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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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08/12/2013 04:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Expecting a X45 like Patti said...
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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08/12/2013 04:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Expecting a X45 like Patti said...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43512216


biden laughing
madajs.

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08/12/2013 06:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Sun's Magnetic Field is about to Flip


[link to science.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened

Interesting update, I wish they had gotten into a bit more of the details behind the 3-4 month prediction, but still interesting!

That roughly jives with predictions of the sunspot max as well [link to www.sidc.oma.be]

As always, for those wanting to follow the pole reversal live, this chart is a good resource [link to www.leif.org] (the last reading of the south pole proper showed it had 40 microtesla of positive (+) polarity yet to shed before it will be ready to transition)

Last Edited by madajs. on 08/12/2013 06:52 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
optimum judgment

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08/12/2013 08:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How's it goin sol crew?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How's it goin sol crew?
 Quoting: optimum judgment


Great
Luv2zone

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08/12/2013 08:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

Luv2zone
shadasonic

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08/12/2013 08:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Sun's Magnetic Field is about to Flip


[link to science.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened

Interesting update, I wish they had gotten into a bit more of the details behind the 3-4 month prediction, but still interesting!

That roughly jives with predictions of the sunspot max as well [link to www.sidc.oma.be]

As always, for those wanting to follow the pole reversal live, this chart is a good resource [link to www.leif.org] (the last reading of the south pole proper showed it had 40 microtesla of positive (+) polarity yet to shed before it will be ready to transition)
 Quoting: madajs.


Nice to see you M!
Theres always a lot of merit in your posts!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
sounds

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08/12/2013 11:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good afternoon all, after taken my daily pics of the sun, I had to post a few.
AR 1817, this baby has certainly grown this morning.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
I’m looking forward to more M class flares from this group of spots.

AR 1818 has also grown slightly from yesterday you can also see old sunspot 1793 top left.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
I have high hopes that this sunspot will soon give us a little action.

Love & Light all.

peace
Political correctness without wisdom ,is just Political nonsense.
Isis One

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08/12/2013 11:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good afternoon all, after taken my daily pics of the sun, I had to post a few.
AR 1817, this baby has certainly grown this morning.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
I’m looking forward to more M class flares from this group of spots.

AR 1818 has also grown slightly from yesterday you can also see old sunspot 1793 top left.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
I have high hopes that this sunspot will soon give us a little action.

Love & Light all.

peace
 Quoting: sounds


Really great shots, sounds, so beautiful.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
sounds

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08/12/2013 11:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good afternoon all, after taken my daily pics of the sun, I had to post a few.
AR 1817, this baby has certainly grown this morning.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
I’m looking forward to more M class flares from this group of spots.

AR 1818 has also grown slightly from yesterday you can also see old sunspot 1793 top left.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
I have high hopes that this sunspot will soon give us a little action.

Love & Light all.

peace
 Quoting: sounds


Really great shots, sounds, so beautiful.
 Quoting: Isis One


rosehugs
Political correctness without wisdom ,is just Political nonsense.
Hugh M Eye

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08/13/2013 12:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1817 and 1818 Are Both Growing-
:8/13-1817:
:8/13-1818:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 225 Issued at 0030Z on 13 Aug 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 12 Aug
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1809 N14W95 344 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1814 S27W04 253 0010 Hax 01 01 Alpha
1817 S23E07 241 0180 Dac 09 23 Beta-Gamma-Delta
1818 S07E34 214 0120 Dsi 06 08 Beta-Gamma

1819 S20E21 227 0010 Hrx 06 02 Alpha

NOAA Discussion-

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 1817 (S23E07,
Dac/beta-gamma-delta) produced an impulsive M1/Sn flare at 12/1041 UTC.
Despite an impulsive profile and a lack of supporting radio signatures,
a CME was observed in both LASCO C2/C3 as well as STEREO A shortly after
the M1 event.
Analysis of this event suggests a narrow and slow event
with trajectory largely to the south and unlikely to have a notable
earthward component.
Both Regions 1817 and 1818 (S07E34, Dsi/beta-gamma)
grew in area and evolved more complex magnetic structures; an east/west
inversion line remains apparent in Region 1817 and intermixed magnetic
fields were visible in both regions.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

PERSEID METEORS still incoming.

[link to www.merriott-astro.co.uk]

Live 3D Radar:

[link to www.merriott-astro.co.uk]

I'm back at the Meteor Desk and awaiting new reports. Thanks to everyone for your support and feedback:

Thread: PERSEID METEOR STORM-Watch & Hear them here Rain or Shine-Post your Sightings and pics!
Anonymous Coward
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08/13/2013 12:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Expecting a X45 like Patti said...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43512216


:biden laughing:
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Of course i was kidding :P
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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08/13/2013 12:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Expecting a X45 like Patti said...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43512216


biden laughing
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Of course i was kidding :P
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43512216


Haha. I figured.
NiNzrez
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08/13/2013 01:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey everyone, have missed you <3
solar activity looks like it will be ramping up very soon

here we can see the sunspot grouping and positions as they were on Aug 5th
[link to www.solarham.net]

and here we can see the sunspot groupings and positions as seen 1 week later on Aug 12th
[link to www.solarham.net]

the image from Aug 5th shows there is still spacing between the sunspots and they still have some movement to do in order for them to move toward the equator as they do for the solar polar reversal (solar max)

however, the newest image for today, Aug 12th. shows a tight grouping of sunspots on the area of the equator. This shows us the sun is getting very very close to reversing and kicking into solarmax
curi0sis*SolSis

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08/13/2013 01:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi Nice to see you Ninz hf

Interesting solar activity after quite the lull.
"But the plans were on display . . ."
"On display? I eventually had to go down to the cellar to find them."
"That's the display department."
"With a torch."
"Ah, well the lights had probably gone."
"So had the stairs."
"But look, you found the notice, didn't you?"
"Yes," said Arthur, "yes I did. It was on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying Beware of the Leopard."
-Chapter One, H2G2
madajs.

