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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 04:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I just found this picture of the sunspot I took before I was a SunTard. Do any of you remember the number??? May 4, 2012

[link to www.flickr.com]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


It looks like 1515 at first glance.

Not sure yet though..Just come in.

hiall.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 04:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yes,I was being a twit when I said 'Easy Morning Coffee Read'.

Sorry.

But please,if you have the time please read it through and if you have any questions as to its' validity,I will do my upmost to try and quantify my reasons why this is perfectly legitimate and factual data from which we may have to start all out assumptions from regarding this Max. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and the Future 20-5-/10 Years.

Straight up.

Any questions on this,like I said,fir away.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Excellent mini paper on the mini ice age. What kind of temps and climate change can we look forward to these next 20-25 years?
 Quoting: Isis One


Hello Isis : )

My thoughts...or their projections?

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 04:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all .... hf


So much to wrap my mind around once I get home . Thank you all for all you do !!!
 Quoting: TS66


Oi!

66 - You gave me Red Karma darlink?

Why!?

I haz sad now?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Frikken tablet...... sorry. shy


All better now.
 Quoting: TS66


hi66 : )

I know it was a accidenthf

Hope you are good!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 04:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is a photo from the facebook page for the Space Weather Prediction Center:
[link to img402.imageshack.us]
yeahsure
 Quoting: joinca


Those lucky SunTards!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#

Looks like a great place to work.
shitstir2
 Quoting: joinca


Yes,I see two beds - I take it that is where they lie as we work.

Asses.

Luv them really,but they are asses sometimes : )

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 04:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Does mercury always look like its doing a sundiving act?
This trajectory just doesn't seem familiar. I'm sure its normal.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 05:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is a photo from the facebook page for the Space Weather Prediction Center:
[link to img402.imageshack.us]
yeahsure
 Quoting: joinca


Those lucky SunTards!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#

Looks like a great place to work.
shitstir2
 Quoting: joinca


Yes,I see two beds - I take it that is where they lie as we work.

Asses.

Luv them really,but they are asses sometimes : )

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Thats good SC!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 05:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
by drkstrong:
POLE REVERSAL HAPPENING NOW! -- 21 March 2013
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

BREAKING NEWS - M FLARE -- 22 March 2013
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


I am,again,trying to get the bloody Dr. to answer my questions.

ie. What does he make of the observed decline in SS Magnetic Field Strength and the decreasing strength of the overall Solar Dipole.

He will not answer this.

I have asked in the past.

Grrr.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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United Kingdom
03/22/2013 05:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Does mercury always look like its doing a sundiving act?
This trajectory just doesn't seem familiar. I'm sure its normal.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hard to tell Br0ther!?

From the still it looks like it is 'diving' but whether it is or not,fuck knows...I doubt it is.

But,I do not know.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 05:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
by drkstrong:
POLE REVERSAL HAPPENING NOW! -- 21 March 2013
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

BREAKING NEWS - M FLARE -- 22 March 2013
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


I am,again,trying to get the bloody Dr. to answer my questions.

ie. What does he make of the observed decline in SS Magnetic Field Strength and the decreasing strength of the overall Solar Dipole.

He will not answer this.

I have asked in the past.

Grrr.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Only the intrepid and brazen want to discuss this matter it seems.This should be THE topic of discussion

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 03/22/2013 05:37 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 05:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

something is starting to stir
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
whiteangel

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03/22/2013 05:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Smack on the 2.5 line
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
optimum judgment

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03/22/2013 05:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Does mercury always look like its doing a sundiving act?
This trajectory just doesn't seem familiar. I'm sure its normal.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hard to tell Br0ther!?

From the still it looks like it is 'diving' but whether it is or not,fuck knows...I doubt it is.

But,I do not know.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I too have asked strong questions he will not answer..i think he's been wrong on some counts which has made him cautious in answering complex questions....ahh well ce le ve
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 05:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Smack on the 2.5 line
 Quoting: whiteangel


I'm looking for a reason because it doesn't appear to be solar.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 05:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
by drkstrong:
POLE REVERSAL HAPPENING NOW! -- 21 March 2013
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

BREAKING NEWS - M FLARE -- 22 March 2013
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


I am,again,trying to get the bloody Dr. to answer my questions.

ie. What does he make of the observed decline in SS Magnetic Field Strength and the decreasing strength of the overall Solar Dipole.

He will not answer this.

I have asked in the past.

Grrr.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Only the intrepid and brazen want to discuss this matter it seems.This should be THE topic of discussion
 Quoting: shadasonic


Exactly.

He has never answered these questions from me,as far as I am aware.

He will only mock facts I present him.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
whiteangel

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03/22/2013 05:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Smack on the 2.5 line
 Quoting: whiteangel


I'm looking for a reason because it doesn't appear to be solar.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Weren't we suppose to have a mild CMe today?
[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.solarham.net]

Usually though, CME starts from the bottom of that graph and not just in the middle.

