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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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08/13/2013 08:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry. :(
Anonymous Coward
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08/13/2013 08:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry. :(
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


angryface
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08/13/2013 08:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C4.9 beyond the Western Limb.
shadasonic

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08/13/2013 10:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What the heck woke up 1809 anyway? An alpha spot measured at a measly 20 millionths (and decaying!) only two days ago. The biggest flare before today was a B 8.3 on aug 7th. Remember we just went almost 10 days w/o a C-flare? Here's how AR1809 looked on the 6th when it was directly Earth-facing:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

AR 1809 is officially at 91 degrees and beyond-the-limb now; and has suddenly popped off 6 or 7 C-flares in succession. Why? And why have the promising Earth-facing regions gone quiet again? I've yet to hear a valid explanation as to what we've seen again and again.

Do the Chinese have a secret solar nullifier ray to protect their Heavenly Palace space station? Enquiring minds want to know, haha.

NOTE of CORRECTION to LOCKHEED-SOLARSOFT (I know you're reading this): Those nitwits at Solarsoft keep showing AR1808 as a source for some of these flares. 1808 is like 40 degrees further around the backside than 1809 and X-ray flares can't be detected there by GOES. Some of these braniacs have no common sense.

Flare List FAIL:
[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey don't give 1809 all the credit 1818 spewed out one of those C1s.LOL

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

It is mind boggling my brother, it has become the norm and seems to be no longer questioned.
The Chinese thing has actually run through my head a couple of times, I'm ashamed to admit.

Nice watching you and Cesium interact, good minds on you fellas.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez (OP)

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08/13/2013 10:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looks like you all have activity covered
just thought I would add this

Earth facing Sunspots AR1817 and AR1818 pose a growing threat for M- and X-class solar flares.

INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: Two new sunspots are growing rapidly in the sun's southern hemisphere. One of them, AR1817, is directly facing Earth and poses a threat for X-class solar flares. AR1817 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of M-class flares and a 5% chance of X-class flares on August 13th. [link to spaceweather.com]

things sure did jump out of a flat line pretty quick. about time we see some solar activity when were in a solar max year

hf
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
shadasonic

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08/13/2013 11:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looks like you all have activity covered
just thought I would add this

Earth facing Sunspots AR1817 and AR1818 pose a growing threat for M- and X-class solar flares.

INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: Two new sunspots are growing rapidly in the sun's southern hemisphere. One of them, AR1817, is directly facing Earth and poses a threat for X-class solar flares. AR1817 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of M-class flares and a 5% chance of X-class flares on August 13th. [link to spaceweather.com]

things sure did jump out of a flat line pretty quick. about time we see some solar activity when were in a solar max year

hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez



If things pick up you have to promise to come around a lot more!
Miss you nin and the solar storm.
:actmag:
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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08/13/2013 11:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AR1809-produced 8 C-flares (including 3 C4's) from BEYOND THE LIMB!

AR1818-17 times larger than 1809 (by NOAA's measurements) produced a solitary C1.0.

AR1817- 12 times larger than 1809 just flickered a little bit since its M1 flare on Aug. 12th and is now slightly decaying (no mo' delta)

wtf

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary

SRS Number 226 Issued at 0030Z on 14 Aug 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 13 Aug
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 13/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1814 S27W18 254 0010 Hrx 01 01 Alpha
1817 S21W04 240 0240 Esc 12 22 Beta-Gamma
1818 S07E21 214 0340 Dhc 09 17 Beta-Gamma

1819 S17E07 228 0020 Cro 05 04 Beta
1820 S13E59 176 0060 Cso 10 04 Beta

Latest Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1818 Still Growing!-
:8/14-AR1818:

NOAA Solar Activity Discussion-

24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Regions 1817 (S21W04) and 1818
(S07E21) remained the two most significant threats for flaring on the
solar disk. Both regions displayed minor signs of decay, with magnetic
simplification in both. 1817 no longer maintains a delta configuration
and is now a more simple beta-gamma
group, though preserving a east-west
oriented shear line. A new region was numbered as NOAA Active Region
1820 (S13E59) but remains fairly simple and inactive. All other regions
on the solar disk were unremarkable or already decayed to plage. The
largest event of the day was a C4 event, sourced from old region 1809
(now rotated around the west limb). Two CMEs were observed during the
period. A slow moving event is visible in LASCO moving to the south
after 1200 UTC, and is similar to several other events that occurred
over the past week. As with the others, this event is not considered to
be potentially geoeffective. The second was a narrow and slow event that
occurred from around the NE limb and is also not considered to be a
threat to earth.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Wow, NOAA mentioned the word "threat" two times...are they trying to tip us off to some coming DOOM EVENT? Has Sol joined up with al-Qaeda? Have NOAA scientists taken to reading GLP again?..........stay tuned, folks, LOL.

Fat Filament A-Flutterin':

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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08/14/2013 12:20 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Sector Boundary Crossing???

Coronal hole winds aren't due until 15th-16th.

G1 Storm Watch (Yawn...)

Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 546
Issue Time: 2013 Aug 13 1956 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 14: G1 (Minor) Aug 15: None (Below G1) Aug 16: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2148
Issue Time: 2013 Aug 13 2355 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2147
Valid From: 2013 Aug 13 1730 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2013 Aug 14 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE solar wind-mag. field data plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron Flux;

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

More meteors incoming:

[link to www.merriott-astro.co.uk]

:torque-anim:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Sector Boundary Crossing???

Coronal hole winds aren't due until 15th-16th.

G1 Storm Watch (Yawn...)


Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.


1224cme

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 08/14/2013 12:24 AM
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
shadasonic

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08/14/2013 12:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Fat filament is definitely fluttering, its running into the energy activating section, same as the SS.(an opinion)
We've spiraled around for 14 months now, so all the external talk of planets, solar systems , and fluff is null and void. We've spiraled as our system has, with our internal drive rotating, this isn't a draw or a pull anomaly anymore, this is an earth anomaly!
Every sector of our supposed great organized country fabricates , hides , steals and lies, our space orgs. are right up there with the best of the nefarious lot!
Sorry for the rant, some things should be addressed and I'm pissed. will retire now! Peace
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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08/14/2013 12:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looks like you all have activity covered
just thought I would add this

Earth facing Sunspots AR1817 and AR1818 pose a growing threat for M- and X-class solar flares.

INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: Two new sunspots are growing rapidly in the sun's southern hemisphere. One of them, AR1817, is directly facing Earth and poses a threat for X-class solar flares. AR1817 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of M-class flares and a 5% chance of X-class flares on August 13th. [link to spaceweather.com]

things sure did jump out of a flat line pretty quick. about time we see some solar activity when were in a solar max year

hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez



If things pick up you have to promise to come around a lot more!
Miss you nin and the solar storm.
:actmag:
 Quoting: shadasonic


I sure will try. using my daughters phone to get online when I can. makes it a bit harder to be around all the time. I sure do miss all my friends here
Isis One

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08/14/2013 12:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

C4.6 guys,I think from departing 1809 in the North-West.



Anyhoo' I was wondering if anyone had a star Map that could help me identify the two objects I'd screen captured from the 10th August on COR2 Ahead,I point them out with the cursor,best to view in fullscreen and HD if you can.



Just about to leave the FoV at the time,Bottom-Right.

They are either Star Clusters or Nebulae - No Alienz please folks wink

sun hf

OK, I can't resist....its part of Patti B's second sun and seven orbiting bodies....sorry

HI SC!!!
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Hello Isis - that Pattie is a evil bullshitter and I truly hope you did not fall for that utter tripe...it was pure Bullshit of the highest order of Evil - the troubles hat 'Woman' caused to mankind by her bullshitting are seriously sick...she was very,very thick..she had little clue of anything she professed to have knowledge on and it shone like a dirty nuke in the clear blue skies.

I hope the Universe punishes her in perpetuity for her evil deed - she set some folks minds back by donkey decades with her fear porn.

Makes me so angry when idiots lie so hard and the gullible swallow it - it leaves a lot of work for folks to have to do to rectify her mindfucking.
Please,excuse my French,but she really took the biscuit this time.

Here are some anagrams of that 'Womans' name -
Abreast Star Dip,Astride Past Bar,Bastard Arse Pit,Bastard Set Pair,Bastard Reaps It,Rite Bastard Pas,Bastard Sari Pet,Sear Bastard Tip,Bastard Raps Tie,Bastard Spit Ear,Bastard Spit Era,Bastard Star Pie,Bastard Air Step,Sir Tape Bastard,Despair Stab Art,Despair Rat Stab,Tar Stab Despair,Bat Star Despair,Persist Bar Data, Radiate Star Pbs,Sad Abater Strip,Abater Piss Dart,Star Abrade Spit,Abrade Piss Tart,Abrade Rasp Tits,Adapt Arrest Bis,Paid Stab Arrest,Aspire Start Bad,Assert Adapt Rib,Rabid Assert Tap,Rapid Bat Assert,Bard Pass Attire,Adapt Sis Barter,Barter Data Piss,Sir Adapt Breast,Breast Paid Star,Arid Spat Breast,Debris Apart Sat,Debris Star Tapa,Depart Basis Art,DEPART BIAS STAR,STAR DIAPER STAB,Rabid Tat Passer,Tad Brass Pirate,BAD TRAIT PASSER,Start Bad Praise,Start Rabies Pad,Rabies Pass Dart,Paid Raster Stab,Resist Adapt Bar,Resist Apart Bad,Adapt Bar Resist,Resist Bard Tapa,RETARD TAP BASIS,Retard Bait Pass,SPAT BIAS RETARD,Sadist Barre Tap,Sadist Bater Rap,Part Bear Sadist,Sadist Bear Trap,Bad Strap Attire amongst others.

