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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 01:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is the coolest thing our star has done in like 3 weeks and no one cares!


5a
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551

Sorry, needed coffee before hitting the interwebz.
I think you are talking about the filament lift off @ 10 o clock near mid disk. We'll see if a CME is ejected soon.
Voluntaryist
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07/09/2013 01:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is the coolest thing our star has done in like 3 weeks and no one cares!


5a
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551

Sorry, needed coffee before hitting the interwebz.
I think you are talking about the filament lift off @ 10 o clock near mid disk. We'll see if a CME is ejected soon.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
showing up hot on EVE
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 01:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The filament was very very skinny and in between polarities.

More of a corona event.


Crazy looking on 094/335/193





Hmmm
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 01:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is the coolest thing our star has done in like 3 weeks and no one cares!


5a
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551

Sorry, needed coffee before hitting the interwebz.
I think you are talking about the filament lift off @ 10 o clock near mid disk. We'll see if a CME is ejected soon.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Nothing lifted off.


Looks more like the entire filament split in two vertically.
M1.618

User ID: 20188364
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07/09/2013 01:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hello solar crew

quick and easy question: someone usual sunbaths without a lotion? i've never used any lotion even after a hole day at the beach and i'm always fine, with a nice tan. also, i change my skin every summer and that makes me feel good. never had a sunburn!

but no one else i know can do this. the sun makes their skin turn red in just a few hours. why am i different? (no, i'm not black)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43087786


This is more of a medical question. I do not burn as well and am pale when I do not get sunlight. When exposed to sun my skin can get darker than most dark skinned people without burning. If I am exposed to certain intense sunlight for an extreme period at first, before a base tan... I will burn slightly. After the base tan I am fine without sunscreen. In the winter I turn pale again. I do not wear sunscreen, I rarely use soap or deodorant and my natural scent is neutral. I have been exposed to the sun in the middle east, med and in australia without problems. I grew up with the sun perhaps got conditioned to it... my family and community are similar but to a lesser extent. Hope this helps)
wmMmw
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 02:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]



Ring at the bottom has looked interesting all day.
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 02:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]




Lol did they flip the data back 5 days on the composites or is it just me?




HIDE THE WEIRD FILAMENT ERUPTION RIGHT NOWW!!! -NASA
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 04:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so yesterday around 3:30pm did earth get smacked with anything?

I was lurking through here yesterday during those times to see if anything was posted didnt look like much
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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07/09/2013 04:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so yesterday around 3:30pm did earth get smacked with anything?

I was lurking through here yesterday during those times to see if anything was posted didnt look like much
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42729817


I think right now.


[link to www.solarham.net]
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

User ID: 16845676
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07/09/2013 04:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so yesterday around 3:30pm did earth get smacked with anything?

I was lurking through here yesterday during those times to see if anything was posted didnt look like much
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42729817


I think right now.


[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2013 Jul 09 2045 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Jul 09 2115 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2013 Jul 09 1958 UTC

JUST GOT EMAIL BUT SPACEWEATHER NOT SHOWING
Matthew 8:27 So the men marveled, saying, “Who can this be, that even the winds and the sea obey Him?”
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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07/09/2013 04:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Faint CME from the filament eruption showing up. Most likely a minor impact.



[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 04:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we got hit by something yesterday around 3:30pm

and none of the sites showed it.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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07/09/2013 04:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we got hit by something yesterday around 3:30pm

and none of the sites showed it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42729817


Probably was a very minor impact.
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 04:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
not minor if it shut things down briefly
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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07/09/2013 04:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
not minor if it shut things down briefly
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42729817


We have another coming real soon, unless they got the timing wrong and this was what you were talking about.


[link to www.solarham.net]
Luisport

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07/09/2013 04:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: U.S. IS RESPONDING TO A LOSS OF WELL CONTROL IN GULF OF MEXICO!!! GULF SITE POSSIBLE SHEEN IS OVER 4 MILES WIDE BY 3/4 MILE LONG!!!
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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07/09/2013 05:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


Great!
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 05:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
you ever go out driving and its a sunny day and all of a sudden a cloud is over head and its so thick and big it makes like a shadow on the ground and everything around you goes dark for a bit as the cloud passes over?

or... planes does this as well big shadow on the ground

this example is what happened here yesterday what I 'felt' just like that. then the radio went static for a few and then came back on....
Hugh M Eye

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07/09/2013 08:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from today's filament eruption seems to be coming directly towards Earth.

