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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
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07/03/2013 09:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66 32539360


If you register, my dear, I will give you a karma upgrade. By the way, whatever happened to whiteangel? Is she on vacation now??


grouphug
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 37595510
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07/03/2013 10:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Keeping my fingers crossed that we get the same solar fireworks as last year fourth of July.

Man, those were fun times.

Everybody have a safe holiday, peace and love!
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Gonna be doing my own fireworks. Hopefully the sun gives us a show also.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


ya, I saw your kick ass mortars.

All I have are some left over roman candles and bottle rockets from last year :(

With enough booze, they may suffice lol
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Ha!
shadasonic

User ID: 41520215
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07/04/2013 12:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Good introductory course on astro and magnetospheric physics.Peace
 Quoting: shadasonic


Thanks Shad, I appreciate these lessons, very helpful.
 Quoting: Isis One


hf
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
madajs.

User ID: 35856189
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07/04/2013 12:12 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66 32539360

Hi TS :)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
shadasonic

User ID: 41520215
United States
07/04/2013 12:13 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]


That SS group looks ready to let go, nice electromagnetic 'sparks'
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2159872
United States
07/04/2013 12:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
1785 still growing rapidly, becoming more complex.
I think she'll pop an x within 24 hours if this continues.
shadasonic

User ID: 41520215
United States
07/04/2013 01:16 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
1785 still growing rapidly, becoming more complex.
I think she'll pop an x within 24 hours if this continues.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Just depends on who's controlling the wheelhouse , so to speak. If it fits into our 'plans'
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

User ID: 41520215
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07/04/2013 01:35 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
You guys realize as we see SS deteriorate earthside the convective nature of the hydrogen -helium outlook changes its role, convective currents only take precedence when theres no magnetic conduit for release. We are seeing magnetic differentials, but they falter and grow, there isn't a magnification of these energies. We are looking at a quick pulse like energy for maybe a couple weeks, then we willsee a drop of the flux chart, a resurgence then complete drop as the polarities no longer mix, we've got 3 months for big events. Then it will get cold , whether you want to believe I or not!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Isis One

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United States
07/04/2013 01:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66 32539360


howdy TS!!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/04/2013 01:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Keeping my fingers crossed that we get the same solar fireworks as last year fourth of July.

Man, those were fun times.

Everybody have a safe holiday, peace and love!
 Quoting: mtn_mang


You too mang, yes, between the date and how weird the blue line looks, that got me thinking X-flare. Love and Light to you.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Isis One on 07/04/2013 01:45 AM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/04/2013 01:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66 32539360


If you register, my dear, I will give you a karma upgrade. By the way, whatever happened to whiteangel? Is she on vacation now??


grouphug
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


She's back as of last night.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 38354080
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07/04/2013 02:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
1785 still growing rapidly, becoming more complex.
I think she'll pop an x within 24 hours if this continues.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Hopefully on Friday it's gonna pop an X. Maybe I'll get lucky and image the solar flare as its happening.
mtn_mang

User ID: 30785944
United States
07/04/2013 05:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning and happy Independence Day!

coffee4catdance
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1497928
United States
07/04/2013 05:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning and happy Independence Day!

coffee4catdance
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Good morning to you and a goodnight for me. Happy independence day!

Last Edited by #Geomagnetic_Storm# on 07/04/2013 05:28 AM
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 1497928
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07/04/2013 05:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Waiting..........

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 32539360
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07/04/2013 08:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66 32539360


If you register, my dear, I will give you a karma upgrade. By the way, whatever happened to whiteangel? Is she on vacation now??


grouphug
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I sense an X-flare coming!!
 Quoting: Isis One


Me too!

dynamite
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


ohyeah
 Quoting: TS66 32539360

Hi TS :)
 Quoting: madajs.



Hey there Madajs hi

Very thoughtful Hugh, thank you !! I've only just started posting again, but always been lurking, still watching along with you all.

I really don't have a lot to add other than observation, but still enjoy reading all your posts. Its good to see the SS count up, we shall see ....

In the meantime, I'm good as is, watching and learning ;)
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 32539360
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07/04/2013 01:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Quite a complex reconfiguration/reorganization going on here ....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
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07/04/2013 01:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Quite a complex reconfiguration/reorganization going on here ....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32539360


Wow.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
madajs.

User ID: 35856189
Canada
07/04/2013 03:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yeah the latest prediction using the combined method is for a smoothed sunspot number max of of about 90, predicted to occur around the end of 2013/start of 2014 (25% lower than cycle 23's max of 120) [link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Be interesting to see the prediction models updates over the coming months... and of course even more interesting seeing the actual event itself unfold before us!

popcorn
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Hugh M Eye

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07/04/2013 03:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1787 just produced a C5.9 flare.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Voluntaryist
User ID: 2159872
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07/04/2013 03:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1787 just produced a C5.9 flare.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Maybe 1785 will pop one off, not wanting to be upstaged
madajs.

