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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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04/06/2013 07:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ten C flares for the 6th. All earth facing. hf
 Quoting: TS66


Howdy, TruthSeeker! It's nice to see some flares after 8 days stuck in the B's.

AR1719 is growing and 1718 & 1713 are now Beta-Gamma, so we can expect more flares soon.


5a
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I think we will see some action my friend, its about time for some off kilter magnetic fields to start showing. Hey whats your take on Ison . I appreciate your viewpoint
 Quoting: shadasonic


I think ISON is just a regular old comet. What makes this potentially a good one to watch is it's close approach to the sun, which some predict will make it be especially bright. I hope they're correct and we see an awesome naked-eye display. Don't fall for all the hype and hysteria though. The snakeoil salesmen just love a great comet....who could forget the 6000 Elenin threads here?

Doomsday Comets:
[link to cometography.com]

And more:
[link to duckduckgo.com]

pinkDoomsday
Spittin'Cesiumsays
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04/06/2013 07:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Guys,This [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] is fucking intense!

Behind looks cool also.

You can see the major CME from the Norther regions on COR2 [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] but the bitches won't update that since 15:54UTC - We have it on COR1 Behind [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] in full.

We also appear to have a Earthbound CME on COR2,it is faint,but it looks like it is coming this way.

Now Kith.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesiumsays 14589973


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
:motherofgod:



Sc, what is that flying out of the sun at 12 o clock at the start in cor2.

Looks like a lil plasma ball and moves faster than any CME that I have seen.
 Quoting: Da fuq


Good eyeball Da'!

I watched it a few times over and if you lo0k you should be able to see that it travels perfectly along a Helmet Streamer - so it would have to be a tightly inclosed ball of Plasmas traveling very fast along this line.

Go0d Eyes Br0!

It helps to be a little Suspicious when viewing the Coronagraphs etc. as you may pick out things otherwise missed by othersthumbs

sun
 Quoting: SCizMe 14589973


Is the standard model of the sun known to shoot plasma orbs?

:lulz:
 Quoting: Da fuq


Yes.

Yes it is.

Think about it for a Second.

sun
shadasonic

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04/06/2013 07:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ten C flares for the 6th. All earth facing. hf
 Quoting: TS66


Howdy, TruthSeeker! It's nice to see some flares after 8 days stuck in the B's.

AR1719 is growing and 1718 & 1713 are now Beta-Gamma, so we can expect more flares soon.


5a
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I think we will see some action my friend, its about time for some off kilter magnetic fields to start showing. Hey whats your take on Ison . I appreciate your viewpoint
 Quoting: shadasonic


I think ISON is just a regular old comet. What makes this potentially a good one to watch is it's close approach to the sun, which some predict will make it be especially bright. I hope they're correct and we see an awesome naked-eye display. Don't fall for all the hype and hysteria though. The snakeoil salesmen just love a great comet....who could forget the 6000 Elenin threads here?

Doomsday Comets:
[link to cometography.com]

And more:
[link to duckduckgo.com]

pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks Mi Amigo!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shenue

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04/06/2013 07:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good night everyone

:SunMoon19:

SC SmileFlyHug
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Spittin'Cesium
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04/06/2013 07:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament liftoff in the SW. Also a C1.6 flare of undetermined origin.....possibly 1719 again. The filament might cause a CME Earthside so be on the lookout.

Big Bear H-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Oh yes!


I see it now : )

I was sat there staring for about a Minute thinking 'wtf!?'

LoL

I'm trying to see if there is any Hyder with that Ejection or just a sneeze : )

1714 too [link to halpha.nso.edu] looks fresh.
Spittin'Cesium
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good night everyone

:SunMoon19:

SC :SmileFlyHug:
 Quoting: shenue


Nacht Nacht Shenu!
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 07:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ten C flares for the 6th. All earth facing. hf
 Quoting: TS66


It is a treat hey!?

hi66 : )

Then you look at this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and I think 'Last gasps'

Fuck me,I hope not.

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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04/06/2013 07:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I get away from this thread for periods and I forget how very bright all of you are and how much I appreciate the rhetoric!Peace yall theres my rhetorical southern good night send off!LOL
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 07:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Night ShadaSolarSonic sleeping

Peas.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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04/06/2013 08:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ten C flares for the 6th. All earth facing. hf
 Quoting: TS66


It is a treat hey!?

hi66 : )

Then you look at this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and I think 'Last gasps'

Fuck me,I hope not.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


My opinion on this solar max changes day to day . Regardless, we currently have 10 earth facing SRs some capable of M & C flares.