Last Edited by whiteangel on 03/22/2013 05:51 PM
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
whiteangel

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03/22/2013 05:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That is also showing something hitting.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 05:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Smack on the 2.5 line
 Quoting: whiteangel


I'm looking for a reason because it doesn't appear to be solar.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Weren't we suppose to have a mild CMe today?
[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.solarham.net]

Usually though, CME starts from the bottom of that graph and not just in the middle.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Exactly, this has a different signature
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 05:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That is also showing something hitting.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Whatever it is it has the top of my head crawling, not the usual vibe for me
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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03/22/2013 05:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Was it this CME?

:322cme:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Edited: wrong link
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 06:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Smack on the 2.5 line
 Quoting: whiteangel


I'm looking for a reason because it doesn't appear to be solar.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Weren't we suppose to have a mild CMe today?
[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.solarham.net]

Usually though, CME starts from the bottom of that graph and not just in the middle.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Hello Angelhf

From SWPC Discussion -

'Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind speed, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
value of 494 km/s at 22/0239 UTC and ended the period near 375 km/s.
The total interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) ranged between 0.6 nT to
7.0 nT while the Bz component was predominately positive with a 2 1/2
hour interval of negative Bz to -4 nT beginning at about 22/1545 UTC.
The phi angle was orientated in a predominately positive (away) sector
through about 22/0400 UTC when a shift to negative (towards) was
observed. The orientation remained negative through about 22/1530 UTC
when it became variable through the remainder of the period.

.Forecast...
Solar wind speeds are expected to be slightly enhanced on day one (23
March) due to the expected passage from the 17 March CME. However, very
little impact is expected in solar wind signatures. On days two and
three (24 - 25 March), a return to nominal solar wind parameters is
expected.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet to
unsettled levels for day one (23 March) due to possible weak CME
effects. A return to quiet levels is expected on days two and three (24
- 25 March)
.' [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solen -

'Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on March 22 due to possible effects from CH561. Quiet conditions are likely on March 23-24
' [link to www.solen.info]

So,CHS I would guess,though the Speed is very low and so is the Density.

If anything,it doesn't look too bad,yet.

We'll need more updates to see if it is just a little IMF bumpiness or what,exactly.

Unless anyone else has something?


sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 06:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Stats. Courtesy of Solen -

'Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was quiet to active on March 21. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 371 and 548 km/s under the influence of CME effects.

Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 106.1 (increasing 6.5 over the last solar rotation).

The background x-ray flux was at the class B6 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 9 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11692 [N08W83] rotated partly out of view and was the only AR displaying any activity of interest. C5+ flare: M1.6 long duration event peaking at 22:04 UTC
Region 11694 [N13W74] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11695 [N09W61] was quiet and stable.
Region 11700 [S12E07] was quiet and stable.
New region 11702 [N08W22] emerged on March 20 and developed further on March 21 when it was numbered by SWPC.

Spotted regions not numbered by SWPC:
S2299 [N18W11] reemerged with a penumbra spot.
S2306 [N10W66] was quiet and stable.
S2307 [S25W46] developed slowly and quitly.
New region S2309 [N00E03] emerged near the center of the visible disk with a penumbra spot
' [link to www.solen.info]

sunhf

shk
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
whiteangel

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03/22/2013 06:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thank you SC and howdy my friend!! hf
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 06:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello Angel,no problemhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 06:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Someone take NASAs' Crayons off them,would they [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] ?

: )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
03/22/2013 07:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Region to watch:S2307 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Extreme South-West.

Looks like a full blown Beta-Gamma already and should be 1703...we'll see about that thoughwink

sun

Edit:also 1702(North-West) and what remains of 1692/4 on the North-West limb.

There are some unnumbered regions developing elsewhere,1700 is no longer a Sunspot.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/22/2013 07:09 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
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03/22/2013 07:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Region to watch:S2307 [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Extreme South-West.

Looks like a full blown Beta-Gamma already and should be 1703...we'll see about that thoughwink

sun

Edit:also 1702(North-West) and what remains of 1692/4 on the North-West limb.

There are some unnumbered regions developing elsewhere,1700 is no longer a Sunspot.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Betcha S2307 blows up over night and develops into a farside beast!LOL


:bammy:

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 03/22/2013 07:14 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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03/22/2013 07:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Someone take NASAs' Crayons off them,would they [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] ?

: )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


They've gone scribble crazy. I wonder if a large grouping but small sized meteor fleet could cause magnetospheric disturbance. Seems they're being spotted from georgia to boston. Dogs and cats going nuts and talk of electronic devices going haywire. Going to do some hunting. Peace my brother!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 07:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Someone take NASAs' Crayons off them,would they [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] ?

: )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


They've gone scribble crazy. I wonder if a large grouping but small sized meteor fleet could cause magnetospheric disturbance. Seems they're being spotted from georgia to boston. Dogs and cats going nuts and talk of electronic devices going haywire. Going to do some hunting. Peace my brother!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yes,peace Monsignor Shadasun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/22/2013 07:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Something is beating [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] somewhere,could Flare soon if that is a pulse,as it looks.

My guess [link to halpha.nso.edu] little guy(soon to be 1703)on the South-Westhf

sun

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/22/2013 07:53 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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United Kingdom
03/22/2013 08:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Middle Filament [link to halpha.nso.edu] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1

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