Godlike Productions - Conspiracy Forum
Users Online Now: 1,388 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 484,429
Pageviews Today: 680,135Threads Today: 202Posts Today: 3,242
06:03 AM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
United States
05/22/2013 10:28 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
For new baby suntards, this website is a great easy-to-understand guide for Sun-watchers. Just click around and learn lots of cool stuff:

[link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]

CACTus (Computer-Aided CME Tracking software) details of today's CME:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

NASA's Proton forecast page:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Two new Active Regions in the east are now beta-Gamma-

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 143 Issued at 0030Z on 23 May 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 22 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1745 N13W80 333 0100 Cao 01 03 Beta
1746 S28W76 330 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1748 N12W42 296 0060 Dao 09 07 Beta-Gamma
1753 N04E36 217 0020 Cro 03 03 Beta
1754 S19E23 230 0040 Cro 04 03 Beta
1755 N10E52 201 0250 Dsi 10 07 Beta-Gamma
1756 S20E41 212 0230 Dai 09 13 Beta-Gamm
a


Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Good-night All....looking forward to the weekend....
Solar Doom Bunke
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Doomalicious
One fry shy of a Happy Meal

User ID: 1376927
United States
05/22/2013 10:32 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


ohyeah
SMILE...you're not as stupid as they think you are!

"Once a government is committed to the principal of silencing the voice of opposition, it has only one way to go and that is down the path of increasingly repressive measures, until it becomes a source of terror to all its citizens and creates a country where everyone lives in terror" - Harry S Truman

"The single most inspiring source for us is the human struggle." Jared Leto

“Money, without brains, always is dangerous. Properly used, it is the most important essential of civilization.” - Napoleon Hill

“Failures see the hole in the donut, but do not see the donut around the hole.” - Napoleon Hill

“One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results.” ― Milton Friedman

Every man has a right to utter what he thinks is truth, and every other man has a right to knock him down for it. - Samuel Johnson
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:33 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Say something Geo! What's going on?
 Quoting: UntiltheNextLife


No one really knows at the moment. A lot of things going on at once
 Quoting: Da fuq


yes we do
we have talked for the last 3 pages about it
there was a CME off the western limb that was associated with a M5 solar flare that induced a solar particle event
the rise in protons is the result
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you for stating the obvious, it was in regards to the multiple instruments going down during the event.



[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOes is still down, and if you browse the SDO data half the western limb lights up.




I mean correct me if i'm wrong, do normal M class flares and the following CME's knock out GOES and a few others momentarily often?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I thought it was obvious, but you saying that no one really knew what was going on was incorrect.
maybe you replied to the wrong post, but these replies had nothing at all to do with any instruments going down.
they had to do with the proton flux rise
you stating that 'no one really knows' can scare a new reader or a now and then lurker of this thread into thinking that WE DO NOT KNOW wtf is going on, when in fact we do

as I have already posted earlier along with lots of info and links on the subject.. this event was not about any size of any flare. the flare size was not fudged, changed, hidden etc.

everything that is going on is because of the protons that were ejected from the sun with the CME
anything that had to do with the M flare is long over with. the satellite interruptions or any malfunctions of sensors onboard the satellites is/was caused by the solar radiation storm that has occurred

yes, instruments on satellites do go down often when there are larger particle proton events.
this has happened many times in the past when there has been a SEP event and in fact is quite expected when there is a SEP event
especially when there is a quick onset of the SEP event
this is even stated on the NOAA scales



we are in the middle of a S2 solar radiation storm at the moment
almost at the S3 level
here is the scale for S2 that has been posted today

Biological: passengers and crew in high-flying aircraft at high latitudes may be exposed to elevated radiation risk.***

Satellite operations: infrequent single-event upsets possible.

Other systems: small effects on HF propagation through the polar regions and navigation at polar cap locations possibly affected.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 05/22/2013 10:53 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Da fuq

User ID: 39799437
United States
05/22/2013 10:33 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Finally dipped back into B

That was a hell of an event.
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:37 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Electrons just took a dive.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Dettro


I've literally been lurking on this thread for most of the last 8 hrs trying to learn as much as possible. I'm definitely feeling more educated than I was earlier. Much thanks to all of you, especially OP, for providing links and updates and commentary to this event. Being that this has been a nearly shill-free environment, I'd have to say the whole gang knows their shit and I have mad respect for all of you!

