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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Da fuq

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04/21/2013 01:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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04/21/2013 01:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.solarham.net]


Nice proton jump from our burping 1726
 Quoting: shadasonic


Good catch, shadasonic, I find that to be unexpected. I'm leaning toward the massive far-side CME as the cause opposed to 1726. That region's produced a dozen or so low C-flares; no big CMEs or anything to cause an SEP event.

GOES Proton flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

BINGO! Earth's magnetic footpoint is actually a bit beyond the west limb!

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Some of the energetic particles from that CME could have travelled towards Earth via the Parker Spiral magnetic fields. However, we could soon see a really big proton event if 1726 produces a big flare before reaching the limb. I think it could explode at any time now.
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 01:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SDO is having data-processing issues today. Images stopped updating for many hours, but it seems they are catching up now.

AR1726 Still Growing-
:4/21-1726:

Far-side west CME-
:4/21-c2:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was looking here for the image you posted

it looks like its missing?

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]


but I did notice.... there is a triangular object there....

its in all the images
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 01:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
close up [link to s7.postimg.org]
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 01:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
triangular shape here too [link to helioviewer.org]
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 01:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
you can watch it here in the video at the end slowly move away from the sun it IS a moving object

[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 01:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW! the ending.. what the heck is that?
Da fuq

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04/21/2013 02:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW! the ending.. what the heck is that?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38590292


Maybe it is responsible for the same shape in the Corona at the moment.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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04/21/2013 02:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SDO is having data-processing issues today. Images stopped updating for many hours, but it seems they are catching up now.

AR1726 Still Growing-
:4/21-1726:

Far-side west CME-
:4/21-c2:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was looking here for the image you posted

it looks like its missing?

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]


but I did notice.... there is a triangular object there....

its in all the images
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38590292


Thanks for the post! That's another new far-side CME. The C2 image I posted was from 08:00 UTC. The STEREO A EUVI seems to show yet another eruption further far-side (1718 again?) and "dimming event":

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Nice find, all of those decaying sunspots are freakin' exploding far-side now. WTF?

By the way all kinds of weird stuff can be often seen on the SOHO coronagraph images. The specialized optics were designed to image the hot plasma ejections and are not very good or reliable instruments to study planets, stars, or whatever. I wouldn't get too excited about it, it's most likely a bright background star or group of stars crowded into one or two pixels....just sayin'.
Kael

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04/21/2013 02:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C4 or C5.
Still waiting for an M....
[link to www.solarham.net]
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
Kael

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04/21/2013 03:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
58% for a major flare.
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
banana2
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
whiteangel

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04/21/2013 03:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Didn't see this posted - 1726 is now BGD
[link to www.solarham.net]
newyear2015
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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04/21/2013 03:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Didn't see this posted - 1726 is now BGD
[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: whiteangel


yoda
Luisport

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04/21/2013 04:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
x-ray flux rising again [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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04/21/2013 04:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
x-ray flux rising again [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


a c flare LDE?
shadasonic

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04/21/2013 05:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Didn't see this posted - 1726 is now BGD
[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: whiteangel


Missed that also, good catch WA!

Backside is losing its mind it seems, coming unglued.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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04/21/2013 05:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
x-ray flux rising again [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


a c flare LDE?
 Quoting: Luisport


Hey Luis , good day!

I'm getting ready for something a little bigger to hit soon!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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04/21/2013 05:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]



Got a ?, what causes the shadow of the planet on Lasco C3
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 05:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AND another GRB!
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 06:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Party!

lmao


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38007717
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 06:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
7717 is me.
curi0sis*SolSis

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04/21/2013 06:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]



Got a ?, what causes the shadow of the planet on Lasco C3
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hi shada : )

To better grip your ?,

d'you mean at our 9 o'clock, between the planet and Sol? just sort of a bit below the horizontal 'flash line' (for lack of better lexicon of mine) of said planet?

