HurricaneZone Satellite Images: [link to www.hurricanezone.net]
Weather Channel: [link to www.weather.com]
NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory: [link to www.nnvl.noaa.gov]
Pressure Maps: [link to www.woweather.com]
Satellite Maps: [link to www.woweather.com]
Forecast Maps: [link to www.woweather.com]
EL DORADO WORLD WEATHER MAP: [link to www.eldoradocountyweather.com]
TORCON: [link to www.weather.com] [Tornado Forecast for the day]
HURRICANE TRACKER: [link to www.weather.com]

US WEATHER:
Precipitation Totals: [link to www.cocorahs.org]
GOES Satellites: [link to rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov]
THE WINDMAP: [link to hint.fm]
Severe Weather Threats: [link to www.weather.com]
Canada Weather Office Satellite Composites: [link to www.weatheroffice.gc.ca]
Temperature Delta: [link to www.intellicast.com]
Records/Extremes: [link to www.ncdc.noaa.gov]

SPACEWEATHER:
Spaceweather: [link to spaceweather.com]
SOHO Solar Wind: [link to umtof.umd.edu]
HAARP Data Meters: [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
Planetary Orbital Diagram - Ceres1 JPL: [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]
SDO: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Helioviewer: [link to www.helioviewer.org]
SOHO: [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
Stereo: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
SOLARIMG: [link to solarimg.org]
iSWA: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
GOES Xray: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Gamma Ray Bursts: [link to grb.sonoma.edu]
BARTOL Cosmic Rays: [link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]
ISWA: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
NOAA Sunspot Classifications: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
GONG: [link to gong2.nso.edu]

MISC Links:
JAPAN Radiation Map: [link to jciv.iidj.net]
RADIATION Network: [link to radiationnetwork.com]
LISS: [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
QUAKES LIST FULL: [link to www.emsc-csem.org]
RSOE: [link to hisz.rsoe.hu] [That cool alert map I use]
Moon: [link to www.fourmilab.ch]
cool2
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
United States
12/26/2012 10:31 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts.

*The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“.
One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others.


This is from the Leaker's analysis:

**Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC

Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added):

Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties.

The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57):

There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2.

The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance."

This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing.

The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts.

The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work.

Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis:

[link to stopgreensuicide.com]

This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I wonder, has anyone posed the correlation between GCR flux, and cloud condensation nuclei seeding / chem trail dispersal?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28353201


Some interesting research I scrounged up.

"GALACTIC COSMIC RAYS – CLOUDS EFFECT AND BIFURCATION MODEL OF THE EARTH GLOBAL CLIMATE. PART 1. THEORY

In aerosol physics of cloud formation there are now profound and insuperable, at the first sight contradictions caused by the anomalous low efficiency of “ion-aerosol clear-air mechanism” for nucleation of the sufficient number of condensation nuclei in an atmosphere. In spite
of this, many researchers have serious reasons to consider that galactic cosmic rays play one of key roles in the mechanisms of the weather and climate formation at our planet/"

[link to arxiv.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28353201


Nice correlating info, and I believe we can go alot of directions with this topic Hugh has given us
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
United States
12/26/2012 10:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here are the great links for the SO video:
12-26-2012
REPEAT LINKS:
WORLD WEATHER:
NDBC Buoys: [link to www.ndbc.noaa.gov]
Tropical Storms: [link to www.wunderground.com]
HurricaneZone Satellite Images: [link to www.hurricanezone.net]
Weather Channel: [link to www.weather.com]
NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory: [link to www.nnvl.noaa.gov]
Pressure Maps: [link to www.woweather.com]
Satellite Maps: [link to www.woweather.com]
Forecast Maps: [link to www.woweather.com]
EL DORADO WORLD WEATHER MAP: [link to www.eldoradocountyweather.com]
TORCON: [link to www.weather.com] [Tornado Forecast for the day]
HURRICANE TRACKER: [link to www.weather.com]

US WEATHER:
Precipitation Totals: [link to www.cocorahs.org]
GOES Satellites: [link to rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov]
THE WINDMAP: [link to hint.fm]
Severe Weather Threats: [link to www.weather.com]
Canada Weather Office Satellite Composites: [link to www.weatheroffice.gc.ca]
Temperature Delta: [link to www.intellicast.com]
Records/Extremes: [link to www.ncdc.noaa.gov]

SPACEWEATHER:
Spaceweather: [link to spaceweather.com]
SOHO Solar Wind: [link to umtof.umd.edu]
HAARP Data Meters: [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
Planetary Orbital Diagram - Ceres1 JPL: [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]
SDO: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Helioviewer: [link to www.helioviewer.org]
SOHO: [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
Stereo: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
SOLARIMG: [link to solarimg.org]
iSWA: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
GOES Xray: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Gamma Ray Bursts: [link to grb.sonoma.edu]
BARTOL Cosmic Rays: [link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]
ISWA: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
NOAA Sunspot Classifications: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
GONG: [link to gong2.nso.edu]

MISC Links:
JAPAN Radiation Map: [link to jciv.iidj.net]
RADIATION Network: [link to radiationnetwork.com]
LISS: [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
QUAKES LIST FULL: [link to www.emsc-csem.org]
RSOE: [link to hisz.rsoe.hu] [That cool alert map I use]
Moon: [link to www.fourmilab.ch]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


Thanks Joinca, makes it much easier.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
United States
12/26/2012 10:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts.

