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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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04/20/2013 01:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Windspeed's awfully low, letting in a lot of cosmic rays.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


and now 2 gamma rays in 2 days after 11 days with none.

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
 Quoting: Isis One


3 now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


4 now
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/20/2013 01:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I still think that AR1726 looks like a fusion of two magnetic fields. Siamese twin sunspots groups now morphing into a larger structure. Early x-ray images from yesterday even showed a two-lobed x-ray configuration. Time will tell, but I believe this may lead to increased volatility in this region.

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1726 AIA 171a Image (Tinted Pink)-
:1726pink:

AR1726 Recent Magnetogram (compare it to the one I posted 12 hrs. ago)-
:1726_HMIBC:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i agree! the magnetic complexity of this region has become insane over the span of today
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/20/2013 01:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
April 20th @ 2:39AM GLP time
:4/20-1726mag:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


April 20th @ 1:03PM GLP time
AR1726 Recent Magnetogram (compare it to the one I posted 12 hrs. ago)-
:1726_HMIBC:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Da fuq

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04/20/2013 01:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Maybe the sun will go nuts soon and force everyone to look/wake up.





Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


soon1
Hugh M Eye

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04/20/2013 01:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Big-time eruptions farside north near 1718. Two coronal dimming events visible a few hours apart can be seen on the STEREO Ahead EUVI Movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Two or three CMEs detected by the STEREO Behind cor 2:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I can see a solar tsunami or a coronal wave in the north on Behind EUVI imagery. This may be related to the same eruptions or possibly a separate filament event. Whatever it was, it was huge...almost the entire far-side north saw some effects from these happenings.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

More info on Coronal Dimming & CMEs:
[link to www.mendeley.com]

explosionshocked
shadasonic

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04/20/2013 01:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I still think that AR1726 looks like a fusion of two magnetic fields. Siamese twin sunspots groups now morphing into a larger structure. Early x-ray images from yesterday even showed a two-lobed x-ray configuration. Time will tell, but I believe this may lead to increased volatility in this region.

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1726 AIA 171a Image (Tinted Pink)-
:1726pink:

AR1726 Recent Magnetogram (compare it to the one I posted 12 hrs. ago)-
:1726_HMIBC:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I agree look at that mingling, looks like that ss could have some energy getting all pent up, beautifull growth on that one.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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04/20/2013 01:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


we got a heartbeat!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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04/20/2013 01:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lmao

shenue

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04/20/2013 01:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Day everyone! Group Hug
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
BloodyT3CH

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Lithuania
04/20/2013 02:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I still think that AR1726 looks like a fusion of two magnetic fields. Siamese twin sunspots groups now morphing into a larger structure. Early x-ray images from yesterday even showed a two-lobed x-ray configuration. Time will tell, but I believe this may lead to increased volatility in this region.

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1726 AIA 171a Image (Tinted Pink)-
:1726pink:

AR1726 Recent Magnetogram (compare it to the one I posted 12 hrs. ago)-
:1726_HMIBC:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I agree look at that mingling, looks like that ss could have some energy getting all pent up, beautifull growth on that one.
 Quoting: shadasonic

This sunspot is redying for M class flash as i like to call it.
damneddance
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/20/2013 02:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I still think that AR1726 looks like a fusion of two magnetic fields. Siamese twin sunspots groups now morphing into a larger structure. Early x-ray images from yesterday even showed a two-lobed x-ray configuration. Time will tell, but I believe this may lead to increased volatility in this region.

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1726 AIA 171a Image (Tinted Pink)-
:1726pink:

AR1726 Recent Magnetogram (compare it to the one I posted 12 hrs. ago)-
:1726_HMIBC:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I agree look at that mingling, looks like that ss could have some energy getting all pent up, beautifull growth on that one.
 Quoting: shadasonic


on April 18, the 2 sunspots 1726 & 1727 were nonexistant, they began to form on April 19th and are now large complex sunspot groups today, April 20th. from nothing to this in 2 days
you can see this here
[link to www.solarham.net]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
BloodyT3CH

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04/20/2013 02:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can't repeat the big papa of 2001 [link to spaceweather.com]

Last Edited by BloodyT3CH on 04/20/2013 02:35 PM
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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04/20/2013 02:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can't repeat the big papa of 2001 [link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


Omg! That's not even fair!
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/20/2013 03:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1726
62% chance for M flare
57% chance for X flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

How does flare monitor work?

Our agent program "SPIDER" connects to the SDO website every two minutes to search for the new HMI images and download them to our server.

