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SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 11:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
for those interested

1654 growth in millionths.

1/09 260 beta
1/10 90 beta
1/11 420 beta-delta-gamma
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23231420


Incredible info in this article, seems to be describing this solar max ... I don't know who you are, but thanks for making me look for it !!!

Good Karma wishes !!
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you I am reading it now over a bagel and coffee.

I would tell you whom I am But that would defeat the attempts I make at being anonymous;)

I will consider making a profile soon ;) But until then It has been a pleasure meeting your acquaintance.
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 11:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
for those interested

1654 growth in millionths.

1/09 260 beta
1/10 90 beta
1/11 420 beta-delta-gamma
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23231420


Incredible info in this article, seems to be describing this solar max ... I don't know who you are, but thanks for making me look for it !!!

Good Karma wishes !!
 Quoting: TS66


Thank you I am reading it now over a bagel and coffee.

I would tell you whom I am But that would defeat the attempts I make at being anonymous;)

I will consider making a profile soon ;) But until then It has been a pleasure meeting your acquaintance.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23231420


And you also hf
shenue

User ID: 5263313
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01/11/2013 11:16 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
looks like we are getting some more flaring!
banana2
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Oh yeah

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:a thumbs up smil:
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
AR1654 Monster

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01/11/2013 11:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Looks like we'll level out right around the C/B border. Back where we were pre-flare activity. Let's see if she can belch off some more activity for us.
Da fuq

User ID: 16258666
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01/11/2013 11:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
looks like we are getting some more flaring!
banana2
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Oh yeah

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:a thumbs up smil:
 Quoting: shenue


hiding is that the second M from earlier?

Oopes was looking at old data nvm.

Getting too excited.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 01/11/2013 11:28 AM
AR1654 Monster

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01/11/2013 11:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
looks like we are getting some more flaring!
banana2
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Oh yeah

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:a thumbs up smil:
 Quoting: shenue


hiding that makes 3 m's in 3 hours?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Where did you get that idea?.........

This past M and the one overnight were the only two today. And they were more than 3 hours apart.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That link is to the 1 minute X-ray flux. You can see there is only one of the M flares showing the other was before the beginning of that chart.

Last Edited by AR1654 Monster on 01/11/2013 11:26 AM
Luisport

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01/11/2013 11:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
looks like we are getting some more flaring!
banana2
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Oh yeah

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:a thumbs up smil:
 Quoting: shenue


hiding that makes 3 m's in 3 hours?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Where did you get that idea?.........

This past M and the one overnight were the only two today. And they were more than 3 hours apart.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That link is to the 1 minute X-ray flux. You can see there is only one of the M flares showing the other was before the beginning of that chart.
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster


yes only two M flares! [link to www.n3kl.org]
Hugh M Eye

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01/11/2013 11:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
GONG H-alpha network movies showing lots of flares....

Udaipur Observatory loop showing a flurry of C's and the first M1.2 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Cerro Tololo Obsevatory loop shows increased area of flaring, including the 2nd M1 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/AIA 131a image of the earlier M1.2 flare:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
AR1654 Monster

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01/11/2013 11:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
GONG H-alpha network movies showing lots of flares....

Udaipur Observatory loop showing a flurry of C's and the first M1.2 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Cerro Tololo Obsevatory loop shows increased area of flaring, including the 2nd M1 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO/AIA 131a image of the earlier M1.2 flare:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hopefully it gives us some intense action (more intense than already seen) before it goes back to being calm ;)
Da fuq

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01/11/2013 11:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)


Someone filmed the beast.
shenue

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01/11/2013 12:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Enhanced image of first M-flare-
:1/11-m1flare:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I like that hugh!
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

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01/11/2013 12:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)

...


banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


Hier kommt die sonne!

Had to look up the meaning - is this right?

Everyone is waiting for the light
 Quoting: Da fuq


Hmm I always thought it meant Here comes the sun. lol

but.... In our case and most on GLP "Everyone is waiting for the light" fits and sounds a lot better.hf
 Quoting: whiteangel


Bing translator is telling me it is: Here comes the sun.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

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01/11/2013 12:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
...


