SOLAR WATCH * 255 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

Supermassive black hole weighed using new scale

[link to www.bbc.co.uk]

Something affecting our atmosphere right now Solmigos? My feet are on fire and have bad pins & needles (tingling). I saw the cosmic ray pinned thread and noticed Isis said we had 2 GRB's? What is the verdict on what's going on now? Any CME's hitting us? Coronol hole(s)?

Thanks.

Reminds of me an elderly gent, Ham Radio operator...incredibly intelligent and wise. Also, where have I heard, "My God, it's full of stars!"

[link to helios.izmiran.rssi.ru]

That has to be error.


[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]
I have never seen it even close to 10,000. I don't get how there is no increase on the right panel.


This happens every now and again mate, its just when they place the daily total on the monthly chart...it will be back to normal scale 2moro..
Peace
Nerd

Last Edited by nerdrage88sasr on 01/31/2013 06:42 PM

He came pretty close to replicating Tesla.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Da fuq on 01/31/2013 06:50 PM

This happens every now and again mate, its just when they place the daily total on the monthly chart...it will be back to normal scale 2moro..
Peace
Nerd


Doesn't appear so Nerd. Wow. That's almost an 11% rise in GLE Cosmic Rays.

This happens every now and again mate, its just when they place the daily total on the monthly chart...it will be back to normal scale 2moro..
Peace
Nerd


Howdy, Nerd, we been missin' ya! You're correct of course. If you look at the longer range plot it's plain to see that this is nothing earth-shaking.

[link to helios.izmiran.rssi.ru]

The big peak there in November 2011 nearly caused keyboards to melt down here on GLP Solar Watch, haha. If anyone's bored go back and look at the last week of Nov. 2011 on this very thread.I remember it well though I'm not sure of the exact date. I think it was Nov 21 or 23. Of course nothing unusual happened because of it. Fukushima is a far bigger threat than Galactic Cosmic Rays.

Also note on that graph that the lowest amounts of neutrons recorded were during very intense periods of geoeffective solar activity in March and July 2012. When solar influence slows down or weakens considerably we nearly always see an uptick in GCR neutrons. The sun usually blows them away from the magnetosphere when there's a strong solar plasma wind.

[link to www.solarham.net]

Direct hit.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 01/31/2013 07:38 PM

Its the grbs, they hit me hard

Doesn't appear so Nerd. Wow. That's almost an 11% rise in GLE Cosmic Rays.


I've seen this also Q, nerd and I had a talk about it a while back!

He's baa-aa-ack...the big wimp 1654. Two B-flares already today. Not so strong now are ya, tough guy?
B5.8 flare from AR1667(?)-
:1654returns:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 32 Issued at 0030Z on 01 Feb 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 31 Jan
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1662 N27W39 317 0050 Hsx 01 01 Alpha
1663 S09W24 302 0050 Cso 04 02 Beta
1665 N11E37 242 0150 Hax 02 03 Alpha
1666 S24E34 244 0010 Hrx 01 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z Jan
Nmbr Location Lo
1661 N13W63 342
II. Regions Due to Return 01 Feb to 03 Feb
Nmbr Lat Lo
1654 N07 169

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
:wimpisback:

NOAA's updated "Discussion' on filaments and CMEs-

.24 hr Summary...
Two significant filament eruptions, at least one of which appears to be
Earth-directed, were observed during the period. The first was visible
in SDO AIA 304 imagery beginning at about 31/0439 UTC and lasting until
31/0725 UTC. This filament erupted from the southeast limb. A CME was
subsequently visible in SOHO/LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery around 31/0800
UTC. Analysis suggests the CME had an Earth-directed component and was
moving at approximately 550 km/s. No radio emissions were reported with
this event. The second filament eruption occurred in the northeast
quadrant. It was first observed in SDO AIA 304 imagery at 31/1543 UTC
and lasted until 31/1742 UTC. We are awaiting coronagraph imagery to
begin an analysis of this event. Otherwise, solar activity was low.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

As an outsider helio-tard, I have to wonder how SIDC/CACTus came up with a velocity 1000kms/s faster than NOAA. Well, not having any insider info, here's my personal theory....
Since the CACTus system is an entirely automated computer detection program, it's my theory that when dealing with 'missing' data/images from SOHO/LASCO, the computer sees a large CME appear from nowhere and automatically interprets this as incredible velocities. These constant data gaps are screwin' up their own systems and forecasts. It's like a comedy of errors...one week NOAA has egg on its face and the next NASA gets a pie in the eye,LOL.

