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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 05:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry Cesium, I don't see how this

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

reflects that either... Is ACE reporting only on the Solar wind on those charts ???
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 05:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
True,true 66 : )

I thought I'd post this LPAC presentation on 'Le Grande Minimum' - I usually cannot stand these folks and to be honest I am surprised they managed to get all the way through without once mentioning 'Glass-Steagall' chuckle

It has some tid-bits of information that make it worth a watch/listen,most of which begins after the halfway mark -


[link to www.youtube.com]

Also there is this one too that I fell asleep listening to,the chap that made it seems to have a fair few things he wanted to get of his chest as the title of the video doesn't bear much reference to its content,allegory after allegory.

This is 'Super-Conspiracy' or Supiracy as I'll call it -

'Resistance is Futile' chuckle

[link to www.youtube.com]

So he doesn't quite make the case for the video title but he does drone on with some interesting little bits'a'infosun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 05:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
True,true 66 : )

I thought I'd post this LPAC presentation on 'Le Grande Minimum' - I usually cannot stand these folks and to be honest I am surprised they managed to get all the way through without once mentioning 'Glass-Steagall' chuckle

It has some tid-bits of information that make it worth a watch/listen,most of which begins after the halfway mark -


[link to www.youtube.com]

Also there is this one too that I fell asleep listening to,the chap that made it seems to have a fair few things he wanted to get of his chest as the title of the video doesn't bear much reference to its content,allegory after allegory.

This is 'Super-Conspiracy' or Supiracy as I'll call it -

'Resistance is Futile' chuckle

[link to www.youtube.com]

So he doesn't quite make the case for the video title but he does drone on with some interesting little bits'a'infosun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


ahhh portional isolation . I'll have to wait until tomorrow to digest that one ....

Thank you Cesium maybe "it" will feel less like a solar crap shoot after watching !!! hf

I have to be honest, the idea of enduring a mini ice age for the rest of my years, isn't all that appealing !!
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 05:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't see any geomagnetic disturbance whatsoever. The planetary K-index is at 1=quiet:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Even the polar regions look quiet now:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE shows nominal wind velocity with some minor proton variations:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Satellite environment all good:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

No spaceweather warnings, alerts or notices:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

When nothing happens folks start imagining things IMO.
endathand
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


So you don't see the CME on HI2 then Hugh?

Or the rising nT on the Magnetometer [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] that looks like action to me,wait for the drop.

Also the ACE Data when fed into the Mag. Sim. is showing this [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

Hello by the way : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The geomagnetic (Kp) indices gave gone from 0 to 1 today. If you want to call that a 'storm' or a 'disturbance' be my guest, but we're not even halfway to 'unsettled' yet. Geospace has been so quiet that folks seem to forget what a G3 storm looks like. I wouldn't even call this a hiccup.
Wing 24-hr plot:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

geomagnetic Indices:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Don't let me ruin a good doom-fest..........I'm going back to being bored.

whatever
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I did say 'Wait for the drop'.

I also didn't say we were Storming,Geo Storming is'nt a storm until at least a 4 - I pointed out the rise on the Magnetometer and the simulation of the data on the ccmc link as well as the splodge on HI and why there is a slight disturbance,slight.

Sheesh kebab Hugh - Don't muddle my posts with the posts of others - simply posted what I am seeing and the potential reason,no storming claimed.

Respect and peace.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 05:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
True,true 66 : )

I thought I'd post this LPAC presentation on 'Le Grande Minimum' - I usually cannot stand these folks and to be honest I am surprised they managed to get all the way through without once mentioning 'Glass-Steagall' chuckle

It has some tid-bits of information that make it worth a watch/listen,most of which begins after the halfway mark -


[link to www.youtube.com]

Also there is this one too that I fell asleep listening to,the chap that made it seems to have a fair few things he wanted to get of his chest as the title of the video doesn't bear much reference to its content,allegory after allegory.

This is 'Super-Conspiracy' or Supiracy as I'll call it -

'Resistance is Futile' chuckle

[link to www.youtube.com]

So he doesn't quite make the case for the video title but he does drone on with some interesting little bits'a'infosun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


ahhh portional isolation . I'll have to wait until tomorrow to digest that one ....

Thank you Cesium maybe "it" will feel less like a solar crap shoot after watching !!! hf

I have to be honest, the idea of enduring a mini ice age for the rest of my years, isn't all that appealing !!
 Quoting: TS66


Lol : )

The first video has some points worth noting where-as the second is a old mans rambling on about this and that with not much relation to the titlewink

Say we did get a MIA,we could avoid it by moving to the Equator - Though the rush for middle Earth would be a crush rush and a half!

