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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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01/25/2013 02:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
23rds' Kapow [link to www.sidc.oma.be] she blew some chunks there!

This doesn't appear to be only confined to the region highlighted [link to www.sidc.oma.be] it looks like material is also ejecting at 2 and 5 on the dial,less' that is due to a simultaneous eruption somewhere else on the disc.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/25/2013 03:00 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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01/25/2013 03:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So damn quiet....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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01/25/2013 03:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So damn quiet....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Hello GM,yes SS and Flare wise it is for sure.

Though there was a Filament in the Mid-North of the disc that ejected not too long ago [link to halpha.nso.edu] it is quite faint but still there.

With regard Solar events and Sunspots,according to this plot [link to www.sidc.oma.be] of Sunspot Number and CMEs' there appears to be little difference in the output of CMEs' compared to the relative amount of Sunspots from the last Cycle.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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01/25/2013 03:56 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So damn quiet....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Hello GM,yes SS and Flare wise it is for sure.

Though there was a Filament in the Mid-North of the disc that ejected not too long ago [link to halpha.nso.edu] it is quite faint but still there.

With regard Solar events and Sunspots,according to this plot [link to www.sidc.oma.be] of Sunspot Number and CMEs' there appears to be little difference in the output of CMEs' compared to the relative amount of Sunspots from the last Cycle.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Was there a CME with the mid disk filament eruption?
Spittin'Cesium

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01/25/2013 04:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So damn quiet....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Hello GM,yes SS and Flare wise it is for sure.

Though there was a Filament in the Mid-North of the disc that ejected not too long ago [link to halpha.nso.edu] it is quite faint but still there.

With regard Solar events and Sunspots,according to this plot [link to www.sidc.oma.be] of Sunspot Number and CMEs' there appears to be little difference in the output of CMEs' compared to the relative amount of Sunspots from the last Cycle.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Was there a CME with the mid disk filament eruption?
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Well,the Filament left the Chromosphere so it must of if only a little,produced an ejection.

Edit:Though nothing is really visible on Stereo Ahead [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/25/2013 04:43 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 07:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This morning covered by a lot speculations about what this morning was a huge flare in the direction of the Earth (some even loaded it pictures from the site of SOHO, and claim that they are then removed).
Here's
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
see there was something real or not is not possible - the time interval for pictures Ahead c 01:15 to 6:05 for some reason is missing. Maybe there equipment at this time did not work? Does anyone know anything about this?
Tiny Trink

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01/25/2013 07:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 07:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Nothing about today morning...
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 08:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If your asking if there are data gaps, yes on a regular basis.
:eyes1:

In regards to a hidden flare, here's the GOES Xray chart for the 23rd, 24th, and 25th, and I don't see anything but small B class flares.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

There was a filament eruption just around 5:45 UTC, at around mid disc, but nothing too significant.

[link to helioviewer.org]




You'd have to fudge A LOT of data to hide solar activity of any consequence IMO, an I have to believe that's not the case at least this time around.


Good morning sunnies sun
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 08:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If your asking if there are data gaps, yes on a regular basis.
:eyes1:

In regards to a hidden flare, here's the GOES Xray chart for the 23rd, 24th, and 25th, and I don't see anything but small B class flares.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

There was a filament eruption just around 5:45 UTC, at around mid disc, but nothing too significant.

[link to helioviewer.org]




You'd have to fudge A LOT of data to hide solar activity of any consequence IMO, an I have to believe that's not the case at least this time around.


Good morning sunnies sun
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks hf
I saw already all these data, and that's why I asked
"Does anyone know anything about this" tantrum
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 08:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
About what ??? What are you asking ?
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 08:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
About what ??? What are you asking ?
 Quoting: TS66


That
...this morning was a huge flare in the direction of the Earth and some people even loaded it pictures from the site of SOHO, and then this pictures was removed).
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32977726
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 08:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Again there is no evidence of any flare or filament eruption of consequence on any of the data.

The sun is asleep, and people are looking for some action, there isn't any, so they make it up. Most of us here would take a screen shot of anything suspicious, or data is contradicting itself.