I'm still hungry for knowledge so can you tell me what the electrons going down could mean?

Thanks to all once again! Peace!!!
 Quoting: Clovis


hey :) glad to have you here and thank you for the sweet words!

the electrons taking a dive shows that something is coming in from space and arriving at the satellite, just outside of earths atmosphere
usually whatever arrives at the satellite sensors, arriver at earth around 20 min later

we are expecting coronal hole winds, might be from that
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:38 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Sun is pissed. Quick, someone kill a virgin
 Quoting: Dug In


1rof1
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:40 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey, I just got back from 12-hr. shift in the sweatshop. Did I miss anything? LOL!

EARTH NARROWLY DODGES ANOTHER BULLET-This CME would have been a humdinger if it only happened a few days ago. It's always the quiet ones--AR1745 has only recorded one C1 flare in the past 4 days and then Blammo!

AR1745 region at a glance:

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

Here's the Solarsoft close-up movies of the M5 eruption (just click on the image):

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

NOAA Solar Activity Summary for today-

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity increased to high levels. Region 1745 (N13W80, Cao/beta)
produced a long-duration M5/3n flare at 22/1332 UTC (R2, Moderate)
associated with Types II and IV radio sweeps (estimated Type II speed
1237 km/s), and a 370 sfu Tenflare. A fast moving, partial-halo coronal
mass ejection (estimated speed 1488 km/s) was also associated with the
M5 flare with the bulk of the ejecta directed westward, though there
appeared to be a small Earthward component.
Region 1756 (S20E41,
Dai/beta-gamma) produced occasional C-class flares during the period as
it grew at a moderate pace and developed a beta-gamma magnetic
configuration. Region 1755 (N10E52, Dsi/beta-gamma) showed gradual spot
and penumbral growth in its trailer portion and developed a beta-gamma
magnetic configuration.

Solar Wind-

.24 hr Summary...
ACE data indicated possible CH HSS effects. Wind speed was elevated in
the 410 to 500 km/s range. Phi data indicated a Toward (-) solar sector
orientation during most of the period. IMF Bt was variable in the 1 to 7
nT range with a gradual upward trend after approximately 22/1830 UTC.
IMF Bz ranged from +/- 4 nT and was mostly southward after 22/1200 UTC.
Just after 22/2045 UTC, ACE/SWEPAM data became suspect due to likely
proton contamination from the earlier CME.


Geospace-
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels on 23 May, with a slight chance for minor storm levels, due to CH
HSS effects. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled
levels for the first part of 24 May, with a slight chance for active
levels, as CH HSS effects diminish. Activity is expected to return to
unsettled to active levels midday on 24 May through 25 May, with a
slight chance for minor storm levels, due to an expected glancing blow
from todays partial halo CME.


For particulars regarding the S2 proton sorm and more go here:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I think "slight", "minor", and "glancing" are the key words here. Of course we'll be watching because NOAA has been wrong in the past, haha.

Here's a fairly comprehensive list of Solar Proton Events (also called solar energetic particle events-SEPs):

[link to umbra.nascom.nasa.gov]

and one from SOHO's Proton Monitor;
[link to umtof.umd.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


heyy hey about time you showed up for the show! nice humor haha
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11767226
United Kingdom
05/22/2013 10:42 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hows TS treating you? ;)
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:47 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


I've literally been lurking on this thread for most of the last 8 hrs trying to learn as much as possible. I'm definitely feeling more educated than I was earlier. Much thanks to all of you, especially OP, for providing links and updates and commentary to this event. Being that this has been a nearly shill-free environment, I'd have to say the whole gang knows their shit and I have mad respect for all of you!

I'm still hungry for knowledge so can you tell me what the electrons going down could mean?

Thanks to all once again! Peace!!!
 Quoting: Clovis


I've been lurking 8 hours a day for a year and still don't get it. Talk about solar density.