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08/13/2013 03:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice to see you M!
Theres always a lot of merit in your posts!
 Quoting: shadasonic

Hi shadasonic :)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
madajs.

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08/13/2013 03:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey everyone, have missed you <3
solar activity looks like it will be ramping up very soon

here we can see the sunspot grouping and positions as they were on Aug 5th
[link to www.solarham.net]

and here we can see the sunspot groupings and positions as seen 1 week later on Aug 12th
[link to www.solarham.net]

the image from Aug 5th shows there is still spacing between the sunspots and they still have some movement to do in order for them to move toward the equator as they do for the solar polar reversal (solar max)

however, the newest image for today, Aug 12th. shows a tight grouping of sunspots on the area of the equator. This shows us the sun is getting very very close to reversing and kicking into solarmax
 Quoting: NiNzrez 43003237

Hi NiN :) nice post thanks for sharing your wisdom!
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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08/13/2013 03:16 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Sounds........Now that we have higher solar activity, I will give the imaging another shot. Sometime this week.
leonine

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08/13/2013 03:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Beta-Gamma-Delta is back. 5% chance of X-class. Two rapidly developing sunspots. [link to spaceweather.com]
lizard king
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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08/13/2013 03:42 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Beta-Gamma-Delta is back. 5% chance of X-class. Two rapidly developing sunspots. [link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: leonine


Thanks.
Hugh M Eye

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08/13/2013 04:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey everyone, have missed you <3
solar activity looks like it will be ramping up very soon

here we can see the sunspot grouping and positions as they were on Aug 5th
[link to www.solarham.net]

and here we can see the sunspot groupings and positions as seen 1 week later on Aug 12th
[link to www.solarham.net]

the image from Aug 5th shows there is still spacing between the sunspots and they still have some movement to do in order for them to move toward the equator as they do for the solar polar reversal (solar max)

however, the newest image for today, Aug 12th. shows a tight grouping of sunspots on the area of the equator. This shows us the sun is getting very very close to reversing and kicking into solarmax
 Quoting: NiNzrez 43003237


Howdy NINzrez! hearts I was just thinking of YOU, dear. I've been preoccupied with the Perseids today, but I also feel a good chance for some big flares coming (Maybe today). I've also noted the line-up of southern ARs near the equator coming soon. I think the next 3 or 4 rotations will flip the fields completely. As I already noted, this may coincide with the passing (or destruction) of Comet ISON. Although we've seen a weak cycle so far, this is a most interesting time to be alive and a witness to it all, eh?

God bless you, friend and please don't let Detroit auction you off! Peace, NINz.
sounds

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08/13/2013 05:59 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Sounds........Now that we have higher solar activity, I will give the imaging another shot. Sometime this week.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


thumbs
Political correctness without wisdom ,is just Political nonsense.
shadasonic

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08/13/2013 08:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi NIN!

Hope you are doing well!

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

several small wispy filaments look to have lifted east of our southern big boy, almost thought for a second it was going to follow , but its still holding on.

C flare, sol saying good morning!
bronze coffee
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Luisport

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08/13/2013 09:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yes C2.8
Luisport

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08/13/2013 12:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another C1.5
Luisport

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08/13/2013 01:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ANOTHER ONE...
Hugh M Eye

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08/13/2013 01:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yes C2.8
 Quoting: Luisport


Departing ARs 1809 in the northwest and 1813 in the SW have been waving good-bye as they go over the limb.

C2.8 from 1809-
:8/13-1809flare:

Meanwhile, 1817 & 1818 are exhibiting stronger magnetic fields. Look at the difference now between the two hemispheres' mag-fields:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1817 magnetogram-
:8/13-1817mag:

AR1818 magnetogram-
:8/13-1818mag:
Luisport

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08/13/2013 01:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C1.8
shadasonic

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08/13/2013 01:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yes C2.8
 Quoting: Luisport


Departing ARs 1809 in the northwest and 1813 in the SW have been waving good-bye as they go over the limb.

C2.8 from 1809-
:8/13-1809flare:

Meanwhile, 1817 & 1818 are exhibiting stronger magnetic fields. Look at the difference now between the two hemispheres' mag-fields:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1817 magnetogram-
:8/13-1817mag:

AR1818 magnetogram-
:8/13-1818mag:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


1817 and 1818 need to go to work, they are building nicely, what could possibly be holding these developing SS back, I'm still, to this day, baffled by the earth facing inactivity
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
mtn_mang

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08/13/2013 02:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Starting to get a little noisy, its about go time.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

banana2

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