STEREO A cor 2 movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO B image of CME:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO B cor 2 diff. image of CME (Earth is towards the right)-
:7/9-cme2b:

Although the SOHO data is lagging as usual, I can't see how this could possibly miss us. I suspect NOAA will need "further analysis" to determine geoeffectiveness, LOL. I can't tell the velocity so I'll defer to the paid experts and their supercomputers as to timing. My best guess right now would be arrival about 21:00z on the 12th (+/- 6 hours).

For those who missed it, an incredible hi-res image of 1785 from an Earth-based amateur telescope:

[link to www.astrosurf.com]
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 08:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:whattt:
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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07/09/2013 08:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
whattt
 Quoting: FreakObserver


Are you referring to the filament region that got ejected?
Hugh M Eye

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07/09/2013 08:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Earth-directed CME movies-

SEEDS (Solar Eruptive Events Detection System) CME shock analysis of SECCHI Beacon images-

STEREO Behind:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

STEREO Ahead:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

explosionahhhabomb
Hugh M Eye

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07/09/2013 08:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
whattt
 Quoting: FreakObserver


Are you referring to the filament region that got ejected?
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Actually the time-stamp there is just before the filament lifted off and subsequent Hyder flare. Check out the AIA 193 movie here (event begins approx. 14:00utc):

[link to sdodata.oma.be]

The CME was produced by this event. Again, the North steals the show even though all the 'active" regions are in the south....but one day the south shall rise again, haha.

scared
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07/09/2013 08:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
whattt
 Quoting: FreakObserver


Are you referring to the filament region that got ejected?
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Actually the time-stamp there is just before the filament lifted off and subsequent Hyder flare. Check out the AIA 193 movie here (event begins approx. 14:00utc):

[link to sdodata.oma.be]

The CME was produced by this event. Again, the North steals the show even though all the 'active" regions are in the south....but one day the south shall rise again, haha.

scared
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Haha ok.
Anonymous Coward
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07/09/2013 08:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Earth-directed CME movies-

SEEDS (Solar Eruptive Events Detection System) CME shock analysis of SECCHI Beacon images-

STEREO Behind:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

STEREO Ahead:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

explosionahhhabomb
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thank you Hugh hf
Digital mix guy

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07/09/2013 09:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
thanks for this information. good job.
Hugh M Eye

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07/09/2013 09:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1652
Issue Time: 2013 Jul 09 2358 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2013 Jul 09 2359 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The Bz has dropped past -10 SOUTH:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

KUDOS to NOAA! They saw that CME w/o SOHO images analysis (I think they're catching on, hehe)...from their latest update-

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was low. Region 1785 (S12W31, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta)
produced occasional C-class flares, the largest of which was a C4 at
08/2219 UTC. Region 1785 maintained a delta magnetic configuration
within its intermediate spots. It also showed minor penumbral decay in
the western half of the region. Region 1787 (S15W09, Eai/beta-gamma)
produced a couple of B9 x-ray flares during the period. It showed no
significant changes and maintained a beta-gamma magnetic configuration.
Region 1784 (S16W76, Axx/alpha) gradually decayed as it approached the
west limb. A 12-degree filament, centered near N26E20, erupted at around
09/1400 UTC. An Earth-directed coronal mass ejection (CME) was
associated with the filament eruption. An analysis of STEREO coronagraph
images indicated a speed of around 400 km/s for this CME
.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.

.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to increase to quiet to active
levels during Jul 10 - 11, with a slight chance for minor storm levels
(G1 - Minor), due to passages from the CMEs observed on Jul 06 and Jul
07.
Field activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels on Jul 12,
with a chance for unsettled levels, as CME effects subside. Todays
Earth-directed CME is not expected to significantly affect the field
during the forecast period.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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07/09/2013 10:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GOES Electron flux dropping fast:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

USAF Wing predicts Kp=5 Storm level:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NASA SW-MF simulation:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

ACE Solar Wind Data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isis One

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07/10/2013 12:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551


whoaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

also, in relation to the next newest explanation, those guys are like a dog on a bone. The "empty space" around the sun is the fuel for the hotter outer layer. I feel like a third grader could figure it out at this point. They have to put their pride aside and work with EU guys to come up with the whole picture. This is just my opinion.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
Isis One

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07/10/2013 12:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]



Ring at the bottom has looked interesting all day.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 32031551


earth's core doing some disco dancing?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

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