I agree Clovis. Have to just sit back in awe, listen and learn. Good people.
 Quoting: Serendipitous


Remember to always ask questions. I am still learning and I wouldn't understand some things without asking for clarification! Sometimes you think you understand something only to find out you only understood part of it.
Love and Blessings hf
 Quoting: whiteangel


Going forward, I sure will ask questions. I had to establish a knowledge base before I even felt comfortable doing that. Thanks again!
 Quoting: Clovis


we have a q&a section on the blog that is a great starting point for any solar observer
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
after reading the info on the links provided, it is enough to give a good basis for solar knowledge and whats going on
for anything you don't understand, we all in this thread encourage everyone to ask questions
no such thing as a stupid question :)
if were not around it might take a minute to get a answer, but one of us regulars will always pop in and answer what we can
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:49 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


haha I had to laugh at this one
"ok... scanning page for terms.. wtf.. omg... were screwed...
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
ANHEDONIC

User ID: 26795689
United States
05/22/2013 10:50 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


You are a smart cookie!!! hugs I actually do the same.
 Quoting: whiteangel


I think we all have our individual specialties and primary areas of interest in life, and there isn't enough conscious energy nor time in the day to become well versed in everything you'd like to learn about. So that's why it's vital that people openly share their knowledge & findings from their primary fields of interest and this will serve to raise the level of awareness of the collective and all who are willing to listen.

For me, I'm primarily interested in Psychology, Sociology, Spirituality, Consciousness - things of that nature. That being said I'm very curious about space weather and how cosmic & solar events can impact the Earth and more importantly, influence human consciousness.

"You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger"
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:51 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
For new baby suntards, this website is a great easy-to-understand guide for Sun-watchers. Just click around and learn lots of cool stuff:

[link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]

CACTus (Computer-Aided CME Tracking software) details of today's CME:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

NASA's Proton forecast page:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Two new Active Regions in the east are now beta-Gamma-

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 143 Issued at 0030Z on 23 May 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 22 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1745 N13W80 333 0100 Cao 01 03 Beta
1746 S28W76 330 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1748 N12W42 296 0060 Dao 09 07 Beta-Gamma
1753 N04E36 217 0020 Cro 03 03 Beta
1754 S19E23 230 0040 Cro 04 03 Beta
1755 N10E52 201 0250 Dsi 10 07 Beta-Gamma
1756 S20E41 212 0230 Dai 09 13 Beta-Gamm
a


Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Good-night All....looking forward to the weekend....
Solar Doom Bunke
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Event probabilities 23 May-25 May
Class M 50/50/50
Class X 20/20/20
Proton 99/99/70

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 05/22/2013 10:51 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 10:57 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
can someone help me out
where is SC?
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
silvervega
if I only knew

User ID: 14673627
United States
05/22/2013 10:58 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


^^^This^^^ and Thank youbump
On the other hand, I have different fingers.
Clovis

User ID: 39265894
United States
05/22/2013 10:58 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Electrons just took a dive.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Dettro


I've literally been lurking on this thread for most of the last 8 hrs trying to learn as much as possible. I'm definitely feeling more educated than I was earlier. Much thanks to all of you, especially OP, for providing links and updates and commentary to this event. Being that this has been a nearly shill-free environment, I'd have to say the whole gang knows their shit and I have mad respect for all of you!

I'm still hungry for knowledge so can you tell me what the electrons going down could mean?

Thanks to all once again! Peace!!!
 Quoting: Clovis


hey :) glad to have you here and thank you for the sweet words!

the electrons taking a dive shows that something is coming in from space and arriving at the satellite, just outside of earths atmosphere
usually whatever arrives at the satellite sensors, arriver at earth around 20 min later

we are expecting coronal hole winds, might be from that
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Thanks much! Good to be here!

In response to your previous post..... Never fear, I'm a new lurker on this thread and I could tell you know exactly what "da fuq" you're talking about. I'm here for good now.
pEacE, cLovIs
shadasonic

User ID: 34416224
United States
05/22/2013 11:00 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
can someone help me out
where is SC?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


He's taking a break from time to time. He stopped in a couple days ago. He's around but I believe has alot going on for the time being. I miss his rhetoric and views
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
ANHEDONIC

User ID: 26795689
United States
05/22/2013 11:00 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


haha I had to laugh at this one
"ok... scanning page for terms.. wtf.. omg... were screwed...
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Well if you check the WISE GOES SOHO feed on the East limb you've got some elevated proton flux prominences forming coupled with a reverse polarity bz configuration and elevated delta beta gamma regions showing up on the x-ray choronograph.


