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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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03/29/2013 10:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Alright while everyone seems convinced the Sun is being boring, looks like we're getting our second geomagnetic storm of the week.

==================

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 828
Issue Time: 2013 Mar 29 1634 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2013 Mar 29 1634 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Mar 29 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.


===================

I'm really not finding this boring at all... 12 days ago we had the largest geomagnetic storm since October, and just this week we've had two more storms.

Quiet?? Huh??

koolaid
 Quoting: madajs.


I know exactly what you are saying!

But the quite is the Flaring/Complex Sunspot Flaring on the Earthside.

But totally on board with al the Geo-magnetic action,always!

sun

Edito:Hugh just said it ^ ^ ,lol.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/29/2013 10:03 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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03/29/2013 10:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

explosiongasp
Spittin'Cesium

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03/29/2013 10:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Has the rundown been given yet?

Solen -

'Recent activity

The geomagnetic field was quiet to active on March 28. Solar wind speed at SOHO ranged between 352 and 497 km/s. A high speed stream associated with CH562 became the dominant solar wind source during the afternoon and evening hours of the day, the disturbance associated with this stream has become stronger early on March 29.

Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 98.7 (decreasing 12.3 over the last solar rotation).

The background x-ray flux was at the class B3 level.

At midnight UTC the visible solar disk had 11 spotted active regions (in 2K resolution SDO images).

Region 11704 [N15E06] was quiet and stable.
Region 11705 [S12W22] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 11706 [S07W09] decayed slowly and quietly.
New region 11707 [S11E32] emerged quickly. Further development will increase trhe likelihood of C and perhaps minor M class flares.
New region 11708 [N11E72] rotated into view on March 27 and was numbered by SWPC the next day. C flares are possible.

Spotted regions not numbered by SWPC:
S2314 [S18E38] reemerged with penumbra spots.
S2316 [S32W08] developed slowly and quietly.
New region S2320 [S22E60] emerged with several spots.
New region S2321 [S15E65] emerged with penumbra spots.
New region S2322 [S14E16] emerged with a single spot.
New region S2323 [S12W12] emerged with a penumbra spot
'

'Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on March 29-31 due to effects from CH562/563
' [link to www.solen.info]


______________________________________

SWPC Discussion(the whole thing)

'Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels. The GOES-15 X-ray flux was
steady in the low-B range. Region 1707 (S11E24), along with
newly-numbered Regions 1709 (S33W15) and 1710 (S21E52), exhibited a
slight growth trend while the other regions on the disk were either
stable or decaying. A 5 degree dissapearing solar filament,
centered near S19E71, was observed on H-Alpha imagery from 29/0315 -
29/0400 UTC. We are awaiting LASCO and STEREO imagery to determine if a
coronal mass ejection (CME) resulted from this event.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a chance for
C-class events for the next two days (29 - 31 Mar).

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
moderate to high levels, reaching a peak value of 1,230 particle flux
units (pfu) at 28/1605 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at nonrmal background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected
to remain at moderate to high levels for the next three days (29 - 31
Mar), due to an enhanced solar wind environment caused by a coronal
hole/high speed stream (CH/HSS). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at
geosynchronous orbit is expected to remain at normal background levels
for the next three days (29 - 31 Mar).

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters, measured at the ACE spacecraft, were indicative
of a CH/HSS. Solar wind speed increased from initial values of
approximately 375 km/s to end-of-period values of approximately 450
km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field Bt values ranged from 10 nT to
1 nT while the Bz component ranged from +5 nT to -8 nT. Some variation
was observed in the phi angle, although it remained in a predominately
negative (away) sector for the majority of the period.

.Forecast...
The solar wind speed is expected to remain enhanced for the next two
days (29 - 30 Mar), in response to a CH/HSS. Solar wind speed is likely
to return to nominal values on day three (31 Mar) as CH/HSS influence
wanes.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels early in the
period, increasing to active conditions after 29/0759 UTC in response to
a CH/HSS.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to remain at unsettled to active
conditions until around 1500 UTC on day one (29 Mar), when conditions
are expected to decrease to predominately unsettled conditions.
Predominately quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for days two
and three (30 - 31 Mar)
' [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/29/2013 10:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


I know,it is messed up shit aye?

HIGH Counts.

