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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 21765116
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07/06/2013 05:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I don't see why we should be concerned about 1785 and 1787. The only thing they do is pop c-flares, with a couple of small m-flares inbetween. 1785 should've at least popped one x-flare by now, but it didn't and I don't think it will anytime soon. 1785 looks like an ordinary spreader now and I think it will eventually die before or right after it reaches the western limb.

1787 is weak and can't produce anything bigger than a small m-flare, but it can't even do that anymore. That's the reason why I'll have to agree with shadasonic. Every earth-facing SS either dies or just sits there and does nothing. It has happened before and it happens again. I don't know why the SS are doing that every time, but it is happening and it should be investigated more.
TS66
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07/06/2013 07:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good morning all.

Hey Hugh .... for whatever reason the Q Time wouldn't work for me, so I went to SDO, and yes there is something brewing ...

The mixed polarities at the NW corner of SR 1785 are certainly shooting out some incredible ejecta !!

Please note doubting Thomas's this is not typical wink

Also please remember that SSs with much less complexity can produce very big flares, and relatively small flares, can cause massive CMEs. You know what they say about assuming ... lol.

Shada, what a snake handler you've become !!! Takes far more faith than I have.

There's no guarantees in this life, and ol Sol has proven no different hf
hIndsIght2020

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07/06/2013 08:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Every earth-facing SS either dies or just sits there and does nothing. It has happened before and it happens again. I don't know why the SS are doing that every time, but it is happening and it should be investigated more.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21765116


GLP effect, duh!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 21765116
Netherlands
07/06/2013 08:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Every earth-facing SS either dies or just sits there and does nothing. It has happened before and it happens again. I don't know why the SS are doing that every time, but it is happening and it should be investigated more.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21765116


GLP effect, duh!
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


That's an illusion, duh!
TS66
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07/06/2013 08:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
BZ is wide open.

NOAA predicting Kp5 already at 4 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 42362843
United Kingdom
07/06/2013 09:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Look at that density drop

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


why is it dropping?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42362843


Its all good , just a flux in energy, very mild actually!
Everyone is so freaked out about this new SS, its nothing, we've seen nothing its going to die out. You guys need to get your shit together and realize earthside has a friend, and it has been shown over and over. Wake up and see the energy level is transposed over any regulatory signal. Everyone needs to chill out!
Nothing is going to happen, big time, its being watched closely!
 Quoting: shadasonic


I know I just wondered as density was low anyway, and didnt think we were experiencing a CME, thats the kinda drop you get when a cornoal hole was facing and turns away but smaller., hence my asking.


Anyway I watched a video of the 1992-1995 of the Japanese solar satalite and the sun back then was alot more active today I think sun doom is far far away,

But still I like to watch the sun its facinating and if there were any big X classes directly earth facing I'd like to know about it promptly.
Hugh M Eye

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07/06/2013 10:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
BZ is wide open.

NOAA predicting Kp5 already at 4 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66 32539360


A lot of K=5's out there, but NOT planetary K...somewhat unusual:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Boulder Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar Wind-Magnetic Field Simulation:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

NOAA Alerts and Warnings:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 01:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
"Earth is passing through a region of interplanetary space with a south-pointing magnetic field, and this is causing geomagnetic unrest around the poles. The disturbances have not quite reached the level of a magnetic storm."



lolatu
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 02:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
which way is south in space ?
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 03:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
which way is south in space ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32539360


cruise
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
"Earth is passing through a region of interplanetary space with a south-pointing magnetic field, and this is causing geomagnetic unrest around the poles. The disturbances have not quite reached the level of a magnetic storm."



lolatu
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551


Really .... the earth and Sun have magnetic fields (magnetosphere) which have designated north and south fields. Are you referring to the heliosphere ???
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 04:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Never mind, I found it, and what I has to assume this poster was speaking of " heliospheric current sheet "

Here's the explanation for those who may still be wondering.