tantrum

Last Edited by ANHEDONIC on 05/22/2013 11:08 PM

"You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger"
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 37624322
United States
05/22/2013 11:01 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
can someone help me out
where is SC?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


He now gets Spanked for being on too much,by his gf(I think that't what he was trying to say). Also he said someone was trying to impersonate him here on GLP.
Serendipitous

User ID: 31046250
United States
05/22/2013 11:07 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


haha I had to laugh at this one
"ok... scanning page for terms.. wtf.. omg... were screwed...
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Well if you check the WISE GOES SOHO feed on the East limb you've got some elevated proton flux prominences forming coupled with a reverse flux polarity bz configuration and elevated delta beta gamma regions showing up on the x-ray choronograph.


tantrum
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Show off. tounge

hf
"May your electricity go out a second before the shit hits the fan." -Conspiracy Theorist's Blessing

”Your work is not to drag the world kicking and screaming into a new awareness. Your job is to simply do your work… Sacredly, Secretly, and Silently … and those with ‘eyes to see and ears to hear’, will respond.”
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 11:09 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Issue Time: 2013 May 23 0258 UTC

ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2013 May 23 0240 UTC
Station: GOES-15
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE data is likely corrupt because they did not close off the sensors when todays SEP event began

the protons hit the sensors, and makes the sensors give incorrect readings
sad, but ACE is very old and years beyond what it was expected to stay working for us
any data we get from ACE is by luck
but when these proton events hit the wide open sensors it really messes them up
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 11:10 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
can someone help me out
where is SC?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


He's taking a break from time to time. He stopped in a couple days ago. He's around but I believe has alot going on for the time being. I miss his rhetoric and views
 Quoting: shadasonic


ahhh ok thanks for letting me know shada :)
its summer and a lot of us are not around as much during this time of year, so I was thinking it might have had something to do with that
always best to ask ^^
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 11:11 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


haha I had to laugh at this one
"ok... scanning page for terms.. wtf.. omg... were screwed...
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Well if you check the WISE GOES SOHO feed on the East limb you've got some elevated proton flux prominences forming coupled with a reverse polarity bz configuration and elevated delta beta gamma regions showing up on the x-ray choronograph.


tantrum
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


yuppers
lots of potential for many more events
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
curi0sis*SolSis

User ID: 40313720
Canada
05/22/2013 11:12 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


No one really knows at the moment. A lot of things going on at once
 Quoting: Da fuq


yes we do
we have talked for the last 3 pages about it
there was a CME off the western limb that was associated with a M5 solar flare that induced a solar particle event
the rise in protons is the result
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you for stating the obvious, it was in regards to the multiple instruments going down during the event.



[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOes is still down, and if you browse the SDO data half the western limb lights up.




I mean correct me if i'm wrong, do normal M class flares and the following CME's knock out GOES and a few others momentarily often?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I thought it was obvious, but you saying that no one really knew what was going on was incorrect.
maybe you replied to the wrong post, but these replies had nothing at all to do with any instruments going down.
they had to do with the proton flux rise
you stating that 'no one really knows' can scare a new reader or a now and then lurker of this thread into thinking that WE DO NO KNOW wtf is going on, when in fact we do

as I have already posted earlier along with lots of info and links on the subject.. this event was not about any size of any flare. the flare size was not fudged, changed, hidden etc.

everything that is going on is because of the protons that were ejected from the sun with the CME
anything that had to do with the M flare is long over with. the satellite interruptions or any malfunctions of sensors onboard the satellites is/was caused by the solar radiation storm that has occurred

yes, instruments on satellites do go down often when there are larger particle proton events.
this has happened many times in the past when there has been a SEP event and in fact is quite expected when there is a SEP event
especially when there is a quick onset of the SEP event
this is even stated on the NOAA scales




we are in the middle of a S2 solar radiation storm at the moment
almost at the S3 level
here is the scale for S2 that has been posted today

Biological: passengers and crew in high-flying aircraft at high latitudes may be exposed to elevated radiation risk.***

Satellite operations: infrequent single-event upsets possible.

Other systems: small effects on HF propagation through the polar regions and navigation at polar cap locations possibly affected.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


.