This is why I try not to get too worked up over every herky-jerky graph and NASA toy models. These are very complex systems of satellites, cameras, sensors downlinks, computers and slothful public servants. There's a lot points for stinky data to get in, and in typical bureaucratic fashion the crap just gets passed along to me , the consumer. The thing that TS66 pointed out this morning about the bad GOES 5-min. x-ray chart is totally inexcusable. That 'low-ball' x-ray flux count was seen by us here many months ago and should have been easy to fix. NOAA and NASA should hire some sun-tards with a passion for timely and flawless images & data. The sad fact is these stuffed shirts wouldn't even hire me to be a night janitor, HAHA.

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 01/31/2013 08:19 PM

Nice theory, sounds very plausible

woowho, planetary alignments create torque, I LOVE it!

This happens every now and again mate, its just when they place the daily total on the monthly chart...it will be back to normal scale 2moro..
Peace
Nerd


Nerd mate - I miss your input Brother!

Hope you are relatively OK

I look forward to your research/watching coming back to SolarWatch - You are part of the old guard.

OneLuv2.

Hello everyone else!

Hope you are all well and good,fine and dandy

Got some data I thought had gone missing from the other day I will be posting in a Minute.





Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/01/2013 06:42 AM

So then,beginning with the 193 Movie [link to sdodata.oma.be] we got the North-Eastern Filament Ejection followed by another around Mid-West that did also produce a Ejection and looks quite cool in its' appearance,nice symmetry.

And now for some CMEs - First off is the North Ejection I witnessed on the 31st that never appeared on the Coronagraphs at the time which had me a little confabulated for the intervening period,anyhoo' here it is [link to www.sidc.oma.be] quite a nice size to it as I had expected due to what I had seen on the SDO Movie at the time.

And now for some more recent,decent blasts [link to www.sidc.oma.be]

And the North-Eastern Filament Ejection [link to www.sidc.oma.be] The Stats. on this one have been computed several times now,this I am sure is the final computing of the CMEs' Statistics and it does appear after-all that its' Velocity is actually 1736Km/s - Pretty darn nippy!

I think I read that the V. had been revised by NOAA in a post from Hugh earlier - Hugh,have they again changed their mind on its' V. do you know?

I ask because I see 4/5 times this ejection has been computed by the Cactus Software with this final V. of 1736Km/S being the one they have settled on - do you have any other info that may state this is incorrect as of now Sol'Man!?

Thank Hugh and others

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/01/2013 08:06 AM

What is this? It appears to be roughly spherical by the way that plasma curves around it, especially pronounced on the 304 image.

[link to www.postimg.net]

[link to www.postimg.net]

[link to www.postimg.net]

Good morning all.

Good Morning Shenue and Everyone!



Thanks for all you do!

Guten Morgan Sol'Mumma' Shenu

Good Morning

Should be a great day!!!



Z

What you are looking at is a nice example of a cluster fuck of Magnetic Plasma Arcs and other areas of Plasma being held aloft within the cacophony of contorted Magnetic Fields on show.

It looks quite awesome still [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] also looks potentially quite violently ready to Mass Eject within the next little while...on EVE you can see a haze of Plasma emitting Soft X-Rays [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] above that region and also right up the Eastern limb,I personally think there is a good chance for a relatively decent sized CME from the region.

In other Gnewz...the Filament from the North-East has now been given a Type IV Halo status [link to www.sidc.oma.be] With a Averaged Velocity of 1453Km/S.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/01/2013 10:52 AM

Hello Z

You know,...it always cracks me up when I read your moniker.




Z

Glad to hear it Zack : )

It is supposed to be two way,serious and also quite good for the times when I am delivering the funnies or heaping the Scorn

I take it things are Ok for you Mr.Savage?

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/01/2013 11:03 AM

Well when I stop to think about it SC, things are really quite good. Got me health with no great wealth,... but I am free and easy. Looking forward to comets and asteroids and Sun gymnastics this year.

I expect nothing less than a high-energy, stellar year.
I hope that extends to all my solar friends and theirs!!

Later my friend!!
Z

Nice to see you around buddy!

Nerd mate - I miss your input Brother!

Hope you are relatively OK

I look forward to your research/watching coming back to SolarWatch - You are part of the old guard.

OneLuv2.

Hello everyone else!

Hope you are all well and good,fine and dandy

Got some data I thought had gone missing from the other day I will be posting in a Minute.






excellent unified comparison my friend!