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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/06/2011 09:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


MINOR STORM WATCH:
NOAA forecasters estimate a 10% chance of minor geomagnetic storms on July 7th in response to an incoming CME. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.
[link to spaceweather.com]

NOAA Space Weather Alert

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1768
Issue Time: 2011 Jul 06 0855 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1767
Valid From: 2011 Jul 06 0445 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2011 Jul 06 1600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

ACE just came back online and the nict is working once more
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
tomasgod1

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07/06/2011 09:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Depth revised to 4.4 km!

Magnitude 7.8
Date-Time Wednesday, July 06, 2011 at 19:03:16 UTC
Thursday, July 07, 2011 at 07:03:16 AM at epicenter

Location 29.312°S, 176.204°W
Depth 1 km (~0.6 mile) (poorly constrained)
Region KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
Distances 161 km (100 miles) E (93°) from Raoul Island, Kermadec Islands
913 km (567 miles) S (186°) from NUKU'ALOFA, Tonga
3007 km (1868 miles) WSW (239°) from PAPEETE, Tahiti, French Polynesia

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 14.1 km (8.8 miles); depth +/- 4.4 km (2.7 miles)
Parameters NST=620, Nph=625, Dmin=168.1 km, Rmss=1.02 sec, Gp= 18°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=B
Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver

Event ID usc0004pbm
 Quoting: tomasgod1


EMSC has it as a 7.8 with a 10km depth
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]
USGS has it as a 7.8 with a 20km depth
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


They have made several revisions on the depth and magnitude. I actually had to edit my post on the second one because it sait 1 km "porley constrained"..by the time I posted it it said 4.4 km...notice it doesn't say "porley constrained?

excuse me...a 4.4 km 2.5 mile deep earthquake is very muck "porley constrained"

They changed the mag from 7.8 to 7.7 to 7.6...they were so busy changing values that they did not bother to type all the necessary data and parametes in to the fields...gesh!

Anyhoo..I documented the 7.8 with an over 40 km depth...still a 7.8 with a 4.4 km depth documented here...and a split sec from documenting their call of a 7.8 with a less than 1km depth..DAMN!

I was working as fast as I could...I was no where near a computer when I heard the news on MSM, and flew!! Irony would have it that I had shut down shortly before.

Kinda like you said the other day..Break???...don't even try it!

freaks
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NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/06/2011 09:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Depth revised to 4.4 km!

Magnitude 7.8
Date-Time Wednesday, July 06, 2011 at 19:03:16 UTC
Thursday, July 07, 2011 at 07:03:16 AM at epicenter

Location 29.312°S, 176.204°W
Depth 1 km (~0.6 mile) (poorly constrained)
Region KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
Distances 161 km (100 miles) E (93°) from Raoul Island, Kermadec Islands
913 km (567 miles) S (186°) from NUKU'ALOFA, Tonga
3007 km (1868 miles) WSW (239°) from PAPEETE, Tahiti, French Polynesia

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 14.1 km (8.8 miles); depth +/- 4.4 km (2.7 miles)
Parameters NST=620, Nph=625, Dmin=168.1 km, Rmss=1.02 sec, Gp= 18°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=B
Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver

Event ID usc0004pbm
 Quoting: tomasgod1


EMSC has it as a 7.8 with a 10km depth
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]
USGS has it as a 7.8 with a 20km depth
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


They have made several revisions on the depth and magnitude. I actually had to edit my post on the second one because it sait 1 km "porley constrained"..by the time I posted it it said 4.4 km...notice it doesn't say "porley constrained?

excuse me...a 4.4 km 2.5 mile deep earthquake is very muck "porley constrained"

They changed the mag from 7.8 to 7.7 to 7.6...they were so busy changing values that they did not bother to type all the necessary data and parametes in to the fields...gesh!

Anyhoo..I documented the 7.8 with an over 40 km depth...still a 7.8 with a 4.4 km depth documented here...and a split sec from documenting their call of a 7.8 with a less than 1km depth..DAMN!

