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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
mtn_mang

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02/27/2013 01:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow, this is a great capture!

[link to www.solarham.net]
MamaHasAwakened

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02/27/2013 03:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow, this is a great capture!

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Sure is!
Da fuq

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02/27/2013 05:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Filaments and CH's?

This is getting absurd.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 02/27/2013 05:41 PM
Anonymous Coward
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02/27/2013 05:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Filaments and CH's?

This is getting absurd.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Dafuq, it hasn't even hit 10 MeVs, not even a minor S1 Solar Radiation storm, which could easily be caused by either, no cause for alarm.

I'm attaching a link. Take a peak at Storm classifications.

The Proton Flux graph you presented refers to NOAA Space Weather Scale for Solar Radiation Storms which is the second table.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I think this will help your perception, because in all honesty the Flux graph is currently representing very little activity.

Hope it helps hf
Earth Cries

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02/27/2013 07:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A great link to US seismic monitors.

[link to usarray.seis.sc.edu]
Mark 13:20 And except that the Lord had shortened those days, no flesh should be saved: but for the elect's sake, whom he hath chosen, he hath shortened the days.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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02/27/2013 07:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A great link to US seismic monitors.

[link to usarray.seis.sc.edu]
 Quoting: Earth Cries


hf
Hugh M Eye

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02/27/2013 07:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome New Region AR1683-
:2/28newSE:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 59 Issued at 0030Z on 28 Feb 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 27 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 27/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1680 S29E11 271 0010 Bxo 04 04 Beta
1681 N17E33 249 0040 Cso 03 03 Beta
1682 S18W17 299 0110 Dai 07 13 Beta-Gamma
1683 S17E79 203 0090 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 27/2400Z Feb
Nmbr Location Lo
1673 S10W90 013
1676 S18W67 350
1677 S28W72 355
1679 S10W62 345
II. Regions Due to Return 28 Feb to 02 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
1670 N17 181

Wow, look at all those plages! Plages usually appear extremely bright on the EUVI images, often brighter than (non-flaring) active regions. The many large plages are what increases the total solar irradiance during maximums.

AR1682 is in danger of losing its beta-gamma classification....

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. Occasional B-class flares occurred early in
the period. Region 1682 (S18W17, Dai/beta-gamma) showed minor
intermediate spot growth and some magnetic simplification, but retained
a weak beta-gamma configuration.
Region 1680 (S29E11, Bxo/beta)
gradually decayed during the period. Region 1681 (N17E33, Cso/beta)
showed no significant change during the period. New Region 1683 (S17E79,
Hsx/alpha) rotated into view midway through the period. There were no
Earth-directed coronal mass ejections during the period.

Protons Anyone?

Energetic Particle -24 hr Summary...
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit became
slightly enhanced early in the period (peak flux .9 pfu at 27/0725 UTC),
most likely associated with the long-duration B8 x-ray event observed
from beyond the west limb on 25 Feb from old Region 1678
(N08, L=069).
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal levels.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/27/2013 07:52 PM
shadasonic

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02/27/2013 08:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The southern filament eruption is far more impressive on Cactus today, than it was on 304 angstrom yesterday I have to admit.

Yes, the LDE on the 26th was from a far side eruption. Let me explain my hesitancy to admit it from the inner workings of my mind in denial.

I've seen 3 events in as many days that support Nin's magic corner. which I have not been a subscriber, but ....

First off I believe the LDE was from 1671. In studying 195 behind, you can see an unimpressive 71 grow exponentially upon rotating out, note it's latitude.

:7178behind:

Here the event on the 25th, on SOHO

:7178ahead:

I'm convinced it was 71.

Yesterday, an equally unimpressive 75, last classified AXX by Solen, rotated out over the western limb, then exploded !! Kevin for some reason claimed again it was 78 (???). But as you can see below, 78 is all but dissipated, 71 grew, and 75, as I said magically became active. (Also notice the birth of a new CH, as Nin pointed out, just below what is left of 78)

:75behind:

Today in the SW, a filament, just as it is rotating out off the visible disc. Maybe just coincidence, but that's such a overused, catch all excuse.

1dunno1

By acknowledging first the LDE from a used up SR like 71 meant acknowledging something that didn't seem possible. The sudden transformation of 75, not possible. The incredible activity in the SW corner yesterday, sudden birth of a CH on the far side which appeared to not only be magnetically connected to 75, but also to the huge filament wrapped around the west limb. Unlikely.

