SOLAR WATCH * 251 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

Doing well my friend. Nice size for a vulcan to blow its top,we hit mid 6 and its gonna BLOOOOOW!

Just posted, thinking the same thing.

But the things we were discussing at the time were the overall waning Magnetic Field Strengths of the Sun and their Cyclical nature...my point in all of this is that this is why we are having such a minimum max. - that being that if the overall field is weak than we will see much less Sunspots as we know that in order for Sunspots to form we need a stronger,more intense Magnetic Field and,for these to Flare,a more complex Field.

This has been my point now for a few whiles,I have spammed the shit out of it to be honest!

And if you do not know the Name 'Landscheidt' by now(all of everyone!)I have not achieved my purpose in doing so!

Lol!




[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Nice post.

Hello Shads!

Sorry,that last comment was supposed to be at NiNz(or the point discussed)

: )

You good?

LANDSHEIDT RULES and stating a VERY plausible postulation isn't spamming my friend, its a theory of persistance.LOL
very much enjoy the rhetoric on here.

Doing very well my friend ,hope the same for you. Do things seem even more off with sol and the planet with you guys????
Strange energy abounds. I swear I feel a big shake could happen at any time, probably me reading to much into things, we'll see.


Last Edited by shadasonic on 03/20/2013 07:20 PM

Most recent WSO Magnetogram
[link to wso.stanford.edu]
look at the placment of the +/- regions
this sun is at the point of wanting to flip!
[link to wso.stanford.edu]

WSO generates data about the Sun's magnetic field in the following forms:

MAGNETOGRAMS

Magnetograms are magntic maps of the Sun's surface. The Sun rotates every 27
days and the features change with time, so the maps change from day to day.
magnetogram: [link to wso.stanford.edu]

SYNOPTIC CHARTS

Synoptic Charts are magnetic maps of the whole Sun. Magnetograms taken over a
solar rotation are combined to give a complete picture of the solar field. The
Earth is near the solar equator, so we never get a very good look at the Sun's
poles.
Synoptic Chart: [link to wso.stanford.edu]

CORONAL FIELDS

The field in the corona can not be measured directly. However the field can be
modeled because it's basic structure is determined by the conditions in the
photosphere. We use a potential field model to compute the field about 1.5
solar radii above the Sun's surface. That's the height at which the field
pattern becomes fixed. That pattern is carried out into interplanetary space
by the solar wind. It takes about 4 days for the pattern to reach the Earth.
The model isn't very good at predicting dynamic changes in the corona.
Coronal PFSS map: [link to wso.stanford.edu]

Read more about this:
[link to wso.stanford.edu]

Yup Everyone needs Wilfred.

Shads...That image makes a lot of sense Br0.

You implying Cyclical expansion and contraction of the crust based upon the heat of the Cores Magma that is in turn affected by the Barycentric Dynamo waxing and waning which via basic Friction,would heat the shit out of the Core and in turn also cause it cool down in times of less Cyclical 'revolutions' around the central point of Oscillation?

Because if you do,I get it.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/20/2013 07:32 PM

Hi Nin, then I read somewhere, some expert can find no evidence that the comet fragmented, might be in the same link I posted, which makes me wonder what the object is in front of the comet?

Could be Polaris!?

Isis

You got it, you're very well rounded SC!

The crystalline sheath shines in your

Last Edited by shadasonic on 03/20/2013 07:51 PM

just like the original HALE BOPP AND ITS MYSTERIOUS COMPANION.

NiNz - Do you understand what I am saying regarding my above comment about the Overall Magnetic Field Strength and its' implications!?

Please say yes,shits really important!

Thanks Ninz!

How the fuck did you figure all that out from those drawings? (Using your vernacular for funniness factor).

hmmmmmmm, interesting, any hunches?

I want to know if he can say that all in one breath !

Thanks for the daily dose of intelligence Sol Crew !

Common sense ain't it Luv!?

By the way,thank you for that last link NiNz!

Can't believe I hadn't seen it on that site yet!?

Ooo,you dirty bugger.

I need to roll around for a few,give me a Minute.



Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/20/2013 08:26 PM

Ah, that feels a bit beyond common sense, I'll say it again, your mind is amazing, also, good hunch on Polaris.

Excellent thread today, guys. Nin, you continues to amaze with charts/graphs/sims I've never seen before. In Hugh's forecast, they refer to "transient cme's", does that mean, slippery little effers who got past us? lol. Shad and Nin, thanks for EQ/volcano info. SC and Nin, your discussion on solar magnetic field pole reversing drama was excellent. Gomez, just love your avatar!!! Da. thanks for having a sense of humor. Hi to all lurkers. Sol crew rocks. Also a shout out to our gal Tiny Tink who started a fog2 thread on Nin's solar blog in case we get shut out here at glp, for anyone that's interested.

Thank you Isis!



I think they mean CMEs' whose prediction is hard to tell exactly or the coming and going of CME clouds.

By the way,that was informed intuition.

Hence,Common Sense : )

yes i get it and i think your line of thinking is extremely plausible :)
keep up the great work!

Will NASA Save us from Asteroids? Bolden says, "Pray"!!!

Rep. Bill Posey (R-Fla.) asked what NASA would do if a large asteroid headed on a collision course with Earth was discovered today with only three weeks before impact.
"The answer to you is, 'if it's coming in three weeks, pray,'" Bolden said. "The reason I can't do anything in the next three weeks is because for decades we have put it off."
Budget concerns also hamper the military's ability to monitor near-Earth objects and other space threats, such as orbital debris (defunct satellites and spent rocket stages that litter Earth orbit).
"We are clearly less capable under sequestration," Gen. William Shelton, the current commander of the U.S. Air Force Space Command, told the committee. He said that any further budget cuts could have dire consequences.
"Our dependence on space, not only for our way of life but also for military operations, is very high, so we would sacrifice that," Shelton said.