Oh yeah

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:a thumbs up smil:
 Quoting: shenue


hiding that makes 3 m's in 3 hours?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Where did you get that idea?.........

This past M and the one overnight were the only two today. And they were more than 3 hours apart.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That link is to the 1 minute X-ray flux. You can see there is only one of the M flares showing the other was before the beginning of that chart.
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster


yes only two M flares! [link to www.n3kl.org]
 Quoting: Luisport


Hey I actually got something right here, for a change. I thought there were only two M's and I was correct-a-mundo. lol
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
AR1654 Monster

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01/11/2013 01:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
She's quieted down for the time being. Recharging for the next onslaught or gone dormant? Charging up for an X lol.
AR1654 Monster

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01/11/2013 01:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
X-ray flux rising...

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

EDIT: Short lived C flares. But with this spot recently that has meant possibly more coming shortly.

Last Edited by AR1654 Monster on 01/11/2013 01:50 PM
Hugh M Eye

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01/11/2013 01:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
The trailing spot appears to be flaring now:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

hiding
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 01:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
The trailing spot appears to be flaring now:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
Hugh M Eye

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01/11/2013 01:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
We're almost always a step ahead of NOAA here on SOLAR WATCH, now we're like 2 or 3 steps ahead, LOL.

I posted this on Jan. 8th-

I'm gonna agree with whoever said at least a Beta-Gamma and I'd estimate a size of at least 700 millionths.

And this on Jan. 9th-

Every few hours I check and compare images of 1654, and each time it has grown bigger and more complex. This should be a Beta-Gamma-on the threshold of Delta, if it's not there already.

My Forecast-Solar Activity will be High to EXTREME sometime in the next 72 hours with a slight chance of a double-digit X-class flare and/or eyebrow-raising CME/SEP event. Be prepared.

iamwithTHIs was when NOAA's forecast was for low activity levels, haha.

AR1654 Still Growing Slightly Today-
:1/11-SS1654:
:ss1654mag:
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 02:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
ooops like LASP updated,

here's the screen shot

:11113:
Hugh M Eye

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01/11/2013 02:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
The trailing spot appears to be flaring now:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: TS66


TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


smile_kiss
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 02:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
bump
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
The trailing spot appears to be flaring now:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: TS66


TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


smile_kiss
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No, but thanks Hugh, it's bookmarked now

I think we all knew deep down it was a delta (even the dept of commerce). wink
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 02:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
Thread: Must Read...Our Sun has been protecting us from our Center ....Not any more though!
AR1654 Monster

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01/11/2013 02:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
The flare predictor

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

lol...either this thing is dead/dying or that flare monitor is not accurate.
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 02:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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01/11/2013 02:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
CME

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
AR1654 Monster

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01/11/2013 02:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Question: was that from a different sunspot? Maybe one that has not turned Earth-facing yet?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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01/11/2013 02:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Question: was that from a different sunspot? Maybe one that has not turned Earth-facing yet?
 Quoting: AR1654 Monster


I'm not sure. I want to wait for someone else to look at this.
Da fuq

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01/11/2013 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


It cannot even hit a satellite, of course.
jerkit
wait, it look's like it nicked kepler.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 01/11/2013 02:43 PM
Anonymous Coward
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01/11/2013 02:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * M2.4 Solar Flare July 14 2017! Earth directed CME (Updated Daily)
The trailing spot appears to be flaring now:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Looks like it here too. Even the magnetics between 54 & 52 are lit up.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: TS66


TS 66, of course you were the first to point out the Delta regions. Thanks for your good work. Have you seen the latest GOES X-Ray image?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


smile_kiss
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No, but thanks Hugh, it's bookmarked now

I think we all knew deep down it was a delta (even the dept of commerce). wink
 Quoting: TS66


Agreed. reverse umbra magnetism on first appearance jan 09.

I am really liking the glassing off on the lower right hand. Shows a large area for future complexity in any future coronal loops; If the differential rotation keeps up and the central umbra hold tight, we may see some cme's as the region contracts... probably 2 days time.

I just keep thinking this in hope terms. The penumbra seems to be breaking down (although this could just be the expansion of an future contraction)...


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