Godlike Productions - Conspiracy Forum
Users Online Now: 3,072 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 1,144,263
Pageviews Today: 1,768,810Threads Today: 516Posts Today: 11,213
03:17 PM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 25093690
United States
05/19/2013 09:46 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Question. What type of storm will it be if we ever get a kp9+? Severe? Major?
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Here's the classification table.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Thanks.
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
United States
05/19/2013 09:53 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The X-ray background has just dipped below C-level for the first time in 10 hours.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solarsoft has awarded the C4 flare to AR1750 (its 7th C) although I'm sure I saw 1748 lighting up as well.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

Maybe NASA knew something that NOAA didn't when they neglected to issue any forecast for this CME arrival. So far I see little geomagnetic activity at all. Of course these events can last 10 or more hours, so things may change. The GOES electron flux saw more action the past two nights:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer showing a bit of a knot on the graph:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Boulder Magnetometer @13.5 nT isn't even close to 'Unsettled' yet:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The Density at SOHO has calmed down to around 15p/cm3 (Note: Beware of Dog...he bites):

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE proton density still hasn't cracked the 10 level yet:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Unless things change I don't see even a G1 storm from this. Of course if the Bz flips south and the wind speed increases we may see a storm. Where's Mtng. man with the M-flare dance?
dancedancedancedance
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
United States
05/19/2013 09:56 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The X-ray background has just dipped below C-level for the first time in 10 hours.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solarsoft has awarded the C4 flare to AR1750 (its 7th C) although I'm sure I saw 1748 lighting up as well.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

Maybe NASA knew something that NOAA didn't when they neglected to issue any forecast for this CME arrival. So far I see little geomagnetic activity at all. Of course these events can last 10 or more hours, so things may change. The GOES electron flux saw more action the past two nights:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer showing a bit of a knot on the graph:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Boulder Magnetometer @13.5 nT isn't even close to 'Unsettled' yet:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The Density at SOHO has calmed down to around 15p/cm3 (Note: Beware of Dog...he bites):

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE proton density still hasn't cracked the 10 level yet:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Unless things change I don't see even a G1 storm from this. Of course if the Bz flips south and the wind speed increases we may see a storm. Where's Mtng. man with the M-flare dance?
dancedancedancedance
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


One thing I noticed is that all of 1748s energy releases went southward on the Bz as they hit so I was assuming when this M flare CME hit it would do the same. I don't feel like we've seen it yet.

My ears went ballistic about 10 minutes ago, thats why I jumped on, thought it was coming in?

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 05/19/2013 09:57 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
United States
05/19/2013 10:34 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA's latest solar activity discussion blurb-

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare of the period was a
C9 at 19/1750 UTC from a region just behind the northeast limb, likely
old Region 1731 (N09, L=189)
. Slight decay was observed in the leader
and trailing spots of Region 1748 (N12W00, Fao/beta-gamma-delta),
however it appears to continue to maintain its delta in the leader
spots. Region 1750 (S09W67, Dai/beta) is still in a growth phase with
further spot development within its intermediate area.
The rest of the
spotted regions were either stable or in slight decay. No
Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed during the
period.

Geospace Forecast (maybe sunny...maybe raining buckets,LOL)
.
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels
on day 1 (20 May) due to continued activity associated with the 17 May
CME. Conditions are expected to return to quiet to unsettled levels by
day 2 (21 May). On day 3 (22 may) a recurrent CH HSS is expected to
move into geoeffective position causing conditions to increase to quiet
to active levels.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

What did the ACE Satellite press release say? Oh, yeah, NOAA would be able to forecast spaceweather with 100% accuracy, LOL.

New Active Region Visible in NE-
:5/20-newspot:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 140 Issued at 0030Z on 20 May 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 19 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 19/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1744 N06W67 001 0050 Cao 06 03 Beta
1745 N13W40 334 0180 Cao 05 08 Beta
1746 S27W40 334 0140 Dso 06 05 Beta
1747 S17W45 339 0020 Hrx 03 02 Alpha
1748 N12W00 294 0110 Fao 16 23 Beta-Gamma-Delta
1750 S09W67 001 0090 Dai 07 12 Beta


Latest HMI Intensitygram (b&w):
[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
United States
05/19/2013 10:50 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What did the ACE Satellite press release say? Oh, yeah, NOAA would be able to forecast spaceweather with 100% accuracy, LOL.


Exactly, 100% guarantee of 50% inaccuracy with 75% of that being wrong. They squabble and hide info as well as the rest of the govt. machine
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
United States
05/19/2013 11:06 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm out for a while , storms getting rough!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
United States
05/20/2013 01:26 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M Flare !!

5a

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 40056625
Canada
05/20/2013 01:32 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I believe this is it.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
05/20/2013 01:33 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I believe this is it.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 40056625


Damn
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
05/20/2013 01:34 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Dettro


Good catch!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
United States
05/20/2013 01:37 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Dettro


Good catch!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Thanks, I was waiting and waiting for this to go up gaah. It was going up so freaking slow.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
United States
05/20/2013 01:38 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It might not be done though. iwish

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
United States
05/20/2013 01:42 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:newR519:

Its from that new region.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
SnowboardingAlien

User ID: 2230505
United States
05/20/2013 01:53 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
that's a long m-flare
I look up at the sky, and wonder where I am on earth. Then I wonder where I am in the solar system. Then I wonder where I am in the galaxy. Then I wonder where I am in the universe. Then I wonder what universe am I in.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 39790161
Portugal
05/20/2013 01:56 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It might not be done though. iwish

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Dettro


its steping up ! looks...
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
05/20/2013 02:01 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I believe this is it.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 40056625


Damn
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


I concur!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
05/20/2013 02:12 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Man, drap just took a hit

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 39790161
Portugal
05/20/2013 02:21 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Man, drap just took a hit

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


long M

greener efects !!!


afecting that big zone the moust
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
05/20/2013 02:27 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Man, drap just took a hit

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


long M

greener efects !!!


afecting that big zone the moust
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 39790161


Yeah, that was a crazy little M flare, powerful.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 39790161
Portugal
05/20/2013 02:30 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Man, drap just took a hit

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


long M

greener efects !!!


afecting that big zone the moust
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 39790161


Yeah, that was a crazy little M flare, powerful.
 Quoting: Isis One


i think is contrabalancing to jump rise again

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
05/20/2013 02:50 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like old 1731.


[link to www.solarham.net]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
05/20/2013 02:52 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This looks a little bigger than an M1.7. Because it is OFF the limb and not fully into view yet.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Beautiful....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by #Geomagnetic_Storm# on 05/20/2013 02:56 AM
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 39790161
Portugal
05/20/2013 03:18 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
droping down
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
United States
05/20/2013 04:16 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The latest M 1.7 flare.

:M1.7F:

A short movie of the M 1.7 Flare.
[link to helioviewer.org]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
United States
05/20/2013 04:25 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It does look bigger than an M flare!!

#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
05/20/2013 05:04 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It does look bigger than an M flare!!


 Quoting: Dettro


Wow!
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
05/20/2013 05:04 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is this it?

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
Da fuq

User ID: 39784292
United States
05/20/2013 07:20 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Another slow eruption.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 36239887
United States
05/20/2013 08:58 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Amazing Fireball 05/14/13 10:38pm Miami, FL (Video and Photos)

Video -




[link to www.youtube.com]


Frames grabs from the Fireball Video capture on 05/14/13 10:38pm



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 39572291
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 36239887
United States
05/20/2013 09:03 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
video=> [link to www.myfoxboston.com]
climate risk scientist discusses solar activities impact earth

earthquakes and solar flares