From where,why no dead?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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03/29/2013 10:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


I know,it is messed up shit aye?

HIGH Counts.

From where,why no dead?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



madajs.

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03/29/2013 10:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Howdy, Madajs, I think Solar Watchers are referencing the flare output. We haven't even seen a C 1 flare since March 23rd.....hardly a Solar Max performance.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

So what's the scoop on this storm here. Another CIR or SSBC or a CH HSS? I haven't been too plugged-in this week.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Yeah the storms this week have been due to CIR and CH HSS activity.

I guess the main focus of this thread has always been sunspots and x-rays... For me personally as long as decent geoeffective solar events of any nature are occurring I'm content.

Now if you were to stick me in the period from December 22nd - January 12th, THAT was a sad time... rofl

[link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de]
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Spittin'Cesium

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03/29/2013 10:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


I know,it is messed up shit aye?

HIGH Counts.

From where,why no dead?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium




 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


I had not noticed he zeroed into it already.

I am seeing plenty of Anger expressed Today - have you or anyone else noticed this?

Or a general total kinda' Vurkederp kind of feeling?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/29/2013 10:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Howdy, Madajs, I think Solar Watchers are referencing the flare output. We haven't even seen a C 1 flare since March 23rd.....hardly a Solar Max performance.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

So what's the scoop on this storm here. Another CIR or SSBC or a CH HSS? I haven't been too plugged-in this week.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Yeah the storms this week have been due to CIR and CH HSS activity.

I guess the main focus of this thread has always been sunspots and x-rays... For me personally as long as decent geoeffective solar events of any nature are occurring I'm content.

Now if you were to stick me in the period from December 22nd - January 12th, THAT was a sad time... rofl

[link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de]
 Quoting: madajs.


A great example of why Flares and CMEs' are not correlated in Frequency with one another,at all : )

Edito:I mean the data in the linksun

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/29/2013 10:55 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
madajs.

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03/29/2013 11:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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03/29/2013 12:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: madajs.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Hugh M Eye

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03/29/2013 12:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon! This new SS wasn't even there yesterday and it's now grown about 4X since I noticed it early this morning.

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1709???-
:1709??:
5ahiding
Hugh M Eye

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03/29/2013 12:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
arnoldSolarDoom!

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 03/29/2013 12:57 PM
ChiaPet

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03/29/2013 12:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Must be Spring Break here at the solar thread, cricket, cricket, lol, least amount of posts in two days ever I think.
 Quoting: Isis One


I know, huh? Coming from big time lurker not too much to add except we have MAJOR grasshopper/cricket infestation at our doorsteps here in AZ desert. Never seen the like and locals say the same.
 Quoting: ChiaPet


Yummmm, tasty!
[link to mexicanfood.about.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1319430


Hmmmmm, not ready for that crunch yet...
~ Matthew 7:16. Ye shall know them by their fruits. Do men gather grapes of thorns or figs of thistles?
~ Don't worry, be Hopi.
Spittin'Cesiumsays
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03/29/2013 01:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
:arnoldSolarDoom!:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Why you say this Hugh?

1707 and 1708 look good so far...I put a little money on 1707 : )
Spittin'Cesium
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03/29/2013 01:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon! This new SS wasn't even there yesterday and it's now grown about 4X since I noticed it early this morning.

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1709???-
:1709??:
5ahiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


S2320 on Solen,I think [link to www.solen.info] .
Anonymous Coward
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03/29/2013 01:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon! This new SS wasn't even there yesterday and it's now grown about 4X since I noticed it early this morning.

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1709???-
:1709??:
5ahiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Is it this one? Solarham calling it 1710
shadasonic

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03/29/2013 01:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


I know,it is messed up shit aye?

HIGH Counts.

From where,why no dead?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium




 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


I had not noticed he zeroed into it already.

I am seeing plenty of Anger expressed Today - have you or anyone else noticed this?

