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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 01:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
4-minute radio burst from M-flare-

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 572
Issue Time: 2013 Feb 17 1601 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2013 Feb 17 1547 UTC
Maximum Time: 2013 Feb 17 1547 UTC
End Time: 2013 Feb 17 1551 UTC
Duration: 4 minutes

Peak Flux: 340 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 103 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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02/17/2013 01:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice hf
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 01:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft says "1% odds of an M-flare just went up!"

AR1675 is responsible for 9 out of the last 10 recorded flares.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

hiding

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/17/2013 01:18 PM
madajs

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02/17/2013 01:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice hf
 Quoting: TS66

Indeed!
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
whiteangel

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02/17/2013 01:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2

We are all such solar nerds!!! A little M-flare makes us happy!!

Last Edited by WhiteAngel on 02/17/2013 01:28 PM
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Luisport

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02/17/2013 01:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another x-ray spike
Anonymous Coward
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02/17/2013 01:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another x-ray spike
 Quoting: Luisport


Nothing of significance - just a little tick upwards and then back down.
mtn_mang

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02/17/2013 01:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another x-ray spike
 Quoting: Luisport


good day, luis! i'm thinking it's only gonna get better from here
Luisport

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02/17/2013 01:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another x-ray spike
 Quoting: Luisport


good day, luis! i'm thinking it's only gonna get better from here
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Hi my friend!hf yes i agree with you! At least we have that hope!
El Quisqueyano

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02/17/2013 01:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That looks wicked.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
mtn_mang

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02/17/2013 01:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we're gonna have a good show when that filament in the SE snaps off

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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02/17/2013 01:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New Report Post:
Finally some solar activity! M 1.9 Solar flare around Region 1675
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Great job on the blog-post, NINz!hf If this region continues growing we may see a lot more action this week. Things are picking up spot-wise in the southern hemisphere, too.


goodnews
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


thanks! :)
but i cant take credit
IWTB76 put that one together :)
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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02/17/2013 02:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
5a
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 02:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here's giant southern crown filament lifting off much earlier today....here's the CME movie from SEEDS:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

....and the liftoff-with rave music soundtrack, haha.



[link to www.youtube.com]
Spittin'Cesium

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02/17/2013 02:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
woohoo

cheersun

Happy Bunnies : )

Check out the Aurora [link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I don't see -Bz or absorption on DRap...Could somebody fill me in?

woohoo

cheer

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/17/2013 03:01 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/17/2013 02:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did you guys catch this surge from 1671 [link to halpha.nso.edu] also?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
LV702

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02/17/2013 03:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

uhhhh?
0pen your mind
LV702

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02/17/2013 03:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

uhhhh?
0pen your mind
LV702

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02/17/2013 03:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

uhhhh?
0pen your mind
Spittin'Cesium

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02/17/2013 03:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: LV702


Filamentspring

What was your ponderation LV?

hf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 03:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did you guys catch this surge from 1671 [link to halpha.nso.edu] also?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The filament south of '71 is trying to be free of the sun. We also have a big filament in the southern hemisphere in Earth-facing position. And we just had another C1 flare. 1675 is still working up a head of steam and I count 5 new un-numbered regions on the disk (tho' 3 are only little dots).

Big Bear Observatory H-alpha movie loop:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Latest HMI Intensitygram:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
Spittin'Cesium

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02/17/2013 03:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did you guys catch this surge from 1671 [link to halpha.nso.edu] also?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The filament south of '71 is trying to be free of the sun. We also have a big filament in the southern hemisphere in Earth-facing position. And we just had another C1 flare. 1675 is still working up a head of steam and I count 5 new un-numbered regions on the disk (tho' 3 are only little dots).

Big Bear Observatory H-alpha movie loop:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Latest HMI Intensitygram:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No doubt Hugh!

Looking hot!

I'm gonna' play my Guitar for a little Minute as this Flaring has got a tards juice flowing : )

Catcha' in a Sec.

Happy Hunting Crewsunhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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02/17/2013 04:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AS I noted yesterday, this region has very complex magnetic fields which have strengthened considerably in the past 24-hrs. You can see the quick growth of the umbrae by contrasting yesterdays pic w/ today's.

AR1675-Feb. 16th-
:2/16newspots:

AR1675-Feb. 17th-
:2/17-1675:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I like the makeup of that SS.

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 02/17/2013 04:05 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Kael

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02/17/2013 04:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did you guys catch this surge from 1671 [link to halpha.nso.edu] also?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The filament south of '71 is trying to be free of the sun. We also have a big filament in the southern hemisphere in Earth-facing position. And we just had another C1 flare. 1675 is still working up a head of steam and I count 5 new un-numbered regions on the disk (tho' 3 are only little dots).