When all else fails, I remind myself that the Carrington event really had nothing to do withe solar max at all ... so I wait, watch, and learn, if nothing else..... just how clueless we truly are . wink
shadasonic

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04/06/2013 08:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ten C flares for the 6th. All earth facing. hf
 Quoting: TS66


It is a treat hey!?

hi66 : )

Then you look at this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and I think 'Last gasps'

Fuck me,I hope not.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


My opinion on this solar max changes day to day . Regardless, we currently have 10 earth facing SRs some capable of M & C flares.

When all else fails, I remind myself that the Carrington event really had nothing to do withe solar max at all ... so I wait, watch, and learn, if nothing else..... just how clueless we truly are . wink
 Quoting: TS66


So true and thats coming from someone with great knowledge on the issue. We wait and watch!hf
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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04/06/2013 08:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ten C flares for the 6th. All earth facing. hf
 Quoting: TS66


It is a treat hey!?

hi66 : )

Then you look at this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and I think 'Last gasps'

Fuck me,I hope not.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


My opinion on this solar max changes day to day . Regardless, we currently have 10 earth facing SRs some capable of M & C flares.

When all else fails, I remind myself that the Carrington event really had nothing to do withe solar max at all ... so I wait, watch, and learn, if nothing else..... just how clueless we truly are . wink
 Quoting: TS66


So true and thats coming from someone with great knowledge on the issue. We wait and watch!hf
 Quoting: shadasonic


You give me far too much credit Shada.

I'm watching for the catalyst, the one thing that makes a SR, magnetically complex or not, activate.

I love the posters here, and all the theories they bring to the table, now we need only find that pattern, connect the dots, and find the source.
Anonymous Coward
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04/06/2013 08:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Night ShadaSolarSonic sleeping

Peas.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Goodnight Shada and all, get good rest hf
shadasonic

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04/06/2013 08:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


It is a treat hey!?

hi66 : )

Then you look at this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and I think 'Last gasps'

Fuck me,I hope not.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


My opinion on this solar max changes day to day . Regardless, we currently have 10 earth facing SRs some capable of M & C flares.

When all else fails, I remind myself that the Carrington event really had nothing to do withe solar max at all ... so I wait, watch, and learn, if nothing else..... just how clueless we truly are . wink
 Quoting: TS66


So true and thats coming from someone with great knowledge on the issue. We wait and watch!hf
 Quoting: shadasonic


You give me far too much credit Shada.

I'm watching for the catalyst, the one thing that makes a SR, magnetically complex or not, activate.

I love the posters here, and all the theories they bring to the table, now we need only find that pattern, connect the dots, and find the source.
 Quoting: TS66


I've watched you evolve over the last couple years, you were meant to be a part of this brilliant group, your mind and heart have found their habitual pleasure zone, you're a solsis!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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04/06/2013 08:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think its important to realize our abilities and positions in the coming days. Theres alot going on. the solcrew has such diverse knowledge and the basics for physical science. Anyone thats been here for awhile understands way more than they give themselves credit for. Thank you Nin for your diverse schooling, you have always lead by example. Stay alert, NK is a smokescreen for something!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Isis One

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04/06/2013 08:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning All

:FemHugeCoffee:
 Quoting: shenue


shenue, your morning/evening smilies take the cake!

cake3
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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04/06/2013 09:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Great job Solcrew, thoroughly enjoyed the roundup of days events. I was thinking things looked like a solar max today at spaceweather.com. Da, I saw that too and thought of you. Welcome to our new Canadian Solsis. Shad, you are the glue that holds Solcrew and Fog together. I don't know what we'd do without you......and Mama Nin, of course. Am loving all the energy from Sol today.

Side note. If chemtrails are supposed to be reflecting unneeded radiation back out into space, why do they spray at night!!! The checkboard out there this evening was crazy. One set looked like a gigantic x/y axis, breadking sky up into 4 quadrants, like they were spraying a directional grid for locating something.

Maybe a nice little surprise, just after 04:00

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Nope, just a little turdpoop

Last Edited by Isis One on 04/06/2013 09:32 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
curi0sis*SolSis
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04/06/2013 09:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Great job Solcrew, thoroughly enjoyed the roundup of days events. I was thinking things looked like a solar max today at spaceweather.com. Da, I saw that too and thought of you. Welcome to our new Canadian Solsis. Shad, you are the glue that holds Solcrew and Fog together. I don't know what we'd do without you......and Mama Nin, of course. Am loving all the energy from Sol today.

Side note. If chemtrails are supposed to be reflecting unneeded radiation back out into space, why do they spray at night!!! The checkboard out there this evening was crazy. One set looked like a gigantic x/y axis, breadking sky up into 4 quadrants, like they were spraying a directional grid for locating something.

Maybe a nice little surprise, just after 04:00

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Thanks Isis : )

I'm no Solar expert by this group's standards -- by far! but I could start showing a bit of "the true real Solar stuff" to my mainstream oriented entourage, at least -- if only they were a bit more open-minded... I'm still wrapping my head around the chemtrails issue lol, let alone the Sol stuff. But learning as much and as fast as I can. Following you guys is a tremendous tool for that.