These images are then processed using "ASAP" to automatically detect, group and then classify the sunspot groups and calculate their flaring probabilities.
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
BloodyT3CH

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Lithuania
04/20/2013 03:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1726
62% chance for M flare
57% chance for X flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

How does flare monitor work?

Our agent program "SPIDER" connects to the SDO website every two minutes to search for the new HMI images and download them to our server.

These images are then processed using "ASAP" to automatically detect, group and then classify the sunspot groups and calculate their flaring probabilities.
 Quoting: NiNzrez

To me it shows
02 EAO . M-11% . X-4%
Solar flare probability 20%
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/20/2013 03:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1726
62% chance for M flare
57% chance for X flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

How does flare monitor work?

Our agent program "SPIDER" connects to the SDO website every two minutes to search for the new HMI images and download them to our server.

These images are then processed using "ASAP" to automatically detect, group and then classify the sunspot groups and calculate their flaring probabilities.
 Quoting: NiNzrez

To me it shows
02 EAO . M-11% . X-4%
Solar flare probability 20%
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


it updates each 2 min
so it has changed since i posted
keep an eye for it to increase though cause this spot just keeps growing today

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 04/20/2013 03:52 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Isis One

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04/20/2013 04:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Windspeed's awfully low, letting in a lot of cosmic rays.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


and now 2 gamma rays in 2 days after 11 days with none.

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
 Quoting: Isis One


3 now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


whoawhooooo! I'm a GRB freakgeek!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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04/20/2013 04:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Windspeed's awfully low, letting in a lot of cosmic rays.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


and now 2 gamma rays in 2 days after 11 days with none.

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
 Quoting: Isis One


3 now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


4 now
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


Holy shite the bed, OMG, can this week get any more off the charts?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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04/20/2013 04:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Big-time eruptions farside north near 1718. Two coronal dimming events visible a few hours apart can be seen on the STEREO Ahead EUVI Movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Two or three CMEs detected by the STEREO Behind cor 2:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I can see a solar tsunami or a coronal wave in the north on Behind EUVI imagery. This may be related to the same eruptions or possibly a separate filament event. Whatever it was, it was huge...almost the entire far-side north saw some effects from these happenings.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

More info on Coronal Dimming & CMEs:
[link to www.mendeley.com]

explosionshocked
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks much for the tutorial, as I was headed out to google coronal dimming (learn something new here everyday). I read the abstract, the link provides first several pages.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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04/20/2013 04:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wonder if this has anything to do with 1726 and 1727???...and the earthquake uptick? Being discussed here

Thread: BREAKING: HUGE Unidentified Object on NASA Stereo HI2 Images! (PIN Request)

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by Isis One on 04/20/2013 04:31 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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04/20/2013 04:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Windspeed's awfully low, letting in a lot of cosmic rays.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


and now 2 gamma rays in 2 days after 11 days with none.

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
 Quoting: Isis One


3 now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


4 now
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


Holy shite the bed, OMG, can this week get any more off the charts?
 Quoting: Isis One


Wonder if this has anything to do with 1726 and 1727???...and the earthquake uptick? Being discussed here

Thread: BREAKING: HUGE Unidentified Object on NASA Stereo HI2 Images! (PIN Request)

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


bump
Anonymous Coward
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04/20/2013 04:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wonder if this has anything to do with 1726 and 1727???...and the earthquake uptick? Being discussed here

Thread: BREAKING: HUGE Unidentified Object on NASA Stereo HI2 Images! (PIN Request)

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


send a PM to Dr astro maybe he knows
Anonymous Coward
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04/20/2013 04:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Looks like a really big delta spot now.
BloodyT3CH

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04/20/2013 04:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wonder if this has anything to do with 1726 and 1727???...and the earthquake uptick? Being discussed here

Thread: BREAKING: HUGE Unidentified Object on NASA Stereo HI2 Images! (PIN Request)

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


send a PM to Dr astro maybe he knows
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29349054

He said it was comet Lemmon near Stereo satellite.
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
whiteangel

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04/20/2013 05:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Found this post over on [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] and wondering what y'all think? Highlighted wonderings?

BTW, there was a comet in 2004 called NEAT that was a Sun grazer and was visible during the day with filtering.

The only reason it wasn't visible to the naked eye during the day is because of it's proximity to the Sun , but it could be seen at Sunrise and Sunset with the naked eye.

