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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
deadpammy

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08/05/2011 04:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is there a site to go to find out if an aurora is happening in your area? I can't imagine sitting outside all night lol
 Quoting: Avalon70


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you :)
It's only life, suck it up and stop crying.

We came to wreck everything and ruin your life, God sent us... -Romper Stomper 1992-

The reason the Jewish people are rich, is because they work hard and are smart, the reason you are a loser, is because you are lazy and stupid. - Mike Savage
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 04:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey any chance of seeing auroras tonight in nyc?
 Quoting: glendalyv


absolutely!
just need clear skys
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What about NW Washington? it's pretty cloudy out now, but I'm hoping it will start to burn off.
 Quoting: deadpammy


all the northern US states should have a really good chance for auroras
all depending on what this storm is doing once we have dark
im in michigan, so i wil be able to see them as wel
looking forward to it ^^
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 04:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
am I reading this link correctly it says 66% chance of X onn this link?
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1225643


yes your reading it right
it is constantly updated
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank You!hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1225643



Event Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
Class M 75/75/65
Class X 15/15/10
Proton 95/50/30
PCAF red
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 04:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Bz and By just shifted

By: went from +35.6 to -4.7
Bz: went from +2.0 to -19.9
in a matter of 8 minutes
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That kind of snap back causes real disturbances in the magnetic field. Look at the Ionospheric Convection on the simulation, there is a wild Aurora going on.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Good observation. Impact on magnetosphere seems to be subsiding ever so slightly. Doesn't mean another wave isn't close behind.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1277434


There hasn't been another huge CME that I know of, so if there is another wave close behind, its probably small and unexciting.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1306998


that is if this CME we just saw was CME #2 and #3 combined as expected
but we learn fast when watching solar events, nothing is always as expected

so, what if this CME we just saw was only #2?
and CME #3.. the big one, is right behind it. Not yet here
Solar Alerts Blog
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 04:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is there a site to go to find out if an aurora is happening in your area? I can't imagine sitting outside all night lol
 Quoting: Avalon70


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN. According to that I would need a Kp 8 to see them.Blah
 Quoting: Avalon70


ahhh just looked where your at
yup, tomasgod1 would also need that for auroras in his area
i keep telling him that im hoping he gets them hehe
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 04:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is there a site to go to find out if an aurora is happening in your area? I can't imagine sitting outside all night lol
 Quoting: Avalon70


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN. According to that I would need a Kp 8 to see them.Blah
 Quoting: Avalon70


ahhh just looked where your at
yup, tomasgod1 would also need that for auroras in his area
i keep telling him that im hoping he gets them hehe
 Quoting: NiNzrez



GAHH!!! One of the drawbacks to living in South Texas :complaining: . Ah well. someone take a lot of pics, please? So those of us who will miss out can live vicariously? Please and thanks!
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 04:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey any chance of seeing auroras tonight in nyc?
 Quoting: glendalyv


absolutely!
just need clear skys
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What about NW Washington? it's pretty cloudy out now, but I'm hoping it will start to burn off.
 Quoting: deadpammy


all the northern US states should have a really good chance for auroras
all depending on what this storm is doing once we have dark
im in michigan, so i wil be able to see them as wel
looking forward to it ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hells yeah i can't wait here in New Hampshire!
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 05:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
At ACE Satalite:
Solar Wind Speed: 630.3
Density: 5.3
Bz: -20.5
By: 0.2
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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08/05/2011 05:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Shit i need a kp9 to see them in ks....maybe it got compressed enough to let some energy through...ok im dreamn
XP...

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08/05/2011 05:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NiN do you have link for the CME arrival model/simulation, I saw it a month ago but can't find it...
Thanks!
"The world will not be destroyed by evil, it will be destroyed by the ones who do nothing to stop the evil."
"Lead or follow just get the hell out of my way!"
XP...
Veresanctus

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08/05/2011 05:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
At ACE Satalite:
Solar Wind Speed: 630.3
Density: 5.3
Bz: -20.5
By: 0.2
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Isn't Bz being that low a really bad thing?
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
tomasgod1

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08/05/2011 05:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is there a site to go to find out if an aurora is happening in your area? I can't imagine sitting outside all night lol
 Quoting: Avalon70


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN. According to that I would need a Kp 8 to see them.Blah
 Quoting: Avalon70


ahhh just looked where your at
yup, tomasgod1 would also need that for auroras in his area
i keep telling him that im hoping he gets them hehe
 Quoting: NiNzrez


They have seen them as far S as Havana, Cuba; it's possible!

