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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
mtn_mang

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02/25/2013 12:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good day, sol' patrol!

since 1678 developed quickly, but far west on the disc and still managed to pop off a few before leaving completely; what do u guys think are the odds of these new, quickly developing regions on the eastern side will make up for the disappointment?

i am purely basing this off the characteristics of 1678 with the speedy development it had, hoping these new ones will follow suit.
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 12:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good day, sol' patrol!

since 1678 developed quickly, but far west on the disc and still managed to pop off a few before leaving completely; what do u guys think are the odds of these new, quickly developing regions on the eastern side will make up for the disappointment?

i am purely basing this off the characteristics of 1678 with the speedy development it had, hoping these new ones will follow suit.
 Quoting: mtn_mang


If I have personally learned anything with the technologies available to watch this particular cycle, it is that very little is predictable with any certainty.

The pendulum keeps swinging from unprecedented solar activity to being a prelude to a grand minimum.

So chances are 50-50 chuckle
mtn_mang

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02/25/2013 01:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Fantastic song for this bright and sunny Monday, enjoy!



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

embed probably won't work for me, never does.
muse_1111

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02/25/2013 01:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am trying to catch up this morning, and wondering if anyone knew what was buffering our atmosphere currently? [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(for later reference, choose image: ./20130225_184814_all.gif)
ACE is also showing sporadic readings:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
whiteangel

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02/25/2013 01:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am trying to catch up this morning, and wondering if anyone knew what was buffering our atmosphere currently? [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(for later reference, choose image: ./20130225_184814_all.gif)
ACE is also showing sporadic readings:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: muse_1111


Same question, it is really wacky looking right now!! Been following BL's thread and this is right on schedule.
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 01:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am trying to catch up this morning, and wondering if anyone knew what was buffering our atmosphere currently? [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(for later reference, choose image: ./20130225_184814_all.gif)
ACE is also showing sporadic readings:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: muse_1111


Same question, it is really wacky looking right now!! Been following BL's thread and this is right on schedule.
 Quoting: whiteangel


What's right on schedule ?
whiteangel

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02/25/2013 02:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am trying to catch up this morning, and wondering if anyone knew what was buffering our atmosphere currently? [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(for later reference, choose image: ./20130225_184814_all.gif)
ACE is also showing sporadic readings:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: muse_1111


Same question, it is really wacky looking right now!! Been following BL's thread and this is right on schedule.
 Quoting: whiteangel


What's right on schedule ?
 Quoting: TS66


Thread: Forecast February-May 2013 for Earth Booms, 8+ quakes, Sun Agenda, Magnetic field.. all based on previous statistical history & predictions.

BendingLight said this would happen back on Dec 23rd. Skim the data and look at the dates.

Anyone know why we are getting hit right now? Little weird feeling right now.
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Da fuq

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02/25/2013 02:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


1011

Al gore better save us.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 02/25/2013 02:30 PM
whiteangel

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02/25/2013 02:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Who are you laughing at??
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
muse_1111

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02/25/2013 02:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am trying to catch up this morning, and wondering if anyone knew what was buffering our atmosphere currently? [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(for later reference, choose image: ./20130225_184814_all.gif)
ACE is also showing sporadic readings:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: muse_1111


Same question, it is really wacky looking right now!! Been following BL's thread and this is right on schedule.
 Quoting: whiteangel


What's right on schedule ?
 Quoting: TS66


Thread: Forecast February-May 2013 for Earth Booms, 8+ quakes, Sun Agenda, Magnetic field.. all based on previous statistical history & predictions.

BendingLight said this would happen back on Dec 23rd. Skim the data and look at the dates.

Anyone know why we are getting hit right now? Little weird feeling right now.
 Quoting: whiteangel

Talk about an eerie "coincidence". I have had that link bookmarked and check it daily since BL's first post. It has been "normal", but today is off. Completely off from what I have seen the last 2 months. And there's was no solar activity that would be causing this. It will be interesting to see what the "official" answer is.
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 02:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am trying to catch up this morning, and wondering if anyone knew what was buffering our atmosphere currently? [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(for later reference, choose image: ./20130225_184814_all.gif)
ACE is also showing sporadic readings:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: muse_1111


Same question, it is really wacky looking right now!! Been following BL's thread and this is right on schedule.
 Quoting: whiteangel


What's right on schedule ?
 Quoting: TS66


Thread: Forecast February-May 2013 for Earth Booms, 8+ quakes, Sun Agenda, Magnetic field.. all based on previous statistical history & predictions.

BendingLight said this would happen back on Dec 23rd. Skim the data and look at the dates.

Anyone know why we are getting hit right now? Little weird feeling right now.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I forgot about that thread, thank you Angel.
Boceph

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02/25/2013 03:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey guys, what is "Phi" on these graphs... in blue...?

[link to www.solarham.net]
Boceph

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02/25/2013 03:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and could this be right?.. with this seeming "storm" we are having?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
whiteangel

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02/25/2013 03:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and could this be right?.. with this seeming "storm" we are having?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Boceph


Radio bursts only happen for a short period of time usually.
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 03:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey guys, what is "Phi" on these graphs... in blue...?

