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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2013 01:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AND another GRB!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 38628221


Quite possibly.

And how those particles interact with, energize, our star has never been published, to my knowledge. Cycles within cycles, and I guarantee you that as well as the suns particles interact with our magnetosphere, higher particles from other solar bursts interact with our suns helioshieth.

round and around we go...every where you look, light,lack there of, gravity, and magnetism.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37763042


You're quoting something out'ta my context.
Please don't include my posts into your personal understanding & reasonings in life.
I'm very familiar with peoples concepts & theories on things in the Universe.
This one isn't yours to express, nor was it Natural, the way you know things.

It was in reference to the Draco GRB. (Read the time & whom I've been playing with on GRBs from previous post)
It completed the 104.5 bond angle(with flex), with the other 2 out of Ursa Major. ( [link to grb.sonoma.edu] )
It's a trifecta tune in meaning. Yin/Yang, Water, Something I won't say.
The understanding aren't yours to see.
Expressing the highest form of power you know of.
My dad is waaht you call Badass! & BIG.

Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 38348402
United Kingdom
04/23/2013 01:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
check out these amazing charts i just found

highest Flare per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Sunspot number per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

highest Electron count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High proton count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High solar wind per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

IMF per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Bookmarked.

rockon
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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04/23/2013 01:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Vurtde?

Can anyone else see the perfect Circle of faint Filament just to the West of S2370(Mid disk,just below the equatorial region)
[link to halpha.nso.edu] ?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I sure do!?!
 Quoting: curi0sis*SolSis


Hello SolSishf

Hope you are go0d...crazy hey?

very faint,but very Circular and very 'there'.

Hmmm?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2013 01:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Vurtde?

Can anyone else see the perfect Circle of faint Filament just to the West of S2370(Mid disk,just below the equatorial region)
[link to halpha.nso.edu] ?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Old AR1705...


[link to www.solen.info]

note date of map from last month.

I take it that u also noticed the filament from the south central pole region of the disk that was deflected in an obvious direction in the H Alpha vid?
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2013 01:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
And (37763042) I apologize if it came off 'Bitchy' just agitated.
Have a good day!
hf

Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37763042
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04/23/2013 02:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
check out these amazing charts i just found

highest Flare per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Sunspot number per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

highest Electron count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High proton count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High solar wind per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

IMF per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks for the links.

They are not giving up much, but some is better then nothing.

They still have this desktop link as well.

[link to swc.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37763042
United States
04/23/2013 02:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
check out these amazing charts i just found

highest Flare per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Sunspot number per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

highest Electron count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High proton count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High solar wind per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

IMF per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks for the links.

They are not giving up much, but some is better then nothing.

They still have this desktop link as well.

[link to swc.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37763042


P.S..Great find NiN..;) I love the way they did these. I can already see corelations within the solar rotations, esp the IMF, which should be...I guess.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
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04/23/2013 02:56 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]



Well looks like she was a dud. I hope this becomes a monster on its next rotation and it pops off a Carrington event!!!
Hugh M Eye

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04/23/2013 05:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Expected Events:
*April 23rd, by mid day Coronal hole winds are expected to arrive bringing upon unsettler geomagnetic conditions. This is expected to continue through at least the next 3 days (April 24th - April 26th)
*April 24th, by late in the day we have a possible glancing blow from the CME that occured April 21st @ 20:36

---------------------------------------------------

a geomagnetic storm watch has been issued for April 25th
this is due to the 2 large Coronal Holes that are now Earth facing. The winds from these holes should arrive on around the 25th
[link to www.solen.info]


Issue Time: 2013 Apr 22 2346 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Apr 23: None (Below G1) Apr 24: None (Below G1) Apr 25: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

EARLIER TODAY:
*Geomagnetic Forecast:
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (22 Apr) with the unsettled periods mid to late in the UTC day due to a possible glancing blow from the 18 Apr CME. By mid day on day 2 (23 Apr), a recurrent CH HSS is expected to become geoeffective increasing activity to unsettled to active levels with a slight chance for minor storm periods. CH HSS activity is expected to continue to influence the geomagnetic field through the end of the forecast period (24 Apr).

