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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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05/19/2013 08:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel


I really think its a barycenter issue. Something out there, two planets or supernovas or binary systems are configured in such a way as to "tug" on the sun on both "sides" (from our perspective).

From wiki on barycentres

[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Last Edited by Isis One on 05/19/2013 08:24 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
SnowboardingAlien

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05/19/2013 08:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel


I really think its a barycenter issue. Something out there, two planets or supernovas or binary systems are configured in such a way as to "tug" on the sun on both "sides" (from our perspective).

From wiki on barycentres

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
 Quoting: Isis One


what happen to the news about that supernova that was supposed to impact around the 15th or something like that?
I look up at the sky, and wonder where I am on earth. Then I wonder where I am in the solar system. Then I wonder where I am in the galaxy. Then I wonder where I am in the universe. Then I wonder what universe am I in.
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA's doubling-down their bets on this one!

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 838
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 2317 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2013 May 19 2320 UTC
Valid To: 2013 May 20 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
FrenchyMary

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05/19/2013 08:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
"Why is this density spike seen at SOHO not reflected in the ACE data???"

Thats exactly what I was wondering ....which data seems correct to you then?
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 106
Issue Time: 2013 May 19 1855 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 20: G2 (Moderate) May 21: None (Below G1) May 22: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Real-time Bow Shock simulation:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]
Isis One

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05/19/2013 08:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another sun halo reported


Rainbow around sun draws attention
Sun Halo visible across Southern New England, Cape Cod
UPDATED 2:39 PM EDT May 19, 2013

Read more: [link to www.wcvb.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 36239887


yeah, notice also the chemtrails.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 08:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is solar ham down for anyone else, I can't get it to load!

Solar Winds are at 500? based on this Japanese website.

[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 08:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]
Isis One

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05/19/2013 08:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
what was this massive spread? never seen anything like this

[link to www.astromanian.co.uk]
 Quoting: x0mega


Its not there now, but sometimes it picks up radio propagation over Europe.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
"Why is this density spike seen at SOHO not reflected in the ACE data???"

Thats exactly what I was wondering ....which data seems correct to you then?
 Quoting: FrenchyMary


Well CMEs aren't of a uniform consistency; they're irregular and clumpy. So I suppose it's conceivable that each spacecraft is observing different localized conditions. That being said, it's unusual to see that big a difference as they are both in L1 orbit about a million mile toward the sun from Earth.

ACE Mission- The satellite incorporates a real-time solar wind system that will provide around-the-clock coverage of interplanetary conditions that affect Earth. This is especially of benefit to those living at high northern and southern latitudes, because Earth's magnetic field is such that a coronal mass ejection can more easily disrupt power systems close to the poles.

While the ACE can do nothing to prevent this phenomenon from occurring, the satellite can at least provide an hour of warning that a coronal mass ejection may create a magnetic storm. The warning could help minimize and perhaps even eliminate some of the outages.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will analyze the data and issue forecasts and warnings of solar storms. According to NOAA, it will be possible to issue geomagnetic storm alerts with virtually 100 percent accuracy.
[link to www.caltech.edu]

ACE caltech homepage:
[link to www.srl.caltech.edu]
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is solar ham down for anyone else, I can't get it to load!

Solar Winds are at 500? based on this Japanese website.

[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Dettro


No need to ask the Japanese. They get 90% of their data from NOAA; so does Russia, China, etc., etc. We're one big global prison now, hehe.

ACE and SOHO showing wind speed less than 450 km/s.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isis One

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05/19/2013 08:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Eastern limb is firing.

Western limb is firing.

And the middle is taking a snooze!
 Quoting: whiteangel


I really think its a barycenter issue. Something out there, two planets or supernovas or binary systems are configured in such a way as to "tug" on the sun on both "sides" (from our perspective).

From wiki on barycentres

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
 Quoting: Isis One


what happen to the news about that supernova that was supposed to impact around the 15th or something like that?
 Quoting: SnowboardingAlien


haven't heard any updates about it arriving.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
hIndsIght2020
Russian shill fighter

User ID: 20069010
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05/19/2013 08:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another minor C Flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 08:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I just felt the all-familiar earth vibrations I usually feel during/shortly after solar flares.. in WV.
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 08:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another minor C Flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


yep.. too weird..
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 08:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments.

