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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
tomasgod1

User ID: 1494107
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08/05/2011 03:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No K indicies anywhere....Bastards!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


I guess we will have to pull them in seperatly.

Here is Boulder's.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1040252
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08/05/2011 03:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
did we lose one?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
fairflight

User ID: 1071336
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08/05/2011 03:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
did we lose one?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: ~Jay~



I have been asking too!
Not getting an answer...maybe no one really knows :)
"Man was also in the beginning with God. Intelligence, or the light of truth, was not created or made, neither indeed can be. ALL truth is independent in that sphere in which God has placed it, to act for itself."
tomasgod1

User ID: 1494107
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08/05/2011 03:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
did we lose one?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: ~Jay~



I have been asking too!
Not getting an answer...maybe no one really knows :)
 Quoting: fairflight


May have been shut down to protect it.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
did we lose one?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: ~Jay~


sharp drop on the electron flux as well
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Madigan

User ID: 1431203
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08/05/2011 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now we are cookin with gas!

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

From the looks of this we are having far down mid lattitude Auroras. POES needs to update, and the Kp index not updating either.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Holy shit!

I'm not even a suntard....but that is something else!
 Quoting: Madigan


hi Madigan !

come on in and have a seat!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Thanks....lol. Although not an "official" suntard, I do check in here quite
often to see what's going on. All of your combined work does not go
unnoticed or unappreciated. I learn a lot from you guys!
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
did we lose one?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: ~Jay~



I have been asking too!
Not getting an answer...maybe no one really knows :)
 Quoting: fairflight


May have been shut down to protect it.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


thats what i'm thinking as well
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
hillcrest3

User ID: 1478541
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08/05/2011 03:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
sun geez... it looks like some kind of white dove just flying through space...


hmm in a way, I guess that's what we really are.. :) :rose:
Water always wins.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1492729
Canada
08/05/2011 03:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind approaching 700 km/s at times.
Bz tilting Sharply South at times.. near -20 at one point.
Ground based magnetometers in Kiruna, Sweden showing sharp deviations.

www.solarham.com


Kevin
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we currently have a
G1 Geomagnetic Storm
and a
S1 Solar Radiation Storm
Kp5

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 661
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1922 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2011 Aug 05 1922 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC
Station: Boulder
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor


-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 711
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1906 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2011 Aug 05 1905 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Aug 06 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
SolarHam

User ID: 1492729
Canada
08/05/2011 03:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind approaching 700 km/s at times.
Bz tilting Sharply South at times.. near -20 at one point.
Ground based magnetometers in Kiruna, Sweden showing sharp deviations.

www.solarham.com


Kevin
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1031150
United States
08/05/2011 03:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is "LOOK`n".......wow this is intense,,,,
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1494578
Germany
08/05/2011 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we currently have a
G1 Geomagnetic Storm
and a
S1 Solar Radiation Storm
Kp5

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 661
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1922 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2011 Aug 05 1922 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC
Station: Boulder
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor


-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 711
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1906 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2011 Aug 05 1905 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Aug 06 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
 Quoting: NiNzrez


"The impact on Earth is likely to be major. The estimated maximum geomagnetic activity index level Kp is 7 (Kp ranges from 0 - 9). The flanks of the CME may also impact STEREO A, Mars and Mercury/MESSENGER."

where is the promised G3 Storm?
Avalon70

User ID: 1425612
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08/05/2011 03:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BZ just plummetted
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1420010
United States
08/05/2011 03:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we currently have a
G1 Geomagnetic Storm
and a
S1 Solar Radiation Storm
Kp5

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 661
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1922 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2011 Aug 05 1922 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC
Station: Boulder
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor


-------------------------------------------------------------​-------------------

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 711
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1906 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2011 Aug 05 1905 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Aug 06 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
 Quoting: NiNzrez



I think they may have a different definition of "minor" than I do.
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind approaching 700 km/s at times.
Bz tilting Sharply South at times.. near -20 at one point.
Ground based magnetometers in Kiruna, Sweden showing sharp deviations.

www.solarham.com


Kevin
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1492729


Bz and By just shifted

By: went from +35.6 to -4.7
Bz: went from +2.0 to -19.9
in a matter of 8 minutes
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
tomasgod1

User ID: 1494107
United States
08/05/2011 03:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I want to know why the 4 hr predicted index is not be updated. Nothing there.

[link to www.solarham.com]
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I want to know why the 4 hr predicted index is not be updated. Nothing there.

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


i would like to know as well
i guess there is a ton of people tweeting about power outages right now (read it on ElQ's thread)

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 08/05/2011 03:46 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
tomasgod1

User ID: 1494107
United States
08/05/2011 03:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind approaching 700 km/s at times.
Bz tilting Sharply South at times.. near -20 at one point.
Ground based magnetometers in Kiruna, Sweden showing sharp deviations.

www.solarham.com


Kevin
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1492729


Bz and By just shifted

By: went from +35.6 to -4.7
Bz: went from +2.0 to -19.9
in a matter of 8 minutes
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That kind of snap back causes real disturbances in the magnetic field. Look at the Ionospheric Convection on the simulation, there is a wild Aurora going on.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
JUST UPDATED

Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 176
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1938 UTC


WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2011 Aug 05 1937 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Aug 06 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Avalon70

User ID: 1425612
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08/05/2011 03:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X Ray Flux rising. Imagine if an X flare happened right now
jnnydemonic
User ID: 1189947
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08/05/2011 03:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] usa is now covered..
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1494578
Germany
08/05/2011 03:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
JUST UPDATED

Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 176
Issue Time: 2011 Aug 05 1938 UTC


WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2011 Aug 05 1937 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Aug 06 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
 Quoting: NiNzrez


bump
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 1495124
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08/05/2011 03:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
As it has been for the last couple days...no main stream media anywhere that i have found..wtf is up with that...any big power outage would be made public i would think...something stinks about all this.
jnnydemonic
User ID: 1189947
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08/05/2011 03:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and part of the screen is glitched out on [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1347342
Canada
08/05/2011 03:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Strange..I follow 140 government and news agencies, and I haven't got one tweet on this event all day
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind approaching 700 km/s at times.
Bz tilting Sharply South at times.. near -20 at one point.
Ground based magnetometers in Kiruna, Sweden showing sharp deviations.

www.solarham.com


Kevin
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1492729


Bz and By just shifted

By: went from +35.6 to -4.7
Bz: went from +2.0 to -19.9
in a matter of 8 minutes
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That kind of snap back causes real disturbances in the magnetic field. Look at the Ionospheric Convection on the simulation, there is a wild Aurora going on.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


sure is

and just shifted again

By: went from -4.7 to +8.4 to -15.5
Bz: went from -19.9 to -6.9 to +12.1
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X Ray Flux rising. Imagine if an X flare happened right now
 Quoting: Avalon70


i was just watching that for that exact reason
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1494138
United Kingdom
08/05/2011 03:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good luck aurora hunters, as i mentioned yesterday this is the best chance to see mid latitude aurora since 2007.

My non scientific hunch is that the kp8 threshold will be exceeded. Land based magnetometers show a spiking deviation (ssc) of just over 150nt. That's higher than even I was expecting.


And to all you doomers, chill out and see the pretty lights, the world ain't gonna end tonight and its safe to continue using things powered by regulated electricity.


Enjoy the show and make the most of it.
It could be a while before another geomagnetic storm of this magnitude hits earth
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
08/05/2011 03:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
57% chance of a X flare from sunspot region 1203
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?