I would hope these "informants" would have the same capabilities.
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 08:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Again there is no evidence of any flare or filament eruption of consequence on any of the data.

The sun is asleep, and people are looking for some action, there isn't any, so they make it up. Most of us here would take a screen shot of anything suspicious, or data is contradicting itself.

I would hope these "informants" would have the same capabilities.
 Quoting: TS66


I too (also more then doubt in their abilities) , thankshf
Spittin'Cesium

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01/25/2013 08:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This morning covered by a lot speculations about what this morning was a huge flare in the direction of the Earth (some even loaded it pictures from the site of SOHO, and claim that they are then removed).
Here's
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
see there was something real or not is not possible - the time interval for pictures Ahead c 01:15 to 6:05 for some reason is missing. Maybe there equipment at this time did not work? Does anyone know anything about this?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32977726


I have not seen any evidence of a giant Flare or even a tiny one for that matter : )

Here are the X-Rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] nothing on there,not even a time gap so there appears to be no truth in that rumorsunhf

I think I can make out a faint CME on Stereo Behind HI1 [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] but that is about it,spare the tiny Filament that lifted of from Mid-North of the disc earlier this Morning seen here [link to halpha.nso.edu] .

Rice and Peas.

cosmos

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/25/2013 08:46 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 32475517
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01/25/2013 08:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This morning covered by a lot speculations about what this morning was a huge flare in the direction of the Earth (some even loaded it pictures from the site of SOHO, and claim that they are then removed).
Here's
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
see there was something real or not is not possible - the time interval for pictures Ahead c 01:15 to 6:05 for some reason is missing. Maybe there equipment at this time did not work? Does anyone know anything about this?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32977726


I have not seen any evidence of a giant Flare or even a tiny one for that matter : )

Here are the X-Rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] nothing on there,not even a time gap so there appears to be no truth in that rumorsunhf

I think I can make out a faint CME on Stereo Behind HI1 [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] but that is about it,spare the tiny Filament that lifted of from Mid-North of the disc earlier this Morning seen here [link to halpha.nso.edu] .

Rice and Peas.

:cosmos:
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


What he said ^^^ LOL. wink
psyoptics

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01/25/2013 10:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
there seems to be an increase in things.

CH chart

TY TS
[link to www.solen.info]

Last Edited by psyoptics on 01/25/2013 10:09 AM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Da fuq

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01/25/2013 10:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

It has never broke 102.

We are getting smacked by something not from the sun.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 01/25/2013 10:18 AM
shenue

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01/25/2013 10:18 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning Everyone

a muah smilie
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Kael

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01/25/2013 10:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

It has never broke 102.

We are getting smacked by something not from the sun.
 Quoting: Da fuq


:beulenbump:
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 10:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

It has never broke 102.

We are getting smacked by something not from the sun.
 Quoting: Da fuq




Lets start with the Earths rotation around the sun, giving you dates and locations as to where the Earth is located not only to the sun but also the center of our galaxy....

I will start with December 21 2012 because of all the hype and mystery surounding this date....

This is Earths (winter solstice) nothern hemisphere (summer solstice) southern hemisphere, in 2012 Earth and our Sun were also inline with the center of our Galaxy.....

I have heard a rumor that the Mayans were very intersted in this date, but apparently nothing happened, as most people were predicting doom on this date and focussing more on an END than a BEGINNIG...

I will focus on a beginning because it is obvious that there was no end, other than the calender....

The beginning of what....

OK lets move forward a little in our Earths rotation...

Our next date is January 3 2013, this date is called the Periapis, and is noted to be the day where our earth is at it's closest point to our Sun in the 365 day rotation (147 million kilometers), at this date our Sun is no longer blocking us from the energy comming from the center of our Galaxy, we start to "GET A LITTLE" if you know what I mean...

Please remember as you read this, that a whole lot of people have been wondering why earth facing sun spots have been silent only to become very active once they turn the corner and face away from us....

Moving on to our next date in our Earths rotation....

March 21 Equinox, now we are fully exposed to the center of our Galaxy with the Sun at our side, and giving us no protection from the center of the galaxy, we can expect more solar flares combined with more energy from the center of our Galaxy. This will increase immensely until we arrive at our next date in our Earths rotation....