GONG Network image:
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Mauna Loa movie loop:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

pinkDoomsday
FrenchyMary

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05/19/2013 09:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks for your answer, I understand where the difference can come from (even if it remains an extremely huge difference in that case )

Be safe everyonehf
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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05/19/2013 09:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments.

GONG Network image:
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Mauna Loa movie loop:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks for all the work you do Hugh, making data real and interesting.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 09:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm feeling more activity.. what gives..?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 14778846
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05/19/2013 09:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments.

GONG Network image:
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Mauna Loa movie loop:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

:pinkDoomsday:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks for all the work you do Hugh, making data real and interesting.
 Quoting: Isis One


Yeah, it's nice to have inside resources!hf
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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05/19/2013 09:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check this out, zoom in to see just how many EQ's they've had in past few hours (5's and 6's). Something is REALLY going on there. I'm no expert, but I think these are foreshocks. Thankfully, not a populated region.

[link to gimquakesmap7.com]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 09:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check this out, zoom in to see just how many EQ's they've had in past few hours (5's and 6's). Something is REALLY going on there. I'm no expert, but I think these are foreshocks. Thankfully, not a populated region.

[link to gimquakesmap7.com]
 Quoting: Isis One


This is getting scary. Canada has also been active.

Thread: 2 EarthQuakes in Canada (updated NOW 4)

[link to anf.ucsd.edu]

Latitude 56.3083
Longitude -112.0750
Magnitude 4.8 mb
Depth 15 km
UTC Time 22:44:48 May 19th, 2013 UTC
Alberta, Canada, Eastern Alaska To Vancouver Island

Latitude 63.1809
Longitude -124.4098
Magnitude 4.9 mb
Depth 15 km
UTC Time 22:43:53 May 19th, 2013 UTC
Location Nw Territories - Nunavut, Canada, Northeastern Asia, Northern Alaska To Greenland

58.5461 -116.7897 4.8 mb 15 21:10:45 May 19th, 2013 UTC Alberta, Canada, Eastern Alaska To Vancouver Island

64.8765 -139.0532 5.0 mb 15 21:09:21 May 19th, 2013 UTC Southern Yukon Territory, Canada, Eastern Alaska To Vancouver Island
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 09:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is there some kind of alignment with..

Latitude 64.1348
Longitude -168.5071
Magnitude 5.2 mb
Depth 15 km
UTC Time 23:53:47 May 19th, 2013 UTC
Location Bering Strait, Northeastern Asia, Northern Alaska To Greenland

?
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
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05/19/2013 09:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is solar ham down for anyone else, I can't get it to load!

Solar Winds are at 500? based on this Japanese website.

[link to swnews.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Dettro


No need to ask the Japanese. They get 90% of their data from NOAA; so does Russia, China, etc., etc. We're one big global prison now, hehe.

ACE and SOHO showing wind speed less than 450 km/s.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I didn't realize Russia also. Thats suprising
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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05/19/2013 09:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check this out, zoom in to see just how many EQ's they've had in past few hours (5's and 6's). Something is REALLY going on there. I'm no expert, but I think these are foreshocks. Thankfully, not a populated region.

[link to gimquakesmap7.com]
 Quoting: Isis One


Kamchatka is going to blow!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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05/19/2013 09:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks for your answer, I understand where the difference can come from (even if it remains an extremely huge difference in that case )

Be safe everyonehf
 Quoting: FrenchyMary


Thanks for posting, Mary.hf Your questions are always welcome here tho' I can't always guarantee the answers will satisfy, LOL.

By the way, I'm still suspicious of the current ACE solar wind measurements. We shall wait and see. NOAA seems to expect a major storm tonight/today from this CME.

:5/17-conemdl:
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 25093690
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05/19/2013 09:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Question. What type of storm will it be if we ever get a kp9+? Severe? Major?
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2013 09:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump
shadasonic

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05/19/2013 09:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That C4 flare may be AR1748 waking up again. He's getting ready to blast Earth now that he's at Zero Degrees or 'Point Zulu'. Don't forget those nasty embedded filaments.

GONG Network image:
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Mauna Loa movie loop:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Even a moderate flare could set those plasma lines a running
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Isis One

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05/19/2013 09:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Question. What type of storm will it be if we ever get a kp9+? Severe? Major?
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Here's the classification table.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

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