I'd like to make it known that I am not saying we are entering a period similar to those of a MIA just pointing out some evidence that could be used to argue the possibility.

hf

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/25/2013 05:44 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 05:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The declining overall Magnetic Fields of Sunspots in Recent Years is of particular relevance,seen here in Gauss [link to science.nasa.gov] Article [link to science.nasa.gov]

A Abstract of a Penn/Livingston Paper -

'Long-term Evolution of Sunspot Magnetic Fields
Matthew Penn, William Livingston
(Submitted on 3 Sep 2010)

Independent of the normal solar cycle, a decrease in the sunspot magnetic field strength has been observed using the Zeeman-split 1564.8nm Fe I spectral line at the NSO Kitt Peak McMath-Pierce telescope. Corresponding changes in sunspot brightness and the strength of molecular absorption lines were also seen. This trend was seen to continue in observations of the first sunspots of the new solar Cycle 24, and extrapolating a linear fit to this trend would lead to only half the number of spots in Cycle 24 compared to Cycle 23, and imply virtually no sunspots in Cycle 25.
We examined synoptic observations from the NSO Kitt Peak Vacuum Telescope and initially (with 4000 spots) found a change in sunspot brightness which roughly agreed with the infrared observations. A more detailed examination (with 13,000 spots) of both spot brightness and line-of-sight magnetic flux reveals that the relationship of the sunspot magnetic fields with spot brightness and size remain constant during the solar cycle. There are only small temporal variations in the spot brightness, size, and line-of-sight flux seen in this larger sample. Because of the apparent disagreement between the two data sets, we discuss how the infrared spectral line provides a uniquely direct measurement of the magnetic fields in sunspots
' [link to arxiv.org] and the Paper [link to www.leif.org] .

All bases considered is what we do,no?

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 05:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm following Madajas train of theory right now, anticipating some serious solar action, and expansion of the atmosphere.

My reason being only, there was far more activity a year prior to the flip (whether it has actually happened or not yet), and there is no reason to believe we won't experience more on our way down slope to our minimum.

Also, I'd certainly LIKE to see more before we hit the inevitable spotless days. Who knows if we will ever manage to see, economically or otherwise, the next max.

I'll raise your :

"All bases considered is what we do,no?"

and throw in my wishes hf
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 06:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
OK, I have had enough or should I say not enough. I am going outside to conjur up an X-flare and big CMEto come blasting straight at us.
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 06:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm following Madajas train of theory right now, anticipating some serious solar action, and expansion of the atmosphere.

My reason being only, there was far more activity a year prior to the flip (whether it has actually happened or not yet), and there is no reason to believe we won't experience more on our way down slope to our minimum.

Also, I'd certainly LIKE to see more before we hit the inevitable spotless days. Who knows if we will ever manage to see, economically or otherwise, the next max.

I'll raise your :

"All bases considered is what we do,no?"

and throw in my wishes hf
 Quoting: TS66


No doubt at all,though I'd say we will see more CME action compared to Flaring but that Flaring will still obviously be in the pipeline(bloody hope so!?)in the coming Year+.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1437851
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02/25/2013 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm following Madajas train of theory right now, anticipating some serious solar action, and expansion of the atmosphere.

My reason being only, there was far more activity a year prior to the flip (whether it has actually happened or not yet), and there is no reason to believe we won't experience more on our way down slope to our minimum.

Also, I'd certainly LIKE to see more before we hit the inevitable spotless days. Who knows if we will ever manage to see, economically or otherwise, the next max.

I'll raise your :

"All bases considered is what we do,no?"

and throw in my wishes hf
 Quoting: TS66


Nice post!
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 06:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't see any geomagnetic disturbance whatsoever. The planetary K-index is at 1=quiet:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Even the polar regions look quiet now:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE shows nominal wind velocity with some minor proton variations:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Satellite environment all good:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

No spaceweather warnings, alerts or notices:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

When nothing happens folks start imagining things IMO.
endathand
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


So you don't see the CME on HI2 then Hugh?

Or the rising nT on the Magnetometer [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] that looks like action to me,wait for the drop.

Also the ACE Data when fed into the Mag. Sim. is showing this [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] .

Hello by the way : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The geomagnetic (Kp) indices gave gone from 0 to 1 today. If you want to call that a 'storm' or a 'disturbance' be my guest, but we're not even halfway to 'unsettled' yet. Geospace has been so quiet that folks seem to forget what a G3 storm looks like. I wouldn't even call this a hiccup.
Wing 24-hr plot:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

geomagnetic Indices:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Don't let me ruin a good doom-fest..........I'm going back to being bored.

whatever
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I did say 'Wait for the drop'.

I also didn't say we were Storming,Geo Storming is'nt a storm until at least a 4 - I pointed out the rise on the Magnetometer and the simulation of the data on the ccmc link as well as the splodge on HI and why there is a slight disturbance,slight.

Sheesh kebab Hugh - Don't muddle my posts with the posts of others - simply posted what I am seeing and the potential reason,no storming claimed.

Respect and peace.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


NOAA Discussion - '.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with a slight chance of
unsettled conditions for days one through three (25-27 Feb)
' [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 07:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I won't post all the individual MPegs but instead just the Stereo Site [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] lots to be seen!

Of note the EUVI Behind/Ahead and HI2s' and COR2s' and COR1 Behind.

