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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
whiteangel
LLAP

User ID: 1775746
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05/19/2013 04:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel

is anyone here surprised?????
that is the -50 degrees +50 degrees solar safe zone!
going on 1 year now!
 Quoting: psyoptics


Not at all. Pure sarcasm!
A life is like a garden. Perfect moments can be had, but not preserved, except in memory. LLAP

In accepting the inevitable, one finds peace, Spock
BloodyT3CH

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Lithuania
05/19/2013 04:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel

is anyone here surprised?????
that is the -50 degrees +50 degrees solar safe zone!
going on 1 year now!
 Quoting: psyoptics


Not at all. Pure sarcasm!
 Quoting: whiteangel

We are living in a STIMULATED UNIVERSE so it shouldn't surprise anyone that the sun stops pounding humongous eruptions when it's sunspots turn to earth side of the Sol mama.
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
shenue

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05/19/2013 04:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
strange little glitch (?) at 20:16

[link to pixie.spasci.com]
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Luisport

User ID: 40109236
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05/19/2013 05:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another pop up!!!
Luisport

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05/19/2013 05:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C3.2
hIndsIght2020

User ID: 20069010
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05/19/2013 05:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Still going up....
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 05:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
strange little glitch (?) at 20:16

[link to pixie.spasci.com]
 Quoting: shenue


oops....yep, bad data. That yellow should show the SW velocity which has been between 375 and 400 km/s not 999.
Luisport

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05/19/2013 05:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C3.2
 Quoting: Luisport


C4.7...


Last Edited by Luisport on 05/19/2013 05:25 PM
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 05:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C3.2
 Quoting: Luisport


Still going up....
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


A C4.7...AR1750 produces its 6th flare of the day. It's a shame he's leaving us soon.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

flare list (scroll to bottom):

[link to www.lmsal.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 21765116
Netherlands
05/19/2013 05:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
These C-flares are so boring to watch. Come on sun bring us a nice little X-flare, punish us for ruining our planet!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 39793402
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05/19/2013 05:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1745 has now come around the corner so anything further would have more impact on the earth. Since it has currently flat lined in the B level, makes me wonder if we will see any more activity at all in the X-class.

What say you all?
More X-flares?
M-flares?
Going back to sleep?

 Quoting: whiteangel


it seems ascending to me...

so maiby a big one atached...

like x 7 minim

double jumping the last....

people are saiyng that what provoked the x were meteors crash... in too the Sun... also... with images.

are this images fake?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 39790161


I say with this whole cycle being atypical as it is it will flatline just like it has in the past during this cycle. As a good one blasts off just over the east limb it dies down when facing us. Then right at that sweet spot just before the west limb, boom. Just like clockwork. Ive been lurking for way toooo long to know that this will be the case. If you have been here any amount of time you know the truth I speak of. Hate to be the one keep us grounded. With that being said I do have [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] in its own window and am checking it every 5 or so. Or then again I could be wrong...
pick
 Quoting: C3Music 1534352


I called this and I think it will still hold true
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 06:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel

is anyone here surprised?????
that is the -50 degrees +50 degrees solar safe zone!
going on 1 year now!
 Quoting: psyoptics


Not at all. Pure sarcasm!
 Quoting: whiteangel


The eastern limb is firing in the current direction of incoming Ison, which is now inside the orbit Jupiter and heading towards the Sun. I don't know...maybe Ison is packing photon laser blasters.
Da fuq

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05/19/2013 06:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

More code like induction
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 06:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here it comes....

Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD
Serial Number: 130
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 2229 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2013 May 19 2251 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 19 2351 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2013 May 19 2221 UTC


ACE SW Data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Protons:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

arnoldSolarDoom!
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
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05/19/2013 07:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from the May 17th M3-flare should be encountering Earth's magnetosphere any minute now. Here is NASA's magnetosphere simulation:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The sudden impulse was also recorded by the SOHO proton monitor:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

The GOES X-Ray Flux has been at C1 or above for 8 hours now.

GOES 5-minute X-rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES 1-min. x-rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solarsoft close-up movie of C9.9 flare on the NE limb:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

C6 Flare from AR1750-
:C6flare:
madajs.