June 21 (summer solstice) nothern hemisphere, (winter solstice)southern hemisphere....

I believe this will be huge, this to me is the "GRAND ALIGNMENT"....

The alignment will be,the center of our Galaxy then Earth then our Sun, our Earth being smack dab in the middle of the center of our Galaxy and our Sun....

Can you imagine the "ENERGY" we will recieve on our Earth getting pumped from both sides....

There will be mass energy comming from the center of the Galaxy on one side of Earth, and major solar flares blowing at us from our Sun on the other side....OUCH!

It's kind of hard for me to move on to the next stage of our Earths rotation because I dont really know if there is going to be much left of us after june 21 2013, this is why I believe the Mayan date of december 21 was a BEGINNING to an END....

Any how lets move to the next stage of our Earths rotation...

July 3 2013 known as "Apoapsis", this is where our Earth is is at it's furthest distance from our Sun (152 million kilometers) we are still being affected by the center of our Galaxy and strong flares from our sun, The good new is from this date we begin to go back to our hiding spot behind our Sun from the center of our Galaxy, hopefully all we lose is sattelites and power, but I dont think the Mayans were referring to that stuff.....

I was going to note natural catastrphes and major solar activity that have happened from January 3 "Periapis" to July 3 "Apoaopsis", but I think you all can do the math your self....

The next 6 months will prove this undoubtedley.....

link to Earths rotation around our Sun....

[link to en.wikipedia.org]


Thread: Must Read...Our Sun has been protecting us from our Center ....Not any more though!
psyoptics

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01/25/2013 10:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

It has never broke 102.

We are getting smacked by something not from the sun.
 Quoting: Da fuq


[link to www.cosmicrays.unam.mx]
we are getting hit hard in the later years but it has been stronger

plot by day.
go back to 1990.

Last Edited by psyoptics on 01/25/2013 10:31 AM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Da fuq

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01/25/2013 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

It has never broke 102.

We are getting smacked by something not from the sun.
 Quoting: Da fuq


[link to www.cosmicrays.unam.mx]
we are getting hit hard in the later years but it has been stronger

plot by day.
go back to 1990.
 Quoting: psyoptics


Maybe that was the beginning damned
Da fuq

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01/25/2013 10:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

It has never broke 102.

We are getting smacked by something not from the sun.
 Quoting: Da fuq




Lets start with the Earths rotation around the sun, giving you dates and locations as to where the Earth is located not only to the sun but also the center of our galaxy....

I will start with December 21 2012 because of all the hype and mystery surounding this date....

This is Earths (winter solstice) nothern hemisphere (summer solstice) southern hemisphere, in 2012 Earth and our Sun were also inline with the center of our Galaxy.....

I have heard a rumor that the Mayans were very intersted in this date, but apparently nothing happened, as most people were predicting doom on this date and focussing more on an END than a BEGINNIG...

I will focus on a beginning because it is obvious that there was no end, other than the calender....

The beginning of what....

OK lets move forward a little in our Earths rotation...

Our next date is January 3 2013, this date is called the Periapis, and is noted to be the day where our earth is at it's closest point to our Sun in the 365 day rotation (147 million kilometers), at this date our Sun is no longer blocking us from the energy comming from the center of our Galaxy, we start to "GET A LITTLE" if you know what I mean...

Please remember as you read this, that a whole lot of people have been wondering why earth facing sun spots have been silent only to become very active once they turn the corner and face away from us....

Moving on to our next date in our Earths rotation....

March 21 Equinox, now we are fully exposed to the center of our Galaxy with the Sun at our side, and giving us no protection from the center of the galaxy, we can expect more solar flares combined with more energy from the center of our Galaxy. This will increase immensely until we arrive at our next date in our Earths rotation....

June 21 (summer solstice) nothern hemisphere, (winter solstice)southern hemisphere....

I believe this will be huge, this to me is the "GRAND ALIGNMENT"....

The alignment will be,the center of our Galaxy then Earth then our Sun, our Earth being smack dab in the middle of the center of our Galaxy and our Sun....