Isis, I share your question on night-time chems. Do 'they' prepare for sunrise, needing for a much heavier blanket in some instances more than on other days?

Bonsoir / bonne nuit allyouz! (I'm Atlantic time zone)
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 11:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ten C flares for the 6th. All earth facing. hf
 Quoting: TS66


It is a treat hey!?

hi66 : )

Then you look at this [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and I think 'Last gasps'

Fuck me,I hope not.

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


My opinion on this solar max changes day to day . Regardless, we currently have 10 earth facing SRs some capable of M & C flares.

When all else fails, I remind myself that the Carrington event really had nothing to do withe solar max at all ... so I wait, watch, and learn, if nothing else..... just how clueless we truly are . wink
 Quoting: TS66


Never judge Sol by Daily happenings!

Long term is where it's at,really.

Carrington could happen at anytime,regardless,for sure!

The Convective motions below Sol which create the the primers that inform the Cycles ist Kaput(well,very slow)

The polarities of the Sunspots at present is all sideways,lol,they do not look right at all,there is no doubt in my mind that this Cycle is it.

Doesn't mean no CMEs' or Flares,but a lack of Sunspots worth their weight and a general lowering of Solar Winds and the decreasing Heliosphere/Cosmic ray influx and Atmospheric effects that come with a period of really epic non Sunnesses,lol.

'(...)let go...nobody listens to Techno(...)' music

I do,actually,but you get what I'm sayin',Init' Blood!?

Stop,Freak time -

[link to www.youtube.com]

Wtf is wrong with People - how the Fuck do you teach someone like that?

Anyway,just had another Flare from 1719,B8.0.

Regarding not judging the Sun Day to Day,Check the Synoptic charts etc. on WSO [link to wso.stanford.edu]

I do hope I am wrong about this all.

Respecticus.

sun
near
sunhf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 11:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Great job Solcrew, thoroughly enjoyed the roundup of days events. I was thinking things looked like a solar max today at spaceweather.com. Da, I saw that too and thought of you. Welcome to our new Canadian Solsis. Shad, you are the glue that holds Solcrew and Fog together. I don't know what we'd do without you......and Mama Nin, of course. Am loving all the energy from Sol today.

Side note. If chemtrails are supposed to be reflecting unneeded radiation back out into space, why do they spray at night!!! The checkboard out there this evening was crazy. One set looked like a gigantic x/y axis, breadking sky up into 4 quadrants, like they were spraying a directional grid for locating something.

Maybe a nice little surprise, just after 04:00

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Thanks Isis : )

I'm no Solar expert by this group's standards -- by far! but I could start showing a bit of "the true real Solar stuff" to my mainstream oriented entourage, at least -- if only they were a bit more open-minded... I'm still wrapping my head around the chemtrails issue lol, let alone the Sol stuff. But learning as much and as fast as I can. Following you guys is a tremendous tool for that.

Isis, I share your question on night-time chems. Do 'they' prepare for sunrise, needing for a much heavier blanket in some instances more than on other days?

Bonsoir / bonne nuit allyouz! (I'm Atlantic time zone)
 Quoting: curi0sis*SolSis 37433541


Or is there something about the angle of the Suns' rays at Sunrise/set that causes Cloud Nucleation?

This is what I am trying to figure out,because if there is it isn't being spoken of loud enough for folks to hear.

Hello btw Curiosishi

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 11:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
From the friendly folks at NOAA-

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1718 (N22E33) produced the
largest event of the period, a C1 flare, at 06/1142 UTC. Regions 1713
(N10W33)and 1718, classified as D-type spot groups with beta-gamma
magnetic characteristics, both showed a growth trend over the past 24
hours. Region 1719 (N08E66) showed slight growth in its trailer spots,

and was classified as a Cso-type spot group with beta magnetic
characteristics. The other regions on the disk were either stable or
decaying. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were
observed.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:4/7-1719:

The Sunspot Number jumped to 146 today! Any talk of Grand Minimums should be scotched until we have at least a few weeks of SS#=0, LOL.

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 97 Issued at 0030Z on 07 Apr 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 06 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 06/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1711 S17W16 158 0440 Dho 05 05 Beta
1713 N10W33 175 0130 Dai 09 16 Beta-Gamma
1714 N13E14 128 0080 Cso 06 06 Beta
1715 N18W39 181 0010 Bxo 02 04 Beta
1717 S12E51 091 0010 Bxo 02 02 Beta
1718 N22E33 109 0130 Dsi 07 10 Beta-Gamma
1719 N08E66 076 0080 Cso 02 04 Beta

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Highlighted etc.

