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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez
User ID: 28232082
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03/21/2013 01:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
here is the post i was talking about madajs.

...


Exactly,no-one would here me though - Even had S0 broadcast it to Thousands,still nowt.

Thank you NiNz.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


ahhh man.. why the hell not!?!
this is huge!

but had to look into this closer
no flip just yet, it almost did, then stabelized

here is the WSO solar dipole
[link to wso.stanford.edu]

here is just the North, where we can see it reversed
[link to wso.stanford.edu]

and here is just the South, where we can see it when to the very point of reversal, then stopped and stabelized
[link to wso.stanford.edu]


with it being THAT close, we could be seeing a solar polar flip at any sek without much notice at all
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes,it is crazy...It looks like the poles are smeered around the Sun in patches,check the magnetograms and this is kind of visible sometimes - with a large predominant Polarity occupying sections of the Sun at different times,it definitely did achieve at one point a crossing before something happened...I'll read the rest of your comment and links to find out what,exactly.

Thank you NiNz for being so on ithf

Fucking Awesome.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Most recent WSO Magnetogram
[link to wso.stanford.edu]
look at the placment of the +/- regions
this sun is at the point of wanting to flip!
[link to wso.stanford.edu]

WSO generates data about the Sun's magnetic field in the following forms:

MAGNETOGRAMS

Magnetograms are magntic maps of the Sun's surface. The Sun rotates every 27
days and the features change with time, so the maps change from day to day.
magnetogram: [link to wso.stanford.edu]

SYNOPTIC CHARTS

Synoptic Charts are magnetic maps of the whole Sun. Magnetograms taken over a
solar rotation are combined to give a complete picture of the solar field. The
Earth is near the solar equator, so we never get a very good look at the Sun's
poles.
Synoptic Chart: [link to wso.stanford.edu]

CORONAL FIELDS

The field in the corona can not be measured directly. However the field can be
modeled because it's basic structure is determined by the conditions in the
photosphere. We use a potential field model to compute the field about 1.5
solar radii above the Sun's surface. That's the height at which the field
pattern becomes fixed. That pattern is carried out into interplanetary space
by the solar wind. It takes about 4 days for the pattern to reach the Earth.
The model isn't very good at predicting dynamic changes in the corona.
Coronal PFSS map: [link to wso.stanford.edu]

Read more about this:
[link to wso.stanford.edu]
 Quoting: NiNzrez
Spittin'Cesium

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03/21/2013 01:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NiNz,did I not share this [link to www.leif.org] with you?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


nooooo
thank you for that!!!!!
so they switched then.....
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Cesium, I hope you didn't have S0 broadcast 'it switched' to thousands, haha, because they sure haven't!

Those charts are not necessarily intuitive. It took me quite a while (and a few emails with Leif) to figure them out.

Anyways, not even the Sun's north pole has reversed yet. Very close, but no cigar yet.

Note: To explain a little, the only readings on that chart that have shown the north polar region in a positive polarity, came at times when the actual north pole was not even visible to WSO.

Those were lower latitudes being measured; low latitudes of the northern hemisphere are measured every spring, the actual north pole is measured every fall. This is not done by choice, but rather by necessity, fall is the only time of year when Earth is positioned such that the Sun's north pole is visible from WSO.

The lower latitudes of the Sun's northern hemisphere exhibiting a positive polarity is nothing new, they have been doing so since the spring of 2011.

Measurements of the actual pole have yet to indicate a reversal.

 Quoting: madajs.


And yes,also...the rest of what you said concerning how and when they update and other reasons you mentioned in the past actually helped me loads..it was you I think about 4 Months back that pointed out that there is a 3 and 6 Month jig ol Sol does where in the Polarities can appear to have crossed,and may have...but it doesn't always mean it has 'happened' fully as what tends to happen is like when you poke your toe in the bath and then foot,in and out until you get used to the temperature(shit comparison,I have been up for 36 Hours+)so do the Poles of the Sun kind of surge in and out in and then out,making headway each time but each time moving back to another position(ahead of the last)until a temperament is achieved and they have no choice but to flip.

I do eagerly await the next update but to be honest,as I have said before - even if the Second round were to match the first in terms of Flaring and Suspots,it will not in any way make up for a 'normal' max. and should still be correctly considered a 'Minima Period' where Sunspot counts are low and Flaring events,minor.

The projected OMFS of the Sun through 2030> is very worrying(in terms of 'how will they even flip?') [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] .