*The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“.
One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others.


This is from the Leaker's analysis:

**Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC

Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added):

Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties.

The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57):

There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2.

The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance."

This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing.

The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts.

The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work.

Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis:

[link to stopgreensuicide.com]

This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


This is exactly what I've been looking for, great work on this Hugh,awesome! Wow, the implications are huge with this announcement. Bravo
 Quoting: shadasonic

I have hard copy...not from the internet...that states just this.
most of the data comes from forum briefs in the early 2000's though some go back to the late 70' and early 80's

my fav was a document from 2002 titled "the leading cause to effect earth's climate is the sun"

we will know the truth!
TY HUGH

Last Edited by psyoptics on 12/26/2012 10:54 AM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
United States
12/26/2012 11:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SO!


[link to www.youtube.com]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
United States
12/26/2012 11:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
funny how the kill shot SO talks about will remove food from the selves...no power....no gas for cars and genni's....and lack of police..........

well i just saw this happen this fall in NYC....

NOT PRETTY!

hard to believe this can happen, but easy to see as it does.
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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12/26/2012 11:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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12/26/2012 11:23 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
waves...yes waves..........
water light sound......how much of our lives are waves......

waves....cycles.....
are waves just cycles?

are cycles just waves?

what is color?

what is CYMATICS?


[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by psyoptics on 12/26/2012 12:10 PM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

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12/26/2012 11:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
old school presentation on electromagnetism.....


[link to www.youtube.com]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

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12/26/2012 11:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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12/26/2012 11:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com]

the nothingness of space?
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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12/26/2012 11:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
the question .......what is waving when a particle is a wave?

questions too many in my mind.......
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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12/26/2012 11:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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12/26/2012 11:56 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com]



[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by psyoptics on 12/26/2012 11:57 AM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

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12/26/2012 11:59 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
mind blown.....WTF?


[link to www.youtube.com]

WOW with sound
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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12/26/2012 12:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
sorry all these video.....they are vibrating in my mind and i just know they have EVERYTHING to do with our sun and how it and we fit into the massive confusing universe we are traveling through.

sorry again to only pose questions with at least no hope of an answer today form me. though these are very important questions in our search for understanding.
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Kael

User ID: 1451069
Romania
12/26/2012 12:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
sorry all these video.....they are vibrating in my mind and i just know they have EVERYTHING to do with our sun and how it and we fit into the massive confusing universe we are traveling through.

sorry again to only pose questions with at least no hope of an answer today form me. though these are very important questions in our search for understanding.
 Quoting: psyoptics


Thanks for sharing!
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
shadasonic

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12/26/2012 12:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
mind blown.....WTF?


[link to www.youtube.com]

WOW with sound
 Quoting: psyoptics


Very cool psy, nice info you've gathered, no doubt its all interconnected with the all
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadahooochie
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12/26/2012 04:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

C 1.2
Hugh M Eye

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12/26/2012 04:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
3D Radar Being Built to Study Northern Lights-

The new Nordic space radar EISCAT 3D won’t just let scientists see which direction the charged particles are heading.
"We will also get a 3D map, a volume of the air space high above us, showing where the particles are,” says César La Hoz, of the Department of Physics and Technology at the University of Tromsø. He leads the Norwegian contingent in its efforts to develop the new radar. This will give a better understanding of the processes that can upset radio communications and GPS navigation. Three of these radar facilities are likely to be constructed in the Nordic countries.

Monitoring the ionosphere
To grasp the advantages of the new 3D-radar you first need to understand what the current EISCAT radar can do. One of these installations is just ten kilometres east of Tromsø. It consists of broad parabolic antenna dishes like the ones many people use for their TVs, only much larger.
“EISCAT monitors the atmosphere 70–1,000 kilometres above us,” says La Hoz.

A so-called heat transmitter will also be built at the main station. It has an effect like that of a giant microwave oven high in the atmosphere; the electrically charged particles are made to vibrate; which raises their temperature temporarily.
Researchers will learn about the nature and conduct of the ions by regulating this temperature and gauging how it drops back down.

[link to sciencenordic.com]

EISCAT is often compared to the H.A.A.R.P. facility in Gakona, AK due to their large antenna arrays and ionospheric heater. This is the HAARP of Europe IMO.

EISCAT 3D Radar project:
[link to www.eiscat3d.se]
drevil

Here's the main EISCAT website:
[link to www.eiscat.se]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 12/26/2012 04:50 PM
Hugh M Eye

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12/26/2012 05:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While researching the above post I found a very good movie on space junk called "PERIL IN SPACE". I think you'll enjoy this (tho you may want to provide your own soundtrack,haha):

[link to www.eiscat.se]

alienshipalien11alienshipalien11alienshipexplosion
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 30848516
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12/26/2012 06:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A gift to all the lurkers of this Sun thread.

Thread: A Gift, From ME, To You All On GLP and All Of Humanity.

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