The size of the nucleus of the comet was never determined to the best of my knowledge but it is easy to see from the LASCO image of it on the link posted below that it was no ordinary comet and it's coma's size was approximately that of the Sun. We can estimate it was the size of a small planet by extrapolation from it's coma and tail size.

It was HUGE, and as I recall NASA shit slinging shills like Astroll were downplaying it's significance at the time.

It caused massive coronal mass ejections as it approached the Sun and phenomenon never before observed, including what appeared to be an arc between it and the Sun and between Mercury and the Sun and Venus and the Sun. The brightness of Venus increased by several degrees of magnitude as it's atmosphere expanded. The electric universe was revealed in all it's glory by arcs or giant sparks between the Sun, the comet and the inner planets.

All of this was downplayed and ignored in the major astronomical publications as if it never happened.

As you probably know, things have not been the same with the Sun , the solar system or the Earth since that time.

Scroll down for LASCO image of comet NEAT

[link to www.earthriseinstitute.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous astro, 1367896


What are your thoughts on this post in general and also on the highlighted areas? If above is true, we could be in for a very bumpy ride to say the least!!!
 Quoting: whiteangel

"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain

Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
whiteangel

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04/20/2013 05:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Windspeed's awfully low, letting in a lot of cosmic rays.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


and now 2 gamma rays in 2 days after 11 days with none.

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]
 Quoting: Isis One


3 now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


4 now
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717


Holy shite the bed, OMG, can this week get any more off the charts?
 Quoting: Isis One


It's been a nutty week Sis!!!
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain

Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
whiteangel

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04/20/2013 05:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1726 AIA 171a Image (Tinted Pink)-
:1726pink:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I found this to be one the prettiest images in a long time!! Thank you
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain

Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Hugh M Eye

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04/20/2013 07:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1726 AIA 171a Image (Tinted Pink)-
:1726pink:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I found this to be one the prettiest images in a long time!! Thank you
 Quoting: whiteangel


I'm glad you liked it, whiteangel, I aim to please, LOL.

We may have an Earth-directed CME from a filament eruption in the SW near 1723 @ approx. 17:30z. I first noticed it on the Big Bear h-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

On the SDO/AIA 304 image movie it looked much bigger than I realized. It's difficult to make out the CME on STEREO A ccor2 movie because of all the other
CMEs in the way; but I believe I see it there at the very end (beginning at approx. 19:30z):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]




[link to www.youtube.com]
Isis One

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04/20/2013 08:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Found this post over on [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] and wondering what y'all think? Highlighted wonderings?

BTW, there was a comet in 2004 called NEAT that was a Sun grazer and was visible during the day with filtering.

The only reason it wasn't visible to the naked eye during the day is because of it's proximity to the Sun , but it could be seen at Sunrise and Sunset with the naked eye.

The size of the nucleus of the comet was never determined to the best of my knowledge but it is easy to see from the LASCO image of it on the link posted below that it was no ordinary comet and it's coma's size was approximately that of the Sun. We can estimate it was the size of a small planet by extrapolation from it's coma and tail size.

It was HUGE, and as I recall NASA shit slinging shills like Astroll were downplaying it's significance at the time.

It caused massive coronal mass ejections as it approached the Sun and phenomenon never before observed, including what appeared to be an arc between it and the Sun and between Mercury and the Sun and Venus and the Sun. The brightness of Venus increased by several degrees of magnitude as it's atmosphere expanded. The electric universe was revealed in all it's glory by arcs or giant sparks between the Sun, the comet and the inner planets.

All of this was downplayed and ignored in the major astronomical publications as if it never happened.

As you probably know, things have not been the same with the Sun , the solar system or the Earth since that time.

Scroll down for LASCO image of comet NEAT

[link to www.earthriseinstitute.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous astro, 1367896


What are your thoughts on this post in general and also on the highlighted areas? If above is true, we could be in for a very bumpy ride to say the least!!!
 Quoting: whiteangel

 Quoting: whiteangel


Excellent connecting of good dots WA, and also thanks to Bloodytech with Astro's Lemmon response. Given the above highlighted points WA, it may get very bumpy, cause that thing in my original post looked huge (I will take perspective and distanc from satellite into account). Thanks again for that excellent info.

Last Edited by Isis One on 04/20/2013 08:11 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Hugh M Eye

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04/20/2013 09:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1726 is building up for a biggie IMO. This region is directly Earth-facing and just produced a C3.6 flare.

Pic from Big Bear:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

GOES X-ray flux 1-min. plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

hidingtomatohiding

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