UPDATE:
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on
days 1 and 2 (23 Apr, 24 Apr) and quiet to minor storm levels on day 3
(25 Apr)
due to the effects of the recurrent CH HSS




EARLIER TODAY:
A CME was observed in C2 imagery off the west limb at 21/2036 UTC. A comparison with SDO/AIA 193 imagery shows darkening around Region 1723 at 21/2008 UTC associated with a C2/Sf flare at 21/2015 UTC. Analysis is pending on the geoeffectiveness of this event

UPDATE:
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2013 Apr 23 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at moderate levels. Region 1726 (N13W35,
Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) was responsible for multiple C-flares early in the
period, as well as an impulsive M1 flare at 22/1029 UTC. This region
maintained its magnetic complexity as consolidation occurred in both the
leader and trailer spots, moderate mixing of polarities occurred in the
trailer spots, and area more than doubled to approximately 550
millionths. Region 1726 remains the area of interest for significant
flare production. Regions 1723 (S19W70, Cso/beta) and 1727 (N25E18,
Dao/beta) were stable throughout the period. The coronal mass ejection
(CME) observed in LASCO C2 imagery off the west limb at 21/2036 UTC was
determined to be only slightly Earth-directed, giving us a potential
glancing blow late in the period on day 2 (24 Apr).

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


SOOOOOOO according to their reports, anytime from the 23rd to 25th is when we should expect the CH winds
Spaceweather.con still says April 26-27 for the CH winds to arrive
looks like they cant really decided on a date haha

We were expecting a possible small glancing blow today from the CME that occured on April 18th. may be the culperate for the oddness we are seeing on ACE starting around the 05:00 mark


They are now saying we may see a slight glancing blow from the CME that occured on April 21 at 20:36 UTC
and we should expect the CME to glance Earth around late on April 24th

Edit: i wil be adding this to the 2nd post area on the very 1st page of this thread, so we can easily look back on it to see whats expected and when
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi, NINz, couldn't get back on last night (server trouble at GLP again) so thanks for the updates. AR1726 has changed magnetically to a more conventional-looking AR; I think that's why it has calmed down somewhat. This region is big and could produce a large flare at any time though.

AR1726 Magnetogram-
:4/22-1726mag:

Here's the CME NOAA referred to:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

And another nice one far-side:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 113 Issued at 0030Z on 23 Apr 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 22 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1723 S19W70 002 0030 Cso 07 03 Beta
1726 N13W35 325 0550 Ekc 13 42 Beta-Gamma-Delta

Be well. See y'all later on.
1727 N25E18 272 0070 Dao 08 08 Beta
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
shenue

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04/23/2013 08:15 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone. I hope you all are well today!

yummmm breakfast
:CoffeeCereal:
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
shadasonic

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04/23/2013 08:59 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone. I hope you all are well today!

yummmm breakfast
:CoffeeCereal:
 Quoting: shenue


kerm coff


Good morning shen!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
MissionInvisible

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04/23/2013 09:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
check out these amazing charts i just found

highest Flare per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Sunspot number per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

highest Electron count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High proton count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High solar wind per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

IMF per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


wow, those are great! Nice find :) I will have to bookmark them.
"So you're made of detritus [from exploded stars]. Get over it. Or better yet...Celebrate it. After all, what nobler thought can one cherish than that the universe lives within us all?"

Neil deGrasse Tyson



"We were told that the changes in our world would become the catalyst for ones within us..."
Fractal Time, Gregg Braden
Kael

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04/23/2013 09:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
check out these amazing charts i just found

highest Flare per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Sunspot number per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

highest Electron count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High proton count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High solar wind per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

IMF per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hold up why do they show specific dates in the future?
5a
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"
shadasonic

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04/23/2013 10:25 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The sun has a tight leash on its flares, when they are allowed out they aren't allowed to stay long.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Da fuq

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04/23/2013 10:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The sun has a tight leash on its flares, when they are allowed out they aren't allowed to stay long.
 Quoting: shadasonic


