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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Da fuq

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03/16/2013 11:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not
Don't know at this time
[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

top left.
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 11:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There appears to be ejecta.

Something is clearly happening, look at it.



[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Da fuq


Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels.

STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Earth's magnetic footpoint:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Wowee Zowee! How did we miss that one? I saw nothing on the GONG or the x-ray flux so I figured it was backside action, but Noooooooooo......awesome filament explosion at a very high speed. Normally this wouldn't seem geoeffective, but that footpoint location has me hesitating. I'll wait for more data.
SDO 304a images of large filament explosion:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Very photogenic--this one should make the highlight reels, LOL.

takecover!
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/16/2013 11:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME Arrival Due Today - Updated Hourly
Today we are awaiting the arrival of a Earth directed CME that was ejected from the solar surface on March 15, 2013. While we wait for this CME to arrive, we thought it would be a good time to update everyone with the info we have on this CME.
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 11:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There appears to be ejecta.

Something is clearly happening, look at it.



[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Da fuq


Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels.

STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Earth's magnetic footpoint:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Wowee Zowee! How did we miss that one? I saw nothing on the GONG or the x-ray flux so I figured it was backside action, but Noooooooooo......awesome filament explosion at a very high speed. Normally this wouldn't seem geoeffective, but that footpoint location has me hesitating. I'll wait for more data.
SDO 304a images of large filament explosion:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Very photogenic--this one should make the highlight reels, LOL.

:takecover!:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Wow that is a very fast cme!
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 11:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not
Don't know at this time
[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


Yep, thanks, here's a better view....amazing!



[link to www.youtube.com]
Da fuq

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03/16/2013 11:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Hugh, watch above the explosion.

Notice the Cosmic rays around the time the explosion and after.


play it in slow mo.
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 11:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I stand corrected DaFuq ... when I posted this, this morning, I didn't think it would be in the least bit earth directed ???


Good Morning Shenue hf

Check out this eruption from the helioviewer from Videovax !!



Still waiting on the Northern filament.
 Quoting: TS66


I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not
Don't know at this time
[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


Yep, thanks, here's a better view....amazing!



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 12:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I stand corrected DaFuq ... when I posted this, this morning, I didn't think it would be in the least bit earth directed ???


Good Morning Shenue hf

Check out this eruption from the helioviewer from Videovax !!



Still waiting on the Northern filament.
 Quoting: TS66


I Think this cme is from this filament eruption or maybe not
Don't know at this time
[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


Yep, thanks, here's a better view....amazing!



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

 Quoting: TS66


And you didn't warn us about the Earth-directed super-fast CME? Shame on you, 66, haha.....sorry, guess I slept through that one.

anon
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/16/2013 12:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How would it leave no trace on the x-ray?


Another symptom of the "double peaked" sun?


The speed from that is insane.
 Quoting: Da fuq


CME's, filaments and prominances do not register on the Xray flux chart, unless they occure in association with a solar flare event
this because they can and do occure all the time without there being any solar flare involved
the extreme solar radiated light that a sunspot gives out when a solar flare occures is the only thing the Xray monitor picks up on
i personaly watch for CMEs, filaments and prominances way more than i do for solar falres
flares are nice and exciting and all that, but it is the plasma the sun ejects at Earth in any form that is where the greatest concern should be
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
ANHEDONIC

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03/16/2013 12:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So if I'm interpretting these recent posts correctly, there's been a new earth-directed CME that will hit us (later) in addition to the one that was expected to arrive today?

"You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger"
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/16/2013 12:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There appears to be ejecta.

Something is clearly happening, look at it.



[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Da fuq


Great find, Da Fuq! I found a violent little ejection from near Region 1691 (I think) at around 14:00z. Strangely, it left no trace on the x-ray flux. It's right near the Earth's magnetic footpoint, so it may add to our high proton levels.