Rice and Peas Maddy,and thank you again for helping me learn that aspect : )
Excuse my messy sentences etc. this Evening,I am past tired.

sun

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/21/2013 01:51 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez
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03/21/2013 01:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we can see here that since stabelizing, as stated above, the southern polar field is now growing toward and close to the flip/reverals again.
[link to wso.stanford.edu]
(this was the last reported reading on Feb 26th - almost a month back)
it would be a bit more than uncommon to see it stabelize once more when it hits the reversal stage
Spittin'Cesium

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03/21/2013 02:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lol.


Great put together!
rockon


Thank you NiNz : )

I have been at this for a few now and have tried to show the same in the last Month or so here as all the evidence indicates,really to a almost full-gone-conclusion,what it is that I have been trying to show - I cannot possibly view it any other way!?

I have done enough back-checking of data of precious cycles and read a lot about the drivers of these Cycles(all the Cycles of the Sun,not just the Min.Max.11/22 Year Cycle)to really feel I am able to say now say that,The case for a New Minimum can be presented with a 96% certainty(I'd actually say full gone conclusion but shan't)of happening now through the next 50-100+Years - Based on the Rapid Decline of the OMFS of the Sun and the seeming inability it may have to even Flip for a while [link to www.vukcevic.talktalk.net] .

(NiNz - I am just reiterating this for others mainly,Ithink you get the gist of it,well)

Also tough,for you NiNz and others -

This Video that says that yes,we are headed for 'Ice Age 2015/30 Onwards' - From the CERN Cloud Experiment Talks,Jason Kirby - [link to vimeo.com] Yes,it is a Vimeo link,the one on YT is a different presentation for those that may wonder that.

I suggest using it to go to Bed listening to,so that you can focus on what is being said...as well as going to Bed listening to a good Lecture/Talk is always,also the Dogs Bollox hf

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/21/2013 02:15 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
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03/21/2013 02:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we can see here that since stabelizing, as stated above, the southern polar field is now growing toward and close to the flip/reverals again.
[link to wso.stanford.edu]
(this was the last reported reading on Feb 26th - almost a month back)
it would be a bit more than uncommon to see it stabelize once more when it hits the reversal stage
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


Hello NiNzhi

You posted this earlier and I bookmarked it but failed to take a decent look at it - Thank you Sooo much for the reminder!

SolStar1NiNzsunrockon

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/21/2013 02:32 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2013 03:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M Flare!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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03/21/2013 03:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35562509


woohoo

I think it has to be 1692 in the North-West [link to halpha.nso.edu] unless some of those farside ejections on the East are responsible for it...Eve isn't showing yet [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] ?

The farside has been mental,I think I posted the EUVI Earlier?

Look at all of it [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !?

Awesome hey!?

It is 1692 !
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
joinca

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03/21/2013 03:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Whoo hooooo!
GOES X-ray
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
M1.6
EVE
[link to img62.imageshack.us]
cool2
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2013 03:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Whoo hooooo!
GOES X-ray
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
M1.6
EVE
[link to img62.imageshack.us]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


Isnt earths footprint in this region?
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2013 03:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
Spittin'Cesium

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03/21/2013 03:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thank you so much Sammich!

Good stuff.

The region/s around 1692 look pretty hectic,Polarity wise.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Awesome.

Thank you!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
whiteangel

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03/21/2013 03:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Whoo hooooo!
GOES X-ray
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
M1.6
EVE
[link to img62.imageshack.us]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


Isnt earths footprint in this region?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35884204


Curious also where Earth's footprint is. I never saved the link to show.
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2013 03:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Whoo hooooo!
GOES X-ray
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
M1.6
EVE
[link to img62.imageshack.us]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


Isnt earths footprint in this region?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35884204


Curious also where Earth's footprint is. I never saved the link to show.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I think in todays news S0 showed it was around that zone, will have to watch again, was near the end
Ninzrez
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03/21/2013 03:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we can see here that since stabelizing, as stated above, the southern polar field is now growing toward and close to the flip/reverals again.
[link to wso.stanford.edu]
(this was the last reported reading on Feb 26th - almost a month back)
it would be a bit more than uncommon to see it stabelize once more when it hits the reversal stage
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


Hello NiNzhi

You posted this earlier and I bookmarked it but failed to take a decent look at it - Thank you Sooo much for the reminder!