Can you imagine the "ENERGY" we will recieve on our Earth getting pumped from both sides....

There will be mass energy comming from the center of the Galaxy on one side of Earth, and major solar flares blowing at us from our Sun on the other side....OUCH!

It's kind of hard for me to move on to the next stage of our Earths rotation because I dont really know if there is going to be much left of us after june 21 2013, this is why I believe the Mayan date of december 21 was a BEGINNING to an END....

Any how lets move to the next stage of our Earths rotation...

July 3 2013 known as "Apoapsis", this is where our Earth is is at it's furthest distance from our Sun (152 million kilometers) we are still being affected by the center of our Galaxy and strong flares from our sun, The good new is from this date we begin to go back to our hiding spot behind our Sun from the center of our Galaxy, hopefully all we lose is sattelites and power, but I dont think the Mayans were referring to that stuff.....

I was going to note natural catastrphes and major solar activity that have happened from January 3 "Periapis" to July 3 "Apoaopsis", but I think you all can do the math your self....

The next 6 months will prove this undoubtedley.....

link to Earths rotation around our Sun....

[link to en.wikipedia.org]


Thread: Must Read...Our Sun has been protecting us from our Center ....Not any more though!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5779176


+1 I like it.
43434
muse_1111

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01/25/2013 10:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning, Suncrew!
HAARP is starting to light up - [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
and it looks like some rise in ACE data - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Could this be the onset of the coronal hole stream?
Da fuq

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01/25/2013 10:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning, Suncrew!
HAARP is starting to light up - [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
and it looks like some rise in ACE data - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Could this be the onset of the coronal hole stream?
 Quoting: muse_1111


[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]
muse_1111

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01/25/2013 11:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So very strange...the Emergency Broadcast alert just went off on my cable TV for almost a minute, but there was no transmission other than the alert. Usually there is a voice message that comes on after the alert stating it is just a test, or what the emergency is.
Maybe it's just interference, but it set me on edge!
Anonymous Coward
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01/25/2013 11:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So very strange...the Emergency Broadcast alert just went off on my cable TV for almost a minute, but there was no transmission other than the alert. Usually there is a voice message that comes on after the alert stating it is just a test, or what the emergency is.
Maybe it's just interference, but it set me on edge!
 Quoting: muse_1111


The EBS certainly has more meaning to me in the past 2 years than it ever has before also ....
Spittin'Cesium

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01/25/2013 11:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Funny you mention that now...I have just been trawling through some older Solar Data/Stats and concluded that the period around November 2011 resembled a Solar Max. in terms of Sunspot Number and Flare Output,here -

[link to www.solen.info] Note the Sunspot Number around 2011/11/06 is 209 which is higher than present.

I will post some of the images and data from that period to try and show that this cycle(as we know)is way,way off...here is the Sun as of November 6th 2011 [link to www.solen.info] Stats. page [link to www.solen.info] Note that the Southern CH is Blue(positive)and the North CH Red(negative) - Compare the CH Polarity with the present,I'll use the December Rotation to illustrate my point [link to www.solen.info] Yes,opposite.

Now some other images from the late 2011 period along with the page so that you can view the Stats. for yourselves -

Solar Image October 2011 [link to www.solen.info] and page [link to www.solen.info]

November 4th 2011 [link to www.solen.info] Stats. - The background x-ray flux is at the class C3 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 9 spotted regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11330 [N07W85] rotated partly out of view at the northwest limb.
Region 11332 [N32W54] was quiet and stable.
Region 11334 [N13W33] was quiet and stable.
Region 11336 [N15E13] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11337 [N18E27] developed slowly and was quiet.
Region 11338 [S13E43] was quiet and stable.
Region 11339 [N19E58] is a complex, compact, very large region with the potential to produce X10+ class flares. There is a significant magnetic delta structure in the central part and the region will likely continue to produce lots of flares. Flares: C4.4 at 00:18, C3.4 at 01:30, C2.9 at 03:25, C3.2 at 07:15, C2.1 at 09:44, C3.4 at 10:11, M2.5 at 11:11, C1.5 at 14:08, C3.8 at 14:54, C2.2 at 18:09, C4.5 at 18:53, impulsive major X1.9/2B at 20:27, C5.4/1N at 22:18, C9.2 at 23:13, M2.1 at 23:36 UTC. Initially it appeared as if a large CME observed late in the day was associated with the X1 event. However, the source of that CME was backsided.