This is my friends is my personal reason for alcohol !!! LOL. I post a lot here, but it's only a tiny fraction of what's actually rolling around in my head.

So now I will let all those bored/confused or both off the hook, as attempt to divert my attention, even if minutely to my dirty kitchen.wink
 Quoting: TS66




Very nice post TS!

flarey

Backside magic!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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02/27/2013 08:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Lovely CME Eruption-
:2/27CME_c2:

Proton Whip?or electric cheese doodle?
2/27CME-close

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 image:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

SEEDS Movie of CME:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

NEW REGION SE LIMB-
:2/27_new:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I'm going with the electric cheese doodle, very nice Hugh!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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02/27/2013 09:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
electric cheese doodle

y_happy

LOL
shenue

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02/27/2013 09:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Night All ... Peace

:Moon-Sun:
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Hugh M Eye

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02/27/2013 10:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


[link to www.youtube.com]

Original Ching Hung NASA technical memorandum:

[link to www.climatestop.com]
shadasonic

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02/28/2013 12:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Calabi- Yau space, its whats going on, check it out as I'm too tired to get into it at this point,bless you my wonderfull friends!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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02/28/2013 03:59 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This new?

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Tiny Trink

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02/28/2013 07:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Much Love,


[link to www.youtube.com]



Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 07:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Morning Tink hf

Earth facing environment. Great terminology from SO !!
Tiny Trink

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02/28/2013 07:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Morning Tink hf

Earth facing environment. Great terminology from SO !!
 Quoting: TS66



Good Morning TS hf

Seems each day brings a aha moment these days.

Hope you are doing well my friend.

hugs

Much Love,
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 08:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning/afternoon! Hope all is well :)
aether

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02/28/2013 08:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
oops wrong thread

sorry

rex

Last Edited by aether on 02/28/2013 08:52 AM
MamaHasAwakened

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02/28/2013 08:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning/afternoon! Hope all is well :)
 Quoting: Elemental


Love your new pic!!!
Tiny Trink

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02/28/2013 09:01 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning/afternoon! Hope all is well :)
 Quoting: Elemental


Love your new pic!!!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened



Me too Ele!!

Beautiful inside and out!!

hf

Much Love to you my friend,
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 01:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thankyou both! Tis a holiday pic, the holiday on which Nick proposed :)) Its a very special time in my memory xxx
Da fuq

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02/28/2013 01:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Global warmin
NiNzrez (OP)

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02/28/2013 01:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have a CME that arrived earlier today with Density spikes at ACE reaching a high in the 60s and 80s
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


we even had a density reading of 92.5 at 17:04 UTC
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

a little hit to help: you can always tell if a CME is headed at ACE/Earth by watching the wave of 'Low Energy Protons' on he ACE charts 3day 'low energy proton' chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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02/28/2013 01:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have a CME that arrived earlier today with Density spikes at ACE reaching a high in the 60s and 80s
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


we even had a density reading of 92.5 at 17:04 UTC
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

a little hit to help: you can always tell if a CME is headed at ACE/Earth by watching the wave of 'Low Energy Protons' on he ACE charts 3day 'low energy proton' chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Whoa! and we had a Density spike at 17:46 UTC with a high reading of 142.2 !!!
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 02:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Email darling xx
Hugh M Eye

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02/28/2013 03:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have a CME that arrived earlier today with Density spikes at ACE reaching a high in the 60s and 80s
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


we even had a density reading of 92.5 at 17:04 UTC
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

a little hit to help: you can always tell if a CME is headed at ACE/Earth by watching the wave of 'Low Energy Protons' on he ACE charts 3day 'low energy proton' chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Whoa! and we had a Density spike at 17:46 UTC with a high reading of 142.2 !!!
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hello, NINzrezhf Nice catch there! We must be seeing some action from that large beyond-the-limb CME on the 25th (it's too soon to be the big filament eruption from yesterday). In any case NOAA and NASA claimed both were not geoeffective. A much smaller density measurement was taken at SOHO (less than 30 p/ccm so far):

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Here's NOAA 24hr Summary and Forecast for SW and Geomagnetic conditions-

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
ACE data indicated no significant activity in the solar wind flow during
the period. Wind speed ranged from 297 to 358 km/s during the period.
Phi data indicated a negative-polarity (toward) solar sector during most
of the period. However, there was a shift to a positive-polarity (away)
sector during approximately 27/0300. IMF Bt ranged from 1 to 6 nT, while
IMF Bz was variable at +/- 5 nT.