Big Bear Observatory H-alpha movie loop:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Latest HMI Intensitygram:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


This is great! The sun is awake :)
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 05:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


[link to www.youtube.com]
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 05:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New solar-related earthquake theory...ELECTRIC GEOLOGY. From Thunderbolts.info (who else?)-

Some of the latest researches are showing that the Sun not only controls our weather but is responsible for earthquakes. Weather, according to Henrik Svensmark, runs parallel to the Sun’s coronal mass ejections (CMEs) but earthquakes in most cases, correspond to sunspot minimums.

Sunspots are those little black spots on the Sun (each spot as big as the Earth) out of which solar flares and CMEs leap towards Earth. During high solar activity, the electric Birkeland currents connecting the Sun and Earth charge up, exciting Earth’s buried Telluric current circuitry. When, as in around every eleven years, the number of Sun spots drop off to nearly zero the Earth reacts. Then the stored electric energy discharges. Tremendous forces are released from the Earth’s circuitry. Result? Earthquakes attended by violent lightning storms and winds!

For instance, during the “Maunder Minimum” there was a period from 1640 AD to 1710 AD of no sunspots. Messina and Catania in this time were totally destroyed by earthquakes. Coincidence? Deadly earthquakes abound in history. Antioch 523BC (death toll 250,000), Sicily 1646 AD and 1693 AD (death toll 150,000), Jamaica 1693 AD, Lisbon 1755 AD and Shaanksi, China 1558 AD (death toll 850,000) to name a few.

more; [link to www.thunderbolts.info]

Electric Geology video:

[link to www.iplayerhd.com]

pope2
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
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02/17/2013 06:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New solar-related earthquake theory...ELECTRIC GEOLOGY. From Thunderbolts.info (who else?)-

Some of the latest researches are showing that the Sun not only controls our weather but is responsible for earthquakes. Weather, according to Henrik Svensmark, runs parallel to the Sun’s coronal mass ejections (CMEs) but earthquakes in most cases, correspond to sunspot minimums.

Sunspots are those little black spots on the Sun (each spot as big as the Earth) out of which solar flares and CMEs leap towards Earth. During high solar activity, the electric Birkeland currents connecting the Sun and Earth charge up, exciting Earth’s buried Telluric current circuitry. When, as in around every eleven years, the number of Sun spots drop off to nearly zero the Earth reacts. Then the stored electric energy discharges. Tremendous forces are released from the Earth’s circuitry. Result? Earthquakes attended by violent lightning storms and winds!

For instance, during the “Maunder Minimum” there was a period from 1640 AD to 1710 AD of no sunspots. Messina and Catania in this time were totally destroyed by earthquakes. Coincidence? Deadly earthquakes abound in history. Antioch 523BC (death toll 250,000), Sicily 1646 AD and 1693 AD (death toll 150,000), Jamaica 1693 AD, Lisbon 1755 AD and Shaanksi, China 1558 AD (death toll 850,000) to name a few.

more; [link to www.thunderbolts.info]

Electric Geology video:

[link to www.iplayerhd.com]

pope2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


love Thunderbolts.info
thanks for posting this Hugh!
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
shadasonic

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02/17/2013 08:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

1675 seems quite active
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 08:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Breaking: NOAA running out of numbers for sunspots. Numbers to be rationed one per day, LOL. Are they keeping the SS number artificially lower to avoid mass panic? I counted 5 un-numbered regions earlier today, only 1677 got a number.

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 49 Issued at 0030Z on 18 Feb 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 17 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 17/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1671 N14W21 076 0090 Hsx 04 01 Alpha
1673 S10E43 012 0070 Cao 07 05 Beta
1675 N12E18 037 0050 Cso 06 13 Beta-Gamma
1676 S18E64 350 0030 Hsx 02 02 Alpha
1677 S27E65 350 0010 Bxo 02 03 Beta

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The Four Spots in SE-(1673, 1676, 1677 and anonymous coward)
:4spots:

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at moderate levels due to an isolated M1 flare at
17/1550 UTC and associated Tenflare (340 sfu) from Region 1675 (N12E18).
Region 1675 has progressed to a Beta Gamma configuration and has
continued to grow in both spot count and area throughout the period.

Region 1673 (S10E43) has shown slight growth throughout the period while
the other regions have remained relatively stable. No Earth directed
Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed throughout the period.


Geospace
24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Isolated unsettled levels
were associated with a prolonged period of negative Bz.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be generally quiet on day one (18
February). Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on day two and three
(19-20 February) due to CH HSS effects and a possible glancing blow from
the 16 February CME.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/17/2013 08:49 PM
Hugh M Eye

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02/17/2013 08:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

1675 seems quite active
 Quoting: shadasonic


Howdy, Shada hi, he'll be directly Earth-facing for the next 2-3 days. Large earth-facing filaments are also a concern.


hiding

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