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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
madajs

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02/13/2013 07:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
============

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 821
Issue Time: 2013 Feb 13 2339 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2013 Feb 13 2338 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Feb 14 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.


==============
 Quoting: madajs


What's going on here ???

KP wing isn't really backing it up...

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66

Well we've already reached Kp 4+ for the 2100-0000 period (also confirmed at the official index) [link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de]

There's been geomagnetic activity going on today, down around -10 nT Bz [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe NOAA expects activity to pick up again by 0600. Either way Kp 4+ is pretty good activity! (And their warning wasn't that far off if that's all the action we end up seeing) :)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Hugh M Eye

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02/13/2013 07:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Pretty weird when CMEs disappear and yield no effects; then a solar sector boundary crossing sparks up more aurora....who really knows?

NOAA-

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
speed of 418 km/s at 13/0352 UTC. Total IMF reached 11.3 nT at 13/1650
UTC. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9.3 nT at 13/1831
UTC. A solar sector boundary change from a negative (toward) to a
positive (away) sector was observed at approximately 13/0830 UTC. At
approximately 13/1900 UTC the phi angle went back to a negative
orientation and remained for a few hours before ending the period in a
positive sector.

.Forecast...
Solar wind speed is expected to be low during the period (14-16
February) with no significant changes anticipated.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was predominately quiet to unsettled with an
isolated active period from 13/2100-2400 UTC due to sustained -Bz
observed at the end of the forecast period.

.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels with a slight chance for isolated minor storming levels for the
first part of day 1 (14 February) then return to quiet to unsettled by
the end of the period. Days 2 and 3 (15-16 February) should remain at
quiet levels throughout the period.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

K-indices:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Boulder magnetometer peaked at 50nT so far:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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02/13/2013 08:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
May be a few blobs of CME still lurking out there...

A couple of nice density spikes seen at SOHO:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Not much seen at ACE however:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Nice aurora from Aurora Sky Station now:

[link to www.auroraskystation.com]

Visible over Iceland also:

[link to www.earthcam.com]
madajs

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02/13/2013 08:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
May be a few blobs of CME still lurking out there...

A couple of nice density spikes seen at SOHO:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Not much seen at ACE however:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Nice aurora from Aurora Sky Station now:

[link to www.auroraskystation.com]

Visible over Iceland also:

[link to www.earthcam.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Ya I was just looking at that SOHO density spike myself.
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 08:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Very odd ....
Hugh M Eye

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02/13/2013 08:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I can't quite put my finger on it, but this story gives me an uneasy feeling...

U.N. Braces For Stormy Space Weather!
scared

As the years went by, COPUOS membership ballooned from 18 to 74 nations, while items such as space debris, near-Earth asteroids, space-based disaster management, and global navigation were added to the committee's regular agenda. At each annual meeting in Vienna, Austria, COPUOS members confer about these issues, which present some key challenge or peril to the whole planet.
This year, a new item is on the agenda: space weather.
"This is a significant development," says Lika Guhathakurta of NASA Headquarters in Washington. "By adding space weather to the regular agenda of the COPUOS Science and Technical Subcommittee, the UN is recognizing solar activity as a concern on par with orbital debris and close-approaching asteroids."
"Space weather is a significant natural hazard that requires global preparedness,” says Prof. Hans Haubold of the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs. “This new agenda item links space science and space technology for the benefit of all humankind."
The elevation of space weather on COPUOS’s agenda coincides with the 10th anniversary of the International Living With a Star Program on Feb. 14.
A key problem that the UN can help solve is a gap--many gaps, actually--in storm coverage around our planet. When a solar storm sweeps past Earth, waves of ionization ripple through Earth’s upper atmosphere, electric currents flow through the topsoil, and the whole planet's magnetic field begins to shake.

"These are global phenomena," says Guhathakurta, "so we need to be able to monitor them all around the world.
[link to science.nasa.gov]

[link to www.oosa.unvienna.org]
arnoldSolarDoom!

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/13/2013 08:24 PM
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 08:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I'm assuming that NASA, NOAA, etc already have this covered in the form of both open and covert data and disclosure ......