.Forecast...
Wind speed is expected to increase on days 2 - 3 (01 - 02 Mar) due to
the onset of a CH HSS. Enlil ambient-mode model output predicts peak
wind speeds around 450 km/s with this CH HSS.


Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day 1 (28 Feb). Field
activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on days 2
and 3 (01-02 Mar), with a chance for active levels and a slight chance
for minor storm levels (NOAA Scale G1 (Minor)), due to the onset of a
recurrent CH HSS.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Still no spaceweather warnings or alerts posted:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE 6-hr. SW data-Density is spiking again now:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
shenue

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02/28/2013 03:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow just now got back in here. Kept getting messages from GLP that the server was down and not to panic. lol. Haven't been able to get here for hours.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Hugh M Eye

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02/28/2013 04:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BREAKING: Third Radiation Belt Discovered Around Earth!

Let me take pleasure in scooping Spaceweather.com and Suspicious Observer on this one, hehe.

This newly discovered 'Van Allen radiation belt' is seemingly a direct consequence of solar activity. NASA scientists were surprised because they had no idea this existed. From the NASA press release-

"But a group of scientists on the mission made a case for changing the plan. They asked that the Relativistic Electron Proton Telescope (REPT) be turned on early – just three days after launch -- in order that its observations would overlap with another mission called SAMPEX (Solar, Anomalous, and Magnetospheric Particle Explorer), that was soon going to de-orbit and re-enter Earth's atmosphere.

It was a lucky decision. Shortly before REPT turned on, solar activity on the sun had sent energy toward Earth that caused the radiation belts to swell. The REPT instrument worked well from the moment it was turned on Sep. 1. It made observations of these new particles trapped in the belts, recording their high energies, and the belts' increased size.

Then something happened no one had ever seen before: the particles settled into a new configuration, showing an extra, third belt extending out into space. Within mere days of launch, the Van Allen Probes showed scientists something that would require rewriting textbooks.

"By the fifth day REPT was on, we could plot out our observations and watch the formation of a third radiation belt," says Shri Kanekal, the deputy mission scientist for the Van Allen Probes at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. and a coauthor of a paper on these results. "We started wondering if there was something wrong with our instruments. We checked everything, but there was nothing wrong with them. The third belt persisted beautifully, day after day, week after week, for four weeks."

More here:
[link to www.nasa.gov]



[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 04:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BREAKING: Third Radiation Belt Discovered Around Earth!

Let me take pleasure in scooping Spaceweather.com and Suspicious Observer on this one, hehe.

This newly discovered 'Van Allen radiation belt' is seemingly a direct consequence of solar activity. NASA scientists were surprised because they had no idea this existed. From the NASA press release-

"But a group of scientists on the mission made a case for changing the plan. They asked that the Relativistic Electron Proton Telescope (REPT) be turned on early – just three days after launch -- in order that its observations would overlap with another mission called SAMPEX (Solar, Anomalous, and Magnetospheric Particle Explorer), that was soon going to de-orbit and re-enter Earth's atmosphere.

It was a lucky decision. Shortly before REPT turned on, solar activity on the sun had sent energy toward Earth that caused the radiation belts to swell. The REPT instrument worked well from the moment it was turned on Sep. 1. It made observations of these new particles trapped in the belts, recording their high energies, and the belts' increased size.

Then something happened no one had ever seen before: the particles settled into a new configuration, showing an extra, third belt extending out into space. Within mere days of launch, the Van Allen Probes showed scientists something that would require rewriting textbooks.

"By the fifth day REPT was on, we could plot out our observations and watch the formation of a third radiation belt," says Shri Kanekal, the deputy mission scientist for the Van Allen Probes at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. and a coauthor of a paper on these results. "We started wondering if there was something wrong with our instruments. We checked everything, but there was nothing wrong with them. The third belt persisted beautifully, day after day, week after week, for four weeks."

More here:
[link to www.nasa.gov]



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Nice Hugh thank you !! hf

Like she said, so much more to discover and learn.

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We're dropping truth bombs like it's the end of days!