I was working as fast as I could...I was no where near a computer when I heard the news on MSM, and flew!! Irony would have it that I had shut down shortly before.

Kinda like you said the other day..Break???...don't even try it!

freaks
 Quoting: tomasgod1


wow
it's like a new sporting event just trying to keep up with all the changes they make hahaha
just figures something happens right after you shut down
were going on the 7th now, so keep your PC on and at red alert for the day! ;)
i work at sun up, all day tomorrow :/
i'm going to be on edge all day wondering if something more is going on, and what
i will be hopping on here for my news updates the sek i walk in the door
shadasonic
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07/06/2011 10:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sorry to jump off topic,nin and tomas you guys may be able to help . Cassini space probe has been and still is monitoring a solar storm on saturn the size of earth. Is this an allignment issue, I know saturns magnetic field is very different than ours. Seems like something for msn to post this with the allignment happening?
Shadasonic
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/06/2011 10:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sorry to jump off topic,nin and tomas you guys may be able to help . Cassini space probe has been and still is monitoring a solar storm on saturn the size of earth. Is this an allignment issue, I know saturns magnetic field is very different than ours. Seems like something for msn to post this with the allignment happening?
Shadasonic
 Quoting: shadasonic 1396161


I would say yes indeed it has to do at least in part to the alignment
magnetic and electrical connections
Tom posted a great post about this. i think its on the previous page..?
very interesting read you should think about checking out

i got it for you :)
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) (Page 163)

the 7/7/2011 alignment is of Elenin/Saturn/Sun (and i believe mercury?)

and for anyone interested, here is a great glp thread packed with photos and info about this Saturn storm
Thread: FINALLY!!*** ULTRA-MASSIVE SATURN'S STORM DATA DECODED-4 billion square kilometers ***

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/06/2011 10:14 PM
Enchanted Wanderer

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07/07/2011 05:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi all, just thought I should pop this here as well as the other thread i put it in:

just wanted to share this info, another glp thread found the updates first so will give credit to that here:
Thread: Warning! - Possible 6.6+M earthquake for NZ region in next 24 hours - READ

Updates from thebarcaroller: [link to www.youtube.com]

Note: its not the video playing, updates are in the recent activity and chat section.

Recent Activity
thebarcaroller: Important Update For the NZ region - Solar corona indicates another significant earthquake is now possible in the next 24 hours for the region of Christchurch as a hole has popped up 43-46° South Latitude, this could indicate a possible 6.6+ magnitude earthquake for the region. The areas along the 43-46° South Latitude that could receive a strong earthquake are Christchurch, Los Lagos-Chile, Prince Edward Islands region or South of Australia
(7 hours ago 7/7/11)

theharleychicks (2 hours ago) Hi there can you tell me please you mentioned Christchurch at the start of your update and also gave possible other regions that may be affected at the end.....so are you saying it's a higher chance of it being Christchurch? Thanks for the update and love your channel!!

thebarcaroller (2 hours ago) @ theharleychicks, i see a hole on the solar corona that indicate a possible seismic event is possible inside the next 12-18 hours for the locations in my bulletin being of most concern. I only make these Bulletins when i am very confident of what is headed our way based on my solar observations
 Quoting: Enchanted Wanderer

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NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/07/2011 07:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
6.0 2011/07/07 09:10:52 -28.941 -176.732 19.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
LaniJane

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07/07/2011 07:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
6.0 2011/07/07 09:10:52 -28.941 -176.732 19.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I don't like the looks of this. [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Or this [link to aslwww.cr.usgs.gov]
"There are nights when the wolves are silent and only the moon howls." ~
George Carlin
miabelieves
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07/07/2011 11:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
tomasgod1

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
6.0 2011/07/07 09:10:52 -28.941 -176.732 19.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I don't like the looks of this. [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Or this [link to aslwww.cr.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: LaniJane


