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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
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05/03/2013 01:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Luisport


LDE in progress.
 Quoting: shadasonic


rising again! M3.1!!!

 Quoting: Luisport


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Holy Moly we've got an event here !
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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05/03/2013 01:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
is it facing earth?
tmorais
Order out of Chaos

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05/03/2013 01:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow!

Finally some solar doom! Go X!

5a
Luisport

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05/03/2013 01:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M 5.4!!!

Last Edited by Luisport on 05/03/2013 01:33 PM
shadasonic

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05/03/2013 01:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
is it facing earth?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15083796


Yes, we're waiting for direction right now.

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 05/03/2013 01:33 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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05/03/2013 01:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Luisport



looks like we got ejecta

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yes it would seem that an Earth-directed CME is a certainty with this flare. Earth's magnetic footpoint is right close to 1731 so a proton event (or SEP event) is a good possibilty, too.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 411
Issue Time: 2013 May 03 1607 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 03 1516 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 05/03/2013 01:34 PM
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Luisport

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05/03/2013 01:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M 5.4!!!
 Quoting: Luisport


M5.7!!!
BloodyT3CH

User ID: 2148885
Lithuania
05/03/2013 01:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
North America is swimming in x-rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
tmorais
Order out of Chaos

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05/03/2013 01:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
North America is swimming in x-rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


eq
joinca

User ID: 23928361
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05/03/2013 01:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 186
Issue Time: 2013 May 03 1732 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2013 May 03 1729 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity.
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
shadasonic

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05/03/2013 01:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Luisport



looks like we got ejecta

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: shadasonic


Yes it would seem that an Earth-directed CME is a certainty with this flare. Earth's magnetic footpoint is right close to 1731 so a proton event (or SEP event) is a good possibilty, too.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 411
Issue Time: 2013 May 03 1607 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 03 1516 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Well this is turning into an interesting day. I was wondering about the footpoint on this as its being shifting a little lately. You did mention last night that old sol was perking up, I'd say you were right!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
BloodyT3CH

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Lithuania
05/03/2013 01:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
America's are swimming in x-rays [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH

Sorry computer is bugging. blink

Last Edited by BloodyT3CH on 05/03/2013 01:41 PM
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
Luisport

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05/03/2013 01:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
from another sunspot! [link to www.solarham.net]
Voluntaryist
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05/03/2013 01:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

Looks like the second flare was from a region off the eastern limb
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 37348904
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05/03/2013 01:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 186
Issue Time: 2013 May 03 1732 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2013 May 03 1729 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity.
 Quoting: joinca


Howdy, Joinca, this second M (5.7) was from the NE limb. Old region 1719 has announced his return!
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
joinca

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05/03/2013 01:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow! That one was from the east limb!
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
[link to img15.imageshack.us]

Thanks Hugh!
Mtn is doing his dance!!

Last Edited by joinca on 05/03/2013 01:47 PM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Graduate

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05/03/2013 01:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Spiking above M2!
5a
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Kael


5a
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 37348904
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05/03/2013 01:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft is way behind at this point, they haven't reported a flare in almost 3 hours! I guess they hit the links early this week, haha.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

AR1731- Earth-facing M1.3 flare-
:m1.3_sam:
:5/3-m1.3:
Active Region Proximity Alert!
:AR alert!:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
joinca

User ID: 23928361
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05/03/2013 01:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Got the "Xray Flare Alert" on my cell phone at 10:41am PDT
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
madajs.

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05/03/2013 01:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
nice event :)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
mtn_mang

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05/03/2013 01:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Let's go for the hat trick, just one more!!!
Luisport

User ID: 39263839
Portugal
05/03/2013 01:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Let's go for the hat trick, just one more!!!
 Quoting: mtn_mang


lolsign
BloodyT3CH

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05/03/2013 01:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Let's go for the hat trick, just one more!!!
 Quoting: mtn_mang

Energy released. Decay in full effect ufo56
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
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05/03/2013 02:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What did I miss? Lol


[link to www.solarham.net]

Last Edited by #Geomagnetic_Storm# on 05/03/2013 02:09 PM
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 37348904
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05/03/2013 02:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Let's go for the hat trick, just one more!!!
 Quoting: mtn_mang

Energy released. Decay in full effect ufo56
 Quoting: BloodyT3CH


I told ya so......
ohyeahlaugh

M5.7 Flare from East limb-
:5/3-Big M:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
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05/03/2013 02:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woah

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Graduate

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05/03/2013 02:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


And the effect is a more crispy barbeque this weekend.


s226
BloodyT3CH

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Lithuania
05/03/2013 02:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What did I miss? Lol


[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#

M1.3 Solar Flare Sunspot: 1731 Time 16:53 UTC
M5.7 Solar Flare Sunspot: No number/Northeast limb Time 17:32 UTC

Last Edited by BloodyT3CH on 05/03/2013 02:16 PM
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 37348904
United States
05/03/2013 02:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How come NOAA lists the Type IV Radio Alert at 15:16z? That's almost 90 minutes before the first M-flare. Are they now employing psychics or did we miss a filament eruption or something. Most likely those stoners can't read a clock right when they're high.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 411
Issue Time: 2013 May 03 1607 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 03 1516 UTC

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
wtf
pdance

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 05/03/2013 02:20 PM
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
United States
05/03/2013 02:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How come NOAA lists the Type IV Radio Alert at 15:16z? That's almost 90 minutes before the first M-flare. Are they now employing psychics or did we miss a filament eruption or something. Most likely those stoners can't read a clock right when they're high.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 411
Issue Time: 2013 May 03 1607 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 03 1516 UTC

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
wtf
pdance
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


dilberto
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan