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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Da fuq

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01/29/2013 01:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The best solar max ever.
Isis One

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01/29/2013 01:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I concur SC, gone to sleep

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

circleing crow

Last Edited by Isis One on 01/29/2013 01:05 AM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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01/29/2013 01:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Night All!
goodnight
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 01:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Night All!
goodnight
 Quoting: Isis One


Nacht Nacht Isissleeping
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 01:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
very cool video on this link [link to earthsky.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33184649


this is for people who have never seen a moon halo
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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01/29/2013 02:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The best solar max ever.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Wow!!! A great solar max indeed. I'm having Earth-directed CME withdrawal symptoms.
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 03:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The best solar max ever.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Wow!!! A great solar max indeed. I'm having Earth-directed CME withdrawal symptoms.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Indeed,both.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 03:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
uhoh [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] violin

pope

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/29/2013 03:27 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 03:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Not Found

The requested URL /rt_plots/xray_1m.htmlviolin was not found on this server.
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 03:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two Coronal Holes coming [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I can almost make out Big Bird in the Eastern most CH with the fainter lower features.

I could just be trippin ballz.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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01/29/2013 03:33 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Not Found

The requested URL /rt_plots/xray_1m.htmlviolin was not found on this server.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33184649


Worked for me. Anyways it's the X-ray chart flat lining at the very bottom level of "B"
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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01/29/2013 03:34 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two Coronal Holes coming [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I can almost make out Big Bird in the Eastern most CH with the fainter lower features.

I could just be trippin ballz.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I think your trippin balls. yoda
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 03:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Not Found

The requested URL /rt_plots/xray_1m.htmlviolin was not found on this server.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33184649


Really?

Well it is almost B0.0 which is highly disconcerting.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 03:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two Coronal Holes coming [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I can almost make out Big Bird in the Eastern most CH with the fainter lower features.

I could just be trippin ballz.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I think your trippin balls. yoda
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


You're.

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 04:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two Coronal Holes coming [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I can almost make out Big Bird in the Eastern most CH with the fainter lower features.

I could just be trippin ballz.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


looks more like a retarded duck
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 04:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two Coronal Holes coming [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] I can almost make out Big Bird in the Eastern most CH with the fainter lower features.

I could just be trippin ballz.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


looks more like a retarded duck
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33184649


That is what it looked like last time!

If only I knew the smilie.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/29/2013 04:02 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 05:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Stereo has been Updating for the last couple Hours [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] and it shows the South-Western Ejection but the Mid-Northern Ejection has been amiss on the available Coronagraphs?

You can see the Ejection here [link to sdodata.oma.be] occurring literally just before the CME that is on Stereo...so,where is this ejection?

It couldn't have been fast enough to make it 'out of shot' as I saw Aheads Update around 06:55 and there was no CME headed North...I am befuddled.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Kael

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01/29/2013 06:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The best solar max ever.
 Quoting: Da fuq


lmao
sun

Last Edited by Kael on 01/29/2013 06:55 AM
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
Tiny Trink

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01/29/2013 08:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 08:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Hello and thank you for posting your Daily Post Tinkus Maximussunhf

I can't believe he missed the obvious Mid-Northern Eruption also,it is clearly visible on the whole disc movie clips he uses...nevermind,it appears everything else failed to register this apart from the eyes of Spittin'Cesium,here it is plain as Day [link to sdodata.oma.be] on all these Channels [link to sdodata.oma.be] [link to sdodata.oma.be] [link to sdodata.oma.be]

And even on H alpha [link to halpha.nso.edu] But as I posted about earlier this has somehow gone missing on the Coronagraphs!?

Very strange...The ejection from the South-West is visible on the Coronagraphs but no sign of the Mid-Northern CME...I am at a loss.

scratching

sunhf

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 01/29/2013 08:58 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
psyoptics

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01/29/2013 08:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so let me recap the temps by me for 1 week?????
last friday....11 degrees F
sat 29F
sun 34F
lets jump to today
48f
coming wed....59F?????????
coming thur. 28F
they are predicting a 30 degree drop over freaking night.
and now the severe storm warning are coming out today for wed and wed night.
up 48 degrees in 5 days then down 30 over night?

in Jan?

how does one dress for this on Wednesday?
oh by the way these are the daily HIGHS!

Last Edited by psyoptics on 01/29/2013 09:00 AM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Luisport

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01/29/2013 10:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 11:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Nin, when the cat's away ......
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 11:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Nin, when the cat's away ......
 Quoting: TS66


Word.

Hello 66sunhf

What do you make of the obvious CME I posted Above ^ ^ that went missing on the Coronagraphs Sol'Agent!?