There has been a lot of movement of the Pacific plate yet the junction of the Pacific at the Juan De Fuca and Explorer have remained fairly still. The Explorer has been shifting a little over the past few months but not much. All bets are on that when the Juan de Fuca cuts loose....well, I am just glad I dont live in the Seattle area anymore!
(kinda..sure do miss the scenery...and the fresh air...and the trees..and the mountains...and the fishing...and the hunting...and the skiing...hmmm...Oohh well..
damn it! )

crying
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OpenEnded

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
6.0 2011/07/07 09:10:52 -28.941 -176.732 19.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I don't like the looks of this. [link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Or this [link to aslwww.cr.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: LaniJane


There has been a lot of movement of the Pacific plate yet the junction of the Pacific at the Juan De Fuca and Explorer have remained fairly still. The Explorer has been shifting a little over the past few months but not much. All bets are on that when the Juan de Fuca cuts loose....well, I am just glad I dont live in the Seattle area anymore!
(kinda..sure do miss the scenery...and the fresh air...and the trees..and the mountains...and the fishing...and the hunting...and the skiing...hmmm...Oohh well..
damn it! )

crying
 Quoting: tomasgod1


we have all that in tahoe, recommended for 2012 survival btw:)
so whazzup with sc24? it almost looks like we hit the peak (as some have said) and no 7/7 stuff either to chew on:/

:ishocked:

sh..

Solar Update: Sunspot 1243 is producing B-Class and C-Class flares as it continues to rotate across the visible solar disk in the northern hemisphere. A couple of new sunspots have formed towards the northeast limb and one of these was numbered 1245 on Thursday. There is not yet a chance for strong solar flares around this region. Sunspot 1244 has rotated onto the western limb and out of direct earth view.

Last Edited by OpenEnded on 07/07/2011 10:49 PM
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/08/2011 08:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The sun is waking up this morning
Today so far we have had a C3.0 and a C2.8 Flare
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

i'm off to work in it's rays and enjoy this heat
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.solarham.com]

Another one jumping now..It states on the link above that the flares are coming from the "new sun spot"...could get interesting..

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 07/08/2011 10:00 AM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/09/2011 12:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
we just had a good sized CME come from the new sunspot refion 1247

here it is on STEREO A
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
and on STEREO B
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

and here is a video of it


this new sunspot region is in direct proximity with earth today, but it looks like this CME was flung a bit farther east and not a dead on shot
i will have to look through more data to be sure

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/09/2011 12:58 AM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
last space shuttle went up today

will we see the Killshot?
want to learn more?




tomasgod1

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07/09/2011 01:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
With todays launch of Shuttle Atlantis being the last one, I thought some may find Ed Dames speech on the "kill shot" interesting. In this video "technical remote viewer" Ed Dames explains his predictions about a space shuttle mission that is cut short by an unexpected meteor shower. Shortly there after he says a large solar object passing between the Earth and Sun would cause the Earth's magnetic field to collapse, and the object would preturb the sun to release a large CME that would blast the Earth. Mr. Dames goes on to explain that the object would then align magnetically with the Earth and pull it off its axis causing further devestation. This prediction was made in 2005. Many have been waiting to see if, and or when Mr. Dames "kill shot" prediction would ever materialize.



Edited to remove video that can be seen in above post.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 07/09/2011 05:53 PM
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Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
last space shuttle went up today

will we see the Killshot?
want to learn more?




 Quoting: NiNzrez


New killshot video by ed dames coming soon

The Killshot: Approaching the Moment… coming soon on DVD and Blu-ray... for FREE!

The first of several shocking announcements for 2011 is that Major Ed Dames has just wrapped up production with the crew at ‘Remote Viewing Products’ for an entirely new documentary called “The Killshot: Approaching the Moment”! This new in-depth film will provide all the latest updates and predictions for this rapidly approaching event. The official website and trailer will be up within the next 1-2 weeks.

In the meantime, here’s the film's cover and a frame from Ed’s interview.