User ID: 35856189
Canada
07/04/2013 03:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
By the way has anyone here read Sunstorm by Arthur C. Clarke? It was pretty neat reading a piece of fiction that had pretty sound solar science in it. Made me think of the Solar Watch team

hf
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 36140692
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07/04/2013 03:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
And another C-flare. Next one should be an M class.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by #Geomagnetic_Storm# on 07/04/2013 03:55 PM
joinca

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07/04/2013 03:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy fourth of July to everyone!

Since there is a lot of action on the Sun today here is the EVE video for July 3-4, 2013
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
about 13Mb cool2
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Hugh M Eye

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07/04/2013 05:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The C6.8 was from 1787 again, but the X-ray flux has been holding at C2 for over an hour now. That's a significant increase in the previous background level. Of course, if this persists it makes the jump to M or X-level that much closer. I think we're in for an interesting weekend. AR1784 is also growing at mid-disk.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Latest GOES X-Ray image:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
joinca

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07/04/2013 06:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA ESA Movie Making Tool Hits The Million Mark
A solar movie-making program produced by scientists from NASA and the European Space Agency just hit a major milestone: its millionth movie. The Helioviewer project - consisting of an online tool at Helioviewer.org and its sister application JHelioviewer -- has been available since 2009. Helioviewer is the brainchild of Jack Ireland, a solar scientist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md., who wanted a way to look at vast arrays of solar data through a single interface.
The full article is here: [link to www.spacedaily.com]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
joinca

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07/04/2013 06:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Cluster spacecraft detects elusive space wind
A new study provides the first conclusive proof of the existence of a space wind first proposed theoretically over 20 years ago. By analysing data from the European Space Agency's Cluster spacecraft, researcher Iannis Dandouras detected this plasmaspheric wind, so-called because it contributes to the loss of material from the plasmasphere, a donut-shaped region extending above the Earth's atmosphere. The results are published in Annales Geophysicae, a journal of the European Geosciences Union (EGU).
"After long scrutiny of the data, there it was, a slow but steady wind, releasing about 1 kg of plasma every second into the outer magnetosphere: this corresponds to almost 90 tonnes every day. It was definitely one of the nicest surprises I've ever had!" said Dandouras of the Research Institute in Astrophysics and Planetology in Toulouse, France.
The full article is here: [link to www.spacedaily.com]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Hugh M Eye

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07/04/2013 07:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Cluster spacecraft detects elusive space wind
A new study provides the first conclusive proof of the existence of a space wind first proposed theoretically over 20 years ago. By analysing data from the European Space Agency's Cluster spacecraft, researcher Iannis Dandouras detected this plasmaspheric wind, so-called because it contributes to the loss of material from the plasmasphere, a donut-shaped region extending above the Earth's atmosphere. The results are published in Annales Geophysicae, a journal of the European Geosciences Union (EGU).
"After long scrutiny of the data, there it was, a slow but steady wind, releasing about 1 kg of plasma every second into the outer magnetosphere: this corresponds to almost 90 tonnes every day. It was definitely one of the nicest surprises I've ever had!" said Dandouras of the Research Institute in Astrophysics and Planetology in Toulouse, France.
The full article is here: [link to www.spacedaily.com]
 Quoting: joinca


Thanks, that was informative. Here's more info on the plasmasphere:

[link to www.windows2universe.org]

[link to wiki.oulu.fi (secure)]
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/04/2013 07:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy fourth of July to everyone!

Since there is a lot of action on the Sun today here is the EVE video for July 3-4, 2013
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
about 13Mb cool2
 Quoting: joinca


nice compilation joinca, thanks
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/04/2013 07:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Cluster spacecraft detects elusive space wind
A new study provides the first conclusive proof of the existence of a space wind first proposed theoretically over 20 years ago. By analysing data from the European Space Agency's Cluster spacecraft, researcher Iannis Dandouras detected this plasmaspheric wind, so-called because it contributes to the loss of material from the plasmasphere, a donut-shaped region extending above the Earth's atmosphere. The results are published in Annales Geophysicae, a journal of the European Geosciences Union (EGU).
"After long scrutiny of the data, there it was, a slow but steady wind, releasing about 1 kg of plasma every second into the outer magnetosphere: this corresponds to almost 90 tonnes every day. It was definitely one of the nicest surprises I've ever had!" said Dandouras of the Research Institute in Astrophysics and Planetology in Toulouse, France.
The full article is here: [link to www.spacedaily.com]
 Quoting: joinca


That data scientifically verifies, a Metatron channeling on the last page of my Sun thread in my signature, if anyone wants to read it. You wouldn't believe the correspondences. Cheezy posted it.

Last Edited by Isis One on 07/04/2013 07:44 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

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