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: Boceph


This is Nin's explanation of Phi.

[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation .... which I rarely look at anymore, so I'm having a hard time comparing it I guess.

Wind speed, temp, and density are pretty steady and are for the most part low if anything. Bz is closed up.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
shadasonic

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02/25/2013 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdodata.oma.be]

Look at the expanded energy coming off the Nw, by 1671, big V shaped plasmatic arc. Plus action on the NE side. Strange readings, but something is bringing these farside energies our way. I have a feeling March is going to be full of suprises.
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
psyoptics

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02/25/2013 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey guys, what is "Phi" on these graphs... in blue...?

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: Boceph


The Phi angle = Interplanetary magnetic field polar angle
Phi is the angle of the interplanetary magnetic field that is being carried out by the solar wind

 Quoting: [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]


In these plots Phi is indeed the angle of the interplanetary magnetic field that is being carried out by the solar wind. Phi is measured in the GSM (geocentric solar magnetospheric) coordinate system. In this system the X-axis points from the Earth to the Sun and the Z-axis is pointing along the direction of the Earth's north magnetic pole. This puts the Y-axis roughly pointing to the left as one looks at the Sun from the Earth. Phi is the angle made by the field in the XY plane. This means that Phi would be 0 deg if the were pointing at the Sun and 180 deg if it were pointing from the Sun to the Earth. Looking at the plot for December 14-19 I see that it is most often between 90 deg and 180 deg (say ~135 deg on average). This is a typical angle when the magnetic field is coming from the southern hemisphere of the Sun (at least during the decade from 2000 to 2010 - the Sun's field flips over every 11 years or so).
 Quoting: [link to helios.gsfc.nasa.gov]

a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
muse_1111

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02/25/2013 03:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation ....

Wind speed, temp, and density are low if anything.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66

I think that is the point of BendingLight's theory. There is no solar activity on the day(s) that our Magnetosphere is being hammered, yet SpaceWeather, and other sites always come out with a story afterward, conveniently blaming it on the Sun.
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 03:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation ....

Wind speed, temp, and density are low if anything.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66

I think that is the point of BendingLight's theory. There is no solar activity on the day(s) that our Magnetosphere is being hammered, yet SpaceWeather, and other sites always come out with a story afterward, conveniently blaming it on the Sun.
 Quoting: muse_1111


I understand muse, and there is no solar activity, (minus the CME from the NE this morning)but there should be some reflection in electrons, protons, solar wind speed, density, temp. This is the data the creates the simulation, not the other way around.
Boceph

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02/25/2013 03:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey guys, what is "Phi" on these graphs... in blue...?

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: Boceph


This is Nin's explanation of Phi.

[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation .... which I rarely look at anymore, so I'm having a hard time comparing it I guess.

Wind speed, temp, and density are pretty steady and are for the most part low if anything. Bz is closed up.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66


hey guys, what is "Phi" on these graphs... in blue...?

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: Boceph


The Phi angle = Interplanetary magnetic field polar angle
Phi is the angle of the interplanetary magnetic field that is being carried out by the solar wind

 Quoting: [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]


In these plots Phi is indeed the angle of the interplanetary magnetic field that is being carried out by the solar wind. Phi is measured in the GSM (geocentric solar magnetospheric) coordinate system. In this system the X-axis points from the Earth to the Sun and the Z-axis is pointing along the direction of the Earth's north magnetic pole. This puts the Y-axis roughly pointing to the left as one looks at the Sun from the Earth. Phi is the angle made by the field in the XY plane. This means that Phi would be 0 deg if the were pointing at the Sun and 180 deg if it were pointing from the Sun to the Earth. Looking at the plot for December 14-19 I see that it is most often between 90 deg and 180 deg (say ~135 deg on average). This is a typical angle when the magnetic field is coming from the southern hemisphere of the Sun (at least during the decade from 2000 to 2010 - the Sun's field flips over every 11 years or so).
 Quoting: [link to helios.gsfc.nasa.gov]

 Quoting: psyoptics



Thanks!... had just turned off the lazy switch and went there to check 1doh1
whiteangel

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02/25/2013 03:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation ....

Wind speed, temp, and density are low if anything.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66

I think that is the point of BendingLight's theory. There is no solar activity on the day(s) that our Magnetosphere is being hammered, yet SpaceWeather, and other sites always come out with a story afterward, conveniently blaming it on the Sun.
 Quoting: muse_1111


I understand muse, and there is no solar activity, (minus the CME from the NE this morning)but there should be some reflection in electrons, protons, solar wind speed, density, temp. This is the data the creates the simulation, not the other way around.
 Quoting: TS66


Then what is causing this 66? No, serious question, not the put down it sounded like. I can't figure it out, and why again at the same time of year FOUR years in a row now? Would love to hear all your ideas, no matter how whacky they are.
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
me too, please
psyoptics

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02/25/2013 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation ....