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/05/2011 05:06 PM
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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 05:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
it looks to have subsided some for now anyways
have to keep watch to see if anything else picks up
NOAA has not cancled any alerts as of right now
here is what we have with the timeline
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Veresanctus

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08/05/2011 05:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
uhoh
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
Veresanctus

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08/05/2011 05:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
it looks to have subsided some for now anyways
have to keep watch to see if anything else picks up
NOAA has not cancled any alerts as of right now
here is what we have with the timeline
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I'm not sure exactly why but I actually have a bad feeling about this one

Last Edited by Veresanctus on 08/05/2011 05:11 PM
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 05:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NiN do you have link for the CME arrival model/simulation, I saw it a month ago but can't find it...
Thanks!
 Quoting: XP...


it's somewhere on here, im new to that site, so still finding my way around
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Avalon70

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08/05/2011 05:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So is it a basically wait and see sort of thing now as to whether that was both CME's?
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 05:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
its start again, or?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

second one incoming? the big one? sry was away
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 05:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
At ACE Satalite:
Solar Wind Speed: 630.3
Density: 5.3
Bz: -20.5
By: 0.2
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Isn't Bz being that low a really bad thing?
 Quoting: Veresanctus


when the Bz goes into the red zone, that means that the solar winds are going southward and connecting with earths magnetic field
this is when we get geomagnetic storms
when the Bz is in the green zone, the solar winds are going northward and glancing off earth and on into space

all this is because of earths tilt on its axis
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Veresanctus

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08/05/2011 05:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
At ACE Satalite:
Solar Wind Speed: 630.3
Density: 5.3
Bz: -20.5
By: 0.2
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Isn't Bz being that low a really bad thing?
 Quoting: Veresanctus


when the Bz goes into the red zone, that means that the solar winds are going southward and connecting with earths magnetic field
this is when we get geomagnetic storms
when the Bz is in the green zone, the solar winds are going northward and glancing off earth and on into space

all this is because of earths tilt on its axis
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Oh yeah that's right, thanks Nin
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
EyesWIDEshut
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08/05/2011 05:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This alert just posted.

In the past few hours, a strong disturbance in the solar wind was
measured by the ACE spacecraft. This is undoubtedly related to the halo
CMEs leaving the Sun only yesterday. Local geomagnetic measurement
suggest that we can expect a K=5 storm in the coming hours.
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 05:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 05:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So is it a basically wait and see sort of thing now as to whether that was both CME's?
 Quoting: Avalon70


its start again, or?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

second one incoming? the big one? sry was away
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


this is what im watching close
if what we just saw was NOT both CME's, then the 2nd is very close behind
density is rising and things picking back up
i believe this is because the CME's did not totaly merge in space and what is coming in right now is the 3rd big CME that was associated with the M9 flare

this should be very interesting
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 05:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So is it a basically wait and see sort of thing now as to whether that was both CME's?
 Quoting: Avalon70


its start again, or?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

second one incoming? the big one? sry was away
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


this is what im watching close
if what we just saw was NOT both CME's, then the 2nd is very close behind
density is rising and things picking back up
i believe this is because the CME's did not totaly merge in space and what is coming in right now is the 3rd big CME that was associated with the M9 flare

this should be very interesting
 Quoting: NiNzrez


thx NINz hf
tomasgod1

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08/05/2011 05:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The 2nd CME on the 3rd of Aug. followed the one that had erupted on Aug2 by approx 31 hours. The largest CME then erupted on Aug. 4th approx 15 hours later. There were actually 4 very visible CMEs during these dates. A small CME can be seen between the 1st and second larger CMEs. Watch the video below carefully. The pause button and slide bar are your friends. We saw the passage of one yesterday. We saw another small CME arive earlier today and then this larger one slamed in right behind it.



_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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08/05/2011 05:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here we go!!!!!!!!!!!!
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 05:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
DOOM ON!!!
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 05:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The 2nd CME on the 3rd of Aug. followed the one that had erupted on Aug2 by approx 31 hours. The largest CME then erupted on Aug. 4th approx 15 hours later. There were actually 4 very visible CMEs during these dates. A small CME can be seen between the 1st and second larger CMEs. Watch the video below carefully. The pause button and slide bar are your friends. We saw the passage of one yesterday. We saw another small CME arive earlier today and then this larger one slamed in right behind it.



 Quoting: tomasgod1


thx tom i watched it and was informed but i was a bit confused^^ and afk

[link to www.solarham.com]

K8....
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/05/2011 05:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The 2nd CME on the 3rd of Aug. followed the one that had erupted on Aug2 by approx 31 hours. The largest CME then erupted on Aug. 4th approx 15 hours later. There were actually 4 very visible CMEs during these dates. A small CME can be seen between the 1st and second larger CMEs. Watch the video below carefully. The pause button and slide bar are your friends. We saw the passage of one yesterday. We saw another small CME arive earlier today and then this larger one slamed in right behind it.



 Quoting: tomasgod1


way cool video!
i counted 4 as well
when i looked at SDO over those days, 1263 was shooting out spouts of plasma
you think we are maybe seeing some of them in the mix as well?
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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08/05/2011 05:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
screamuhoh

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