SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 04:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | am I reading this link correctly it says 66% chance of X onn this link? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1225643[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk] yes your reading it right it is constantly updated Thank You! Event Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug Class M 75/75/65 Class X 15/15/10 Proton 95/50/30 PCAF red Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 04:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: NiNzrezBz and By just shifted By: went from +35.6 to -4.7 Bz: went from +2.0 to -19.9 in a matter of 8 minutes That kind of snap back causes real disturbances in the magnetic field. Look at the Ionospheric Convection on the simulation, there is a wild Aurora going on. Good observation. Impact on magnetosphere seems to be subsiding ever so slightly. Doesn't mean another wave isn't close behind. [link to www2.nict.go.jp] There hasn't been another huge CME that I know of, so if there is another wave close behind, its probably small and unexciting. that is if this CME we just saw was CME #2 and #3 combined as expected but we learn fast when watching solar events, nothing is always as expected so, what if this CME we just saw was only #2? and CME #3.. the big one, is right behind it. Not yet here Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 04:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Is there a site to go to find out if an aurora is happening in your area? I can't imagine sitting outside all night lol Quoting: Avalon70[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thanks NiN. According to that I would need a Kp 8 to see them.Blah ahhh just looked where your at yup, tomasgod1 would also need that for auroras in his area i keep telling him that im hoping he gets them hehe Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1420010 United States 08/05/2011 04:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Is there a site to go to find out if an aurora is happening in your area? I can't imagine sitting outside all night lol Quoting: Avalon70[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thanks NiN. According to that I would need a Kp 8 to see them.Blah ahhh just looked where your at yup, tomasgod1 would also need that for auroras in his area i keep telling him that im hoping he gets them hehe GAHH!!! One of the drawbacks to living in South Texas :complaining: . Ah well. someone take a lot of pics, please? So those of us who will miss out can live vicariously? Please and thanks! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1189947 United States 08/05/2011 04:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | hey any chance of seeing auroras tonight in nyc? Quoting: glendalyvabsolutely! just need clear skys What about NW Washington? it's pretty cloudy out now, but I'm hoping it will start to burn off. all the northern US states should have a really good chance for auroras all depending on what this storm is doing once we have dark im in michigan, so i wil be able to see them as wel looking forward to it ^^ Hells yeah i can't wait here in New Hampshire! |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 05:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At ACE Satalite: Solar Wind Speed: 630.3 Density: 5.3 Bz: -20.5 By: 0.2 Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 1495124 United States 08/05/2011 05:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
XP... User ID: 1495089 United States 08/05/2011 05:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NiN do you have link for the CME arrival model/simulation, I saw it a month ago but can't find it... Thanks! "The world will not be destroyed by evil, it will be destroyed by the ones who do nothing to stop the evil." "Lead or follow just get the hell out of my way!" XP... |
Veresanctus User ID: 1006713 Canada 08/05/2011 05:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At ACE Satalite: Quoting: NiNzrezSolar Wind Speed: 630.3 Density: 5.3 Bz: -20.5 By: 0.2 Isn't Bz being that low a really bad thing? GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION? "For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another. This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law. Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts. If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26 |
tomasgod1 User ID: 1494107 United States 08/05/2011 05:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Is there a site to go to find out if an aurora is happening in your area? I can't imagine sitting outside all night lol Quoting: Avalon70[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thanks NiN. According to that I would need a Kp 8 to see them.Blah ahhh just looked where your at yup, tomasgod1 would also need that for auroras in his area i keep telling him that im hoping he gets them hehe They have seen them as far S as Havana, Cuba; it's possible! Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/05/2011 05:06 PM _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 05:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | have to keep watch to see if anything else picks up NOAA has not cancled any alerts as of right now here is what we have with the timeline [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Veresanctus User ID: 1006713 Canada 08/05/2011 05:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION? "For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another. This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law. Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts. If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26 |