...and no, sorry, I have no friggin clue how to answer your Q!

o_Ô
"But the plans were on display . . ."
"On display? I eventually had to go down to the cellar to find them."
"That's the display department."
"With a torch."
"Ah, well the lights had probably gone."
"So had the stairs."
"But look, you found the notice, didn't you?"
"Yes," said Arthur, "yes I did. It was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying Beware of the Leopard."
-Chapter One, H2G2
Hugh M Eye

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04/21/2013 06:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA discusses minor proton event at geosynchronous orbit-

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous
orbit increased slightly above background levels beginning at
approximately 21/1005 UTC but remained below threshold level (10 pfu) at
the time of this report. The enhancement was likely triggered by a
flare beyond the west limb from old Region 1719
(N11, L=077) which could
be seen in STEREO Ahead EUVI 195 data beginning at 21/0725 UTC.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected
to be at normal to moderate levels. A slight chance for a greater than
10 MeV proton event exists for the forecast period (21-23 Apr) due to
both the recent proton enhancement as well as the potential for further
increase in significant flare activity from Region 1726.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Proton Flux monitor:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Sound familiar? LOL!

NOAA Again-

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels due to several C-class flares by Region
1726 (N12W15, Eki/beta-gamma-delta). The largest of the period was a
C3/Sf flare at 21/0109 UTC. Region 1726 exhibited moderate growth in
area and spot count during the period and continued to develop in
magnetic complexity. Multiple deltas were observed in the larger
central spot with apparent rotation within the central umbrae.
GOES
X-ray flux background has subsequently increased in part due to the
increased activity with this region.

A filament eruption was observed in SDO/AIA 304 imagery beginning at
20/1741 UTC slightly north of Region 1723 (S20W50, Cso/beta), however no
associated CME could be ascertained in LASCO C2 imagery. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period.

AR1726 magnetogram showing B-G-D complexity-
:4/21-1726magneto:
shadasonic

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04/21/2013 07:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]



Got a ?, what causes the shadow of the planet on Lasco C3
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hi shada : )

To better grip your ?,

d'you mean at our 9 o'clock, between the planet and Sol? just sort of a bit below the horizontal 'flash line' (for lack of better lexicon of mine) of said planet?

...and no, sorry, I have no friggin clue how to answer your Q!

o_Ô
 Quoting: curi0sis*SolSis


Yep thats the one solsis.Peace
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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04/21/2013 08:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]



Got a ?, what causes the shadow of the planet on Lasco C3
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hi shada : )

To better grip your ?,

d'you mean at our 9 o'clock, between the planet and Sol? just sort of a bit below the horizontal 'flash line' (for lack of better lexicon of mine) of said planet?

...and no, sorry, I have no friggin clue how to answer your Q!

o_Ô
 Quoting: curi0sis*SolSis


Yep thats the one solsis.Peace
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hey, sonic, I believe this describes the shadow image artifact you inquired about. If not, check this page which covers a host of issues and questions about SOHO images-

12. What are those dark areas that I sometimes see in the images ?

The dark areas are image processing artifacts and not a sensor problem. The images on the WWW page are processed by removing a background light model. The background light model is about 99% of the light received by the CCD and consists of instrumental stray light as well as coronal light. The amount of background light varys according to SOHO's orbit. When the model is wrong we subtract off too much light and we see a dark area. Correcting the model always lags the actual data. We are always using last month's model with today's data. So about two weeks to a month after today we will build the right model for today. The real-time images are a rough cut at the image processing and are intended for planning purposes for the next day's observations and for public outreach. The subtraction is particularly obvious during a spacecraft roll manuvuer when the spacecraft has rolled but our background light model has not rolled.