Sorry for that ramble folks!
LoL.
 Quoting: Isis One


wow, I guess I hit a sore spot, so sorry, so it wasn't even close to funny then to you. Poor taste on my part, sorry again, I know we're good tho.hf
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Isis One

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08/14/2013 12:52 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What the heck woke up 1809 anyway? An alpha spot measured at a measly 20 millionths (and decaying!) only two days ago. The biggest flare before today was a B 8.3 on aug 7th. Remember we just went almost 10 days w/o a C-flare? Here's how AR1809 looked on the 6th when it was directly Earth-facing:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

AR 1809 is officially at 91 degrees and beyond-the-limb now; and has suddenly popped off 6 or 7 C-flares in succession. Why? And why have the promising Earth-facing regions gone quiet again? I've yet to hear a valid explanation as to what we've seen again and again.

Do the Chinese have a secret solar nullifier ray to protect their Heavenly Palace space station? Enquiring minds want to know, haha.

NOTE of CORRECTION to LOCKHEED-SOLARSOFT (I know you're reading this): Those nitwits at Solarsoft keep showing AR1808 as a source for some of these flares. 1808 is like 40 degrees further around the backside than 1809 and X-ray flares can't be detected there by GOES. Some of these braniacs have no common sense.

Flare List FAIL:
[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


does it have anything to do with the barycentres set up such that there is a different magnetic overlay on the limbs?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Luisport

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08/14/2013 06:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C1.4
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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08/14/2013 07:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C1.4
 Quoting: Luisport


Any minute now.....Heh
mtn_mang

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08/14/2013 01:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Picked just the right time to take lunch!
mtn_mang

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08/14/2013 01:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Oops, sorry I broke the rules :p
muse_1111

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08/14/2013 01:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Have you guys seen the DRAP map? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
The southern part of North America into Central America is lit up!
Hugh M Eye

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08/14/2013 01:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Oops, sorry I broke the rules :p
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Howdy , Mtn!, don't you dare apologize. How 'bout a 'new rule'- don't be superstitious, haha.

It seems 1817 is waking up with a C3.6.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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08/14/2013 01:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
C3.6
joinca

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08/14/2013 01:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Oops, sorry I broke the rules :p
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Howdy , Mtn!, don't you dare apologize. How 'bout a 'new rule'- don't be superstitious, haha.

It seems 1817 is waking up with a C3.6.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

The sun may have a heart beat!!!
Mtns dance did it again.

dasbier
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Oops, sorry I broke the rules :p
 Quoting: mtn_mang


churchlady
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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08/14/2013 04:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament coming undone.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
TS66
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament coming undone.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Finally ... now which way is she going to whip ???
Hugh M Eye

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08/14/2013 05:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament coming undone.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Hey, Geo, got your scope on it?

Lift-off....

Big Bear still image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

BB Movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

It doesn't look geoeffective, but we'll have to wait and see.
duk-n-cover
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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08/14/2013 05:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament coming undone.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Hey, Geo, got your scope on it?

Lift-off....

Big Bear still image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

BB Movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

It doesn't look geoeffective, but we'll have to wait and see.
:duk-n-cover:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


It's a huge bitch !
Anonymous Coward
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08/14/2013 05:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Tail end is just at center.

Hey Hugh wink
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Tail end is just at center.

Hey Hugh wink
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45147020


Yeah, after watching the SDO movie and realizing it is at 60 degrees W. Longitude, we'll almost certainly get a taste of this. So I retract my "not geoeffective' statement. Still it will take awhile before the coronagrah data comes in. Of course these events invariably happen during STEREO's 'snooze-time', haha.
rockon
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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08/14/2013 05:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SE quadrant flimant part 2 is looking pretty interesting too
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament coming undone.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Hey, Geo, got your scope on it?

Lift-off....

Big Bear still image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

BB Movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

It doesn't look geoeffective, but we'll have to wait and see.
duk-n-cover
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


It's at my friends house. I will check it out in 30 minutes. :)