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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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07/03/2013 05:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
April and May's sunspot counts of 72.4 and 78 .7 were the highest in 16 months. June, whose sunspot count just got released, disappointed with a paltry count of 52.5

Regardless, the trend is still onward and upward, towards peak #2 [link to www.sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: madajs.


Thanks for the update, madajs! I think we'll see a few more strong bursts of activity in coming weeks/months.

We just had a C5.4 from AR1780 on the SW limb.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

This happens to be exactly where the Earth's magnetic footpoint is currently.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



So if that flare is from AR1780 is it likely we'll get some of that?

Regarding That big flare yesterday that made no Xray emmissions, Will that be put into the Enlil spiral?

It seems to take them forever to put flares in the Enlil spiral and even then I don't trust it at all.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42362843


[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Luisport

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07/03/2013 05:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have a rising...
Luisport

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07/03/2013 05:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have a rising...
 Quoting: Luisport

C1.7
mtn_mang

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07/03/2013 06:42 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


see geo. Just after 3am(my time).

What are the odds?
hIndsIght2020
Russian shill fighter

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07/03/2013 09:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Lots of little C flare pop ups following that M flare.
Hugh M Eye

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07/03/2013 09:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Newly-numbered AR1787 gave us the M1.5 & C7.2 (told ya).

Solarsoft/SDO close-up movie of M-flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

M1.5 Flare from AR1787-
:7/3-Mflare:
:7/3-M1.5:

NOAA SWPC Update-
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity increased to moderate levels. Newly-numbered Region 1787
(S13E76, Dso/beta) rotated into view and produced an M1/Sf flare at
03/0708 UTC associated with a Type II radio sweep (est. shock speed 1033
km/s) and minor discrete frequency bursts. Region 1787 also produced a
C7 x-ray flare at 02/2358 UTC associated with a non-Earth-directed
coronal mass ejection (CME)
. Region 1785 (S11E55, Fkc/beta) produced a
C7/1f flare at 02/1749 UTC as well as several B-class flares. There
appeared to be gradual spot and penumbral development in the
intermediate portion of Region 1785, but analysis was hampered by
limb-foreshortening effects. Region 1780 (S11W85, Hrx/alpha) produced
occasional B- and C-class flares as it approached the west limb. Region
1781 (N21W64, Dso/beta) gradually decayed during the period. There were
no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AR1785 & 1787-
:7/3-SEspots:
shadasonic

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07/03/2013 12:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Good introductory course on astro and magnetospheric physics.Peace
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Luisport

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07/03/2013 12:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C1,6
Luisport

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07/03/2013 02:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ANOTHER C2,1
shadasonic

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07/03/2013 02:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ANOTHER C2,1
 Quoting: Luisport


When those two big spots slowly creep around the flux will cruise into the c range, I would imagine
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Voluntaryist
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07/03/2013 02:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
looks like 1785 and the region to it's east are playing the c tune together, let's see if they hit a high note!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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07/03/2013 03:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ANOTHER C LEVEL
hIndsIght2020
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07/03/2013 04:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C6.0

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
joinca

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07/03/2013 04:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is a link to the EVE video for July 3, 2013
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
It is a 14Mb video
cool2
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Hugh M Eye

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07/03/2013 04:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The C6 appears to be from 1785.

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

I expect to see even bigger fireworks from Sol for Independence Day. If 1787 could produce an M flare, I think 1785 could show us a much bigger event soon. each hour that goes by puts Earth more in the crosshairs.

hiding
Voluntaryist
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07/03/2013 04:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] /latest_4096_HMIBC.jpg
Wow is turning into a beast! check out the magnetic mixing in the middlehiding
Anonymous Coward
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07/03/2013 04:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] /latest_4096_HMIBC.jpg
Wow is turning into a beast! check out the magnetic mixing in the middlehiding
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 2159872

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Trying to fix link
Isis One

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07/03/2013 04:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Good introductory course on astro and magnetospheric physics.Peace
 Quoting: shadasonic


Thanks Shad, I appreciate these lessons, very helpful.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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07/03/2013 05:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Anonymous Coward
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07/03/2013 05:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'd already be happy with an M-flare, but an X-flare would be wicked! Anything below X5 is good for me. We don't need a megaflare to hit us anytime soon.
Hugh M Eye

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07/03/2013 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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07/03/2013 06:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Me 3
Anonymous Coward
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07/03/2013 06:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] /latest_4096_HMIBC.jpg
Wow is turning into a beast! check out the magnetic mixing in the middlehiding
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 2159872

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Trying to fix link
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


that is going to pop off a good one...soon.
Anonymous Coward
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07/03/2013 06:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to montreal.ctvnews.ca]



"The metro system was evacuated following the blackout.

LaRonde amusement park was also without power, and officials say some people had to be extracted from the rides after they came to a halt. At 5:45 p.m. , officials confirmed passengers remained on only two rides and were set to be removed shortly. No injuries have been reported. Though the park remained open, many people decided to leave since the rides were no longer operational."



[link to www.cbc.ca]

"Power failure plunges Montreal Metro into darkness"

Maybe related to the sun ?

But of course... they won't tell the truth
optimum judgment

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07/03/2013 06:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] /latest_4096_HMIBC.jpg
Wow is turning into a beast! check out the magnetic mixing in the middlehiding
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 2159872

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Trying to fix link
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


that is going to pop off a good one...soon.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13199824


Lets hope so ol sol's been a bit flacid lately,could do with a burst of energy explosion
TS66
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07/03/2013 08:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
hIndsIght2020
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07/03/2013 08:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C8.9

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
mtn_mang

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07/03/2013 09:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Keeping my fingers crossed that we get the same solar fireworks as last year fourth of July.

Man, those were fun times.

Everybody have a safe holiday, peace and love!
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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07/03/2013 09:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Keeping my fingers crossed that we get the same solar fireworks as last year fourth of July.

Man, those were fun times.

Everybody have a safe holiday, peace and love!
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Gonna be doing my own fireworks. Hopefully the sun gives us a show also.
mtn_mang

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07/03/2013 09:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Keeping my fingers crossed that we get the same solar fireworks as last year fourth of July.

Man, those were fun times.

Everybody have a safe holiday, peace and love!
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Gonna be doing my own fireworks. Hopefully the sun gives us a show also.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


ya, I saw your kick ass mortars.

All I have are some left over roman candles and bottle rockets from last year :(

With enough booze, they may suffice lol

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