Lots of interesting stuff here:

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]
Hugh M Eye

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04/21/2013 09:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Temporary Sunspot Shortage-

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 112 Issued at 0030Z on 22 Apr 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 21 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1723 S20W57 001 0040 Cso 07 03 Beta
1726 N12W22 326 0260 Ekc 13 36 Beta-Gamma-Delta
1727 N25E31 273 0060 Dao 08 07 Beta

AR1726 Composite-Lookin' Feisty!
:1726comp:

NOAA Update-Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Region 1726 (N12W22, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) kept activity at low levels
with over a dozen C-class flares in the past 24 hours. The largest of
the period was a C4/Sf flare at 21/1839 UTC. Region 1726 grew in area
and spot count while maintaining its magnetic complexity. Region 1727
(N25E31) lost some intermediate spots and Region 1723 (S20W57) was
stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for M-class
flares (R1 or greater on the NOAA scale) through the forecast period. A
slight chance for an X-class event (R3 or greater) exists for the first
two days (22-23 Apr).


Geospace-

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet until mid to late day 1
(22 Apr). Then, a glancing blow from the 18 Apr CME is may cause
unsettled periods. By midday on day 2 (23 Apr), a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream is expected to become geoeffective bringing
unsettled to active periods with a slight chance for minor storm periods
which will persist through the end of the forecast period.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

>=10 MeV Protons still somewhat elevated:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
shadasonic

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04/21/2013 09:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]



Got a ?, what causes the shadow of the planet on Lasco C3
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hi shada : )

To better grip your ?,

d'you mean at our 9 o'clock, between the planet and Sol? just sort of a bit below the horizontal 'flash line' (for lack of better lexicon of mine) of said planet?

...and no, sorry, I have no friggin clue how to answer your Q!

o_Ô
 Quoting: curi0sis*SolSis


Yep thats the one solsis.Peace
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hey, sonic, I believe this describes the shadow image artifact you inquired about. If not, check this page which covers a host of issues and questions about SOHO images-

12. What are those dark areas that I sometimes see in the images ?

The dark areas are image processing artifacts and not a sensor problem. The images on the WWW page are processed by removing a background light model. The background light model is about 99% of the light received by the CCD and consists of instrumental stray light as well as coronal light. The amount of background light varys according to SOHO's orbit. When the model is wrong we subtract off too much light and we see a dark area. Correcting the model always lags the actual data. We are always using last month's model with today's data. So about two weeks to a month after today we will build the right model for today. The real-time images are a rough cut at the image processing and are intended for planning purposes for the next day's observations and for public outreach. The subtraction is particularly obvious during a spacecraft roll manuvuer when the spacecraft has rolled but our background light model has not rolled.

Lots of interesting stuff here:

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Excellent, just what I was looking for Solbro!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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04/21/2013 10:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
you can watch it here in the video at the end slowly move away from the sun it IS a moving object

[link to www.youtube.com]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38590292


you can watch it here in the video at the end slowly move away from the sun it IS a moving object

[link to www.youtube.com]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38590292


CHANGING OF A NEW GUARD - JAWOLD HA-REBUM
Triangle eye leaving the SUN on...

Thread: APRIL 21 MATRIX
rlc3764
User ID: 38114607
Philippines
04/21/2013 10:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
111 X 7 = 777
111 = III = 3 (roman number)
III x 7 = 3 x 7 = 21

APRIL 21 = 111st day of the year
Thread: APRIL 21 MATRIX
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38114607

Numbers are created by humans. They do not mean anything in Universe.
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


After 777 days from March 7, 2011 is CHANGING OF THE GUARD.
JAWOLD HA-REBUM Complimentary Conduit. 7th Wing 7th Level 7th Command .

Change of Command on Thread: APRIL 21 MATRIX

TRIANGLE EYE leaving the SUN on April 21, 2013, 777 days from the start of this post.

[link to www.youtube.com]
joinca

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04/22/2013 12:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LYRID METEOR SHOWER PEAKS TONIGHT April 22nd: Earth is passing through a stream of debris from ancient Comet Thatcher, source of the annual Lyrid Meteor Shower. Usually the shower is mild (10-20 meteors per hour) but unmapped filaments of dust in the comet's tail sometimes trigger outbursts ten times stronger. Forecasters say the best time to look is during the dark hours before local dawn on Monday, April 22nd.
[link to www.spaceweather.com]
[link to www.meteorscan.com]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson

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