Wind speed, temp, and density are low if anything.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66

I think that is the point of BendingLight's theory. There is no solar activity on the day(s) that our Magnetosphere is being hammered, yet SpaceWeather, and other sites always come out with a story afterward, conveniently blaming it on the Sun.
 Quoting: muse_1111


I understand muse, and there is no solar activity, (minus the CME from the NE this morning)but there should be some reflection in electrons, protons, solar wind speed, density, temp. This is the data the creates the simulation, not the other way around.
 Quoting: TS66

what if it ties into what sepentary man was posting about last week.
if freq's from earth are possibly causing the magnetics to change ACE would not......oh right...does the sim get all info from ACE and GOES data?
ACE and GOES DATA GAPS??????????????
maybe the sim did not receive the data-gap?

Last Edited by psyoptics on 02/25/2013 03:39 PM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 03:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What is causing this...

1665?

Biting fingernails...

I find it hard to believe that the incident was farsided...

Could a flare have been produced ? by?

(needs einstein and chalkboard)...
shadasonic

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02/25/2013 03:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation ....

Wind speed, temp, and density are low if anything.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66

I think that is the point of BendingLight's theory. There is no solar activity on the day(s) that our Magnetosphere is being hammered, yet SpaceWeather, and other sites always come out with a story afterward, conveniently blaming it on the Sun.
 Quoting: muse_1111


I understand muse, and there is no solar activity, (minus the CME from the NE this morning)but there should be some reflection in electrons, protons, solar wind speed, density, temp. This is the data the creates the simulation, not the other way around.
 Quoting: TS66

what if it ties into what sepentary man was posting about last week.
if freq's from earth are possibly causing the magnetics to change ACE would not......oh right...does the sim get all info from ACE and GOES data?
ACE and goes DATA GAPS??????????????
maybe the sim did not receive the data-gap?
 Quoting: psyoptics


Righteohh!
[link to www.n3kl.org]
We've got mag disturbance yet no culprit? hmmmmmm

Need to do some searching in several recent threads.
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Da fuq


Not even Al Gore will be able to save us!!!
ANHEDONIC

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02/25/2013 03:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdodata.oma.be]

Look at the expanded energy coming off the Nw, by 1671, big V shaped plasmatic arc. Plus action on the NE side. Strange readings, but something is bringing these farside energies our way. I have a feeling March is going to be full of suprises.
 Quoting: shadasonic


burnsy

Last Edited by WOLF* on 02/25/2013 03:47 PM
The Golden Rule
[link to youtube.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation ....

Wind speed, temp, and density are low if anything.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66

I think that is the point of BendingLight's theory. There is no solar activity on the day(s) that our Magnetosphere is being hammered, yet SpaceWeather, and other sites always come out with a story afterward, conveniently blaming it on the Sun.
 Quoting: muse_1111


I understand muse, and there is no solar activity, (minus the CME from the NE this morning)but there should be some reflection in electrons, protons, solar wind speed, density, temp. This is the data the creates the simulation, not the other way around.
 Quoting: TS66


Then what is causing this 66? No, serious question, not the put down it sounded like. I can't figure it out, and why again at the same time of year FOUR years in a row now? Would love to hear all your ideas, no matter how whacky they are.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I don't know why the simulation looks like it's being wacked by a solar tsunami ????

But then again, I don't look at it all that often except when the data indicates that the visuals may be of note.

Honestly Angel, I'm not sure what this simulation is basing it's visuals on. Again there was a CME out of the NW corner earlier, and it probably won't even be geo-effective. No radio bursts, nothing.

It's unfortunate that I can't find corresponding ACE data on his thread for the daates he has highlighted. I did however find one (link below right hand side)that indicates that wind, density, temp and Bz data is reflecting what the simulation is visually representing. They are going bonkers.
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

But I just don't see the same on ACE today.
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Righteohh!
[link to www.n3kl.org]
We've got mag disturbance yet no culprit? hmmmmmm


Need to do some searching in several recent threads.


Yes Shada, Cesium brought that to our attention earlier in the day in correlation to the CME.




hiFolk

Quickly as I'm in a rush,CME(s) [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Magnetometer rising [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Masses of Plasma [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and some ripples [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

sunhf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm not really seeing a storm guys other than the mag simulation ....

Wind speed, temp, and density are low if anything.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Global D is clear.
 Quoting: TS66

I think that is the point of BendingLight's theory. There is no solar activity on the day(s) that our Magnetosphere is being hammered, yet SpaceWeather, and other sites always come out with a story afterward, conveniently blaming it on the Sun.
 Quoting: muse_1111


I understand muse, and there is no solar activity, (minus the CME from the NE this morning)but there should be some reflection in electrons, protons, solar wind speed, density, temp. This is the data the creates the simulation, not the other way around.
 Quoting: TS66

what if it ties into what sepentary man was posting about last week.
if freq's from earth are possibly causing the magnetics to change ACE would not......oh right...does the sim get all info from ACE and GOES data?
ACE and GOES DATA GAPS??????????????
maybe the sim did not receive the data-gap?
 Quoting: psyoptics


I don't know really, but yes you're right. The simulation is not "data" it is a visual aid created and represents THE data. 1dunno1


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