Just imagine what the UN Worldwide Organization can bring to the table !!!

gaah
Hugh M Eye

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02/13/2013 08:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woo-hoo! EVE soft x-ray monitor is back online.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

On the east limb we see a hint of some southern hemisphere active regions turning our way soon.

EUVI Heliographic:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Just in time too, we're almost down to our last sunspot, LOL.
whiteangel

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02/13/2013 08:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

What is the bow wave looking thing? CME, solar wind, what??
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain

Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Hugh M Eye

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02/13/2013 08:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I'm assuming that NASA, NOAA, etc already have this covered in the form of both open and covert data and disclosure ......

Just imagine what the UN Worldwide Organization can bring to the table !!!

gaah
 Quoting: TS66


Uhh, think Club Of Rome in Outer Space...

Be Nice To Aliens Day....Be A Volunteer Abductee!

...Global Space Junk Taxes...

U.N. Delegate junkets to the new Rockefeller Orbiting Hotel....

....elite insider Lunar mining contracts...off-planet police patrols...bigger and better PSYOPS....

....and the birth of a StarTrek-style Imperial Federation of Planets.

I hope I don't have nightmares tonight over this, LOL.
Idol1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 34234116
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02/13/2013 09:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I'm assuming that NASA, NOAA, etc already have this covered in the form of both open and covert data and disclosure ......

Just imagine what the UN Worldwide Organization can bring to the table !!!

gaah
 Quoting: TS66


Uhh, think Club Of Rome in Outer Space...

Be Nice To Aliens Day....Be A Volunteer Abductee!

...Global Space Junk Taxes...

U.N. Delegate junkets to the new Rockefeller Orbiting Hotel....

....elite insider Lunar mining contracts...off-planet police patrols...bigger and better PSYOPS....

....and the birth of a StarTrek-style Imperial Federation of Planets.

I hope I don't have nightmares tonight over this, LOL.
Idol1
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


WOW !!! That is far more than I even began to imagine, but thanks for sharing the nightmare Hugh !!!!! LOL

hf
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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02/13/2013 09:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I'm assuming that NASA, NOAA, etc already have this covered in the form of both open and covert data and disclosure ......

Just imagine what the UN Worldwide Organization can bring to the table !!!

gaah
 Quoting: TS66


Uhh, think Club Of Rome in Outer Space...

Be Nice To Aliens Day....Be A Volunteer Abductee!

...Global Space Junk Taxes...

U.N. Delegate junkets to the new Rockefeller Orbiting Hotel....

....elite insider Lunar mining contracts...off-planet police patrols...bigger and better PSYOPS....

....and the birth of a StarTrek-style Imperial Federation of Planets.

I hope I don't have nightmares tonight over this, LOL.
Idol1
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


What a nightmare!!! No no no no no!!
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain

Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 09:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good night all ...
Hugh M Eye

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02/13/2013 10:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BREAKING: TRUE DOOM IS ON THE WAY!

ASTEROID YQ1 WILL IMPACT EARTH IN 2106!

You have 93 years left to prepare.

Ultimately, YQ1 will hit Earth so hard that a global catastrophe will be unavoidable. The scientists estimate that the impact would equate to the energy released by approximately 25000 atomic bombs all going off at once. That puts YQ1 on par with the infamous Apophis which measures 270 meters in diameter and had been thought likely to strike Earth in 2036. According to NASA's 'virtual impactors' directory, YQ1 is 17th of the most dangerous asteroids ever discovered.

What is particularly interesting about the discovery of YQ1 is the fact that the asteroid was found by a privately-owned telescope in the southern hemisphere which was being remotely controlled from an apartment in Moscow. This is a rather unusual event as the discovery of new asteroids has tended to be the privilege of NASA.

[link to www.spacedaily.com]


pinkDoomsday
Isis One

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02/13/2013 10:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BREAKING: TRUE DOOM IS ON THE WAY!

ASTEROID YQ1 WILL IMPACT EARTH IN 2106!

You have 93 years left to prepare.

Ultimately, YQ1 will hit Earth so hard that a global catastrophe will be unavoidable. The scientists estimate that the impact would equate to the energy released by approximately 25000 atomic bombs all going off at once. That puts YQ1 on par with the infamous Apophis which measures 270 meters in diameter and had been thought likely to strike Earth in 2036. According to NASA's 'virtual impactors' directory, YQ1 is 17th of the most dangerous asteroids ever discovered.