Basically all of them : )

Edit:They just scrubbed the MPegs,nevermind.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/25/2013 07:32 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 07:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looking kinda ominous all of a sudden
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 07:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looking kinda ominous all of a sudden
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1933872


Certainly appears to be some action going down on Solwoohoo

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/25/2013 07:17 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 07:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here comes the drop [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 07:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Boom [link to www.sidc.oma.be] nice : )

Take a look at the Cactus CME Board [link to www.sidc.oma.be] jam packed,though not many massive CMEs,just a fair few of them.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Isis One

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02/25/2013 08:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Boom [link to www.sidc.oma.be] nice : )

Take a look at the Cactus CME Board [link to www.sidc.oma.be] jam packed,though not many massive CMEs,just a fair few of them.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Great tracking/assessing SC, appreciate muchly!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
Isis One

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02/25/2013 08:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is little summary of past three days

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 08:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Boom [link to www.sidc.oma.be] nice : )

Take a look at the Cactus CME Board [link to www.sidc.oma.be] jam packed,though not many massive CMEs,just a fair few of them.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Great tracking/assessing SC, appreciate muchly!
 Quoting: Isis One


Muchly appreciated appreciation Isis,thank youwink

thumbs

Edit:And thank you for the C2 you just posted.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/25/2013 08:07 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 08:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is little summary of past three days

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Those CMEs' though not the 'punchy' type,are very cool looking,each one looked like a large,slow peeling away of sections of the Corona,very nice : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Isis One

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02/25/2013 09:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is little summary of past three days

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Those CMEs' though not the 'punchy' type,are very cool looking,each one looked like a large,slow peeling away of sections of the Corona,very nice : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I often have to refer to that when you guys get discussing the fine details, I'm a big picture person.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 09:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is little summary of past three days

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Those CMEs' though not the 'punchy' type,are very cool looking,each one looked like a large,slow peeling away of sections of the Corona,very nice : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I often have to refer to that when you guys get discussing the fine details, I'm a big picture person.
 Quoting: Isis One


Sorry Sis : )

Phished.
wierdness

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 02/25/2013 09:40 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 34832843
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02/25/2013 09:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is little summary of past three days

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Those CMEs' though not the 'punchy' type,are very cool looking,each one looked like a large,slow peeling away of sections of the Corona,very nice : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I often have to refer to that when you guys get discussing the fine details, I'm a big picture person.
 Quoting: Isis One


Sorry Sis : )

Phished.
wierdness
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


LMAO!!! Wtf?
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 09:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Lol.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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02/25/2013 10:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here comes the drop [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


will it go well below 50,we'll see
Spittin'Cesium

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02/25/2013 11:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here comes the drop [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


will it go well below 50,we'll see
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1437851


I don't expect much from this,but yes,we'll see.

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Isis One

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02/25/2013 11:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Lol.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


That was a good oooone

:can't find a good smilie:
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
Isis One

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02/25/2013 11:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Waiting for the right time to use this one (haters, between colons)

haters

or this hater
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
Hugh M Eye

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02/25/2013 11:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1682 is the new spot to watch-
:1682:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 57 Issued at 0030Z on 26 Feb 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 25 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 25/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1675 N13W90 038 0000 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1676 S18W39 347 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1680 S28E35 274 0040 Dao 04 03 Beta
1681 N16E59 249 0030 Hsx 01 01 Alpha
1682 S18E09 300 0030 Dro 03 03 Beta-Gamma

Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest HMI Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1682 Magnetogram-
:1682mag:

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. Old Region 1678 (N08, L=069), now almost
two days beyond the east limb, produced a long duration B8 x-ray event

at 25/1151 UTC associated with a non-Earth-directed coronal mass
ejection (CME). Three new spot groups were numbered: Region 1680
(S28E35, Dao/beta), Region 1681 (N16E59, Hsx/alpha), and 1682 (S18E09,
Dro/beta-gamma). Region 1682 was in a growth phase during the period and
showed a beta-gamma magnetic configuration with mixed polarities evident
within its intermediate portion.
The remaining two spot groups were
unremarkable. There was no Earth-directed CME activity during the
period.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low during the period (26 - 28
Feb), with a chance for C-class flares and a slight chance for an
M-class flare, based primarily on the growth and magnetic complexity in
Region 1682.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 31662450
United States
02/26/2013 12:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The new fast-growing active region 1682 is sandwiched between two coronal holes. Will this feed into its growth and strength? Or will the CHs sap its strength and retard growth? Stay tuned, Suntards, as we'll soon know the answer.

Coronal Holes Surrounding AR1682-
:1682&CH:

I don't think I've seen such widespread coronal holes before. We could be in for a gusty solar wind week.

SDO/AIA 193 image:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO composite image:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

More on Coronal Holes-

Coronal holes are the darkest and least active regions of the Sun, as observed both on the solar disk and above the solar limb. Coronal holes are associated with rapidly expanding open magnetic fields and the acceleration of the high-speed solar wind.(snip)

(unsnip)...For example, the importance of kinetic plasma physics and turbulence in coronal holes has been affirmed by surprising measurements from the UVCS instrument on SOHO that heavy ions are heated to hundreds of times the temperatures of protons and electrons. These observations point to specific kinds of collisionless Alfvén wave damping (i.e., ion cyclotron resonance), but complete theoretical models do not yet exist.

Nice paper on CH's:
[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]

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