In blue, above-
hf Thank you mucho Ninz hi for all this precision and clarity, I have learned a whole bunch today by following the awesome solar events we've had our eyes on, while following closely the updates and infos here in your 'room'. Your input really rocks massively!! Go Ninz go!
hf
hf

..and in blue, below-


For new baby suntards, this website is a great easy-to-understand guide for Sun-watchers. Just click around and learn lots of cool stuff:

[link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]

CACTus (Computer-Aided CME Tracking software) details of today's CME:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

NASA's Proton forecast page:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Two new Active Regions in the east are now beta-Gamma-

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 143 Issued at 0030Z on 23 May 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 22 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1745 N13W80 333 0100 Cao 01 03 Beta
1746 S28W76 330 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1748 N12W42 296 0060 Dao 09 07 Beta-Gamma
1753 N04E36 217 0020 Cro 03 03 Beta
1754 S19E23 230 0040 Cro 04 03 Beta
1755 N10E52 201 0250 Dsi 10 07 Beta-Gamma
1756 S20E41 212 0230 Dai 09 13 Beta-Gamm
a


Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Good-night All....looking forward to the weekend....

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



Big bad fat gratitude Hugh hi for your baby'sunTardbound intel hf sun

This crew is diversified, but oh how very much akin to a family. Thanks for nurturing the newbies with the tools to learn more.

Kudos to youz all! hi

thumbs


.
"But the plans were on display . . ."
"On display? I eventually had to go down to the cellar to find them."
"That's the display department."
"With a torch."
"Ah, well the lights had probably gone."
"So had the stairs."
"But look, you found the notice, didn't you?"
"Yes," said Arthur, "yes I did. It was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying Beware of the Leopard."
-Chapter One, H2G2
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 11:12 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
can someone help me out
where is SC?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


He now gets Spanked for being on too much,by his gf(I think that't what he was trying to say). Also he said someone was trying to impersonate him here on GLP.
 Quoting: Dettro


wow :/
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
AC 5341

User ID: 34782901
United States
05/22/2013 11:19 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Me too !

Thanks guys, from another lurker.
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 11:22 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Issue Time: 2013 May 23 0258 UTC

ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2013 May 23 0240 UTC
Station: GOES-15
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE data is likely corrupt because they did not close off the sensors when todays SEP event began

the protons hit the sensors, and makes the sensors give incorrect readings
sad, but ACE is very old and years beyond what it was expected to stay working for us
any data we get from ACE is by luck
but when these proton events hit the wide open sensors it really messes them up
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


that being said
if the proton and electron sensors were not corrupted, and they do not appear to be, we have a rise in high energy protons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
a rise in low energy protons (they show if a CME is on its way to earth)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
and a rise in low energy electrons
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


we are currently just below the S3 solar radiation storm threshold
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
the S3 level should be breached sometime in the coming hours

here is the NOAA scale info for a S3 solar radiation Storm

S 3 - Strong

Biological: unavoidable radiation hazard to astronauts on EVA; passengers and crew in high-flying aircraft at high latitudes may be exposed to radiation risk.***

Satellite operations: may experience memory device problems and noise on imaging systems; star-tracker problems may cause orientation problems, and solar panel efficiency can be degraded.

Other systems: blackout of HF radio communications through the polar regions and increased navigation errors over several days are likely.

Number of storm days of this level per solar cycle:
10
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
littlemiracles

User ID: 32798472
United States
05/22/2013 11:23 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Me too !

Thanks guys, from another lurker.
 Quoting: AC 5341


Me three!
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 28232082
United States
05/22/2013 11:25 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


yes we do
we have talked for the last 3 pages about it
there was a CME off the western limb that was associated with a M5 solar flare that induced a solar particle event
the rise in protons is the result
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you for stating the obvious, it was in regards to the multiple instruments going down during the event.



[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOes is still down, and if you browse the SDO data half the western limb lights up.