What is particularly interesting about the discovery of YQ1 is the fact that the asteroid was found by a privately-owned telescope in the southern hemisphere which was being remotely controlled from an apartment in Moscow. This is a rather unusual event as the discovery of new asteroids has tended to be the privilege of NASA.

[link to www.spacedaily.com]


pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


They'll send a futuristic shuttle up with a giant magnet and either intercept it or deflect it! No fears
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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02/13/2013 11:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just posted a thread on this,

Thread: Bright Red UFO spotted by the ISS 3 days ago
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Hugh M Eye

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02/13/2013 11:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A big C1 flare produced by AR 1667 from over the west limb.

SDO 304a image of C1 flare:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:2/14flare:
farside
Isis One

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02/13/2013 11:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A big C1 flare produced by AR 1667 from over the west limb.

SDO 304a image of C1 flare:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:2/14flare:
farside
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Nice shot, you're fast!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2013 12:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
im craving German potatoe salad
Spittin'Cesium

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02/14/2013 12:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
im craving German potatoe salad
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34364874


Nice to meet you.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2013 12:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:1416 Heart:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


thats from long ago =P

I remember that

SpaceWeather’s Tony Phillips wrote: ‘Any such eruptions this weekend would be Earth-directed as the sunspot turns to face our planet.’

On Friday, the sun emitted a coronal mass ejection, known as CME, in the shape of a heart.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported: ‘A preliminary model run predicts this CME will arrive, appropriately enough, on Valentine’s Day.’

[link to www.dailymail.co.uk]
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2013 12:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
there is a video f it forming into a heart I remember that day it was wonderful
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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02/14/2013 12:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
im craving German potatoe salad
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34364874


cool story bro
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2013 12:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
there is a video of it forming into a heart I remember that day it was wonderful
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34364874


fund it =)

[link to youtu.be]


Sunspot 1416 AIA 4500 (2012-02-12 01:00:08 - 2012-02-13 23:00:08 UTC)
Isis One

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02/14/2013 01:09 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
HAPPY VALENTINES DAY SOLAR CREW

TULIPS
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2013 01:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good night sun shine
finley

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02/14/2013 04:37 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Valentines Day to the wonderful Sun Crew.

Thanksred_hearty_lovin
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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02/14/2013 04:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like some mid latitude aurora. Bz dipping south again.

[link to www.solarham.net]
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2013 04:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I can't quite put my finger on it, but this story gives me an uneasy feeling...

U.N. Braces For Stormy Space Weather!
scared

As the years went by, COPUOS membership ballooned from 18 to 74 nations, while items such as space debris, near-Earth asteroids, space-based disaster management, and global navigation were added to the committee's regular agenda. At each annual meeting in Vienna, Austria, COPUOS members confer about these issues, which present some key challenge or peril to the whole planet.
This year, a new item is on the agenda: space weather.
"This is a significant development," says Lika Guhathakurta of NASA Headquarters in Washington. "By adding space weather to the regular agenda of the COPUOS Science and Technical Subcommittee, the UN is recognizing solar activity as a concern on par with orbital debris and close-approaching asteroids."
"Space weather is a significant natural hazard that requires global preparedness,” says Prof. Hans Haubold of the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs. “This new agenda item links space science and space technology for the benefit of all humankind."
The elevation of space weather on COPUOS’s agenda coincides with the 10th anniversary of the International Living With a Star Program on Feb. 14.
A key problem that the UN can help solve is a gap--many gaps, actually--in storm coverage around our planet. When a solar storm sweeps past Earth, waves of ionization ripple through Earth’s upper atmosphere, electric currents flow through the topsoil, and the whole planet's magnetic field begins to shake.

"These are global phenomena," says Guhathakurta, "so we need to be able to monitor them all around the world.
[link to science.nasa.gov]

[link to www.oosa.unvienna.org]
:arnoldSolarDoom!:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


5a
Tiny Trink

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02/14/2013 07:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Valentine's Day to the Sol Family!

red heart


Much Love,

[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.

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