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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 11:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant precursor signal seen at 1530utc/1130est. Possible 5+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in South East of France from somewhere out in the Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Chile to Caribbean Islands.


This is yet another precursor signal. 3rd so far in 1 and a half hour
cableguy30

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08/05/2011 11:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant precursor signal seen at 1530utc/1130est. Possible 5+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in South East of France from somewhere out in the Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Chile to Caribbean Islands.


This is yet another precursor signal. 3rd so far in 1 and a half hour
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Dont you issue the same warning every day?
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 11:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant precursor signal seen at 1530utc/1130est. Possible 5+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in South East of France from somewhere out in the Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Chile to Caribbean Islands.


This is yet another precursor signal. 3rd so far in 1 and a half hour
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Dont you issue the same warning every day?
 Quoting: cableguy30


You mean same time or same coordinates?
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 11:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm confused. The guy in the NOAA video said it would hit us at midnight last night. I was checking the "Real-time Magnetosphere Simulation" the whole time, and sure enough, around midnight, it started going crazy, which leads me to believe that it already hit us like 10 hours ago. DOOM off?
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 12:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm confused. The guy in the NOAA video said it would hit us at midnight last night. I was checking the "Real-time Magnetosphere Simulation" the whole time, and sure enough, around midnight, it started going crazy, which leads me to believe that it already hit us like 10 hours ago. DOOM off?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998


If you listen closely to the video he mentions 2 waves, one passed the 2nd for today sometime.
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm confused. The guy in the NOAA video said it would hit us at midnight last night. I was checking the "Real-time Magnetosphere Simulation" the whole time, and sure enough, around midnight, it started going crazy, which leads me to believe that it already hit us like 10 hours ago. DOOM off?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998


If you listen closely to the video he mentions 2 waves, one passed the 2nd for today sometime.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


So was the one last night the big hit, and the one yet to come is smaller, or is it vise versa?
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 12:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm confused. The guy in the NOAA video said it would hit us at midnight last night. I was checking the "Real-time Magnetosphere Simulation" the whole time, and sure enough, around midnight, it started going crazy, which leads me to believe that it already hit us like 10 hours ago. DOOM off?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998


If you listen closely to the video he mentions 2 waves, one passed the 2nd for today sometime.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


So was the one last night the big hit, and the one yet to come is smaller, or is it vise versa?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998


Vice verse.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 12:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Event Issue Date: 2011-08-04 06:44:43.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2011-08-05 13:55:10.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 5 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.3 Re
Fri, 05 Aug 2011 13:55:10 GMT



Isn't 1355GMT the same as 1200noon EST?

Last Edited by El Quisqueyano on 08/05/2011 12:14 PM
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 12:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Event Issue Date: 2011-08-04 06:44:43.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2011-08-05 13:55:10.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 5 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.3 Re
Fri, 05 Aug 2011 13:55:10 GMT



Isn't 1355GMT the same as 1200noon EST?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


If so, then I heard it at the exact point of impact to Earth.

Last Edited by El Quisqueyano on 08/05/2011 12:15 PM
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Event Issue Date: 2011-08-04 06:44:43.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2011-08-05 13:55:10.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 5 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.3 Re
Fri, 05 Aug 2011 13:55:10 GMT



Isn't 1355GMT the same as 1200noon EST?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


If so, then I heard it at the exact point of impact to Earth.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


The margin of error is plus or minus 6 hours. 1200noon EST was 20 minutes ago. The magnetosphere isn't showing any indication that it hit. I'm guessing it hasn't hit yet.
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Event Issue Date: 2011-08-04 06:44:43.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2011-08-05 13:55:10.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 5 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.3 Re
Fri, 05 Aug 2011 13:55:10 GMT



Isn't 1355GMT the same as 1200noon EST?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


If so, then I heard it at the exact point of impact to Earth.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


The margin of error is plus or minus 6 hours. 1200noon EST was 20 minutes ago. The magnetosphere isn't showing any indication that it hit. I'm guessing it hasn't hit yet.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998



I thought GMT - 5 = CST? So GMT - 4 = EST?? I may be mistaking it for something else. If I am, I apologize.