It is very much confounding for me as obvious CME is obviouswtf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Moulin_Jean

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01/29/2013 11:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Luisport


Marvelous Luisport ! THX ! Short is 58years. & thx to all too for your hard work. Follow you by months :D

Last Edited by Moulin_Jean on 01/29/2013 11:56 AM
"The elite of this country make and undo fashions, according to the maxim that proclaims:" I think, so you follow ".

Pierre Desproges
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Nin, when the cat's away ......
 Quoting: TS66


Word.

Hello 66sunhf

What do you make of the obvious CME I posted Above ^ ^ that went missing on the Coronagraphs Sol'Agent!?

It is very much confounding for me as obvious CME is obviouswtf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



hi Hon !!
I wish I could respond , but I' on a tablet and am having a hard time looking at your data sigh

To just understand, there were 2 eruptions and resulting CMEs that GOES didn't pick up, and are now missing from SOHO LASCO (chronograph ???)
Da fuq

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01/29/2013 12:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The weather is about to get real bad.

:5324f:
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 12:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Funny you mention that now...I have just been trawling through some older Solar Data/Stats and concluded that the period around November 2011 resembled a Solar Max. in terms of Sunspot Number and Flare Output,here -

[link to www.solen.info] Note the Sunspot Number around 2011/11/06 is 209 which is higher than present.

I will post some of the images and data from that period to try and show that this cycle(as we know)is way,way off...here is the Sun as of November 6th 2011 [link to www.solen.info] Stats. page [link to www.solen.info] Note that the Southern CH is Blue(positive)and the North CH Red(negative) - Compare the CH Polarity with the present,I'll use the December Rotation to illustrate my point [link to www.solen.info] Yes,opposite.

Now some other images from the late 2011 period along with the page so that you can view the Stats. for yourselves -

Solar Image October 2011 [link to www.solen.info] and page [link to www.solen.info]

November 4th 2011 [link to www.solen.info] Stats. - The background x-ray flux is at the class C3 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 9 spotted regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11330 [N07W85] rotated partly out of view at the northwest limb.
Region 11332 [N32W54] was quiet and stable.
Region 11334 [N13W33] was quiet and stable.
Region 11336 [N15E13] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11337 [N18E27] developed slowly and was quiet.
Region 11338 [S13E43] was quiet and stable.
Region 11339 [N19E58] is a complex, compact, very large region with the potential to produce X10+ class flares. There is a significant magnetic delta structure in the central part and the region will likely continue to produce lots of flares. Flares: C4.4 at 00:18, C3.4 at 01:30, C2.9 at 03:25, C3.2 at 07:15, C2.1 at 09:44, C3.4 at 10:11, M2.5 at 11:11, C1.5 at 14:08, C3.8 at 14:54, C2.2 at 18:09, C4.5 at 18:53, impulsive major X1.9/2B at 20:27, C5.4/1N at 22:18, C9.2 at 23:13, M2.1 at 23:36 UTC. Initially it appeared as if a large CME observed late in the day was associated with the X1 event. However, the source of that CME was backsided.

Jumping forward to July 5th 2012 [link to www.solen.info] [link to www.solen.info] Stats. - The background x-ray flux is at the class C5 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 11 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11512 [S15W84] added trailing spots and was quiet.
Region 11513 [N15W37] decayed slowly and remains capable of producing C and M class flares. Flare: M1.8/2N at 16:39 UTC. This event was associated with a very weak type II radio sweep and a small CME. The CME was observed off the east limb in STEREO-A and west limb in STEREO-B and could reach Earth on July 7. The CME was not easily observed in LASCO imagery.
Region 11514 [S16W36] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11515 [S18W25] displayed impressive development in the central spot section. Several magnetic delta structures are evident as negative polarity spots are trapped inside positive polarity flux. This has caused a significant increase in the background x-ray level. There's a high probability of major M or X class flares. Flares: C5.1/1F at 01:45, C6.1 at 04:10, M2.3 at 04:37, C6.7 at 09:06, major M5.3/2B at 09:55, C5.8 at 11:17, C5.6 at 14:13, M1.3/1F at 14:40, C8.2 at 14:49, C6.4 at 15:50, C6.9 at 16:12, C9.5 at 21:27, M4.6 at 22:09, C7.4 at 22:45, M1.2 at 23:55 UTC.
Region 11516 [N12W53] decayed slowly and quetly.
Region 11517 [N19W13] decayed slowly and quietly.
New region 11518 [N09E68] rotated into view on July 3 and was numbered by SWPC the next day.
New region 11519 [S15E76] rotated into view with a single spot. (I can clearly remember AR1515(Isis)as she put out a great show)

