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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
shadasonic

User ID: 41520215
United States
07/02/2013 10:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
They're not stupid at NOAA, just lazy and don't give a fuck.

I agree!
I've got a feeling after the last polarity swapping diag., that we may see some serious action soon, a lot of magnetic mingling going on! Something has to release this energy.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
madajs.

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07/02/2013 11:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
April and May's sunspot counts of 72.4 and 78 .7 were the highest in 16 months. June, whose sunspot count just got released, disappointed with a paltry count of 52.5

Regardless, the trend is still onward and upward, towards peak #2 [link to www.sidc.oma.be]
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Hugh M Eye

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07/02/2013 11:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
April and May's sunspot counts of 72.4 and 78 .7 were the highest in 16 months. June, whose sunspot count just got released, disappointed with a paltry count of 52.5

Regardless, the trend is still onward and upward, towards peak #2 [link to www.sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: madajs.


Thanks for the update, madajs! I think we'll see a few more strong bursts of activity in coming weeks/months.

We just had a C5.4 from AR1780 on the SW limb.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This happens to be exactly where the Earth's magnetic footpoint is currently.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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07/03/2013 01:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Finally some SOHO C2 images of that big CME from that filament eruption last night. Watch for CME @ 20:36z (7/1) in this movie:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Kapow!! Is earth to the right or the left in that vid? I'm thinking to the right but not sure.
 Quoting: Isis One

Soho is looking at the sun from the perspective of earth hf
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 2159872


[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
SOHO moves around the Sun in step with the Earth, by slowly orbiting around the First Lagrangian Point (L1), where the combined gravity of the Earth and Sun keep SOHO in an orbit locked to the Earth-Sun line. The L1 point is approximately 1.5 million kilometers away from Earth (about four times the distance of the Moon), in the direction of the Sun. There, SOHO enjoys an uninterrupted view of our daylight star. All previous solar observatories have orbited the Earth, from where their observations were periodically interrupted as our planet `eclipsed' the Sun.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Thank you very much for the info. Can't believe I didn't know that by now.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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07/03/2013 01:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft still has both C 7's coming from 1785????

[link to www.lmsal.com]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
07/03/2013 03:16 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.5

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Guardian

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Malaysia
07/03/2013 03:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hugh M Eye, do you think the current year will end normally? Thanks for replying hf
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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United States
07/03/2013 03:25 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 42362843
United Kingdom
07/03/2013 05:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
April and May's sunspot counts of 72.4 and 78 .7 were the highest in 16 months. June, whose sunspot count just got released, disappointed with a paltry count of 52.5

Regardless, the trend is still onward and upward, towards peak #2 [link to www.sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: madajs.


Thanks for the update, madajs! I think we'll see a few more strong bursts of activity in coming weeks/months.

We just had a C5.4 from AR1780 on the SW limb.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This happens to be exactly where the Earth's magnetic footpoint is currently.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



So if that flare is from AR1780 is it likely we'll get some of that?

Regarding That big flare yesterday that made no Xray emmissions, Will that be put into the Enlil spiral?

It seems to take them forever to put flares in the Enlil spiral and even then I don't trust it at all.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
United States
07/03/2013 05:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
April and May's sunspot counts of 72.4 and 78 .7 were the highest in 16 months. June, whose sunspot count just got released, disappointed with a paltry count of 52.5

Regardless, the trend is still onward and upward, towards peak #2 [link to www.sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: madajs.


Thanks for the update, madajs! I think we'll see a few more strong bursts of activity in coming weeks/months.

We just had a C5.4 from AR1780 on the SW limb.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This happens to be exactly where the Earth's magnetic footpoint is currently.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



So if that flare is from AR1780 is it likely we'll get some of that?

Regarding That big flare yesterday that made no Xray emmissions, Will that be put into the Enlil spiral?

It seems to take them forever to put flares in the Enlil spiral and even then I don't trust it at all.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42362843


[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Luisport

User ID: 42740133
Portugal
07/03/2013 05:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have a rising...
Luisport

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Portugal
07/03/2013 05:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have a rising...
 Quoting: Luisport

C1.7
mtn_mang

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07/03/2013 06:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


see geo. Just after 3am(my time).

What are the odds?
hIndsIght2020

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07/03/2013 09:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Lots of little C flare pop ups following that M flare.
Hugh M Eye

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07/03/2013 09:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Newly-numbered AR1787 gave us the M1.5 & C7.2 (told ya).

Solarsoft/SDO close-up movie of M-flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

M1.5 Flare from AR1787-
:7/3-Mflare:
:7/3-M1.5:

NOAA SWPC Update-
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity increased to moderate levels. Newly-numbered Region 1787
(S13E76, Dso/beta) rotated into view and produced an M1/Sf flare at
03/0708 UTC associated with a Type II radio sweep (est. shock speed 1033
km/s) and minor discrete frequency bursts. Region 1787 also produced a
C7 x-ray flare at 02/2358 UTC associated with a non-Earth-directed
coronal mass ejection (CME)
. Region 1785 (S11E55, Fkc/beta) produced a
C7/1f flare at 02/1749 UTC as well as several B-class flares. There
appeared to be gradual spot and penumbral development in the
intermediate portion of Region 1785, but analysis was hampered by
limb-foreshortening effects. Region 1780 (S11W85, Hrx/alpha) produced
occasional B- and C-class flares as it approached the west limb. Region
1781 (N21W64, Dso/beta) gradually decayed during the period. There were
no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AR1785 & 1787-
:7/3-SEspots:
shadasonic

User ID: 41520215
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07/03/2013 12:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Good introductory course on astro and magnetospheric physics.Peace
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Luisport

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07/03/2013 12:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C1,6
Luisport

User ID: 42758078
Portugal
07/03/2013 02:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ANOTHER C2,1
shadasonic

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07/03/2013 02:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ANOTHER C2,1
 Quoting: Luisport


When those two big spots slowly creep around the flux will cruise into the c range, I would imagine
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Voluntaryist
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07/03/2013 02:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
looks like 1785 and the region to it's east are playing the c tune together, let's see if they hit a high note!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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07/03/2013 03:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ANOTHER C LEVEL
hIndsIght2020

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07/03/2013 04:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C6.0

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
joinca

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07/03/2013 04:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is a link to the EVE video for July 3, 2013
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
It is a 14Mb video
cool2
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
Hugh M Eye

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07/03/2013 04:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The C6 appears to be from 1785.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

I expect to see even bigger fireworks from Sol for Independence Day. If 1787 could produce an M flare, I think 1785 could show us a much bigger event soon. each hour that goes by puts Earth more in the crosshairs.

hiding
Voluntaryist
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07/03/2013 04:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] /latest_4096_HMIBC.jpg
Wow is turning into a beast! check out the magnetic mixing in the middlehiding
Anonymous Coward
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07/03/2013 04:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] /latest_4096_HMIBC.jpg
Wow is turning into a beast! check out the magnetic mixing in the middlehiding
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 2159872

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Trying to fix link
Isis One

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07/03/2013 04:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Good introductory course on astro and magnetospheric physics.Peace
 Quoting: shadasonic


Thanks Shad, I appreciate these lessons, very helpful.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Isis One

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United States
07/03/2013 05:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Thread: How To Raise Your Vibrational Frequency If Interested
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 21765116
Netherlands
07/03/2013 05:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'd already be happy with an M-flare, but an X-flare would be wicked! Anything below X5 is good for me. We don't need a megaflare to hit us anytime soon.
Hugh M Eye

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07/03/2013 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite


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