Veresanctus User ID: 1006713 Canada 08/05/2011 05:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | it looks to have subsided some for now anyways Quoting: NiNzrezhave to keep watch to see if anything else picks up NOAA has not cancled any alerts as of right now here is what we have with the timeline [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I'm not sure exactly why but I actually have a bad feeling about this one Last Edited by Veresanctus on 08/05/2011 05:11 PM GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION? "For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another. This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law. Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts. If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26 |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 05:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NiN do you have link for the CME arrival model/simulation, I saw it a month ago but can't find it... Quoting: XP...Thanks! it's somewhere on here, im new to that site, so still finding my way around [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Avalon70 User ID: 1425612 United States 08/05/2011 05:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1297814 Germany 08/05/2011 05:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 05:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At ACE Satalite: Quoting: NiNzrezSolar Wind Speed: 630.3 Density: 5.3 Bz: -20.5 By: 0.2 Isn't Bz being that low a really bad thing? when the Bz goes into the red zone, that means that the solar winds are going southward and connecting with earths magnetic field this is when we get geomagnetic storms when the Bz is in the green zone, the solar winds are going northward and glancing off earth and on into space all this is because of earths tilt on its axis Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Veresanctus User ID: 1006713 Canada 08/05/2011 05:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At ACE Satalite: Quoting: NiNzrezSolar Wind Speed: 630.3 Density: 5.3 Bz: -20.5 By: 0.2 Isn't Bz being that low a really bad thing? when the Bz goes into the red zone, that means that the solar winds are going southward and connecting with earths magnetic field this is when we get geomagnetic storms when the Bz is in the green zone, the solar winds are going northward and glancing off earth and on into space all this is because of earths tilt on its axis Oh yeah that's right, thanks Nin GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION? "For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another. This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law. Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts. If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26 |
EyesWIDEshut User ID: 1437472 United States 08/05/2011 05:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This alert just posted. In the past few hours, a strong disturbance in the solar wind was measured by the ACE spacecraft. This is undoubtedly related to the halo CMEs leaving the Sun only yesterday. Local geomagnetic measurement suggest that we can expect a K=5 storm in the coming hours. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1189947 United States 08/05/2011 05:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 05:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So is it a basically wait and see sort of thing now as to whether that was both CME's? Quoting: Avalon70 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76 this is what im watching close if what we just saw was NOT both CME's, then the 2nd is very close behind density is rising and things picking back up i believe this is because the CME's did not totaly merge in space and what is coming in right now is the 3rd big CME that was associated with the M9 flare this should be very interesting Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1297814 Germany 08/05/2011 05:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So is it a basically wait and see sort of thing now as to whether that was both CME's? Quoting: Avalon70 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76 this is what im watching close if what we just saw was NOT both CME's, then the 2nd is very close behind density is rising and things picking back up i believe this is because the CME's did not totaly merge in space and what is coming in right now is the 3rd big CME that was associated with the M9 flare this should be very interesting thx NINz |
tomasgod1 User ID: 1494107 United States 08/05/2011 05:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The 2nd CME on the 3rd of Aug. followed the one that had erupted on Aug2 by approx 31 hours. The largest CME then erupted on Aug. 4th approx 15 hours later. There were actually 4 very visible CMEs during these dates. A small CME can be seen between the 1st and second larger CMEs. Watch the video below carefully. The pause button and slide bar are your friends. We saw the passage of one yesterday. We saw another small CME arive earlier today and then this larger one slamed in right behind it. _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 1031150 United States 08/05/2011 05:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1321880 United States 08/05/2011 05:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1297814 Germany 08/05/2011 05:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The 2nd CME on the 3rd of Aug. followed the one that had erupted on Aug2 by approx 31 hours. The largest CME then erupted on Aug. 4th approx 15 hours later. There were actually 4 very visible CMEs during these dates. A small CME can be seen between the 1st and second larger CMEs. Watch the video below carefully. The pause button and slide bar are your friends. We saw the passage of one yesterday. We saw another small CME arive earlier today and then this larger one slamed in right behind it. Quoting: tomasgod1thx tom i watched it and was informed but i was a bit confused^^ and afk [link to www.solarham.com] K8.... |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 1135433 United States 08/05/2011 05:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The 2nd CME on the 3rd of Aug. followed the one that had erupted on Aug2 by approx 31 hours. The largest CME then erupted on Aug. 4th approx 15 hours later. There were actually 4 very visible CMEs during these dates. A small CME can be seen between the 1st and second larger CMEs. Watch the video below carefully. The pause button and slide bar are your friends. We saw the passage of one yesterday. We saw another small CME arive earlier today and then this larger one slamed in right behind it. Quoting: tomasgod1way cool video! i counted 4 as well when i looked at SDO over those days, 1263 was shooting out spouts of plasma you think we are maybe seeing some of them in the mix as well? Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1420010 United States 08/05/2011 05:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 1031150 United States 08/05/2011 05:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Veresanctus User ID: 1006713 Canada 08/05/2011 05:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> WOW GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION? "For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another. This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law. Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts. If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26 |