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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 09:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a c so far !
SnowboardingAlien

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01/05/2013 09:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hows old man sol doing?
I look up at the sky, and wonder where I am on earth. Then I wonder where I am in the solar system. Then I wonder where I am in the galaxy. Then I wonder where I am in the universe. Then I wonder what universe am I in.
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 09:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
And climbing
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 10:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
still going up
whiteangel

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01/05/2013 10:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C3.0
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
God is NOT dead!
Thread: Being Prepared
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 10:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Might be 1652

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 10:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 10:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nope .... 53
shadasonic

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01/05/2013 10:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FOURTEEN ACTIVE REGIONS NOW ON SOLAR DISK! I think this the most I've seen at one time. Latest NOAA round-up-

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 6 Issued at 0030Z on 06 Jan 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 05 Jan
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 05/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1638 N13W48 309 0040 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1640 N28W62 323 0330 Eki 13 11 Beta-Gamma-Delta
1641 N04W20 281 0040 Hsx 02 03 Alpha
1642 S24E10 251 0080 Hsx 03 01 Alpha
1644 N15E20 241 0050 Cso 04 04 Beta
1645 S14W32 293 0030 Cso 08 05 Beta
1646 N14E31 230 0030 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1647 N15W69 330 0030 Cao 06 03 Beta
1648 N05E40 221 0040 Cao 07 03 Beta
1649 S15E60 201 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1650 S28E63 198 0190 Eao 11 05 Beta
1651 N20E35 226 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1652 N20E74 187 0060 Hsx 03 01 Alpha
1653 N09E78 183 0020 Hrx 05 01 Alpha

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AR1652 Still not completely visible-
:1/6-1652:

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

From NOAA's Discussion-
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at moderate levels due to an impulsive M1 flare from
newly numbered Region 1652 (N20E74) at 05/0931 UTC. Region 1652 and new Region 1653 (N09E78) are still too close in proximity to the northeast
limb for accurate spot classifications. There are currently 14 numbered
regions on the visible disk. Slight growth was seen in Regions 1640

(N28W62), 1644 (N15E20), and 1648 (N05E40). Slight decay was observed
in Regions 1645 (S14W32) and 1647 (N15W69). No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed during the period. A WSA/ENLIL model run was performed on the
04 January CME that likely occurred from Region 1639 (S16W52) first seen
in STEREO A COR 2 imagery at 04/0924 UTC. Based on the CMEs location, a
glancing blow is possible by late on 08 January.


.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for further
M-class flares for the forecast period (06-08 Jan). The most likely
Regions for M-class activity are Regions 1640 and 1652.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AR1640 STILL GROWING!-
:1/6-1640:

Latest Mag-fields PFSS overlay:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest HMI Color Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was thinking the same as I can remember twelve, but fourteen , no.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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01/05/2013 10:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Between a Bombay hangover, and the lack of some anticipated solar activity .....
 Quoting: TS66


The saphire is so good and so bad,gin makes ya sin! but its alot of fun!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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01/05/2013 10:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.lmsal.com]

This makes it even more evident, the east firing as every spot hits the corner then nothing. There is no way this is normal. We've got 14SS in view and none fire in between the 60 degree markers. Convective currents and magnetism being drawn to regions. Nasa will have to address this or temporal science will ! We have a proven catalyst of events transpiring,plain as day. Unprecedented has been a favorite word of late for many scientist.

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 01/05/2013 10:33 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Isis One

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01/05/2013 10:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
25% chance of M flares, 5% chance of X flares.

[link to spaceweather.com]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 10:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Between a Bombay hangover, and the lack of some anticipated solar activity .....
 Quoting: TS66


The saphire is so good and so bad,gin makes ya sin! but its alot of fun!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Sapphire is my poison, but I'm typically incapable of speaking much less sinning when it's all said and done. wink
Hugh M Eye

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01/05/2013 10:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nope .... 53
 Quoting: TS66


Nice, you are correct, that was 1653. If things get crazy it may be hard to keep track. Luckily most regions are being well-behaved.