[link to pluto.space.swri.edu]
Isis One

User ID: 14343270
United States
07/06/2013 04:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Never mind, I found it, and what I has to assume this poster was speaking of " heliospheric current sheet "

Here's the explanation for those who may still be wondering.

[link to pluto.space.swri.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32539360


Thanks, that was a helpful review.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 05:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
"Earth is passing through a region of interplanetary space with a south-pointing magnetic field, and this is causing geomagnetic unrest around the poles. The disturbances have not quite reached the level of a magnetic storm."



lolatu
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551


Really .... the earth and Sun have magnetic fields (magnetosphere) which have designated north and south fields. Are you referring to the heliosphere ???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32539360


This is from spaceweather.com
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 06:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electrons droppin again
shadasonic

User ID: 41520215
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07/06/2013 06:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Look at that density drop

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


why is it dropping?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42362843


Its all good , just a flux in energy, very mild actually!
Everyone is so freaked out about this new SS, its nothing, we've seen nothing its going to die out. You guys need to get your shit together and realize earthside has a friend, and it has been shown over and over. Wake up and see the energy level is transposed over any regulatory signal. Everyone needs to chill out!
Nothing is going to happen, big time, its being watched closely!
 Quoting: shadasonic


I know I just wondered as density was low anyway, and didnt think we were experiencing a CME, thats the kinda drop you get when a cornoal hole was facing and turns away but smaller., hence my asking.


Anyway I watched a video of the 1992-1995 of the Japanese solar satalite and the sun back then was alot more active today I think sun doom is far far away,

But still I like to watch the sun its facinating and if there were any big X classes directly earth facing I'd like to know about it promptly.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42362843


You have a good mind and don't mind me, I'm very pissed at this solar cycle for some reason and am somehow daring it to unload. There is something not right about it all and I can't figure it out, so I can be a pain in the ass, keep on looking, watching and it will unfold. Peace!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/06/2013 07:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.solarham.net]

Most all of the coronal hole activity has been northern driven, along with the most energetic SS. the polarity mixing and electromagnetic currents seem to be convectively driven northward and outbound as this ANOMALY of earthlacking energy continues. We're seeing a convective 'push' as energy is being moderately driven inwards and out. This shows up as eastern and western energy outbursts, but that has also retreated. Something has a definite control over the magnetic drive of these spots WHAT IS IT!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 07:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
abduct
shadasonic

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07/06/2013 07:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
abduct
 Quoting: Goofy for God


wagel


I enjoy all your posts my good friend, you do great work!

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 07/06/2013 07:23 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/06/2013 07:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Da Fuq are you out there?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/06/2013 07:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to event.on24.com (secure)]

Dilution refrigeration for quantum measures, seriously!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 08:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Da Fuq are you out there?
 Quoting: shadasonic


I got banned for telling the truth, but yeah i'm here.
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 08:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It's almost time.
hIndsIght2020

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07/06/2013 09:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C6.1

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
joinca

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07/06/2013 09:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: hIndsIght2020


Here is the EVE info:
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Nerd88

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Australia
07/06/2013 09:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
CHANCE OF FLARES: NOAA forecasters have boosted the odds of an M-class flare today to 55%, and an X-flare to 10% as potent sunspot AR1785 turns toward Earth. The sunspot has a beta-gamma-delta magnetic field that harbors energy for strong explosions.

[link to spaceweather.com]

Peace
"Stay on the path. It's not your concern. Stay on the path. It's not your concern"...Eli
Anonymous Coward
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07/06/2013 11:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Pay attention at 2:50
Isis One

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07/07/2013 12:42 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Pay attention at 2:50
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551


Seems like the part from 2:50 on could explain no earth facing flares. Nice work, Da (you bad boy, lol)
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Isis One

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07/07/2013 12:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electrons droppin again
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551


Jeezez
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 32031551
United States
07/07/2013 12:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Pay attention at 2:50
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551


Seems like the part from 2:50 on could explain no earth facing flares. Nice work, Da (you bad boy, lol)
 Quoting: Isis One


[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]


here comes some heat





GLP