Or a general total kinda' Vurkederp kind of feeling?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


BIIIG TIME my friend. Everyone at work complaining of being tired and drained of energy. My brother said his workers have been at each others throats all day. Just checked in and was wondering if that could be a reason?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


was just coming her to point this out :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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03/29/2013 01:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


was just coming her to point this out :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


pop pop pop pop BOOM!
Luisport

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03/29/2013 01:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


was just coming her to point this out :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


pop pop pop pop BOOM!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37096245


what's going on?
shadasonic

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03/29/2013 01:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1809118


was just coming her to point this out :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


pop pop pop pop BOOM!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37096245


what's going on?
 Quoting: Luisport


Big uptick in cosmic rays of late my friend
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Luisport

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03/29/2013 01:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


was just coming her to point this out :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


pop pop pop pop BOOM!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37096245


what's going on?
 Quoting: Luisport


Big uptick in cosmic rays of late my friend
 Quoting: shadasonic


hf Thank's!!!
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/29/2013 01:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
arnoldSolarDoom!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ima ready!
been waiting haha

arniedoom

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/29/2013 02:00 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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03/29/2013 02:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
arnoldSolarDoom!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ima ready!
been waiting haha

arniedoom
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You crack me up! Good to see you, NINz.

ohyeah
Hugh M Eye

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03/29/2013 02:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon! This new SS wasn't even there yesterday and it's now grown about 4X since I noticed it early this morning.

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1709???-
:1709??:
5ahiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Is it this one? Solarham calling it 1710
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1652835


Yep, 1710 it is. Thanks, I hadn't noticed that NOAA has upped their game as far as the numbers go . They used to wait a day or two to honor a sunspot with a number. As I mentioned, 1707 has faltered a bit and I can barely see 1709.

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels. The GOES-15 X-ray flux was
steady in the low-B range. Region 1707 (S11E24), along with
newly-numbered Regions 1709 (S33W15) and 1710 (S21E52), exhibited a
slight growth trend while the other regions on the disk were either
stable or decaying
. A 5 degree dissapearing solar filament,
centered near S19E71, was observed on H-Alpha imagery from 29/0315 -
29/0400 UTC. We are awaiting LASCO and STEREO imagery to determine if a
coronal mass ejection (CME) resulted from this event.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/29/2013 02:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
arnoldSolarDoom!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ima ready!
been waiting haha

arniedoom
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You crack me up! Good to see you, NINz.

ohyeah
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


hehe i try^^
nice seeing you as well
so quiet latley, need some flaring action to get things heated up
but i think latley i have been watching all the other data a bit more than watching for any flares
i think its time i re opened my Xray flux into a tab and keep an eye on it yet again ;)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Da fuq

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03/29/2013 02:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
arnoldSolarDoom!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]




Everyone ignoring this?




Do cosmic rays piss you off?

I'm in a terrible mood today.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/29/2013 03:27 PM
Spittin'Cesium

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03/29/2013 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
arnoldSolarDoom!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ima ready!
been waiting haha

arniedoom
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You crack me up! Good to see you, NINz.

ohyeah
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


hehe i try^^
nice seeing you as well
so quiet latley, need some flaring action to get things heated up
but i think latley i have been watching all the other data a bit more than watching for any flares
i think its time i re opened my Xray flux into a tab and keep an eye on it yet again ;)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


My X-rays are always open,constantly...shit is real,real bad.

Or explained another way 'Shits' on Fire,yo'.

Currently B3.2<

The Cosmics have soo many folks fucked up and stressed today that it cannot be coincidence - I've been reading everywhere today folks complaining of either being Angry/Stressed or Tired/Hungover...most totally unaware of CR increase!?

I am a little bemused and my face has felt like a Chinese mans drinking Beer(burns)all day.

hell0 by the way NiNzicus Maximussunhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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03/29/2013 03:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Get ready for some good flares soon!
arnoldSolarDoom!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]




Everyone ignoring this?




Do cosmic rays piss you off?

I'm in a terrible mood today.
 Quoting: Da fuq


We have had these effects covered since the 26th(or before)they are due to the CHS and have been causing troubles for the last 3 Days a well as a Sector Boundary Crossing on the 26th(I think?)

I think you need to b0okmark this [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] so you know what and when things are occurring Fuq.

Yes,they do piss folks off apparently...been reading it all day now!

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Da fuq

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Perhaps it is the combo of the cosmic rays and the CHS, others actions are the reason i'm pissed off today.

I guess my bullshit shield could be at a low point.


Fun times

sun



Have had a bit of charged feeling today, feel light.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/29/2013 03:35 PM


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