SDO/AIA 131a image of C3 flare:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Tiny Trink

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01/05/2013 10:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Tink, found the red circles!!
 Quoting: Isis One


hf

Much Love,
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
whiteangel

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01/05/2013 10:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can you imagine 14 spots showing and what the sun use to be doing? Like Hugh said, we wouldn't be able to tell what was popping off what. Now that would be fun....no not doom, just fun times.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
God is NOT dead!
Thread: Being Prepared
Isis One

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01/05/2013 10:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can you imagine 14 spots showing and what the sun use to be doing? Like Hugh said, we wouldn't be able to tell what was popping off what. Now that would be fun....no not doom, just fun times.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I agree, I was reminiscing about the good ole days of watching everyone chasing sunspots, its how I became a junior suntard.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
NiNzrez
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01/05/2013 11:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wonder whats up with STEREO A
both of these images from today
the 2nd image is the lastes image on A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 11:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can you imagine 14 spots showing and what the sun use to be doing? Like Hugh said, we wouldn't be able to tell what was popping off what. Now that would be fun....no not doom, just fun times.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I agree, I was reminiscing about the good ole days of watching everyone chasing sunspots, its how I became a junior suntard.
 Quoting: Isis One


:1412:
Hugh M Eye

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01/05/2013 11:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A lot of energy can be seen flowing between 1640 & 1647. It seems like a ginormous electrical inductor circuit. A similar current flow can be seen arcing at 1652 & '53 also. SDO images:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:1640electric:
shadasonic

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01/05/2013 11:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can you imagine 14 spots showing and what the sun use to be doing? Like Hugh said, we wouldn't be able to tell what was popping off what. Now that would be fun....no not doom, just fun times.
 Quoting: whiteangel


The xray flux should look like a roller coaster of Ms, with big Cs and occasional Xs. We're desensitized to dormancy. The xray flux should be riding a high constant C flux with this many SS, yet we barely break into c. We've got 14 SS earth facing, five should put us into constant C. These spots are convectively channeling energy to the east right now, or the east is at least allowed to behave normaly. I've been researching this for months and its nothing like we've seen in recorded times! I'm aggitated and I apologize, but this is so in your face wrong!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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01/05/2013 11:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like 1642 has 2 more SRs developing just N & NE of it too.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Isis One

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01/05/2013 11:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can you imagine 14 spots showing and what the sun use to be doing? Like Hugh said, we wouldn't be able to tell what was popping off what. Now that would be fun....no not doom, just fun times.
 Quoting: whiteangel


The xray flux should look like a roller coaster of Ms, with big Cs and occasional Xs. We're desensitized to dormancy. The xray flux should be riding a high constant C flux with this many SS, yet we barely break into c. We've got 14 SS earth facing, five should put us into constant C. These spots are convectively channeling energy to the east right now, or the east is at least allowed to behave normaly. I've been researching this for months and its nothing like we've seen in recorded times! I'm aggitated and I apologize, but this is so in your face wrong!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Maybe sun is going around a corner Shad and centripetal force is pushing the juice to the 'side'. Or maybe sun is dropping down or vaulting up and centrifugal force pushing the juice to either 'side'.

Last Edited by Isis One on 01/05/2013 11:19 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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01/05/2013 11:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Never fear, I've got my eye on everything, LOL

telescope
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
shadasonic

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01/05/2013 11:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wonder whats up with STEREO A
both of these images from today
the 2nd image is the lastes image on A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


I was always told these are lens refractions from energetic passersby.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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01/05/2013 11:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Never fear, I've got my eye on everything, LOL

telescope
 Quoting: Isis One


Love it!hf
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/05/2013 11:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wonder whats up with STEREO A
both of these images from today
the 2nd image is the lastes image on A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


I was always told these are lens refractions from energetic passersby.
 Quoting: shadasonic


thats the same i hear the most within circles

you got mail mail mail
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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01/06/2013 12:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wonder whats up with STEREO A
both of these images from today
the 2nd image is the lastes image on A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


I was always told these are lens refractions from energetic passersby.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Laser beams from hell!!!
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hugh M Eye

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01/06/2013 12:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wonder whats up with STEREO A
both of these images from today
the 2nd image is the lastes image on A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


I was always told these are lens refractions from energetic passersby.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Laser beams from hell!!!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


I already addressed this image a page or two back. Everyone here should already know this stuff...I mean how many times have we seen this stuff? It's pieces of crap knocked off of the thermal insulation blankets.

"caused by micrometeorite impacts knocking off small pieces of the multi-layer insulation blankets which are wrapped around the spacecraft. These small debris particles are brightly illuminated by the Sun, and are easily seen by the coronagraphs if they wander into the field of view. They are tremendously out-of-focus, and often appear as "donut" shapes in the COR1 and COR2 telescopes because of the central occulter in these telescopes. The bigger the piece of debris appears, the closer it is to the telescope."
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
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