July 6th [link to www.solen.info] Stats. - The background x-ray flux is at the class C2 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 14 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11513 [N15W51] decayed losing most of the small spots and simpified magnetically. The single penumbra was mostly unchanged.
Region 11514 [S18W49] decayed further and could soon become spotless.
Region 11515 [S17W38] lost a few spots and what was a major magnetic delta decreased in size and importance. There are currently small magnetic delta structures in all large penumbrae. M class flares are highly likely and there's a chance of an X class flare. Flares: M1.2 at 00:38, M3.7 at 01:10, M1.2 at 01:31, C9.9 at 01:41, C8.1 at 02:05, C7.9 at 02:26, M3.3 at 02:42, M1.1 at 03:31, M7.8 at 03:36, M3.0 at 03:42, M1.1 at 04:45, C8.5 at 05:05, M1.2 at 06:53, M1.6 at 07:45, C8.0 at 09:30, M2.3 at 10:48, C9.2 at 10:56, M8.7 at 11:44, M1.4 at 13:20, C9.5 at 13:55, C8.4 at 14:46, C6.1 at 15:59 ... UTC. In addition 2 M and several C flares were recorded later in the day. The flare list is according to SDO/SAM/EVE 1 minute measurements.
Region 11517 [N19W26] added a few spots but lost mature penumbra.
Region 11518 [N09E53] was quiet and stable.
Region 11519 [S16E62] was quiet and stable.

Anyway,I'll stop there(excuse me folks)I am pretty sure you get the point I am trying to make...I invite anyone to go back and view other Dates ranging from around October/November 2011 through Mid 2012 and note the Magnetic Complexity of the Active Regions,the SS Number and output in X-Rays as well as the SW Speeds and migrating CHs' and I think you may conclude the same as I am beginning to - That Solar Max. happened already though we may get another short round if the Solar output in X-Rays increases and the Sunspot count goes above the November 2011 high of 209.

Again,please excuse my diatribe,I can't help itsunhf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I've become complacent in my drive to figure out sol!
Things are still off in its energetic signature yet I'm now content to relax and let it show me its diversity, the way of our energy is so interconnected to it and all vibrating, electric bodies, souls, the Dow, spirit and cognitive resonance. You searchers, bayards of of it all, have my complete respect and I'll continue to watch and listen to your insight in these ever increasing days of coherent countdowns.
Peace my friends!
Chad
 Quoting: shadasonic


Much,much Luv and Respect to you Sol'Bro - you got the gifts Shada.

Yes,I agree the Suns' refusal to behave in the manner it should have been doing for not just the last Year but for the last Minimum and this supposed Maximum - But we watchsunhf

Here Shads,if you've not already taken a Butchers Hook( [link to www.urbandictionary.com]

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

34 Year Magnetic Field Data Plot [link to wso.stanford.edu] <--- Note.

Stanford Wilcox Solar Pole Plot for the Time period 1st January 1997 - 31st December 2012 [link to wso.stanford.edu] <--- Notice still the drop visible over the shorter period.

sunhf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Thanks Nin, when the cat's away ......
 Quoting: TS66


Word.

Hello 66sunhf

What do you make of the obvious CME I posted Above ^ ^ that went missing on the Coronagraphs Sol'Agent!?

It is very much confounding for me as obvious CME is obviouswtf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



hi Hon !!
I wish I could respond , but I' on a tablet and am having a hard time looking at your data sigh

To just understand, there were 2 eruptions and resulting CMEs that GOES didn't pick up, and are now missing from SOHO LASCO (chronograph ???)
 Quoting: TS66


hiSol'Agent and SupremesunWatcher - To clarify,not two missing CMEs' just the one from the Mid-North of the disc at the same moment,more or less,as the South-Western ejection visible on Stereo - Cannae' find it...Nevermind : )

The Msg. I'd just posted you had links that didn't show so I thought I'd repost the observations with the Above ^ ^ quoted Comments so you can(when you have the time)take a peep to see what I was trying to get at.

One more link I think very important for this issue is a Plot of the Sunspot Number to CME Ratio since 1997,here [link to www.sidc.oma.be] the obvious thing to note from that is the apparent lack of correlation of CMEs' to Sunspot Numbers with the CME count being around the same if not more than the last Cycle - This I find very intriguingscratching

Much Respect to you always 66hf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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01/29/2013 12:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The weather is about to get real bad.

:5324f:
 Quoting: Da fuq


Why do you conclude that new Sol'Bro'?

Because of the CHs'?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Da fuq

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01/29/2013 12:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The weather is about to get real bad.

:5324f:
 Quoting: Da fuq


Why do you conclude that new Sol'Bro'?

Because of the CHs'?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Yup, that CH coming around the bend is huge.

The earthfacing quiet will continue, this is not a maunder minimum. No way in hell earth has that huge an influence on the earth facing sun.

Severe weather outbreak in the southern united states again, tornadoes and what not.... during WINTER. This is either the 2nd or 3rd time this has happened in that area this season.

The earth receives information how to behave much like our sun receives information to act the way it is now. I assume the sun is tethered to the galactic center or a larger star closer to the center, Sirius?


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