Jumping forward to July 5th 2012 [link to www.solen.info] [link to www.solen.info] Stats. - The background x-ray flux is at the class C5 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 11 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11512 [S15W84] added trailing spots and was quiet.
Region 11513 [N15W37] decayed slowly and remains capable of producing C and M class flares. Flare: M1.8/2N at 16:39 UTC. This event was associated with a very weak type II radio sweep and a small CME. The CME was observed off the east limb in STEREO-A and west limb in STEREO-B and could reach Earth on July 7. The CME was not easily observed in LASCO imagery.
Region 11514 [S16W36] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11515 [S18W25] displayed impressive development in the central spot section. Several magnetic delta structures are evident as negative polarity spots are trapped inside positive polarity flux. This has caused a significant increase in the background x-ray level. There's a high probability of major M or X class flares. Flares: C5.1/1F at 01:45, C6.1 at 04:10, M2.3 at 04:37, C6.7 at 09:06, major M5.3/2B at 09:55, C5.8 at 11:17, C5.6 at 14:13, M1.3/1F at 14:40, C8.2 at 14:49, C6.4 at 15:50, C6.9 at 16:12, C9.5 at 21:27, M4.6 at 22:09, C7.4 at 22:45, M1.2 at 23:55 UTC.
Region 11516 [N12W53] decayed slowly and quetly.
Region 11517 [N19W13] decayed slowly and quietly.
New region 11518 [N09E68] rotated into view on July 3 and was numbered by SWPC the next day.
New region 11519 [S15E76] rotated into view with a single spot. (I can clearly remember AR1515(Isis)as she put out a great show)

July 6th [link to www.solen.info] Stats. - The background x-ray flux is at the class C2 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 14 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11513 [N15W51] decayed losing most of the small spots and simpified magnetically. The single penumbra was mostly unchanged.
Region 11514 [S18W49] decayed further and could soon become spotless.
Region 11515 [S17W38] lost a few spots and what was a major magnetic delta decreased in size and importance. There are currently small magnetic delta structures in all large penumbrae. M class flares are highly likely and there's a chance of an X class flare. Flares: M1.2 at 00:38, M3.7 at 01:10, M1.2 at 01:31, C9.9 at 01:41, C8.1 at 02:05, C7.9 at 02:26, M3.3 at 02:42, M1.1 at 03:31, M7.8 at 03:36, M3.0 at 03:42, M1.1 at 04:45, C8.5 at 05:05, M1.2 at 06:53, M1.6 at 07:45, C8.0 at 09:30, M2.3 at 10:48, C9.2 at 10:56, M8.7 at 11:44, M1.4 at 13:20, C9.5 at 13:55, C8.4 at 14:46, C6.1 at 15:59 ... UTC. In addition 2 M and several C flares were recorded later in the day. The flare list is according to SDO/SAM/EVE 1 minute measurements.
Region 11517 [N19W26] added a few spots but lost mature penumbra.
Region 11518 [N09E53] was quiet and stable.
Region 11519 [S16E62] was quiet and stable.

Anyway,I'll stop there(excuse me folks)I am pretty sure you get the point I am trying to make...I invite anyone to go back and view other Dates ranging from around October/November 2011 through Mid 2012 and note the Magnetic Complexity of the Active Regions,the SS Number and output in X-Rays as well as the SW Speeds and migrating CHs' and I think you may conclude the same as I am beginning to - That Solar Max. happened already though we may get another short round if the Solar output in X-Rays increases and the Sunspot count goes above the November 2011 high of 209.

Again,please excuse my diatribe,I can't help itsunhf

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/25/2013 11:45 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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01/25/2013 12:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Before I go,Incoming [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .

Keep a watch Sol'Peeps.

:Science12:

nebula

cosmos

fuckscience

sunhf

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/25/2013 12:54 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1

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