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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 14441821
Australia
05/23/2013 03:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Absorption is up there.........
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to img545.imageshack.us]
hiding
 Quoting: joinca


This is the highest i have Personally ever seen it go in the past year or 2 i have been lurking here. Bloody awesome!
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Auroras????

hf
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
05/23/2013 03:35 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Absorption is up there.........
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to img545.imageshack.us]
hiding
 Quoting: joinca


This is the highest i have Personally ever seen it go in the past year or 2 i have been lurking here. Bloody awesome!
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Auroras????

hf
 Quoting: AwakeInTassie


A glancing blow so possibly at the higher latitudes depending on the impact. But do check back here soon for an update on that.
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
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05/23/2013 06:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Radiation ...Proton Storm reaches S3 level as NINz forecasted-

Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX3
Serial Number: 26
Issue Time: 2013 May 23 0348 UTC

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2013 May 23 0330 UTC
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong
Potential Impacts: Radiation - Passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights may experience increasing radiation exposures. Astronauts on EVA (extra-vehicular activity) are exposed to elevated radiation levels.
Spacecraft - Single-event upsets to satellite operations, noise in imaging systems, and slight reduction of efficiency in solar panels are likely.
Radio - Degraded or episodically blacked-out polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation.


Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 396
Issue Time: 2013 May 23 0543 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 395
Valid From: 2013 May 22 1355 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2013 May 23 1900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Proton Flux plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AR1756 Growing-
:5/23-1756:

Yesterday's CME-
5/22-fastCME
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28363420
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05/23/2013 06:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Say something Geo! What's going on?
 Quoting: UntiltheNextLife


No one really knows at the moment. A lot of things going on at once
 Quoting: Da fuq


yes we do
we have talked for the last 3 pages about it
there was a CME off the western limb that was associated with a M5 solar flare that induced a solar particle event
the rise in protons is the result
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you for stating the obvious, it was in regards to the multiple instruments going down during the event.



[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOes is still down, and if you browse the SDO data half the western limb lights up.




I mean correct me if i'm wrong, do normal M class flares and the following CME's knock out GOES and a few others momentarily often?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Yes it can ... you haven't logged in the hours to be fresh my dear, listen and learn.
shadasonic

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05/23/2013 06:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Absorption is up there.........
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to img545.imageshack.us]
hiding
 Quoting: joinca


This is the highest i have Personally ever seen it go in the past year or 2 i have been lurking here. Bloody awesome!
 Quoting: SnakeBite


It just went past the 17 Mhz line, so its the most I've seen for sure, wow!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28363420
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05/23/2013 06:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
For those of you who may not have the solar storm scale link
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Solar Radiation Storm 3

Biological: radiation hazard avoidance recommended for astronauts on EVA; passengers and crew in high-flying aircraft at high latitudes may be exposed to radiation risk.***

Satellite operations: single-event upsets, noise in imaging systems, and slight reduction of efficiency in solar panel are likely.

Other systems: degraded HF radio propagation through the polar regions and navigation position errors likely.


Just thought I'd stop in and see how you are all doing ... and as suspected, your just fine. hf
shenue

User ID: 37182755
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05/23/2013 07:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone!

:HaveCoffeeBlack:
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

User ID: 37182755
United States
05/23/2013 08:13 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


haha I had to laugh at this one
"ok... scanning page for terms.. wtf.. omg... were screwed...
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Well if you check the WISE GOES SOHO feed on the East limb you've got some elevated proton flux prominences forming coupled with a reverse polarity bz configuration and elevated delta beta gamma regions showing up on the x-ray choronograph.


tantrum
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


OMG I swear I just almost shot coffee out of my nose. LOL
We are truly kindred spirits! I'll read something like that, then read it again, very carefully trying to decipher each line, look at the links, read the post again, but eventually my brain starts glazing over, my eyes get a blank stare and I realize I will never 'get' all of this stuff. So, I too look at the reactions to determine whether to bring in the tomato plants, stuff the Faraday and put on my tin foil hat. If everyone seems calm, then I figure we're good for another day.

TurtleHiding
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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05/23/2013 08:16 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone!

:HaveCoffeeBlack:
 Quoting: shenue


Your smilies are so good in the mornings! Brings a smile to my grumpy just woke up mood!!
hugs
newyear2015
shenue

User ID: 37182755
United States
05/23/2013 08:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone!

:HaveCoffeeBlack:
 Quoting: shenue


Your smilies are so good in the mornings! Brings a smile to my grumpy just woke up mood!!
hugs
 Quoting: whiteangel


LOL Thanks wa. tiny big-hug smi
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
ANHEDONIC

User ID: 26795689
United States
05/23/2013 09:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've just accepted that this solar business is not my specialty and never will be.... So I lurk and try and decipher the foreign terminology that you folks communicate with and then I just gauge emotional reactions of your posts to ascertain the severity of the events. : )

xmit
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


haha I had to laugh at this one
"ok... scanning page for terms.. wtf.. omg... were screwed...
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Well if you check the WISE GOES SOHO feed on the East limb you've got some elevated proton flux prominences forming coupled with a reverse polarity bz configuration and elevated delta beta gamma regions showing up on the x-ray choronograph.


tantrum
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


OMG I swear I just almost shot coffee out of my nose. LOL
We are truly kindred spirits! I'll read something like that, then read it again, very carefully trying to decipher each line, look at the links, read the post again, but eventually my brain starts glazing over, my eyes get a blank stare and I realize I will never 'get' all of this stuff. So, I too look at the reactions to determine whether to bring in the tomato plants, stuff the Faraday and put on my tin foil hat. If everyone seems calm, then I figure we're good for another day.