This is why I am arguing that in a Period of massively decreased Dipole Strength Sunspot Number does not Correlate to Solar Output in terms of a average.

No way at all.

Just as with CMEs' and Flares = no Correlation or need for relationship at least.

I think we can all agree that Solar Output is not normal,ergo Minima.

Longer term trend Minima.

This one compared with other shit ones [link to www.solen.info]

And better ones [link to www.solen.info]

Death to Sunspot Counts!

jihadjihad2

angel3

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 04/06/2013 11:16 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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04/06/2013 11:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That last Flare,1711 not 1719 [link to halpha.nso.edu] .

: )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Da fuq

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04/06/2013 11:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Triforce

Last Edited by Da fuq on 04/06/2013 11:42 PM
Spittin'Cesium

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04/07/2013 01:29 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sort it out guys!

more Flaring,but got to guess,1718 [link to halpha.nso.edu] ?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

?

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Tiny Trink

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04/07/2013 04:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Much Love,

[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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04/07/2013 04:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sort it out guys!

more Flaring,but got to guess,1718 [link to halpha.nso.edu] ?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

?

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



Cesium, let me be more politically correct ... this being my first solar max, up front and personal that is, I'm keeping an open mind wink

The historical data may show a minimum trend, as seen in the past I agree, but ...... until we know the catalyst. The historical data doesn't tell us why the sun goes to minimum or maximum, why,or for how long. Just that at times it does. And that sometimes you can see it coming for several cycles prior, and you can assume(not know)that the next will follow suit. It's just too early to know.

Homeric minimum 950BC-800BC 50 years
Oort minimum 1040-1080 40 years
Medieval maximum 1100-1250 150 years
Wolf minimum 1280-1350 70 years
Spörer Minimum 1450-1550 100 years
Maunder Minimum 1645-1715 70 years
Dalton Minimum 1790-1820 30 years

:solarspots:

Some are 30 years, some are 150 years.

Certainly between the dates of 1890 and 1930, (and as we watch our own magnetosphere today,during low solar activity, the most opportune moment for a "Carrington Event" to effect us here on Earth) we saw a significant drop in solar spot numbers, yet it was never considered a minimum, and slid into one of the highest maximums in recorded history.

All I'm saying is, I don't know. Just like you I'm watching the patterns and trends, and my mind is set on ... nothing hf
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User ID: 17736771
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04/07/2013 05:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sort it out guys!

more Flaring,but got to guess,1718 [link to halpha.nso.edu] ?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

?

sun
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



Cesium, let me be more politically correct ... this being my first solar max, up front and personal that is, I'm keeping an open mind wink

The historical data may show a minimum trend, as seen in the past I agree, but ...... until we know the catalyst. The historical data doesn't tell us why the sun goes to minimum or maximum, why,or for how long. Just that at times it does. And that sometimes you can see it coming for several cycles prior, and you can assume(not know)that the next will follow suit. It's just too early to know.

Homeric minimum 950BC-800BC 50 years
Oort minimum 1040-1080 40 years
Medieval maximum 1100-1250 150 years
Wolf minimum 1280-1350 70 years
Spörer Minimum 1450-1550 100 years
Maunder Minimum 1645-1715 70 years
Dalton Minimum 1790-1820 30 years

:solarspots:

Some are 30 years, some are 150 years.

Certainly between the dates of 1890 and 1930, (and as we watch our own magnetosphere today,during low solar activity, the most opportune moment for a "Carrington Event" to effect us here on Earth) we saw a significant drop in solar spot numbers, and a much lower spot count than we are seeing even now, yet it was never considered a minimum, and slid into one of the highest maximums in recorded history.

All I'm saying is, I don't know. Just like you I'm watching the patterns and trends, and my mind is set on ... nothing hf
 Quoting: TS66



And just to be clear, I do not believe that the sun is a living,breathing entity with a mind to do as it pleases ... we are missing the mechanics, the science of why.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 17736771
United States
04/07/2013 05:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry :shy:, good morning all hf

1713, 18,are BGs and 19 a BGD (nice looking one at that wink) IMHO.

III. Event probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 37348904
United States
04/07/2013 07:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry shy, good morning all hf

1713, 18,are BGs and 19 a BGD (nice looking one at that wink) IMHO.

III. Event probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
 Quoting: TS66


Good morning, 66 & sun friends. A C1.4 flare was recorded from the SE limb. Here's a rundown for AR1719 from Solar Monitor:

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

AR1719 Magnetogram-
:1719mag:
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 35358791
United Kingdom
04/07/2013 07:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello you lovely people. I apologise for lack of participation lately but it has been a strange & sad time (which a couple of you know). I have, however, been a'lurking & just wanted to say thank you for sharing your knowledge :))

Ele x

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