[link to www.accuweather.com]

UNsettled to Storm conditions now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GoES Electrons:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Thank you Ninz - I think I can prove it with Two images,maybe three first,this of the 0bserved and measured Overall Magnetic Field Strength of Sunspots alone,independent of the actual Solar Dipole [link to science.nasa.gov] You can see that is a massive decrease in Overall Strength of their Magnetic Fields and we know that in order to Flare they require a More complex Polarity(esp. for High C-X+ Flares)..combining that with this [link to www.leif.org] which shows at the same time,a massive difference in The actual overall Field Strength of our Star entirely - I know you know NiNz,but others,if the suns loses its overall Field Strength like this it simply will not be able to produce Sunspots,and from Livingston and Penn(guys who made the Observations)their serious extrapolation was that'by 2015-2030 we will see zero to few Sunspots forming at all' (you can read about this in basic form here [link to www.leif.org] )Penn and Livingstone are amongst the best Solar Brains we have as a species,in my opinion,for 0bservations of Solar Cyces etc.

Further to the plots above I want to also present this(don't mean to sound like a fucking teacher,feel like a prick saying that)a plot of the extrapolated Future Field Strengths of our Sol until 2030,these show what is my main thrust [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] Do you see the problem there Br0thers and Solsters..apart from the(scary)decrease in projected MFS,you should also notice that it will not again switch Hemisphere for the near fore-seeable future - This leaves me to say what most of you know already,some may have a hard time admitting it,but it is our duty to do so as these are the facts 'Landscheidt Minimum'.

I will now introduce another two brilliant Solar Statistical compilers and there incredible Formulae that has and is predicting soley by Computer Program alone(ones they wrote)the exact Magnetic Behavio(u)r of our Sol,Tim Channon and M.A Vulkacevic -

I'll snip some but you need to read this stuff if you want to know where we are in relation to Solar/Universal time and our Species,as I see it...

'Back in 2003, independent investigator and talkshop contributor Vukcevic developed a formula to describe the changing solar polar fields which has closely mimicked the Sun’s magnetic activity since. The terms in this formula are based on the motion of the biggest of the gas giants,Jupiter and Saturn. You can see a graph based on his formula and the WSO polar field data here.

In a complementary line of investigation, talkshop contributing author Tim Channon made a study of the possible set of cycles and amplitudes which could replicate the reconstruction of solar activity since 1610 made by NASA’s Judith Lean Tim has also used the software he created to do cycles analysis to discover the dominant cycle periods which describe the motion of the sun around the solar system barycentre caused by the motion of the planets, predominantly the four outer gas giants, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. He has now discovered that these same dominant cycle periods successfully replicate the record of changes in the solar polar fields.

For planetary-solar theorists this is exciting news, because it forms a new line of evidence demonstrating the strong possibility of a link between solar motion caused by the planets, and the changing levels of magnetic activity observed on the solar surface.

Here is Tim’s plot showing records of the changes in the field strength of the solar polar fields in red and the output of his cycles analysis software using the solar barycentric motion dominating cycle periods. The Pearson R2 value for the correlation is 0.975, or in layman’s terms “just about spot on.” - [link to tallbloke.files.wordpress.com] <--- Plot

At long last we have a close range forecast, albeit based on a short time span data series, which ties planetary motion to observable solar activity. An additional caveat though, is that the sun has been acting anomalously over the last few years, and we only have the vaguest of ideas about its non-linear behaviour. Still, if this forecast shows skill against observations over the coming years, it will be a vindication of cycles based analysis, and another boost for the planetary-solar theory. [link to tallbloke.wordpress.com (secure)]

Here is the hidden door to this modelling,if you want to look further [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net]

Ok so,you more than likely may be thinking 'Oi! 'Cesium - What the fuck is your point!?'

My point is - Mini to possible full Ice Age starting from at least 3 Years ago,and has been forecast to be occurring right now and for some time,here is a table showing the previous grand minima. and the future ones based off of the longer cycles of the past [link to ktwop.files.wordpress.com] You can see we are already in the middle of the predicted Grand Minima. right now from that graph...but you don't need to believe me - I just threw this together quickly to outline and recap,I can prove my facts or their basis a lot further if you need me to - But for this Morning the above should suffice for your Coffee easy read,and also this [link to ktwop.wordpress.com] read and utilize all links charts etc. and this - [link to www.schulphysik.de]

And if you ned proof that Climates forcer is Solar then here,read this also [link to www.giss.nasa.gov] a small piece from NASA about how the Sun causes Ice ages and this is directly due to Weak Sunspot Activity.

Remember,we are in a Solar Max - the Background X-rays should be almost constantly in the Mid C Range(at least) but yet I estimate the overall X-ray Flux to have been at a max. of B6-8 Max. since the onset of this Cycle,I amsure alot would agree with that estimate.

More reading:

'Decreasing
Sunsp
ot
Magnetic
Fields
Explain
Unique
10.7
cm
Radio
Flux' - The Penn/Livingstone and Svalgaard PDF of their work [link to www.leif.org]



Luv 2 all of you!



Edits:sorry,I rushed through it and didn't check What I had typed

lol.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/21/2013 04:16 AM

Much Love,

[link to www.youtube.com]

Yes,I was being a twit when I said 'Easy Morning Coffee Read'.

Sorry.

But please,if you have the time please read it through and if you have any questions as to its' validity,I will do my upmost to try and quantify my reasons why this is perfectly legitimate and factual data from which we may have to start all out assumptions from regarding this Max. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and the Future 20-5-/10 Years.

Straight up.

Any questions on this,like I said,fir away.