STEREO A EUVI Movie (look for eruption on the top left quadrant at 1400z):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Earth's magnetic footpoint:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


normaly i would say an eruption this far to the north west would not have much if any effect on Earth.
but as you pointed out Hugh, earths magnetic footprint is in just the right spot. and the CME has layed a clear path from the sun to the Earth. this allows 'stuf' to come at Earth faster and easier than normaly
this would show up 1st on the proton flux chart for GOES
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
it is possible that this eruption added to the rise in the proton count
because were also seeing the low energy protons rise at ACE
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Da fuq

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03/16/2013 12:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So if I'm interpretting these recent posts correctly, there's been a new earth-directed CME that will hit us (later) in addition to the one that was expected to arrive today?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Yeah, it is very fast and the filament liftoff occurred near Earths footprint.

Gotta wait on ISWA for the official word.
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 12:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So if I'm interpretting these recent posts correctly, there's been a new earth-directed CME that will hit us (later) in addition to the one that was expected to arrive today?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Howdy, ANHEDONIC hi yes, there's been another CME launched, but it's too early to tell how much of it was earth-directed. I'm waiting for the SOHO C2 and C3 images to update so we can see how much of a halo we're looking at. Most likely a glancing blow, but a similar eruption in Oct. 2011 gave us aurora as far south as Arkansas from a 'glancing blow'. It should be fun to watch though.

Solar Doom Bunke
ANHEDONIC

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03/16/2013 12:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yeah, it is very fast and the filament liftoff occurred near Earths footprint.

Gotta wait on ISWA for the official word.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Howdy, ANHEDONIC hi yes, there's been another CME launched, but it's too early to tell how much of it was earth-directed. I'm waiting for the SOHO C2 and C3 images to update so we can see how much of a halo we're looking at. Most likely a glancing blow, but a similar eruption in Oct. 2011 gave us aurora as far south as Arkansas from a 'glancing blow'. It should be fun to watch though.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



Thanks for the responses.

greenkarma

Last Edited by WOLF* on 03/16/2013 12:32 PM

"You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger"
Da fuq

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03/16/2013 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Gonna be interesting to see what happens when the big guy hits us soon.
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/16/2013 12:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Gonna be interesting to see what happens when the big guy hits us soon.
 Quoting: Da fuq

haha been waiting for a reason to post this one ^^
arniedoom

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/16/2013 12:52 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 12:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I had trouble tracking this one down again (it's been awhile). I had to scour half the freakin' internets but I found it. An oldie but goodie from NASA- it relates to that 60 degree west zone and it's fast connection to Earth.

New Kind of Solar Storm

(snip) Next, if the explosion is powerful enough, a billion-ton cloud of gas billows away from the blast site. This is the coronal mass ejection or "CME." CMEs are relatively slow. Even the fastest ones, traveling one to two thousand km/s, take a day or so to reach Earth. You know a CME has just arrived when you see auroras in the sky.
En route to Earth, CMEs plow through a lot of gaseous material, first in the sun's atmosphere and then out in interplanetary space. You thought space was empty? No. The void between planets is filled with protons and other particles from the solar wind. Shock waves in front of the CME can accelerate these protons in our direction--hence the proton storm.
"CMEs can account for most proton storms," says Lin, but not the proton storm of January 20th. According to theory, CMEs can't push material to Earth quickly enough.
Back to the drawing board: If a CME didn't accelerate the protons, what did?
"We have an important clue," says Lin. When the explosion occurred, sunspot 720 was located at a special place on the sun: 60o west longitude. This means "the sunspot was magnetically connected to Earth."
He explains: The sun's magnetic field spirals out into the solar system like water from a lawn sprinkler. (Why? The sun spins like a lawn sprinkler does.) The magnetic field emerging from solar longitude 60o W bends around and intersects Earth. Protons are guided by magnetic force fields so, on January 20th, there was a superhighway for protons leading all the way from sunspot 720 to our planet.

Full article:
[link to science.nasa.gov]

Also this paper on CMEs: 'Stealth' Solar Storms:

[link to www.nso.edu]
madajs.

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03/16/2013 01:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looking forward to the forecasted arrival of the CME in the next 12 hours (give or take)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Da fuq

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03/16/2013 01:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Gonna be interesting to see what happens when the big guy hits us soon.
 Quoting: Da fuq

haha been waiting for a reason to post this one ^^
arniedoom
 Quoting: NiNzrez


1011
whiteangel
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03/16/2013 01:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Am I right on this, that we now have a S1 Solar radiation storm? Doesn't seem like a big deal at this point.

[link to www.solarham.net]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by WhiteAngel on 03/16/2013 01:24 PM
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 01:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SOHO is updating finally. I don't see much on the C3 image to be concerned about, but we may see some of the IP shock and some fluctuations in the solar winds a few days hence. When they fill in all the delayed images we'll get a better look.

SOHO C3 image:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Did everyone see the story at Spaceweather.com? Comet PanSTARRS may be breaking up a little. I wonder what effect, if any, this incoming CME will have on it. Maybe we'll see some fireworks or Comet Doom, LOL.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

endathand
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 01:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
image [link to img577.imageshack.us]

[link to solarimg.org]
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 01:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Am I right on this, that we now have a S1 Solar radiation storm? Doesn't seem like a big deal at this point.

[link to www.solarham.net]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


Hi, whiteangel hf Better bring the tomato plants in just to be on the safe side.

I believe it's the first SEP event of 2013 so it's a big deal to me. Besides I get to try on my new lead underwear and tin foil hat, haha.

drevil
Spittin'Cesium

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03/16/2013 01:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Comet + Sun = Earthbound CMEs and Flares?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Yeah, again, what's in that tail?????
 Quoting: Isis One


Apparently as many tails as it can fit per the size of its' nucleus by the look of it [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !?

How many?

Incredible.

hiCrewssun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Comet + Sun = Earthbound CMEs and Flares?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Yeah, again, what's in that tail?????
 Quoting: Isis One


Apparently as many tails as it can fit per the size of its' nucleus by the look of it [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !?

How many?

Incredible.

hiCrewssun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Howdy, Spittin' afro here's a pretty picture I forgot to post earlier.
:3/16erupt:
:3/16footpoint:
Spittin'Cesium

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03/16/2013 01:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Preparing for a NASA fakedown?

Dr. isn't too sure -


[link to www.youtube.com]

But placing a question mark after 'Crying Wolf' is akin to Spread-Betting,no!?

We'll see [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
BloodyT3CH

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03/16/2013 01:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Double peak
[link to www.gdgps.net]
lolatu
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
Spittin'Cesium

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03/16/2013 01:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Comet + Sun = Earthbound CMEs and Flares?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Yeah, again, what's in that tail?????
 Quoting: Isis One


Apparently as many tails as it can fit per the size of its' nucleus by the look of it [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !?

How many?

Incredible.

hiCrewssun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Howdy, Spittin' afro here's a pretty picture I forgot to post earlier.
:3/16erupt:
:3/16footpoint:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That is stunning.

Good to be here,briefly - awaiting ol' beasty to see what we can see.

: )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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03/16/2013 01:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Am I right on this, that we now have a S1 Solar radiation storm? Doesn't seem like a big deal at this point.

[link to www.solarham.net]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


Hi, whiteangel hf Better bring the tomato plants in just to be on the safe side.

I believe it's the first SEP event of 2013 so it's a big deal to me. Besides I get to try on my new lead underwear and tin foil hat, haha.

drevil
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Oh you are too funny Hugh. should be interesting to see how big it does or doesn't get.
uhoh
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Spittin'Cesium

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03/16/2013 01:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
When was that Hugh?

I see we are plugged in about there,was this before or after the Protons?

Haven't been watching much so I am out of da' loop,just like that!

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1


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