SolStar1NiNzsunrockon
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


very welcome :)

i go to color my hair and come back to that M flare
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2013 03:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
no alerts issued yet with this M flare
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2013 03:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35562509


:eve1:
Tiny Trink

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03/21/2013 03:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Whoo hooooo!
GOES X-ray
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
M1.6
EVE
[link to img62.imageshack.us]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


Isnt earths footprint in this region?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35884204


Curious also where Earth's footprint is. I never saved the link to show.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I think in todays news S0 showed it was around that zone, will have to watch again, was near the end
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35884204


Here you go this the earths footprint link.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Close down the mini windows and you will get to the one SO uses for the actual sun picture.

Much Love,
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Ni
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03/21/2013 04:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12506015


any of you have a link handy for whats on soho lasco C2?
i have my C3
but will have to search for C2
here is the real time image the poster is asking about
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
look in the very bottom right
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2013 04:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Isnt earths footprint in this region?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35884204


Curious also where Earth's footprint is. I never saved the link to show.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I think in todays news S0 showed it was around that zone, will have to watch again, was near the end
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35884204


Here you go this the earths footprint link.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Close down the mini windows and you will get to the one SO uses for the actual sun picture.

Much Love,
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Thank you hf bookmarked the link :)
shadasonic

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03/21/2013 04:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12506015


I've never seen anything like that before,wish we had more of a picture.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 03/21/2013 04:03 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
whiteangel

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03/21/2013 04:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So the M-flare was not connected to Earth?
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
shadasonic

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03/21/2013 04:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Watch the movie from C2, very strange object gets lit up in the bottom right hand corner?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
madajs.

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03/21/2013 04:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
here is the post i was talking about madajs.
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082

Thanks for making the effort to pull that up NiN :)

To be honest, I did read that post originally, and I'm not really sure everybody is on the same page in this conversation haha!

We definitely agree on the major points, we're close to a reversal, and it's going to be exciting watching the climax here in the next while!

Also, woohoo at the M flare popcorn
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
optimum judgment

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03/21/2013 04:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12506015


any of you have a link handy for whats on soho lasco C2?
i have my C3
but will have to search for C2
here is the real time image the poster is asking about
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
look in the very bottom right
 Quoting: Ni 28232082


I believe it's mercury moving into view my good sir
whiteangel

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03/21/2013 04:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12506015


I've never seen anything like that before,wish we had more of a picture.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: shadasonic


Lens flare? Is this on any other images?
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Spittin'Cesium

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03/21/2013 04:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12506015


any of you have a link handy for whats on soho lasco C2?
i have my C3
but will have to search for C2
here is the real time image the poster is asking about
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
look in the very bottom right
 Quoting: Ni 28232082


No,not at hand sorry NiNz,but whatever it is is starting to come into frame - looks either very bright or very close to the Instrument or both,me thinks both...I just found a site,a awesome little site I have not seen before [link to www.spacew.com] I need to have a little look in there,looks pretty interesting at first glance.

But,yes...hmmmm?

Anyone knowz who dat iz?

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
mtn_mang

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03/21/2013 04:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12506015


any of you have a link handy for whats on soho lasco C2?
i have my C3
but will have to search for C2
here is the real time image the poster is asking about
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
look in the very bottom right
 Quoting: Ni 28232082


I believe it's mercury moving into view my good sir
 Quoting: optimum judgment


yep. easier to see on the zoomed out C3

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
whiteangel

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03/21/2013 04:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What do you guys make of this?
"SOHO image"

[link to godlikeproductions.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12506015


any of you have a link handy for whats on soho lasco C2?
i have my C3
but will have to search for C2
here is the real time image the poster is asking about
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
look in the very bottom right
 Quoting: Ni 28232082


I believe it's mercury moving into view my good sir
 Quoting: optimum judgment


yep. easier to see on the zoomed out C3

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Thank you MM hf
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Spittin'Cesium

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03/21/2013 04:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is a Wideboy Flare [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] hey!?


Certain CME,no doubt really,surely shirly...but shirly not Geo-Effective...Unless that too is a Long Peel.

Think I saw a little something on GONG - Plenty of Farside Ejecta on the H alpha Scopes' at present folks..and the EUVI B and A are intense MPegs!

SDO looks great still also.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The regions surrounding 1692 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] look close enough to cause trouble...can still just about make out 1692's Delta Spot on its South side.

But do see the EUVI MPegs,this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] loads to be seen!

sun

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/21/2013 04:32 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

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03/21/2013 04:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Feeling Spiritual right now enjoy


Proverbs 15:1
A soft answer turns away wrath, But a harsh word stirs up anger.

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