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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Tiny Trink

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03/17/2013 03:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy St Patrick's Day!!!


Much Love,


[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
shenue

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03/17/2013 05:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all........ Group Hug

Well I didn't need my morning coffee to wake me up. All I needed was to do my usual morning check of the Kp-index. I see the CME is hitting now.

[link to www.theusner.eu]
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 05:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp 9 ?????
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
shenue

User ID: 35346027
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03/17/2013 05:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The magnetosphere started taking a good hit around 7 UT too.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
shenue

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03/17/2013 05:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: TS66


I hope their prediction is wrong, or the chart is incorrect.
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 35725151
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03/17/2013 05:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: TS66


I hope their prediction is wrong, or the chart is incorrect.
 Quoting: shenue


It would far exceed any expectation I wouuld have had for today.

I see the K index just went down to 5. 1dunno1
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

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03/17/2013 05:24 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
May get green sky for St Patrick's Day love to allbroccoli
1 John 4:18
There is no fear in love; but perfect love casts out fear, because fear involves torment
shenue

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03/17/2013 05:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: TS66


I hope their prediction is wrong, or the chart is incorrect.
 Quoting: shenue


It would far exceed any expectation I wouuld have had for today.

I see the K index just went down to 5. 1dunno1
 Quoting: TS66


Yes I noticed that too. But the prediction still appears to be for a 9 or pretty darn close to it. hmmmm Let's hope they are wrong.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Just to be cautious, a few minutes ago, we put our best computers in our Faraday.
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
shenue

User ID: 35346027
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03/17/2013 05:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
May get green sky for St Patrick's Day love to allbroccoli
 Quoting: Goofy for God


We may, at that, GFG.
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 35725151
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03/17/2013 06:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05Serial Number: 826Issue Time: 2013 Mar 17 1322 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Extension to Serial Number: 825Valid From: 2013 Mar 17 0600 UTC Now Valid Until: 2013 Mar 17 2100 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

1698

[link to www.lmsal.com]
shenue

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03/17/2013 07:12 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Spac
ttp://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events_archive/events_su​mmary/2013/03/17/gev_20130317_1250/index.html Weather Message Code: WARK05Serial Number: 826Issue Time: 2013 Mar 17 1322 UTCEXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expectedExtension to Serial Number: 825Valid From: 2013 Mar 17 0600 UTCNow Valid Until: 2013 Mar 17 2100 UTCWarning Condition: PersistencePotential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

1698

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: TS66


All we can do is watch and wait now.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
Da fuq

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03/17/2013 08:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


bertbook
Hugh M Eye

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03/17/2013 08:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
May get green sky for St Patrick's Day love to allbroccoli
 Quoting: Goofy for God


We may, at that, GFG.
 Quoting: shenue


They had green skies in Canada this morning!
aurorayknife

And multi-hued aurora in Alaska-
:auroraAK:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
whiteangel

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03/17/2013 09:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27760252
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03/17/2013 09:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


Interesting isn't it.herethere
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

User ID: 16845676
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03/17/2013 09:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Colorado Aurora

WOW
[link to spaceweather.com]
1 John 4:18
There is no fear in love; but perfect love casts out fear, because fear involves torment
shenue

User ID: 35346027
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03/17/2013 09:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Colorado Aurora

WOW
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Good pics
Sometimes 'the having' is not as sweet as 'the wanting'. So be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
optimum judgment

User ID: 24021617
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03/17/2013 10:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice sky we only have clouds
Spittin'Cesium

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03/17/2013 10:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


rockon
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/17/2013 10:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
May get green sky for St Patrick's Day love to allbroccoli
 Quoting: Goofy for God


We may, at that, GFG.
 Quoting: shenue


They had green skies in Canada this morning!
aurorayknife

And multi-hued aurora in Alaska-
:auroraAK:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Vurtde!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 31662450
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03/17/2013 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Talk about conspiracies.....After waiting all night for a sign of this CME arrival, I finally saw the indicators of a sudden impulse in the solar winds at ACE around 05:40z. When I went to post here suddenly GLP servers were not responding. Talk about frustration....ugghhh! I waited and tried for another hour before going to sleep watching beautiful aurora blooming at the Yellowknife all-sky cam. I've never seen such great visuals on that auroramax site as this. It updates every 20 seconds and each time there was a completely different shape. These aurora were billowing and morphing with bright intensity.