I think it just isn't being picked up by the various monitors online, etc. But I'm pretty sure it either has just gotten here, or will shortly!
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Isn't 1355GMT the same as 1200noon EST?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Actually it was 9:55 am EDT since we are on daylight savings time. EDT is -0400 from GMT, EST is -0500.
Veresanctus

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08/05/2011 12:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Event Issue Date: 2011-08-04 06:44:43.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2011-08-05 13:55:10.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 5 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.3 Re
Fri, 05 Aug 2011 13:55:10 GMT



Isn't 1355GMT the same as 1200noon EST?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


If so, then I heard it at the exact point of impact to Earth.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


The margin of error is plus or minus 6 hours. 1200noon EST was 20 minutes ago. The magnetosphere isn't showing any indication that it hit. I'm guessing it hasn't hit yet.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998



I thought GMT - 5 = CST? So GMT - 4 = EST?? I may be mistaking it for something else. If I am, I apologize.

I think it just isn't being picked up by the various monitors online, etc. But I'm pretty sure it either has just gotten here, or will shortly!
 Quoting: fantabulistic


GMT -6 = CST
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

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If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The World Clock – Time Zone Converter

[link to www.timeanddate.com]

ENJOY!
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


If so, then I heard it at the exact point of impact to Earth.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


The margin of error is plus or minus 6 hours. 1200noon EST was 20 minutes ago. The magnetosphere isn't showing any indication that it hit. I'm guessing it hasn't hit yet.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998



I thought GMT - 5 = CST? So GMT - 4 = EST?? I may be mistaking it for something else. If I am, I apologize.

I think it just isn't being picked up by the various monitors online, etc. But I'm pretty sure it either has just gotten here, or will shortly!
 Quoting: fantabulistic


GMT -6 = CST
 Quoting: Veresanctus


Thanks!! I just learned it last night, and I forgot. Appreciate the help!! hugs
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok, Question:


NASA just launched Juno.

[link to www.space.com]

So here's what I am having a hard time understanding. Wouldn't launching any craft into space, be it manned or unmanned, be an epic fail right now? I mean, with the incoming CME's, wouldn't it be wiser to wait until they have passed?
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So what's the exact time range for arrival? If it's plus or minus 6 hours, that gives us a total time range of 12 hours. My question is, what is the beginning and ending times for that range?
cableguy30

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08/05/2011 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Not saying it won't hit but their times are way off or It's weaker than previously thought . Been watching Magnetic field all day and Nothing! Very shocked as I would have thought it would have impacted the eastcoast
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well, I think I'm going to try and steal a few mins of sleep. Waking up at 3 am (why.. I have no idea..) messed me up. Back later. God speed to all.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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08/05/2011 12:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Patience weedhoppers....
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
According to this, the K index went up somewhat... a sign??


[link to solar-flares.info]
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]


Looks to be heating up a tad....
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 12:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
13:55 GMT is 7:55 AM MST, or 9:55 AM EST.

That means the expected arrive time, given the plus or minus 6 margin, is:

BETWEEN 1:55 AM MST and 1:55 PM MST

or

BETWEEN 3:55 AM EST and 3:55 PM EST


I'm guessing nothings going to happen. Magnetosphere indicates nothing spectacular. We're almost at the end of the 12 hour range.
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 12:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Are you guys seeing all the precursor signals I am getting and the quakes that have come in from those precursor signals. This is amazing!
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 01:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think its arriving now:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Snurbs

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08/05/2011 01:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Are you guys seeing all the precursor signals I am getting and the quakes that have come in from those precursor signals. This is amazing!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Yeah, your a cool dude man. I appreciate your threads..

The link in your signature is cool to man. Probably order a few shirts.

Thanks.
El Quisqueyano

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08/05/2011 01:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Are you guys seeing all the precursor signals I am getting and the quakes that have come in from those precursor signals. This is amazing!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Yeah, your a cool dude man. I appreciate your threads..

The link in your signature is cool to man. Probably order a few shirts.

Thanks.
 Quoting: Snurbs


Hey Thanks. They are my creation. CRONICOTEES for the Chronic seekers.


CHOOSE A FLAVOR...;-)

Last Edited by El Quisqueyano on 08/05/2011 01:35 PM
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 01:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Are you guys seeing all the precursor signals I am getting and the quakes that have come in from those precursor signals. This is amazing!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Yeah, your a cool dude man. I appreciate your threads..

The link in your signature is cool to man. Probably order a few shirts.

Thanks.
 Quoting: Snurbs


Hey Thanks. They are my creation. CRONICOTEES for the Chronic seekers.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


And just teasers for us probationees :) Good stuff
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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08/05/2011 01:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Finally...it`s here...

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 01:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IT HAS ARRIVED !

News








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