 Quoting: shenue


goofy thum

hf

"You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger"
miabelieves

User ID: 1458422
United States
05/23/2013 09:40 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Absorption is up there.........
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to img545.imageshack.us]
hiding
 Quoting: joinca


This is the highest i have Personally ever seen it go in the past year or 2 i have been lurking here. Bloody awesome!
 Quoting: SnakeBite


It just went past the 17 Mhz line, so its the most I've seen for sure, wow!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Holey Cow, I have lurked a long time and I don't think I have ever saw it that intense.
Supporter of NIN's Solar Watch Thread
Citratox

User ID: 11375999
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05/23/2013 10:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Absorption is up there.........
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to img545.imageshack.us]
hiding
 Quoting: joinca


This is the highest i have Personally ever seen it go in the past year or 2 i have been lurking here. Bloody awesome!
 Quoting: SnakeBite


It just went past the 17 Mhz line, so its the most I've seen for sure, wow!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Holey Cow, I have lurked a long time and I don't think I have ever saw it that intense.
 Quoting: miabelieves


Yea same here, so my question is this..
If the maximum absorption stays above 10-15 mhz untill the cme arrives, would a base like that shoot it up into the 20's?!?!
That would equal some quake power then right?
joinca

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05/23/2013 10:33 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is the SO video for today:
4MIN News May 23, 2013: Galaxy-Collision Sim, Strong Radiation Storm (S3)
[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Luisport

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05/23/2013 10:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here you go... popcorn
Luisport

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05/23/2013 10:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here you go... popcorn
 Quoting: Luisport


Top C3.9... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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05/23/2013 10:59 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com]

don't know if this was posted yet....from last week


[link to www.youtube.com]






[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by psyoptics on 05/23/2013 11:01 AM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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05/23/2013 11:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here you go... popcorn
 Quoting: Luisport


Top C3.9... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


Looks like it was from 1756
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
newyear2015
Luisport

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05/23/2013 11:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here you go... popcorn
 Quoting: Luisport


Top C3.9... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


Looks like it was from 1756
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: whiteangel


it was a nice jump...
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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05/23/2013 11:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here you go... popcorn
 Quoting: Luisport


Top C3.9... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


Looks like it was from 1756
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: whiteangel


it was a nice jump...
 Quoting: Luisport


Out of no where. It is mostly earth facing. Not sure on a CME though
newyear2015
Luisport

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05/23/2013 11:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i think we can await for more...
joinca

User ID: 23928361
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05/23/2013 11:12 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...

Top C3.9... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport

Looks like it was from 1756
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: whiteangel

it was a nice jump...
 Quoting: Luisport

Out of no where. It is mostly earth facing. Not sure on a CME though
 Quoting: whiteangel

Here is the Earths position:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
whiteangel

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05/23/2013 11:14 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Top C3.9... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


Looks like it was from 1756
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: whiteangel


it was a nice jump...
 Quoting: Luisport


Out of no where. It is mostly earth facing. Not sure on a CME though
 Quoting: whiteangel


:eve 05232013:
newyear2015
joinca

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05/23/2013 11:24 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
At 1000 UTC today, GOES-14 imagery started flowing to AWIPS as the GOES-East satellite. Work continues on evaluating the status of GOES-13. GOES-14 remains at 105.5 West, and GVAR data are being broadcast directly from GOES-14. Updates on GOES-13 — and all satellites — can be found [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
The full article is here: [link to cimss.ssec.wisc.edu]
rockon
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
optimum judgment

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05/23/2013 11:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Question..Whats the farthest a cme has been tracked out into space ?
Luisport

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05/23/2013 11:34 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
UP UP AGAIN...
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
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05/23/2013 11:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
At 1000 UTC today, GOES-14 imagery started flowing to AWIPS as the GOES-East satellite. Work continues on evaluating the status of GOES-13. GOES-14 remains at 105.5 West, and GVAR data are being broadcast directly from GOES-14. Updates on GOES-13 — and all satellites — can be found [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
The full article is here: [link to cimss.ssec.wisc.edu]
rockon
 Quoting: joinca

time to send some love and good vibes out to our birds...GOES!!!!!

they are all we got and not much hope of getting new or .....send a repair tech to fix them!

heck lets send it out to all those hard working satellites up there long past their schedule project dates.....which is where most of our data is coming from!!!!!
blwkss

Last Edited by psyoptics on 05/23/2013 11:37 AM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Luisport

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05/23/2013 11:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
UP UP AGAIN...
 Quoting: Luisport


C2.6...
whiteangel

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05/23/2013 11:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
UP UP AGAIN...
 Quoting: Luisport


C2.6...
 Quoting: Luisport


Just keeps trying
newyear2015
Luisport

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05/23/2013 11:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
UP UP AGAIN...
 Quoting: Luisport


C2.6...
 Quoting: Luisport


Just keeps trying
 Quoting: whiteangel


tounge

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