User ID: 35856189
Canada
05/19/2013 07:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
popcorn
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
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Canada
05/19/2013 07:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
popcorn
 Quoting: madajs.


popcorn
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27760252
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05/19/2013 07:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

More code like induction
 Quoting: Da fuq


Must be the code for photon laser blasters from Ison.
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Proton Density @ SOHO=38p/cm3
Proton Density at ACE=less than 10?

Why is this density spike seen at SOHO not reflected in the ACE data???

[link to umtof.umd.edu]


ACE plot looks weird to me.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Could there be a problem with ACE data? I noticed they turned off the magnetosphere simulation model, too. It was working fine when I first posted the link.
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Edit-the sim seems to be working again....whew

wtfwtfwtf

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 05/19/2013 08:24 PM
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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05/19/2013 08:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel


I really think its a barycenter issue. Something out there, two planets or supernovas or binary systems are configured in such a way as to "tug" on the sun on both "sides" (from our perspective).

From wiki on barycentres

[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Last Edited by Isis One on 05/19/2013 08:24 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
SnowboardingAlien

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05/19/2013 08:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel


I really think its a barycenter issue. Something out there, two planets or supernovas or binary systems are configured in such a way as to "tug" on the sun on both "sides" (from our perspective).

From wiki on barycentres

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
 Quoting: Isis One


what happen to the news about that supernova that was supposed to impact around the 15th or something like that?
I look up at the sky, and wonder where I am on earth. Then I wonder where I am in the solar system. Then I wonder where I am in the galaxy. Then I wonder where I am in the universe.
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA's doubling-down their bets on this one!

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 838
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 2317 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2013 May 19 2320 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 20 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
FrenchyMary

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France
05/19/2013 08:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
"Why is this density spike seen at SOHO not reflected in the ACE data???"

Thats exactly what I was wondering ....which data seems correct to you then?
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
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05/19/2013 08:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 106
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 1855 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 20: G2 (Moderate) May 21: None (Below G1) May 22: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Real-time Bow Shock simulation:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]
Isis One

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05/19/2013 08:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another sun halo reported


Rainbow around sun draws attention
Sun Halo visible across Southern New England, Cape Cod
UPDATED 2:39 PM EDT May 19, 2013

Read more: [link to www.wcvb.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 36239887


yeah, notice also the chemtrails.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 08:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is solar ham down for anyone else, I can't get it to load!

Solar Winds are at 500? based on this Japanese website.

[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
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05/19/2013 08:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]
Isis One

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05/19/2013 08:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
what was this massive spread? never seen anything like this

[link to www.astromanian.co.uk]
 Quoting: x0mega


Its not there now, but sometimes it picks up radio propagation over Europe.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
"Why is this density spike seen at SOHO not reflected in the ACE data???"

Thats exactly what I was wondering ....which data seems correct to you then?
 Quoting: FrenchyMary


Well CMEs aren't of a uniform consistency; they're irregular and clumpy. So I suppose it's conceivable that each spacecraft is observing different localized conditions. That being said, it's unusual to see that big a difference as they are both in L1 orbit about a million mile toward the sun from Earth.

ACE Mission- The satellite incorporates a real-time solar wind system that will provide around-the-clock coverage of interplanetary conditions that affect Earth. This is especially of benefit to those living at high northern and southern latitudes, because Earth's magnetic field is such that a coronal mass ejection can more easily disrupt power systems close to the poles.

While the ACE can do nothing to prevent this phenomenon from occurring, the satellite can at least provide an hour of warning that a coronal mass ejection may create a magnetic storm. The warning could help minimize and perhaps even eliminate some of the outages.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will analyze the data and issue forecasts and warnings of solar storms. According to NOAA, it will be possible to issue geomagnetic storm alerts with virtually 100 percent accuracy.
[link to www.caltech.edu]

ACE caltech homepage:
[link to www.srl.caltech.edu]
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is solar ham down for anyone else, I can't get it to load!

Solar Winds are at 500? based on this Japanese website.

[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Dettro


No need to ask the Japanese. They get 90% of their data from NOAA; so does Russia, China, etc., etc. We're one big global prison now, hehe.

ACE and SOHO showing wind speed less than 450 km/s.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]