Also note that the CME arrived at ACE 20 minutes before my tiny (compared to THEIRS) prediction window expired. I must say I'm getting better at this (or NOAA is getting worse, haha). As most of you know this isn't the first time we suntards have out-guessed the experts in these matters. NOAA should offer me a job as a freelance consultant/janitor (I'll work cheap,LOL).

Here's my quote from page 1811 of this thread:

"Much to my surprise, NASA is forecasting an even earlier arrival (slightly) than NOAA.--

Event Issue Date: 2013-03-15 09:23:51.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-03-16 16:59:03.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 4 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.3 Re
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I have no idea still how they calculate a 'Disturbance Duration' of 4 hours. In my experience these CME events last anywhere from 10 to 32 hours. Wam-bam-thak-you, maam!

Anyway, I'll take a stab and predict impact will start on 3-17 at about 03:00z (+/- 3 hrs.) and duration will be 8-12 hrs (+/-6 hrs)."

The satellites in Geosynchronus Orbit were exposed to raw solar winds for a short time. Luckily the density was very low for this CME or some satellites may have been compromised. Here's the NASA magnetopause simulation model:
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
:3/17mpause:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 10:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
Wow! scared
Da fuq

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03/17/2013 10:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1572072


[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

GOOD NEWS EVERYONE
farnsworth

Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/17/2013 10:45 AM
optimum judgment

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03/17/2013 10:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1572072


[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

GOOD NEWS EVERYONE
farnsworth
 Quoting: Da fuq


Nice baseline induction
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 31662450
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03/17/2013 10:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We're still storming strong here (12 hours later, hehe)! NOAA has issued another K=6 ALERT/and Threshold Reached notice-

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06
Serial Number: 303
Issue Time: 2013 Mar 17 1713 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2013 Mar 17 1700 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Geomagnetic K- Indices:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

SOHO solaR WIND DATA:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE SW data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/17/2013 10:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We're still storming strong here (12 hours later, hehe)! NOAA has issued another K=6 ALERT/and Threshold Reached notice-

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06
Serial Number: 303
Issue Time: 2013 Mar 17 1713 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2013 Mar 17 1700 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Geomagnetic K- Indices:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

SOHO solaR WIND DATA:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE SW data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


my net went out seriously the very sek i seen someone post that the CME had arrived. was sooo mad
just now got it back on
new updates added to the solar alerts blog on the storm level

[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
CME Imapct!

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/17/2013 12:03 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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03/17/2013 11:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Magnetometer Round-up-

HAARP Fluxgate magnetometer:

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Kiruna, Sweden Magnetometer:

[link to www.irf.se]

Boulder Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Tromso, Norway and dozens of other magnetometers:

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 31662450
United States
03/17/2013 11:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


[link to www.youtube.com]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Official SunTard"

User ID: 36140692
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03/17/2013 11:14 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We're still storming strong here (12 hours later, hehe)! NOAA has issued another K=6 ALERT/and Threshold Reached notice-

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06
Serial Number: 303
Issue Time: 2013 Mar 17 1713 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2013 Mar 17 1700 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Geomagnetic K- Indices:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

SOHO solaR WIND DATA:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE SW data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


my net went out seriously the very sek i seen someone post that the CME had arrived. was sooo mad
just not got it back on
new updates added to the solar alerts blog on the storm level

[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
CME Imapct!
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Same thing for me. I was trying to login to say it has arrived, but I wasn't able to!
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
03/17/2013 11:15 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We're still storming strong here (12 hours later, hehe)! NOAA has issued another K=6 ALERT/and Threshold Reached notice-

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06
Serial Number: 303
Issue Time: 2013 Mar 17 1713 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2013 Mar 17 1700 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Geomagnetic K- Indices:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

SOHO solaR WIND DATA:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE SW data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Give the Man a job already,geez!?

This [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] not been on for long,is that the North-West Filament?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1

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