DVD/Bluray cover...


Frame from Ed's Interview...
tomasgod1

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
last space shuttle went up today

will we see the Killshot?
want to learn more?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Are you freakin serious! Posting these at the same time!

Your videos wern't there when I started posting. I still didn't see them untill I came back to see the new post that had been added. chuckle I would have gotten it up earlier today but my internet has been down`:(

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 07/09/2011 01:42 AM
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.rvcommunity.net]
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2011 01:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
last space shuttle went up today

will we see the Killshot?
want to learn more?

 Quoting: NiNzrez


If there is a meteor shower and the shuttle is forced to land doom on DOOM on DOOM ON eqeqeqeqsfan

New World Atlas

IMAGE ( [link to www.bibliotecapleyades.net] )
Red Hot Chilean Pepe (nli)
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07/09/2011 01:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm sure most of us are already wondering if anything will happen. I bet not even Dames thought the day his credibility would be put to test would come. If nothing happens, his whole remote viewing theory will be dismissed, as the space shutle should never fly again and thus his Killshot scenario will be instantly negated. However, the Shutle just launched and we are going to have a really interesting 12 days ahead...
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2011 01:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm sure most of us are already wondering if anything will happen. I bet not even Dames thought the day his credibility would be put to test would come. If nothing happens, his whole remote viewing theory will be dismissed, as the space shutle should never fly again and thus his Killshot scenario will be instantly negated. However, the Shutle just launched and we are going to have a really interesting 12 days ahead...
 Quoting: Red Hot Chilean Pepe (nli) 1460594


According to the rvforum/ED Dames, one critical preceding event that can/must happen before the killshot is

THE USE OF NUKE BY NORTH KOREA in anger!abombabombabombabombabombabomb

[link to www.rvcommunity.net]

So if the above truly occurs, we know sfan sfan sfan sfan


ED Dames
"All warring parties will disperse and go home when they look UP"
tomasgod1

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1527
Issue Time: 2011 Jul 09 0358 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2011 Jul 09 0358 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC
Station: Boulder
Active Warning: Yes






Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 706
Issue Time: 2011 Jul 09 0524 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2011 Jul 09 0525 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Jul 09 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


So I tried to warn her
I turned to see her weep
Forty days and forty nights
And it's still coming down on me

There's a big
A big hard sun
Beating on the big people
In a big hard world
fairflight

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07/09/2011 11:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Got to wonder if the influx of 'jellyfish' causing problems for the nuclear plants, might not have much to do with the sun.

They bloom in spring and summer..

"The presence of ocean blooms is usually seasonal, responding to prey availability and increasing with temperature and sunshine."

We know the sun is in an 'active' phase and there are many reports (Israel, UK, Japan, etc.) of the creatures wreaking havoc by clogging cooling systems of nuclear plants.

This is usually a natural occurance but as of late seems to epic.
"Man was also in the beginning with God. Intelligence, or the light of truth, was not created or made, neither indeed can be. ALL truth is independent in that sphere in which God has placed it, to act for itself."
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2011 01:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Direct hit?

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Silent Wind

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07/09/2011 01:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1272162


Anyone else starting to think these are BS? I've seen some HUGE ones go by and not really affect the earth, at least not noticeably.
Comforting the disturbed and disturbing the comfortable.

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1272162


Anyone else starting to think these are BS? I've seen some HUGE ones go by and not really affect the earth, at least not noticeably.
 Quoting: Silent Wind


I've had that theory for some time now in relation to most of the data that is released to us. Atleast a day of lag. BUT, this specific animation clearly shows that the cme isn't suppose to make contact with us for about 2-3 days. (Check the date/runtime at the top correlating with the animation.)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
7.0 2011/07/10 00:57:13 38.040 143.287 34.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

and a big CME
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
AlphaRecon

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
7.0 2011/07/10 00:57:13 38.040 143.287 34.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

and a big CME
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


HIYA NIN!





GLP