I mean correct me if i'm wrong, do normal M class flares and the following CME's knock out GOES and a few others momentarily often?
 Quoting: Da fuq


I thought it was obvious, but you saying that no one really knew what was going on was incorrect.
maybe you replied to the wrong post, but these replies had nothing at all to do with any instruments going down.
they had to do with the proton flux rise
you stating that 'no one really knows' can scare a new reader or a now and then lurker of this thread into thinking that WE DO NO KNOW wtf is going on, when in fact we do

as I have already posted earlier along with lots of info and links on the subject.. this event was not about any size of any flare. the flare size was not fudged, changed, hidden etc.

everything that is going on is because of the protons that were ejected from the sun with the CME
anything that had to do with the M flare is long over with. the satellite interruptions or any malfunctions of sensors onboard the satellites is/was caused by the solar radiation storm that has occurred

yes, instruments on satellites do go down often when there are larger particle proton events.
this has happened many times in the past when there has been a SEP event and in fact is quite expected when there is a SEP event
especially when there is a quick onset of the SEP event
this is even stated on the NOAA scales




we are in the middle of a S2 solar radiation storm at the moment
almost at the S3 level
here is the scale for S2 that has been posted today

Biological: passengers and crew in high-flying aircraft at high latitudes may be exposed to elevated radiation risk.***

Satellite operations: infrequent single-event upsets possible.

Other systems: small effects on HF propagation through the polar regions and navigation at polar cap locations possibly affected.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


.


In blue, above-
hf Thank you mucho Ninz hi for all this precision and clarity, I have learned a whole bunch today by following the awesome solar events we've had our eyes on, while following closely the updates and infos here in your 'room'. Your input really rocks massively!! Go Ninz go!
hf
hf

..and in blue, below-


For new baby suntards, this website is a great easy-to-understand guide for Sun-watchers. Just click around and learn lots of cool stuff:

[link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]

CACTus (Computer-Aided CME Tracking software) details of today's CME:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

NASA's Proton forecast page:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Two new Active Regions in the east are now beta-Gamma-

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 143 Issued at 0030Z on 23 May 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 22 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1745 N13W80 333 0100 Cao 01 03 Beta
1746 S28W76 330 0080 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1748 N12W42 296 0060 Dao 09 07 Beta-Gamma
1753 N04E36 217 0020 Cro 03 03 Beta
1754 S19E23 230 0040 Cro 04 03 Beta
1755 N10E52 201 0250 Dsi 10 07 Beta-Gamma
1756 S20E41 212 0230 Dai 09 13 Beta-Gamm
a


Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Good-night All....looking forward to the weekend....

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



Big bad fat gratitude Hugh hi for your baby'sunTardbound intel hf sun

This crew is diversified, but oh how very much akin to a family. Thanks for nurturing the newbies with the tools to learn more.

Kudos to youz all! hi

thumbs


.
 Quoting: curi0sis*SolSis


were all here to learn together :)
hf
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
curi0sis*SolSis

User ID: 40313720
Canada
05/22/2013 11:26 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
can someone help me out
where is SC?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


He now gets Spanked for being on too much,by his gf(I think that't what he was trying to say). Also he said someone was trying to impersonate him here on GLP.
 Quoting: Dettro


wow :/
 Quoting: NiNzrez


hi Ninz, Dettro,

About the "someone trying to impersonate me" post (SCizme posted that, many days ago), I'm pretty sure there was no impersonation, and Ninz(OP) could possibly verify this.

Hint: there was a reference to major thom in the so-called impersonated post by an AC. This, to me, WAS indeed SC (as I know what major thom refers to for SC), who had forgotten to log in. He was pulling your leg, guys : )

sun
"But the plans were on display . . ."
"On display? I eventually had to go down to the cellar to find them."
"That's the display department."
"With a torch."
"Ah, well the lights had probably gone."
"So had the stairs."
"But look, you found the notice, didn't you?"
"Yes," said Arthur, "yes I did. It was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying Beware of the Leopard."
-Chapter One, H2G2
joinca

User ID: 23928361
United States
05/22/2013 11:27 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ecuador warns satellite could hit rocket remains - May 22, 2013
An Ecuadoran satellite launched last month could collide with the remains of a Russian rocket in the coming hours, the country's civilian space agency warned Wednesday.
The "Pegaso" (Pegasus) nanosatellite, designed and built in Ecuador, set off aboard an unmanned rocket April 25 from the Jiuquand station in northern China. It is the country's first.
The full article is here: [link to www.spacemart.com]
hiding
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson