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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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06/29/2013 02:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A new active region is coming over the east limb in the north (close to the equator). Northern sunspot group AR1781 appears to be growing quickly now.

AR1781 Growing-
:1781:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 180 Issued at 0030Z on 29 Jun 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 28 Jun
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 28/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1777 S16W37 161 0150 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1778 S17W01 125 0050 Eao 12 23 Beta
1779 N17E14 110 0010 Axx 02 03 Alpha
1781 N22W04 128 0010 Cro 03 04 Beta
1782 S14E48 075 0010 Hrx 01 02 Alpha

Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Also, 1781 has the potential for developing some magnetic complexity.

Latest HMI Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1781 Magnetic Fields-
:1781mag:
Da fuq

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06/29/2013 02:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

leveling out
Anonymous Coward
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06/29/2013 03:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Voyager did detect the expected increase in galactic cosmic rays but found at times the rays were moving in parallel instead of traveling randomly. “This was conceptually unthinkable for cosmic rays,”Stamatios Krimigis, a solar physicist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Md., told the Los Angeles Times. “There is no cosmic ray physicist I know who ever expected that they would not all be coming equally from all directions.” Whether Voyager 1 — which launched in 1977 — has truly left the solar system has been a matter of some debate, because scientists have come up with competing theories on what constitutes in outermost edge. “We’re not free yet,” Krimigis said.
 Quoting: Luisport


i believe paul la violette says such, and they eminate from galactic centre.
rp
Da fuq

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Voyager did detect the expected increase in galactic cosmic rays but found at times the rays were moving in parallel instead of traveling randomly. “This was conceptually unthinkable for cosmic rays,”Stamatios Krimigis, a solar physicist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Md., told the Los Angeles Times. “There is no cosmic ray physicist I know who ever expected that they would not all be coming equally from all directions.” Whether Voyager 1 — which launched in 1977 — has truly left the solar system has been a matter of some debate, because scientists have come up with competing theories on what constitutes in outermost edge. “We’re not free yet,” Krimigis said.
 Quoting: Luisport


i believe paul la violette says such, and they eminate from galactic centre.
rp
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42536935


ibex ribbon


What did you think was driving our solar systems change?
Anonymous Coward
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06/29/2013 03:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Voyager did detect the expected increase in galactic cosmic rays but found at times the rays were moving in parallel instead of traveling randomly. “This was conceptually unthinkable for cosmic rays,”Stamatios Krimigis, a solar physicist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Md., told the Los Angeles Times. “There is no cosmic ray physicist I know who ever expected that they would not all be coming equally from all directions.” Whether Voyager 1 — which launched in 1977 — has truly left the solar system has been a matter of some debate, because scientists have come up with competing theories on what constitutes in outermost edge. “We’re not free yet,” Krimigis said.
 Quoting: Luisport


i believe paul la violette says such, and they eminate from galactic centre.
rp
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42536935


:ibex ribbon:


What did you think was driving our solar systems change?
 Quoting: Da fuq


yeh : ) i remember discussing it a while back, big forces?, it all looks controlled energetics.. -galactic centre being controlled by supergalactic centre, probably over in the hottest part of space virgo way.
and yeh no fear, but responsive to sense, safe n easy
rp : )
Anonymous Coward
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06/29/2013 03:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...tho energetics are about balance, so can be delicate forces. eminatng from a greater source, and so on, fractal, science fits rather well too.
awesome video of sun from free space shared thxs
Da fuq

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06/29/2013 05:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Southern CH forming/turning in?
shadasonic

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06/29/2013 10:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Southern CH forming/turning in?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Maybe?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
What if the big one up top connects to the southern one potentially forming, theres a weak opening signature in the middle, just thinking out loud.

Western filament lifted or reverted.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


By the way good work you guys on the phantom energy, GASA at its best!

rahrah

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 06/29/2013 11:07 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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06/29/2013 11:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Southern CH forming/turning in?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Maybe?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
What if the big one up top connects to the southern one potentially forming, theres a weak opening signature in the middle, just thinking out loud.

Western filament lifted or reverted.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


By the way good work you guys on the phantom energy, GASA at its best!

rahrah
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hiya, sonichi thanks for that tip-off on the filament liftoff. I missed that....I'll take a peek and see what became of it.

By the way, I noticed on another thread you stated that we had a Kp9 geomagnetic storm in the past 2 years. I don't recall that one. Do you have a date or any more info on that?
Hugh M Eye

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06/29/2013 11:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We may have an Earth-directed CME from that filament lift-off. SOHO coronagraph data is still needed for confirmation but STEREO A shows some plasma leaving the sun now.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

sun-earth-cme
Anonymous Coward
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06/30/2013 12:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We may have an Earth-directed CME from that filament lift-off. SOHO coronagraph data is still needed for confirmation but STEREO A shows some plasma leaving the sun now.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:sun-earth-cme:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye




bump

Please forgive my retarded questions (again) but is this new, as in not related to the glancing blow we may recieve today / tomoz?

What sunspot number do you think its from?


cool good work, I ment to thank you for answering my stupid questions last time.
shadasonic

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06/30/2013 12:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Southern CH forming/turning in?
 Quoting: Da fuq


Maybe?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
What if the big one up top connects to the southern one potentially forming, theres a weak opening signature in the middle, just thinking out loud.

Western filament lifted or reverted.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


By the way good work you guys on the phantom energy, GASA at its best!

rahrah
 Quoting: shadasonic


Hiya, sonichi thanks for that tip-off on the filament liftoff. I missed that....I'll take a peek and see what became of it.

By the way, I noticed on another thread you stated that we had a Kp9 geomagnetic storm in the past 2 years. I don't recall that one. Do you have a date or any more info on that?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



I was off by a tad , it was the high 8 low 9 in sept. of 2011, from a CME if my numbers are right. I'll double check this as I rely way to much on scribbles and a lagging mind.

The filament liftoff had a mid equator partner, unison lift

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 06/30/2013 12:17 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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06/30/2013 12:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We may have an Earth-directed CME from that filament lift-off. SOHO coronagraph data is still needed for confirmation but STEREO A shows some plasma leaving the sun now.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

sun-earth-cme
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye




bump

Please forgive my retarded questions (again) but is this new, as in not related to the glancing blow we may recieve today / tomoz?

What sunspot number do you think its from?


cool good work, I ment to thank you for answering my stupid questions last time.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42362843


Hey, thanks for posting...there are no stupid questions (well maybe a few) here. Yes, this is a recent event and plasma is now leaving the sun and won't reach us for 3 days or so. This eruption was not associated with any flares or sunspot activity, but was the result of a magnetic filament liftoff.

More on filaments (a/k/a prominences) here:

[link to solar.physics.montana.edu]

[link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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06/30/2013 12:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey, thanks for posting...there are no stupid questions (well maybe a few) here. Yes, this is a recent event and plasma is now leaving the sun and won't reach us for 3 days or so. This eruption was not associated with any flares or sunspot activity, but was the result of a magnetic filament liftoff.

More on filaments (a/k/a prominences) here:

[link to solar.physics.montana.edu]

[link to solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Ahhh me comprende Thanks mate, Legend :-)
Luisport

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06/30/2013 03:42 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather1 h
The Northern Lights were able to be seen as far south as Kansas last night. Photos: [link to www.accuweather.com]
shenue

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06/30/2013 09:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

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06/30/2013 09:14 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Great barriers do exist in space and Voyager may have reached one: now what?

Posted on June 29, 2013by The Extinction Protocol

June 29, 2013 – SPACE – Launched 36 years ago, the Voyager 1 spacecraft speeds a rate of about a million miles a day entering a bizarre and mysterious region more than 11 billion miles from Earth that scientists are struggling to make sense of. It’s a region where the fierce solar winds have all but vanished and pieces of atoms blasted across the galaxy by ancient supernovae drift into the solar system, the NASA probe is causing scientists to question some long-standing theories on the nature of our solar system and life beyond its cold dark edge dubbed the “magnetic highway” –a newly discovered area of the heliosphere, the vast bubble of magnetism that shields the solar system from deadly cosmic rays. Scientists had long envisioned this outermost layer of the solar systems, the heliosheath, to be a curved, distinct boundary separating the solar system from the rest of the Milky Way where three things would happen: The sun’s solar winds would become quiet; galactic cosmic rays would bombard Voyager; and the direction of the dominant magnetic field would change significantly because it would be coming from interstellar space, not the sun. “The models that have been thought to predict what should happen are all incorrect,” said physicist Stamatios Krimigis of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory Scientists had assumed when Voyager exited the heliosphere, the vast bubble of magnetism surrounding the solar system, solar winds would become still, galactic cosmic rays would bombard Voyager from every angle and the direction of the magnetic field would change because it would be coming from interstellar space, not the sun.

But the latest readings from Voyagers instruments support none of those suppositions, scientists said. Voyager has reported solar winds suddenly dropped by half, while the strength of the magnetic field almost doubled, and those values then switched back and forth five times before they became fixed. “The jumps indicate multiple crossings of a boundary unlike anything observed previously,” a team of Voyager scientists wrote in one a study. Voyager did detect the expected increase in galactic cosmic rays but found at times the rays were moving in parallel instead of traveling randomly. “This was conceptually unthinkable for cosmic rays,” Stamatios Krimigis, a solar physicist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Md., told the Los Angeles Times. “There is no cosmic ray physicist I know who ever expected that they would not all be coming equally from all directions.” Whether Voyager 1 — which launched in 1977 — has truly left the solar system has been a matter of some debate, because scientists have come up with competing theories on what constitutes in outermost edge. “We’re not free yet,” Krimigis said. “This is a new region that we didn’t know existed. We have no road map, and we’re waiting to see what’s going to happen next.” –Daily Galaxy [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Last night I ran across one of the articles about this. It really is mind blowing, not just for me (with my low level space knowledge) but evidently for the NASA scientists also.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
hIndsIght2020
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06/30/2013 11:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar flare in progress.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Looks like a C2.3, nothing to see here.

Last Edited by hIndsIght2020 on 06/30/2013 11:24 AM
Luisport

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar flare in progress.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


hf
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone
 Quoting: shenue


Good morning, shenue, we have a flare for you.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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06/30/2013 11:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar flare in progress.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


hf
 Quoting: Luisport


Impulsive C2.7 from what appears to be a re-emerging 1780. AR1780 was downgraded to a plage a couple days ago....well, he's making a comeback.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Da fuq

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06/30/2013 11:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot number: 67


Sunspot count back on the drop, who needs em anyway when we have these hyders and CHS.


Earth facing flaring just won't happen, ironically during all this the earth is not as affected as the other planets.


I don't know who or what is gonna keep that going though.


As you can see from a day ago, it don't take much anymore.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 06/30/2013 11:41 AM
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
EARTH-DIRECTED CME....Update.

The earlier double-shot filament liftoffs produced a CME(s) which was very well-positioned to become geo-effective. Although this event didn't even register a B-flare and the CME wasn't huge as CME's go, it may well be aimed right at Earth.

NASA Cone Model:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

STEREO Ahead image (Earth is to the left):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

NOAA comments-
"There were a couple of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed on Lasco C2
imagery at 30/0608 and STEREO Ahead COR2 imagery at approximately
30/0209 UTC. Preliminary analysis indicated there is an Earthward
directed component of the CME,
however further analysis will be
conducted after gaps in imagery coverage fills in to determine timing
and magnitude of the CME impact.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

STEREO A Cor 2 movie of CME:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO imagery not yet available! (Hey, it's the weekend, give 'em a break! LOL)
explosionahhhabomb
Luisport

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06/30/2013 12:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another pop up...
hIndsIght2020
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06/30/2013 12:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another minor C Flare, looks like.
Hugh M Eye

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06/30/2013 12:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
EARTH-DIRECTED CME....Update.

The earlier double-shot filament liftoffs produced a CME(s) which was very well-positioned to become geo-effective. Although this event didn't even register a B-flare and the CME wasn't huge as CME's go, it may well be aimed right at Earth.

NASA Cone Model:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

STEREO Ahead image (Earth is to the left):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

NOAA comments-
"There were a couple of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed on Lasco C2
imagery at 30/0608 and STEREO Ahead COR2 imagery at approximately
30/0209 UTC. Preliminary analysis indicated there is an Earthward
directed component of the CME,
however further analysis will be
conducted after gaps in imagery coverage fills in to determine timing
and magnitude of the CME impact.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

STEREO A Cor 2 movie of CME:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO imagery not yet available! (Hey, it's the weekend, give 'em a break! LOL)
explosionahhhabomb
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


SEEDS movie of CME:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

:6/30-cme:
hIndsIght2020
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06/30/2013 12:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A C2.0 pop-up just now. Are all these earth directed and out of the same spot?
optimum judgment

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06/30/2013 01:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A C2.0 pop-up just now. Are all these earth directed and out of the same spot?
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


[link to www.youtube.com]

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO......
Hugh M Eye

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06/30/2013 01:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A C2.0 pop-up just now. Are all these earth directed and out of the same spot?
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


They all appear to be from some newly-emerging flux (possibly a re-emergence of 1780) that's between AR1777 & AR1778 in the SW.

Mauna Loa Obty. H-alpha movie:
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Emerging Flux in SW Quadrant-
:6/30-flux:



If we look at the 48-hr mpeg. from SDO we'll see that this spot group wasn't even there yesterday. Also note the growth of 1781 in the north and the fading-away of 1778 in the south.

SDO-HMI 48-hr movie:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

SDO Image of C2 Flare at 171a-
:6/30-Cflares:
Isis One

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Great barriers do exist in space and Voyager may have reached one: now what?

Posted on June 29, 2013by The Extinction Protocol

June 29, 2013 – SPACE – Launched 36 years ago, the Voyager 1 spacecraft speeds a rate of about a million miles a day entering a bizarre and mysterious region more than 11 billion miles from Earth that scientists are struggling to make sense of. It’s a region where the fierce solar winds have all but vanished and pieces of atoms blasted across the galaxy by ancient supernovae drift into the solar system, the NASA probe is causing scientists to question some long-standing theories on the nature of our solar system and life beyond its cold dark edge dubbed the “magnetic highway” –a newly discovered area of the heliosphere, the vast bubble of magnetism that shields the solar system from deadly cosmic rays. Scientists had long envisioned this outermost layer of the solar systems, the heliosheath, to be a curved, distinct boundary separating the solar system from the rest of the Milky Way where three things would happen: The sun’s solar winds would become quiet; galactic cosmic rays would bombard Voyager; and the direction of the dominant magnetic field would change significantly because it would be coming from interstellar space, not the sun. “The models that have been thought to predict what should happen are all incorrect,” said physicist Stamatios Krimigis of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory Scientists had assumed when Voyager exited the heliosphere, the vast bubble of magnetism surrounding the solar system, solar winds would become still, galactic cosmic rays would bombard Voyager from every angle and the direction of the magnetic field would change because it would be coming from interstellar space, not the sun.

But the latest readings from Voyagers instruments support none of those suppositions, scientists said. Voyager has reported solar winds suddenly dropped by half, while the strength of the magnetic field almost doubled, and those values then switched back and forth five times before they became fixed. “The jumps indicate multiple crossings of a boundary unlike anything observed previously,” a team of Voyager scientists wrote in one a study. Voyager did detect the expected increase in galactic cosmic rays but found at times the rays were moving in parallel instead of traveling randomly. “This was conceptually unthinkable for cosmic rays,” Stamatios Krimigis, a solar physicist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Md., told the Los Angeles Times. “There is no cosmic ray physicist I know who ever expected that they would not all be coming equally from all directions.” Whether Voyager 1 — which launched in 1977 — has truly left the solar system has been a matter of some debate, because scientists have come up with competing theories on what constitutes in outermost edge. “We’re not free yet,” Krimigis said. “This is a new region that we didn’t know existed. We have no road map, and we’re waiting to see what’s going to happen next.” –Daily Galaxy [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Last night I ran across one of the articles about this. It really is mind blowing, not just for me (with my low level space knowledge) but evidently for the NASA scientists also.
 Quoting: shenue


I read that also Shenue and felt the significance. I especially love the part about the cosmic rays travelling parallel rather than randomly from all directions. That means to me, there are bodies out there opposed sending and receiving rays bi-directionally, i.e., intelligently???
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