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

They are cute though.
whiteangel

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04/23/2013 10:29 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The sun has a tight leash on its flares, when they are allowed out they aren't allowed to stay long.
 Quoting: shadasonic


No kidding. I was just mentioning what it was like 2 years ago with sunspots that were BGD classed and how busy that would have made it. Now, ho-hum!!!

yawn
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
shadasonic

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04/23/2013 10:29 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The sun has a tight leash on its flares, when they are allowed out they aren't allowed to stay long.
 Quoting: shadasonic


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

They are cute though.
 Quoting: Da fuq


1726 is going to go ballistic once it rounds that corner.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Da fuq

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04/23/2013 10:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The sun has a tight leash on its flares, when they are allowed out they aren't allowed to stay long.
 Quoting: shadasonic


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

They are cute though.
 Quoting: Da fuq


1726 is going to go ballistic once it rounds that corner.
 Quoting: shadasonic


I still don't think Earth can have that great an influence with the earth facing Sun.
Something else has to be at work here, with the state of our magnetosphere and shrinking atmosphere I can start to see the big picture though.


dead3
shadasonic

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04/23/2013 10:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The sun has a tight leash on its flares, when they are allowed out they aren't allowed to stay long.
 Quoting: shadasonic


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

They are cute though.
 Quoting: Da fuq


1726 is going to go ballistic once it rounds that corner.
 Quoting: shadasonic


I still don't think Earth can have that great an influence with the earth facing Sun.
Something else has to be at work here, with the state of our magnetosphere and shrinking atmosphere I can start to see the big picture though.


dead3
 Quoting: Da fuq


There is definitely something at play, I'm all theoried out, just going to watch and rest my poor mind.
altered state
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
joinca

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04/23/2013 11:19 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This:
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 843
Issue Time: 2013 Apr 23 1439 UTC
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Apr 23 1419 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1159 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

Earths footprint:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And this for TT:
SO - 4MIN News April 23, 2013: Eclipse Thursday [link to www.youtube.com]
cool2
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Da fuq

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04/23/2013 12:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

They are cute though.
 Quoting: Da fuq


1726 is going to go ballistic once it rounds that corner.
 Quoting: shadasonic


I still don't think Earth can have that great an influence with the earth facing Sun.
Something else has to be at work here, with the state of our magnetosphere and shrinking atmosphere I can start to see the big picture though.


dead3
 Quoting: Da fuq


There is definitely something at play, I'm all theoried out, just going to watch and rest my poor mind.
altered state
 Quoting: shadasonic


I feel everyone will know soon enough, even those who wish to remain ignorant.
Luisport

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04/23/2013 12:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Da fuq

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04/23/2013 01:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Our star looking a bit flustered today.
NiNzrez
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04/23/2013 02:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 408
Issue Time: 2013 Apr 23 1711 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Apr 23 1646 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.



------------------------------------------------

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 843
Issue Time: 2013 Apr 23 1439 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Apr 23 1419 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1159 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez
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04/23/2013 02:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
the C flare going on right now has a sig of a CME being associated with it
i will be watching solar images close for signs of this
Anonymous Coward
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04/23/2013 02:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Luisport


Lovely...thank you.
whiteangel

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04/23/2013 03:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

C-flare does look like a CME sig.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
Isis One

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04/23/2013 03:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have two questions about the spaceweather.com web page.
1) Why is the M flare not showing as an M on the X-ray chart?
2) Why does the sunspot look like it is on the northern hemi on the diagram of the sun, but in the live picture, it looks like it is on the 'bottom' of the sun?

oops

[link to spaceweather.com]

Last Edited by Isis One on 04/23/2013 04:13 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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04/23/2013 04:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
check out these amazing charts i just found

highest Flare per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Sunspot number per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

highest Electron count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High proton count per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

High solar wind per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

IMF per day
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I found 100% correlation with my chocolate cravings!!! Only kidding, excellent resources for archival data, easy easy to use (once I figured out how to read em! Thanks Nin.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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04/23/2013 04:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Luisport


Beautiful, mesmerizing, life-giving, thank you Luis for that unique perspective.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

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